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SouthChina
Sea
CarlyleA.Thayer
Presentation to Academia Sinica
October7,2011
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Outline
ResponsesbythePhilippinesand
Vietnam
PostDOCGuidelinesDevelopments
Concludingobservations
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FiringatFilipinofishermen(25Feb)
MVVeritasVoyager(2March)Unloading
construction
materials
(24
May)
MegaOilRig
u m ss ons
o
e
n e
a ons
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Forcemodernisationforterritorial
defence
ReaffirmingtieswiththeU.S.
Zoneof
Peace,
Freedom,
Friendship
ad
Cooperation(ZOPFF/C)
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Unilateralfishing
bans
Chinesefishin craftoffVietnam
Accostingcommercialexplorationships VikingII(9June)
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Highlevelmeetings
ViceChairmanCentralMilitaryCommission
GovernmentBoundar
Ne otiations
ShangrilaDialoguesidelinediscussions
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approach
Promotedialogueandconsultations
identified
mp emen a onpure y
vo un ary
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Initia
activities
con i ence
ui ing
measures
consensusamongpartiesconcerned,and
leadto
the
eventual
realization
of
aCode
.
ExpertsandEminentPersons
Reportdirectly
to
ASEAN
China
MinisterialMeeting
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PresidentAquino
visits
Beijing
us or n ng o eo on uct
Furthermilitar
modernisation
ZoneofPeace,Freedom,Friendshipand
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7th roundbilateraldiscussions
2nd DefenceSecurityDialogue
th
GeneralPoliticalDepartmentHeadvisits
China
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AdoptionofDOCGuideline
Chinas9dashlinemapofSouthChina
Counterproductiveresponses
ZOPFF/C
enclaves
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SouthChina
Sea
CarlyleA.Thayer
Presentation to Academia Sinica
October7,2011