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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    A

    PROJECT REPORT

    ON

    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT

    IN ICICI AND SBI BANK

    Submitted in the partial fulfillment for the award of the degree of

    MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION

    BY

    HARDESH KUMAR BHARDWAJ

    ROLL NO: 104692249075

    Under the guidance of

    Mrs.Supreet Marwaha

    INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES - BHADDAL

    (AFFILAITED TO PUNJAB TECNICAL UNIVERSITY)

    IMS BHADDAL 1

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    2010-2012

    IMS BHADDAL 2

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    DECLARATION

    I hereby declare that this Project Report titled EQUITIES AND

    PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI AND SBI BANK submitted by me to the

    Department OF IMS BHADDAL is a bonafide work undertaken by me and

    it is not submitted to any other University or Institution for the award of any

    degree diploma / certificate or published any time before.

    Name of the Student Signature of the Student

    Hardesh Kumar Bhardwaj

    IMS BHADDAL 3

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    ACKNOWLEDGMENT

    It plunge me in exhilaration in taking privilege in expressing our heart felt gratitude

    to all those who helped, encouraged and foreseeing successful completion of my project.

    My sincere thanks are due to Mr.Preet Mohinder Singh (Principal), for their valuable

    support in helping me to gain this opportunity of being associated with an organization of

    such esteem.

    .

    I convey my sincere thanks to Prof.Mrs Supreet Marwaha IMS BHADDAL

    College,and all those who directly or indirectly contributed their assistance in finishing out

    this project.

    IMS BHADDAL 4

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    IMS BHADDAL

    I CONTENTS

    INTRODUCTION 1

    NEED & SCOPE 2

    OBJECTIVES 2

    METHODOLGY 3LIMITATIONS 4

    SOURCE 4

    TOOLS AND TECHNIQUES 4

    IILITERATURE REVIEW

    6

    INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT 7

    EQUITY SHARES 9

    PORTFOLIO 10

    RISK 11

    PHASES OF PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT 12

    III COMPANY PROFILE14

    IV ANALYSIS AND INFERENCE18

    MODELS 19

    BETA 22

    ICICI BANK 25

    ANALYSIS FROM 2003-2007 27-31

    CALCULATION OF BETA 34

    SBI BANK 35

    ANALYSIS FROM 2003-2007 36-40

    CALCULATION OF BETA 43

    BETA COMPARISION 44

    V CONCLUSIONS & SUGGESTIONS46

    BIBLIOGRAPHY 47

    5

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    IMS BHADDAL 6

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    NEED FOR THE STUDY:

    The purpose of the study is to know the fluctuations in the share price of sample

    companies.

    The purpose of the study is to help the unknown investors for investing in

    securities.

    To update the portfolio reviewed and adjusted from time to time in tune with

    market condition.

    To analyses the risk and return on securities.

    To test portfolio strategies before taking decisions.

    OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

    The objectives of Equities and investment /portfolio management can be categorized as

    follows:

    To observe the rate of fluctuations of selected companies.

    The amount of risk involved in the securities of the sample companies.

    To make comparative study of risk and return of the sample companies.

    SCOPE OF THE STUDY

    The study covers all the information related to the Equity fund and the Portfolio

    management it also covers the investor risk in the investment in various securities.

    Identification of the investors objectives, constraints and preferences.

    Strategies are to be developed and implemented in tune with investment policy

    formulated.

    To reduce the future risk in advance.

    To earn maximum profit in the securities.

    Review and monitoring of the performance of the portfolio.

    Finally the evaluation of the portfolio.

    IMS BHADDAL 7

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    METHODOLOGY OF THE STUDY

    Primary Data:

    The data provided by the firm was been analyzes by using Markowitz model

    determines an efficient asset of portfolio return i.e.

    1. Return

    2. Standard deviation

    3. Coefficient of correlation

    Secondary Data:

    The data that is used in this project is of secondary nature. The data is to be

    collected from secondary sources such as various websites, journals, newspapers, books,

    etc., the analysis used in this project has been done using selective technical tools. In

    Equity market, risk is analyzed and trading decisions are taken on basis of technical

    analysis. It is collecting share prices of selected companies for a period of five years.

    PERIOD OF THE STUDY:

    The study of Equity value and portfolio management for a period of five years

    (2003-2007).

    IMS BHADDAL 8

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    LIMITATIONS:

    The companies are selected on the basis of the performance

    Expand or contract the size of the portfolio reflect the changes in investor risk

    disposition.

    SOURCE:

    NCE, the standards set by NSE in terms of market practices and technologies have become

    industry benchmarks and are being emulated by other market participants. NSE is more

    than a mere market facilitator. It's that force which is guiding the industry towards new

    horizons and greater opportunities.

    TOOLS & TECHNIQUES:

    The following statistical techniques were used for measuring the performance of the

    companys funds.

    1. Rate of Return (ROR)N2-N1

    ROR =

    N1

    Where, N1 is Close period at period1

    N2 is Close period at period

    2. Standard Deviation (SD) [R-AVG(R)]

    SD =

    N

    Where, R is rate of return

    N is total number of months

    3. Betan xy x * y

    Beta =n x2 (x)2

    IMS BHADDAL 9

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    4. Alpha

    Alpha = Avg (y) (beta*Avg (x))

    5. Coefficient of Correlation

    n xy x * y

    Coefficient of Correlation =

    [(n y2 (y) 2) (n x2 (x) 2)]

    6. Coefficient of Correlation

    Coefficient of determination = (Coefficient of Correlation)2

    IMS BHADDAL 10

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    IMS BHADDAL 11

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    INTRODUCTION TO INVESTMENT

    Investment may be defined as an activity that commits funds in any financial

    form in the present with an expectation of receiving additional return in the

    future. The expectations bring with it a probability that the quantum of

    return may vary from a minimum to a maximum. This possibility of

    variation in the actual return is known as investment risk. Thus every

    investment involves a return and risk.

    Investment is an activity that is undertaken by those who have

    savings. Savings can be defined as the excess of income over expenditure.An investor earns/expects to earn additional monetary value from the mode

    of investment that could be in the form of financial assets.

    The three important characteristics of any financial asset are:

    Return-the potential return possible from an asset.

    Risk-the variability in returns of the asset form the chances of its

    value going down/up.

    Liquidity-the ease with which an asset can be converted into cash.

    Investors tend to look at these three characteristics while deciding on

    their individual preference pattern of investments. Each financial asset will

    have a certain level of each of these characteristics.

    IMS BHADDAL 12

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    Investment avenues

    There are a large number of investment avenues for savers in India.

    Some of them are marketable and liquid, while others are non-marketable.

    Some of them are highly risky while some others are almost risk less.

    Investment avenues can be broadly categorized under the following heads:

    Corporate securities

    Equity shares.

    Preference shares.

    Debentures/Bonds.

    Derivatives.

    Others.

