-
8/3/2019 Thayer South China Sea Before and After Guidelines on the DOC
1/13
SouthChina
Sea
CarlyleA.Thayer
Presentation to Academia Sinica
October7,2011
-
8/3/2019 Thayer South China Sea Before and After Guidelines on the DOC
2/13
Outline
ResponsesbythePhilippinesand
Vietnam
PostDOCGuidelinesDevelopments
Concludingobservations
-
8/3/2019 Thayer South China Sea Before and After Guidelines on the DOC
3/13
FiringatFilipinofishermen(25Feb)
MVVeritasVoyager(2March)Unloading
construction
materials
(24
May)
MegaOilRig
u m ss ons
o
e
n e
a ons
-
8/3/2019 Thayer South China Sea Before and After Guidelines on the DOC
4/13
Forcemodernisationforterritorial
defence
ReaffirmingtieswiththeU.S.
Zoneof
Peace,
Freedom,
Friendship
ad
Cooperation(ZOPFF/C)
-
8/3/2019 Thayer South China Sea Before and After Guidelines on the DOC
5/13
Unilateralfishing
bans
Chinesefishin craftoffVietnam
Accostingcommercialexplorationships VikingII(9June)
-
8/3/2019 Thayer South China Sea Before and After Guidelines on the DOC
6/13
Highlevelmeetings
ViceChairmanCentralMilitaryCommission
GovernmentBoundar
Ne otiations
ShangrilaDialoguesidelinediscussions
-
8/3/2019 Thayer South China Sea Before and After Guidelines on the DOC
7/13
-
8/3/2019 Thayer South China Sea Before and After Guidelines on the DOC
8/13
approach
Promotedialogueandconsultations
identified
mp emen a onpure y
vo un ary
-
8/3/2019 Thayer South China Sea Before and After Guidelines on the DOC
9/13
Initia
activities
con i ence
ui ing
measures
consensusamongpartiesconcerned,and
leadto
the
eventual
realization
of
aCode
.
ExpertsandEminentPersons
Reportdirectly
to
ASEAN
China
MinisterialMeeting
-
8/3/2019 Thayer South China Sea Before and After Guidelines on the DOC
10/13
PresidentAquino
visits
Beijing
us or n ng o eo on uct
Furthermilitar
modernisation
ZoneofPeace,Freedom,Friendshipand
-
8/3/2019 Thayer South China Sea Before and After Guidelines on the DOC
11/13
7th roundbilateraldiscussions
2nd DefenceSecurityDialogue
th
GeneralPoliticalDepartmentHeadvisits
China
-
8/3/2019 Thayer South China Sea Before and After Guidelines on the DOC
12/13
AdoptionofDOCGuideline
Chinas9dashlinemapofSouthChina
Counterproductiveresponses
ZOPFF/C
enclaves
-
8/3/2019 Thayer South China Sea Before and After Guidelines on the DOC
13/13
SouthChina
Sea
CarlyleA.Thayer
Presentation to Academia Sinica
October7,2011