    Corporate Securities

    Joint stock companies in the private sector issue corporate securities. These

    include equity shares, preference shares, and debentures. Equity shares havevariable dividend and hence belong to the high risk-high return category;

    preference shares and debentures have fixed returns with lower risk.

    The classification of corporate securities that can be chosen as investment

    avenues can be depicted as shown below:

    IMS BHADDAL 13

    Equity

    Shares

    Preferenceshares

    Bonds Warrants Derivatives

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    Equity shares

    By investing in shares, investors basically buy the ownership right to

    the company. When the company makes profits, shareholders receive their

    share of the profits in the form of dividends. In addition, when company

    performs well and the future expectation from the company is very high, the price of the companys shares goes up in the market. This allows

    shareholders to sell shares at a profit, leading to capital gains.

    Investors can invest in shares either through primary market offerings

    or in the secondary market.

    The primary market has shown abnormal returns to investors who

    subscribed for the public issue and were allotted shares.

    Stock Exchange:

    In a stock exchange a person who wishes to sell his security is called a

    seller, and a person who is willing to buy the particular stock is called as the

    buyer. The rate of stock depends on the simple law of demand and supply. If

    the demand of shares of company x is greater than its supply then its price of

    its security increases.

    In Online Exchange the trading is done on a computer network. The

    sellers and buyers log on to the network and propose their bids. The system

    is designed in such ways that at any given instance, the buyers/sellers are

    bidding at the best prices.

    IMS BHADDAL 14

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    The transaction cycle for purchasing and selling shares online is

    depicted below:

    PORTFOLIO

    A portfolio is an appropriate mix of or collection of investments held by an institution or a

    private individual. It is a collection of securities, since it is rarely desirable to invest the

    entire funds of an individual or an institution in a single security.

    Portfolio analysis considers the determination of future risk and return in holding

    various blends of individual securities.

    Portfolio expected return is a weighted average of the expected return of individual

    securities but portfolio variance, in short contrast, can be something less than a

    weighted average of security variances.

    IMS BHADDAL 15

    Client

    Member/

    Broking

    firm. Stock Exchange

    (BSE / NSE)

    Member/

    Broking

    firm.

    Client

    Transac

    tion Cycle

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    As a result an investor can sometimes reduce portfolio risk by adding security with

    greater individual risk than any other security in the portfolio. This is because risk

    depends greatly on the co-variance among return of individual securities.

    Since portfolios expected return is a weighted average of the expected return of its

    securities, the contribution of each security to the portfolios expected returns

    depends on its expected returns and its proportionate share of the initial portfolios

    market value.

    RISK

    Risk is a concept that denotes a potential negative impact to an asset or some characteristicofvalue that may arise from some presentprocess or future event. In everyday usage, risk

    is often used synonymously with theprobability of a known loss. Risk is uncertaintyof the

    income / capital appreciation or loss of the both.

    The total risk of an individual security comprises two components, the market related risk

    called systematic riskalso known as undiversifiable risk and the unique risk of that

    particular security called unsystematic riskor diversifiable risk.

    Types of risk

    Systematic risk (market) Unsystematic risk (company risk)

    Examples:

    Interest rate risk

    Market risk

    Inflation risk

    Demand

    Government policy

    International factors

    Examples:

    Labor troubles

    Liquidity problems

    Raw materials risks

    Financial risks

    Management problems

    IMS BHADDAL 16

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Concepthttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assethttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_(economics)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Process_(general)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Event_(probability_theory)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probabilityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Concepthttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assethttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_(economics)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Process_(general)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Event_(probability_theory)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability
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    PHASES OF PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT

    Five phases can be identified in this process:

    Security analysis

    Portfolio analysis

    Portfolio selection

    Portfolio revision

    Portfolio evaluation

    SECURITY ANALYSIS

    An examination and evaluation of the various factors affecting the value of a

    security. SecurityAnalysis stands for the proposition that a well-disciplinedinvestor can determine a rough value for a company from all of its financial

    statements, make purchases when the market inevitably under-prices

    some of them, earn a satisfactory return, and never be in real danger of

    permanent loss.

    PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS

    Analysis phase of portfolio management consists of identifying the range of

    possible portfolios that can be constituted from a given set of securities

    and calculating their return and risk for further analysis.

    PORTFOLIO SELECTION

    The proper goal of portfolio construction is to generate a portfolio that provides

    the highest returns at a given level of risk. A portfolio having this

    characteristic is known as an efficient portfolio. The inputs from portfolio

    analysis can be used to identify the set of efficient portfolios. From this set

    of efficient portfolios, the optimal portfolio has to be selected for

    IMS BHADDAL 17

    http://www.investorwords.com/5209/value.htmlhttp://www.investorwords.com/5209/value.htmlhttp://www.investorwords.com/5209/value.html
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    investment. Harry Markowitz portfolio theory provides both the conceptual

    framework and analytical tools for determining the optimal portfolio in a

    disciplined and objective way.

    PORTFOLIO REVISION

    Having constructed the optimal portfolio, the investor has to constantly monitor

    the portfolio to ensure that it continues to be optimal. Portfolio revision is

    as important as portfolio analysis and selection.

    PORTFOLIO EVALUATION

    It is the process, which is concerned with assessing the performance of the

    portfolio over a selected period of time in terms of returns and risk. This

    involves quantitative measurement of actual return realized and the risk

    born by the portfolio over the period of investment. It provides a feedback

    mechanism for improving the entire portfolio management process.

    IMS BHADDAL 18

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    IMS BHADDAL 19

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    ICICI Securities Limited

    ICICI Securities Ltd is a premier Indian Investment Bank, with a dominant position in its

    core segments of its operations - Corporate Finance including Equity Capital Markets

    Advisory Services, Institutional Equities, Retail and Financial Product Distribution. ICICI

    Securities Limited assists global institutional investors to make the right decisions through

    insightful research coverage and a client focused Sales and Dealing team.

    ICICI Securities has the largest reach to the retail segment through its two pioneering bra

    Winning is a habit that is assiduously cultivated at ICICI Securities Limited (I-Sec). Be it

    deals, mandates or awards, we manage them all in our quite and efficient way.

    For us winning awards is a matter of pride and honors. Each new award is a manifestation

    of our hard work and commitment to our clients

    IMS BHADDAL 20

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    Since inception, I-Sec's expertise has been time and again widely recognized by both

    domestic and international agencies.

    I-Sec PD has been recognized as the Best Domestic Bond House in India by Asia money

    for 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005 and 2007. I-Sec PD has been awarded the prestigious Best

    Bond House by Financeasia.com for the years - 2001, nds ICICIdirect.com and

    ICICIdirect2004, 2005, 2006 and 2007. These awards are a strong testimony of our

    capabilities and continuing dominant position in the market. The equities team was

    adjudged the Best Indian Brokerage House-2003 by Asia money. The Corporate Finance

    group also was awarded a runner-up Best Merchant Banker by Outlook Money in 2007.

    ICICI Securities (I-Sec) topped the Prime Database League Tables 2007 for money raised

    through IPOs/FPOs.

    With a full-service portfolio, a roster of blue-chip clients and performance second to none,

    we have a formidable reputation within the industry. Today ICICI Securities is among the

    leading Financial Institutions both on the institutional as well as retail side.

    The Corporate Finance team regularly ranks highest among the leading capital markets

    league tables and recently topped the Prime Database League tables for funds mobilized

    through equity instruments in the first half of CY 07.

    Headquartered in Mumbai, I-Sec operates out of several locations in India.

    ICICI Securities Inc., the step-down wholly owned US subsidiary of the company is a

    member of the National Association of Securities Dealers, Inc. (NASD). As a result of this

    membership, ICICI Securities Inc. can engage in permitted activities in the U.S. securities

    markets. These activities include Dealing in Securities and Corporate Advisory Services in

    the United States and providing research and investment advice to US investors.

    ICICI Securities Inc. is also registered with the Financial Services Authority, UK (FSA)

    and the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to carry out Corporate Advisory Services

    and Dealing in Securities.

    IMS BHADDAL 21

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    ICICI Securities Indias Leading Investment Bank

    A subsidiary of ICICI Bank - the largest and most recognized private bank in India ICICI

    Securities Ltd is premier Indian Investment Bank, with a dominant position in its coresegments of its operations - Corporate Finance including Equity Capital Markets Advisory

    Services, Institutional Equities, Retail and Financial Product Distribution With a full-

    service portfolio, a roster of blue-chip clients and performance second to none, we have a

    formidable reputation within the industry. I

    IMS BHADDAL 22

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    I

    IMS BHADDAL 23

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    MODELS

    Some of the financial models used in the process of Valuation, stock selection, and

    management of portfolios include:

    Maximizing return, given an acceptable level of risk.

    Modern portfolio theorya model proposed by Harry Markowitz among others.

    The single-index model of portfolio variance.

    Capital asset pricing model.

    Arbitrage pricing theory.

    The Jensen Index.

    The TreynorIndex.

    The Sharpe Diagonal (or Index) model.

    Value at riskmodel.

    MARKOWITZ: PORTFOLIO SELECTION MODEL

    The basic portfolio model, developed by Harry Markowitz, derived the expected rate ofreturn for a portfolio of assets and an expected risk measure. Markowitz showed that the

    variance of the rate of return was meaning full measure of risk under a reasonable set of

    assumptions and derives the formulas for computing the variance of the portfolio. This

    portfolio variance formulation indicated the importance of diversification for reducing risk,

    and showed how to properly diversify.

    PARAMETERS OF MARKOWITZ:THE MEAN VARIANCE CRITERION

    Based on his research, for building up the efficient set of portfolio, as laid down by

    Markowitz, we need to look into these important parameters.

    1. Expected return

    2. Variability of returns as measured by standard deviation from the mean.

    IMS BHADDAL 24

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Valuationhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modern_portfolio_theoryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harry_Markowitzhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_asset_pricing_modelhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arbitrage_pricing_theoryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jensens_alphahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treynor_ratiohttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Forsyth_Sharpehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_at_riskhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Valuationhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modern_portfolio_theoryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harry_Markowitzhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_asset_pricing_modelhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arbitrage_pricing_theoryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jensens_alphahttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treynor_ratiohttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Forsyth_Sharpehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_at_risk
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    3. Covariance or variance of one asset return to other asset returns.

    ASSUMPTIONS OF MARKOWWITZ MODEL:

    1. Investors consider each investment alternative as being represented by a probabilitydistribution of expected returns over some holding period.

    2. Investors maximize one period expected utility and possess utility curves that

    demonstrate diminishing marginal utility of wealth.

    3. Individuals estimate risk on the basis of the variability of expected returns.

    4. Investors base decisions solely on expected return and risk; i.e, their utility curves

    are a function of expected return and variance (or standard deviation) of returns

    only.

    5. For a given risk level, investors prefer higher returns to lower returns. Similarly, for

    a given level of expected return, investors prefer less risk to more risk.

    EXPECTED RISK CALCULATION:

    PORTFOLIORISK = SQRT [((XX2*SDX

    2)+(XY2*SDY

    2)+(2*XX*XY*(rXY*SDX2*SDY

    2)))]

    WHERE

    Xx, Xy = proportion of total portfolio invested in security X& Y respectively

    sdx, sdy = standard deviation of stock X & stock Y respectively

    rxy = correlation coefficient of x & y

    EXPECTED RETURN OF A PORTFOLIO CALCULATION:

    PORTFOLIO RETURN =[(XX*RX)+(XY*RY)]

    WHERE

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    XX= proportion of total portfolio invested in security X

    XY=proportion of total portfolio invested in security Y

    RX= expected return to securityX

    RY = expected return to security Y

    FORMULAS USED IN MARKOWITZ MODEL

    Arithmetic return

    Where

    Vi is the initial investment value and

    Vf is the final investment value

    This return has the following characteristics:

    ROIArith = + 1.00 = + 100% when the final value is twice the initial value

    ROIArith > 0 when the investment is profitable

    ROIArith < 0 when the investment is at a loss

    ROIArith = 1.00 = 100% when investment can no longer be recovered

    STANDARD DEVIATION

    = Square root ((mean return -expected return)^2/N)

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    COVARIANCE

    COV (X, Y)=1/N[(RX-RX)(RY-RY)

    BETA:

    The Beta coefficient, in terms of finance and investing, is a measure of a stock (or

    portfolio)s volatility in relation to the rest of the market. Beta is calculated for individual

    companies using regression analysis.

    The beta coefficient is a key parameter in the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). It

    measures the part of the asset's statistical variance that cannot be mitigated by the

    diversification provided by the portfolio of many risky assets, because it is correlated with

    the return of the other assets that are in the portfolio.

    For example, if every stock in the New York Stock Exchange was uncorrelated with every

    other stock, then every stock would have a Beta of zero, and it would be possible to create

    a portfolio that was nearly risk free, simply by diversifying it sufficiently so that the

    variations in the individual stocks' prices averaged out. In reality, investments tend to be

    correlated, more so within an industry, or when considering a single asset class (such asequities). This correlated risk, measured by Beta, is what actually creates almost all of the

    risk in a diversified portfolio.

    The formula for the Beta of an asset within a portfolio is

    Where

    ra measures the rate of return of the asset,

    rp measures the rate of return of the portfolio of which the asset is a part

    IMS BHADDAL 27

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Investmenthttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Portfolio_(finance)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volatilityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_markethttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_asset_pricing_modelhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variancehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diversification_(finance)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlationhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_Stock_Exchangehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Investmenthttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Portfolio_(finance)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volatilityhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_markethttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_asset_pricing_modelhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variancehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diversification_(finance)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlationhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_Stock_Exchange
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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    And Cov (ra, rp) is the covariance between the rates of return.

    In the CAPM formulation, the portfolio is the market portfolio that contains all risky assets,

    and so the rp terms in the formula are replaced by rm, the rate of return of the market.

    The beta movement should be distinguished from the actual returns of the stocks. For

    example, a sector may be performing well and may have good prospects, but the fact that

    its movement does not correlate well with the broader market index may decrease its beta.

    Beta is a measure of risk and not to be confused with the attractiveness of the investment.

    THE SECURITY MARKET LINE

    The Security Market Line (SML) is the graphical representation of the Capital AssetPricing Model. It displays the expected rate of return for an overall market as a function of

    systematic (non-diversifiable) risk (beta).

    The x-axis represents the risk (beta), and the y-axis represents the expected return. The

    market risk premium is determined from the slope of the SML.

    The securities market line can be regarded as representing a single-factor model of the asset

    price, where Beta is exposure to changes in value of the Market. The equation of the SMLis thus:

    IMS BHADDAL 28

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Covariancehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_Asset_Pricing_Modelhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_Asset_Pricing_Modelhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Covariancehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_Asset_Pricing_Modelhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_Asset_Pricing_Model
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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    IMPLICATIONS FOR INVESTORS FROM THE MEASUREMENT OF PORTFOLIO

    RISK

    If the investor conservative and interested in low variability of portfolio returns from the

    expected return (actual realizable return not from expected), he should:

    1. Invest his funds in securities with low standard deviations, and

    2. Ensure that the securities chosen for his portfolio have relatively low coefficients of

    correlation with one another.

    Theoretically, if it is possible, he should include some securities with negative

    coefficients of correlation with other securities in the portfolio.

    IMS BHADDAL 29

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    ICICI BANK

    Business Profile

    ICICI Bank was promoted in 1994 by ICICI Ltd., an Indian

    development financial institution. The two entities subsequently merged to

    become the largest commercial bank in the private sector.

    A new generation bank, ICICI Bank started with all the latest

    technologies to hit the Indian banking industry in the second half of the

    nineties. All its branches are fully computerized with the state-of-the-art

    technology and systems, networked through VSAT technology. The bank is

    connected to the SWIFT International network.

    In 2005, it expanded its network to 562 branches and 1,910 ATMs. It

    continued to expand its electronic channels, namely internet banking, mobile

    banking, call centers and ATMs, and migrate customer transaction volumes

    to these channels. Over 70% of customer induced transactions take place

    through these electronic channels.

    It has acquired a small Russian banking entity, Investitsionno-

    Kreditny Bank (IKB), which will help boost its corporate business and

    deposit franchise overseas. The bank has also built several strategic alliances

    with banks like Wells Fargo in USA, Lloyds TSB in UK and DBS in

    Singapore.

    ICICI has entered into strategic alliance with prudential plc. Of UK

    for its mutual find business. The duo has been fairly aggressive through their

    companies, Prudential ICICI Asset Management Company Limited and

    Prudential ICICI Trust Limited.

    IMS BHADDAL 30

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    The bank is also keen to offer its services to the Indian agricultural

    sector. Over 2,000 Internet kiosks and 70 agri-desks have been established

    in locations with large agricultural markets.

    Recent Developments

    ICICI Bank launched `Mutual Fund Sweep Account` - an automatic

    sweeping facility which allows current account holders to park their short-

    term surpluses into liquid mutual funds and earn higher returns. Initially,

    ICICI Bank current account customers will have the facility to invest their

    account surpluses in the liquid fund schemes of Prudential ICICI Asset

    Management Company and GIC Mutual Fund.

    The bank is in the process of the reverse merger of ICICI with ICICI

    Bank. The merger of two wholly-owned subsidiaries of ICICI, ICICI

    Personal Financial Services Limited and ICICI Capital Services Limited,

    with ICICI Bank is also underway.

    ICRA has assigned an A1+ rating, indicating highest safety in the

    short-term, to the Rs 500 crore certificates of deposit (CD) programmed of

    ICICI Bank Ltd (IBL). The rating agency said in its report that the rating

    takes into consideration IBL`s strategic importance to its parent ICICI, IBL`s

    comfortable profitability and capital adequacy, good control on asset quality.

    IMS BHADDAL 31

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    ICICI-2004

    339.75

    289.3

    270.9

    275.9

    247.8

    236.75

    314.8

    300.95 296.3

    281.7

    295.3

    302.75

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    Date Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct Nov

    MONTHS

    SHARE

    VALUE

    Close Price

    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    2004

    Series DateOpenPrice

    HighPrice

    LowPrice

    LastPrice

    ClosePrice

    Total TradedQuantity

    Turnover inLacs

    EQ Jan 297.9 305.5 297 301.8 302.75 1475607 4463.332617

    EQ Feb 295 303 280 297 295.3 2199927 6450.500538

    EQ Mar 273.7 283.05 271.1 281.35 281.7 1446826 4009.055571

    EQ Apr 298.7 302.95 296.5 301.55 300.95 1287142 3854.740634

    EQ May 314.5 319.3 310.5 315 314.8 2427306 7634.389072

    EQ Jun 229 239.5 229 238.8 236.75 645001 1525.128864

    EQ Jul 245.6 248.8 242.1 247.95 247.8 1708651 4209.053305

    EQ Aug 267 277 267 275.65 275.9 1158676 3166.630872

    EQ Sep 273 273 268.1 270.5 270.9 382950 1037.416655

    EQ Oct 289 294 287.5 290.1 289.3 770631 2236.878429

    EQ Nov 299.1 300.8 295.6 296.25 296.3 336132 998.595491

    EQ Dec 340.1 342.8 334 339 339.75 836789 2840.424768

    IMS BHADDAL 32

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    ICICI-2005

    540.55

    498.65

    593.4

    483.85

    538.4

    421.25

    399.4

    360.35

    406.05

    372.25

    361.8

    371.35

    0100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    Jan

    Feb

    Mar

    Apr

    May

    Jun

    Jul

    Aug

    Sep

    Oct

    Nov

    Dec

    MONTHS

    SHARE

    PRICE

    Series1

    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    2005

    Series Date

    Prev

    Close

    Open

    Price

    High

    Price

    Low

    Price

    Last

    Price

    Close

    Price

    Total Traded

    Quantity

    Turnover in

    Lacs

    EQ Jan 371.35 375 375 370.15 373.5 371.35 412258 1537.493731

    EQ Feb 360.9 363 368 358.15 360.5 361.8 504522 1826.499843

    EQ Mar 380.9 381.5 382 369.05 373.9 372.25 388748 1452.231185

    EQ Apr 392.8 393 407.45 393 407 406.05 922987 3705.56233

    EQ May 359.95 368 373.95 357.55 360.45 360.35 716359 2597.986122

    EQ Jun 392.05 393.95 401 393 401 399.4 278070 1105.869992

    EQ Jul 425.75 427 429.25 419.2 419.55 421.25 431571 1832.331435

    EQ Aug 534.45 532.5 549.9 525 535.8 538.4 1459516 7794.022609

    EQ Sep 481.8 482.25 495.25 481.2 484 483.85 521027 2542.511994

    EQ Oct 601.7 604.4 614 587.65 589 593.4 566954 3421.112911

    EQ Nov 498.6 501 510 493.7 496 498.65 122530 614.5857475

    EQ Dec 538.05 540 544.8 537 539 540.55 799196 4318.477188

    IMS BHADDAL 33

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    ICICI-200

    878.15

    778.15

    697.75609.6

    549.65489.1534.3

    621.95604

    616.55

    590.2

    597

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    Jan

    Feb

    Mar

    AprMa

    yJun Ju

    lAu

    gSe

    p OctNo

    vDe

    c

    MONTHS

    SHAREVA

    LUE

    Seri

    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    IMS BHADDAL

    2006

    Series DatePrev

    CloseOpenPrice

    HighPrice

    LowPrice

    LastPrice

    ClosePrice

    Total TradedQuantity

    TurnoverinLacs

    EQ Jan 585.05 587.7 609.9 587.7593.9

    5 597 10240898 61395.27

    EQ Feb 609.25 619.9 619.9 588.6 592 590.2 871478 5208.205

    EQ Mar 615.25 600 620 560 614.4616.5

    5 1160638 7115.239

    EQ Apr 589.05 599611.9

    5 592 603.9 604 809778 4889.214

    EQ May 591.75 600.1625.8

    5 600.1 618.7621.9

    5 1621966 9981.174

    EQ Jun 537.5 542 551

    531.1

    5 532 534.3 791136 4277.888

    EQ Jul 487.9 499518.3

    5 485488.4

    5 489.1 490577 2401.659

    EQ Aug 553.85 554 554 541.9 550549.6

    5 636281 3488.624

    EQ Sep 597.45 594.9 611.9 588.5 609.5 609.6 1711581 10398.98

    EQ Oct 699.6 700 708 691.5 692.1697.7

    5 760505 5330.941

    EQ Nov 777.15 784.9 784.9771.1

    5777.2

    5778.1

    5 936459 7276.903

    EQ Dec 872.45 883 884.5865.6

    5 876878.1

    5 1236189 10872.02

    34

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    ICICI-2007

    1162

    1298.3

    1057.8

    907.9891

    950.2930.45

    869.9803.95

    855.35

    952.55

    897.45

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    12001400

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    Months

    SharePrice

    Series1

    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    IMS BHADDAL

    2007

    Series DatePrevClose

    OpenPrice

    HighPrice

    LowPrice

    LastPrice

    ClosePrice

    Total TradedQuantity

    Turnover inLacs

    EQ Jan 891.5 892 906.5 888 895.25 897.45 345636 3109.8611

    EQ Feb 941.1 951 957 942.35 952.9 952.55 811547 7710.4247

    EQ Mar 829.5 840 858.5 824 857 855.35 1081867 9106.0205

    EQ Apr 853.35 820.6 829.7 800.05 805.3 803.95 1829939 14810.493

    EQ May 865.85 898 898 864.65 866 869.9 2223603 19376.367

    EQ Jun 919.15 925 938.8 922.1 927.15 930.45 1233813 11489.425

    EQ Jul 955.45 981.5 981.5 945 952 950.2 644010 6119.6264

    EQ Aug 927.45 920 920 885.1 890 891 4669774 41808.275

    EQ Sep 888.4 890.1 911 890.1 910 907.9 2929146 26456.396

    EQ Oct 1062.4 1068 1068 1035 1058 1057.8 3191887 33560.268

    EQ Nov 1254.05 1270 1318 1240 1298 1298.3 5076881 65449.378

    EQ Dec 1178.4 1180 1188 1156.25 1163 1162 3538453 41222.945

    35

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    2008

    Series DatePrev

    CloseOpenPrice

    HighPrice

    LowPrice

    LastPrice

    ClosePrice

    Total TradedQuantity

    Turnover inLacs

    EQ Jan 1187.40 1190 1131 1147 1147 1169.06 5525805 64600.06

    EQ Feb 1105.85 1100 1045.45 1077.65 1088.50 1079.42 3665904 39570.53

    EQ Mar 835.50 848.85 765 769 769.40 785.02 5048217 39629.35

    EQ Apr 902.50 918 872 881 879.60 886.81 4446390 39431.01

    EQ May 796.25 795.25 778.2 786.55 788.6 787.09 6852195 53932.8

    EQ Jun 652.15 664.8 611.35 635 630.2 626.79 6725234 42153.09

    EQ Jul 636.1 638 621.15 633 637.3 632.02 5333027 33705.611

    EQ Aug 632.55 644.5 642.65 670.65 671.9 671.55 8633379 57977.632

    EQ Sep 493.3 485.9 460.05 540 535.55 517.95 21452818 111113.883

    EQ Oct 345.35 370.55 363 399.5 398.75 384.89 14134982 54403.601

    EQ Nov 350.85 340 316.35 354 351.65 348.13 12329653 42923.30

    EQ Dec 458.6 472.8 444 447.6 448.1 452.42 7794740 35264.774

    IMS BHADDAL 36

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    Years MonthPrevClose

    S&PCNXNIFTY

    ROR(X)

    ROR(Y) X*X Y*Y X*Y

    R=X-

    Avg(X)

    T=Y-

    Avg(Y) R^2 T^2

    2003 Jan 140.5 1154.67 0.0208 0 .0255 0.0004 0.00000 0 .00053 0.0448 0.00000 0.0020

    Feb 149.9 1178.72-

    0.0798 0.0627 0.0064 0.0039-

    0.00501-

    0.0970 0.0821 0.00940 0.0067

    Mar 149.3 1084.64-

    0.0430-

    0.0040 0.0018 0.0000 0.00017-

    0.0602 0.0153 0.00362 2.4E-0

    Apr 133.75 1038 0.0812-

    0.1163 0.0066 0.0135-

    0.00944 0.0641-

    0.0969 0.00410 0.0093

    May 121.15 1122.32 0.1336-

    0.1040 0.0178 0.0108-

    0.01389 0.1164-

    0.0847 0.01355 0.007

    Jun 137.95 1272.21 0.0516 0.1218 0.0027 0.0148 0.00628 0.0344 0.1411 0.00119 0.0199

    July 150.15 1337.86 0.1497 0.0813 0.0224 0.0066 0.01216 0.1325 0.1006 0.01755 0.010

    Aug 159.15 1538.08 0.0469 0.0566 0.0022 0.0032 0.00265 0.0297 0.0759 0.00088 0.005

    Sep 179.7 1610.21 0.0993 0.1144 0.0099 0.0131 0.01135 0.0821 0.1337 0.00674 0.0178

    Oct 204.5 1770.08 0.0384 0.1213 0.0015 0.0147 0.00465 0.0212 0.1406 4.5E-04 2.0E-0

    Nov 247 1837.98 0.1643 0.1721 0.0270 0.0296 0.02827 0.1471 0.1914 0.02164 0.0366

    Dec 250.1 2139.93-

    0.0362 0.0124 0.0013 0.0002-

    0.00045-

    0.0534 0.0317 0.00285 0.0010

    2004 Jan 295.45 2062.42 -0.0049 0.1535 2.4E-05 0.0236 -0.00075 -0.0220 0.1728 0.00048 0.0298

    Feb 295.05 2052.4-

    0.0157-

    0.0014 0.0002 0.0000 0.00002-

    0.0328 0.0180 0.00108 0.0003

    Mar 270.95 2020.25 0.0138-

    0.0889 0.0002 0.0079-

    0.00123-

    0.0033-

    0.0696 0.00001 0.0048

    Apr 296.3 2048.22-

    0.1709 0.0856 0.0292 0.0073-

    0.01462-

    0.1881 0.1049 0.03537 0.0110

    May 315 1698.16 0.0175 0.0594 0.0003 0.0035 0.00104 0.0004 0.0787 0.00000 6.2E-0

    Jun 230.4 1727.93 0.0872-

    0.3672 0.0076 0.1348-

    0.03202 0.0700-

    0.3478 0.00491 0.1209

    July 244.5 1878.62 0.0018 0.0577 3.4E-06 0.0033 0.00011-

    0.0153 0.0770 0.00023 5.9E-0

    Aug 267.5 1882.09 0.0736 0.0860 0.0054 0.0074 0.00633 0.0564 0.1053 0.00319 0.01

    Sep 269.8 2020.62 0.0241 0.0085 0.00058 0.0001 0.00021 0.0070 0.0279 4.9E-05 7.8E-0

    Oct 286.25 2069.39 0.0965 0.0575 0.0093 0.0033 0.00554 0.0793 0.0768 0.00629 0.0059Nov 299.05 2268.99 0.0661 0.0428 0.0044 0.0018 0.00283 0.0489 0.0622 0.00239 0.0038

    Dec 339.75 2418.88-

    0.0104 0.1198 0.00011 0.0144-

    0.00124-

    0.0275 0.1391 0.00076 0.0193

    IMS BHADDAL 37

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    IMS BHADDAL

    2005 Jan 371.35 2393.76 0.0226 0.0851 0.0005 0.0072 0.00193 0.0055 0.1044 0.00003 0.01091

    Feb 360.9 2447.94-

    0.0320-

    0.0290 0.0010 0.0008 0.00093 -0.0491 -0.0096 0.00241 0.00009

    Mar 380.9 2369.69-

    0.0653 0.0525 0.0043 0.0028-

    0.00343 -0.0825 0.0719 0.00680 0.00516

    Apr 392.8 2214.96 0.0988 0.0303 0.0098 0.0009 0.00299 0.0816 0.0496 0.00666 0.00246

    May 359.95 2433.73 0.0683-

    0.0913 0.0047 0.0083-

    0.00623 0.0511 -0.0719 0.00261 0.00517

    Jun 392.05 2599.93 0.0428 0.0819 0.0018 0.0067 0.00351 0.0256 0.1012 0.00066 0.01025

    July 425.75 2711.24 0.0335 0.0792 0.0011 0.0063 0.00265 0.0163 0.0985 2.7E-04 0.00970

    Aug 534.45 2801.99 0.0943 0.2034 0.0089 0.0414 0.01917 0.0771 0.2227 0.00595 0.04961

    Sep 481.8 3066.15-

    0.0881-

    0.1093 0.0078 0.0119 0.00963 -0.1053 -0.0899 0.01109 0.00809

    Oct 601.7 2795.89 0 .1187 0.1993 0.0141 0.0397 0.02366 0.1016 0.2186 0.01031 0.04779

    Nov 498.6 3127.8 0.0721-

    0.2068 0.0052 0.0428-

    0.01491 0.0550 -0.1874 0.00302 0.03513

    Dec 538.05 3353.37 0.0586 0.0733 0.0034 0.0054 0.00430 0.0414 0.0927 0.00172 0.00859

    2006 Jan 585.05 3549.92 0.0252 0.0803 0.0006 0.0065 0.00203 0.0081 0.0997 0.00006 0.00994

    Feb 609.25 3639.43 0.1070 0.0397 0.0114 0.0016 0.00425 0.0898 0.0591 0.00807 0.00349

    Mar 615.25 4028.82 0.0459 0.0098 0.0021 0.0001 0.00045 0.0288 0.0291 0.00083 0.00085

    Apr 589.05 4213.88-

    0.1356-

    0.0445 0.0184 0.0020 0.00603 -0.1528 -0.0251 0.02335 0.00063

    May 591.75 3642.31 0.0218 0.0046 0.00048 0.0000 0.00010 0.0046 0.0239 0.00002 0.00057

    Jun 537.5 3721.71 0.0064-

    0.1009 4.1E-05 0.0102-

    0.00064 -0.0108 -0.0816 0.00012 0.00666

    July 487.9 3745.46 0.0876-

    0.1017 0.0077 0.0103-

    0.00891 0.0704 -0.0823 0.00496 0.00678

    Aug 553.85 4073.55 0.0529 0.1191 0.0028 0.0142 0.00630 0.0357 0.1384 0.00128 0.01916

    Sep 597.45 4288.97 0.0437 0.0730 0.0019 0.0053 0.00319 0.0266 0.0923 0.00071 0.00852

    Oct 699.6 4476.5 0.0564 0.1460 0.0032 0.0213 0.00824 0.0393 0.1654 0.00154 0.02734

    Nov 777.15 4729.13 0.0062 0.0998 3.8E-05 0.0100 0.00062 -0.0110 0.1191 0.00012 0.01419

    Dec 872.45 4758.45 0.0296 0.1092 0.0009 0.0119 0.00324 0.0125 0.12861.55E-

    04 1.7E-02

    2007 Jan 891.5 4899.39-

    0.0806 0.0214 0.0065 0.0005-

    0.00172 -0.0977 0.0407 0.00955 0.00166

    Feb 941.1 4504.73 0 .0225 0.0527 0.0005 0.0028 0.00118 0.0053 0.0721 0.00003 0.00519

    Mar 829.5 4605.89 0.0713-

    0.1345 0.0051 0.0181-

    0.00960 0.0542 -0.1152 0.00293 0.01327

    Apr 853.35 4934.46 0.0510 0.0279 0.0026 0.0008 0.00142 0.0338 0.0473 0.00114 0.00224

    May 865.85 5185.95 0.0073 0.0144 0.0001 0.0002 0.00011 -0.0099 0.0338 0.00010 0.00114

    Jun 919.15 5223.82 0.0497 0.0580 0.0025 0.0034 0.00288 0.0325 0.0773 0.00106 6.0E-03

    July 955.45 5483.25-

    0.0131 0.0380 0.0002 0.0014-

    0.00050 -0.0303 0.0573 0.00092 0.00329

    Aug 927.45 5411.29 0 .1262-

    0.0302 0.0159 0.0009-

    0.00381 0.1090 -0.0108 0.01189 0.00012

    Sep 888.4 6094.11 0.1754-

    0.0440 0.0308 0.0019-

    0.00771 0.1583 -0.0246 0.02505 0.00061

    Oct 1062.4 7163.3-

    0.0231 0.1638 0.0005 0.0268-

    0.00379 -0.0403 0.1831 0.00162 0.03354

    Nov 1254.05 6997.6 0.0663 0.1528 0.0044 0.0234 0.01013 0.0491 0.1722 0.00241 0.02964

    Dec 1178.4 7461.48 -1.0000 -0.0642 1.0000 0.0041 0.06420 -1.0172 -0.0448 1.03462 0.00201

    29854.3 1.0298 1.8159 1.3385 3.2975 1.0126384 1.835249 1.32080 3.36814

    SUM 29854.3 1.0298 1.0298 1.259 1.3385 3.29750 0.82536 1.0126 1.7856 1.32080 3.18849

    AVERAGE 0.0172-

    0.4896-

    0.0193

    38

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    1. Beta

    xy 0.825

    x 1.03

    y 1.216

    x2 1.339

    n 60

    y2 3.298

    0.6085

    2 Alpha

    Avg(X) -0.4896

    Avg(Y) -0.02026

    0.906

    0.2776

    3 Coef.Correlation

    0.045

    4

    Coef ofDetermination

    0.002053

    IMS BHADDAL 39

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    5StandardDevition 6

    Variance

    SDx 0.1483 Vx 0.02199

    SDy 0.2305 Vy 0.05313

    IMS BHADDAL 40

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    STATE BANK OF INDIA

    The Bank is actively involved since 1973 in non-profit activity called Community Services

    Banking. All our branches and administrative offices throughout the country sponsor and

    participate in large number of welfare activities and social causes. Our business is more

    than banking because we touch the lives of people anywhere in many ways.

    There commitment to nation-building is complete & comprehensive.

    IMS BHADDAL 41

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    IMS BHADDAL

    2004

    Series DatePrevClose

    OpenPrice

    HighPrice

    LowPrice

    LastPrice

    ClosePrice

    Total TradedQuantity Turnover in Lacs

    EQ JAN 537.55 540.5 568.45 540.1 566.95 564.65 5941630 33075.88938EQ FEB 598.05 599.9 599.9 557.2 571 567.3 7381059 42362.68498

    EQ MAR 584.5 586.55 602.5 581.1 602 600.25 4005601 23676.23811

    EQ APR 605.85 607.5 621.35 606 616.7 618.3 4242657 26081.50684

    EQ MAY 642.25 635 635.8 605.45 618.5 619.05 4828665 29851.8291

    EQ JUN 465.15 470 482 466.55 468.4 469.3 5008010 23811.40687

    EQ JUL 430.6 434.8 444.35 434 441.9 442.9 6282161 27600.74098

    EQ AUG 442.1 443.1 444.9 436.4 443.1 442.3 2647037 11658.11253

    EQ SEP 442.85 447.5 452 443.15 450.9 450.7 3613238 16209.39575

    EQ OCT 468.1 467.5 481.2 462.7 478 478.85 1911963 9026.838506

    EQ NOV 447.4 448.5 471.5 447.55 471.5 468.65 3287171 15152.45108

    EQ DEC 529.7 530.2 544 520.95 544 541 4569314 24421.57067

    42

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    IMS BHADDAL

    2005

    Series DatePrevClose Open Price

    HighPrice

    LowPrice

    LastPrice

    ClosePrice Total Traded Quantity Turnover in Lacs

    EQ JAN 652 654.5 662.9 650.1 657 655.75 2131452 13998.50891

    EQ FEB 643 640 646 631.2 634 634.05 2467277 15694.57473

    EQ MAR 714.65 711 716.9 692.65 695.5 695.6 5128658 36067.6012

    EQ APR 654.8 655 672.8 652.65 671.8 670.1 2785374 18473.09788

    EQ MAY 584.85 588 592.8 576.05 585.6 589.35 2738218 15989.79179

    EQ JUN 670.45 669.5 674.9 658.1 660.1 660.2 2072014 13802.17176

    EQ JUL 681.9 682 708.9 662.15 705 706.25 4867582 34202.39639

    EQ AUG 800.25 799 804.95 785.1 789.55 789.95 1980985 15663.99636

    EQ SEP 796.3 801 805.5 795.25 799 799.6 1168582 9357.570853

    EQ OCT 938.2 938 953 938 944 945.35 1607862 15210.2526

    EQ NOV 839.1 869.75 869.75 832.1 834.7 838.85 523113 4403.574651

    EQ DEC 896.65 903 915.4 891.25 913.5 913.35 2420620 21869.33291

    43

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    EQ AUG 810.25 802 819 794.4 818 811.75 1982509 15930.42

    EQ SEP 931.25 932 935.7 925.1 931.4 931.25 887349 8266.71

    EQ OCT 1028.65 1029 1037.8 1023.1 1030.1 1033.35 874932 9024.2621

    EQ NOV 1095.65 1256.3 1256.3 1089 1119 1113.8 1035588 11462.727

    EQ DEC 1317.05 1315 1370 1313.15 1366 1362.65 1612467 21785.692

    SBI-2006

    881.2

    811.75

    931.25

    1033.35

    1113.8

    869.25

    904.9

    1362.65

    742.6

    818.75961.7

    983.35

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1600

    JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

    IMS BHADDAL 44

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    IMS BHADDAL

    Series DatePrevClose

    OpenPrice

    HighPrice

    LowPrice

    LastPrice

    ClosePrice

    Total TradedQuantity

    TurnoverinLacs

    EQ JAN 1245.6 1250 1260 1243 1253 1253.55 408144 5112.3453EQ FEB 1140.45 1158 1230 1135.7 1203.1 1203 2491197 29698.604

    EQ MAR 1041.85 1042 1061 1016 1051 1055.65 1108823 11522.978

    EQ APR 994.45 979.4 979.4 922.35 937 930.5 1133049 10583.44

    EQ MAY 1353.65 1364 1385 1356 1380 1378.9 1908666 26147.129

    EQ JUN 1525.8 1530 1551 1523.35 1528 1530.75 1746382 26860.939

    EQ JUL 1623.85 1610 1610 1540.2 1550.2 1548.05 2715856 42709.452

    EQ AUG 1600.35 1619 1623 1602.35 1606.1 1606.65 901942 14539.915

    EQ SEP 1945.85 1952 1965 1882.6 1905 1894.6 1919363 36639.177

    EQ OCT 2068.2 2167 2167 2052.5 2073.9 2075.35 2143188 45181.497

    EQ NOV 2302.4 2330 2345.9 2307.9 2324 2324.75 955082 22217.635

    EQ DEC 2302.4 2330 2345.9 2307.9 2324 2324.75 955082 22217.64

    45

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    years Month

    S&PCNXNIFTY

    ROR(X) PRICE ROR(Y) X*X Y*Y X*Y

    R=X-Avg(X)

    T=Y-Avg(Y) R^2 T^2

    2003 Jan 1154.67 0.0208 284.55 0.0197 0.00043 0.00039 0.00041 0.0037 -0.0052 0.00001 0.00003 Feb 1178.72 -0.0798 290.15 0.0014 0.00637 0.00000 -0.00011 -0.0970 -0.0235 0.00940 0.00055 Mar 1084.64 -0.0430 290.55 -0.0587 0.00185 0.00344 0.00252 -0.0602 -0.0835 0.00362 0.00698 Apr 1038 0.0812 273.5 0.0294 0.00660 0.00087 0.00239 0.0641 0.0046 0.00410 0.00002 May 1122.32 0.1336 281.55 0.2270 0.01784 0.05151 0.03031 0.1164 0.2021 0.01355 0.04085 Jun 1272.21 0.0516 345.45 0.1073 0.00266 0.01150 0.00553 0.0344 0.0824 0.00119 0.00679 July 1337.86 0.1497 382.5 0.0941 0.02240 0.00886 0.01409 0.1325 0.0693 0.01755 0.00480 Aug 1538.08 0.0469 418.5 0.0468 0.00220 0.00219 0.00220 0.0297 0.0220 0.00088 0.00048 Sep 1610.21 0.0993 438.1 0.0180 0.00986 0.00033 0.00179 0.0821 -0.0068 0.00674 0.00005

    IMS BHADDAL

    Series Date

    Prev

    Close

    Open

    Price

    High

    Price

    Low

    Price

    Last

    Price

    Close

    Price

    Total Traded

    Quantity

    Turnovein

    LacsEQ JAN 2,223.95 2,155.00 2,247.70 2,136.00 2,165.00 2,167.35 1159043 25,347.4

    EQ FEB 2,039.10 2,010.00 2,135.00 1,945.00 2,088.80 2,111.65 2401205 48,660.4

    EQ MAR 1,677.80 1,674.00 1,695.00 1,590.00 1,608.00 1,600.25 1036121 16,712.8

    EQ APR 1,795.55 1,799.00 1,821.00 1,730.00 1,781.00 1,774.65 839999 14,987.1

    EQ MAY

    1461.15 1465.05 1489 1435.35 1445 1445 867328 12613.7

    EQ JUN

    1161.2 1194.95 1194.95 1101 1107 1111.6 787863 8940.20

    EQ JUL

    1387.95 1390 1430.9 1343 1406 1417.25 1885052 26136.9

    EQ AUG

    1309.35 1336 1409.8 1336 1404.55 1403.85 2661636 36957.0

    EQ SEP

    1405.45 1385 1485 1355 1472 1463.35 2229762 32255.3

    EQ OCT

    1099.55 1149.95 1177 1065.5 1114 1109.7 4293292 48015.3

    EQ NOV

    1105 1065 1109.9 1055 1085.05 1088.55 4321864 46965.7

    EQ DEC

    1291.7 1308 1308 1270 1290 1288.8 2704078 34799.1

    46

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    Oct 1770.08 0.0384 446 0.0670 0.00147 0.00449 0.00257 0.0212 0.0422 0.00045 0.00178 Nov 1837.98 0.1643 475.9 -0.0116 0.02699 0.00013 -0.00190 0.1471 -0.0364 0.02164 0.00133 Dec 2139.93 -0.0362 470.4 0.2004 0.00131 0.04014 -0.00726 -0.0534 0.1755 0.00285 0.03080

    2004 Jan 2062.42 -0.0049 564.65 0.0047 2.4E-05 2.2E-05 -2.3E-05 -0.0220 -0.0202 4.8E-04 4.1E-04 Feb 2052.4 -0.0157 567.3 0.0581 0.00025 0.00337 -0.00091 -0.0328 0.0332 0.00108 0.00110 Mar 2020.25 0.0138 600.25 0.0301 0.00019 0.00090 0.00042 -0.0033 0.0052 0.00001 0.00003

    Apr 2048.22 -0.1709 618.3 0.0012 0.02921 0.00000 -0.00021 -0.1881 -0.0236 0.03537 0.00056 May 1698.16 0.0175 619.05 -0.2419 0.00031 0.05852 -0.00424 0.0004 -0.2668 0.00000 0.07116 Jun 1727.93 0.0872 469.3 -0.0563 0.00761 0.00316 -0.00491 0.0700 -0.0811 0.00491 0.00658 July 1878.62 0.0018 442.9 -0.0014 3.4E-06 0.00000 -2.5E-06 -0.0153 -0.0262 2.3E-04 0.00069 Aug 1882.09 0.0736 442.3 0.0190 0.00542 0.00036 0.00140 0.0564 -0.0059 0.00319 0.00003 Sep 2020.62 0.0241 450.7 0.0625 0.00058 0.00390 0.00151 0.0070 0.0376 0.00005 0.00141 Oct 2069.39 0.0965 478.85 -0.0213 0.00930 0.00045 -0.00205 0.0793 -0.0462 0.00629 0.00213 Nov 2268.99 0.0661 468.65 0.1544 0.00436 0.02383 0.01020 0.0489 0.1295 0.00239 0.01678 Dec 2418.88 -0.0104 541 0.2121 0.00011 0.04499 -0.00220 -0.0275 0.1873 0.00076 0.03506

    IMS BHADDAL 47

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    IMS BHADDAL 48

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    IMS BHADDAL

    2005 Jan 2393.76 0.0226 655.75-

    0.0331 0.00051 0.00110 -0.00075 0.0055 -0.0579 0.00003 0.00336

    Feb 2447.94 -0.0320 634.05 0.0971 0.00102 0.00942 -0.00310 -0.0491 0.0722 0.00241 0.00522

    Mar 2369.69 -0.0653 695.6-

    0.0367 0.00426 0.00134 0.00239 -0.0825 -0.0615 0.00680 0.00378

    Apr 2214.96 0.0988 670.1-

    0.1205 0.00976 0.01452 -0.01190 0.0816 -0.1454 0.00666 0.02113

    May 2433.73 0.0683 589.35 0 .1202 0.00466 0.01445 0.00821 0.0511 0.0954 0.00261 0.00909 Jun 2599.93 0.0428 660.2 0.0698 0.00183 0.00487 0.00299 0.0256 0.0449 0.00066 0.00202

    July 2711.24 0.0335 706.25 0 .1185 0.00112 0.01405 0.00397 0.0163 0.0937 0.00027 0.00877

    Aug 2801.99 0.0943 789.95 0.0122 0.00889 0.00015 0.00115 0.0771 -0.0126 0.00595 0.0001

    Sep 3066.15 -0.0881 799.6 0.1823 0.00777 0.03323 -0.01607 -0.1053 0.1574 0.01109 0.02478

    Oct 2795.89 0.1187 945.35-

    0.1127 0.01409 0.01269 -0.01337 0.1016 -0.1375 0.01031 0.01891

    Nov 3127.8 0.0721 838.85 0.0888 0.00520 0.00789 0.00640 0.0550 0.0640 0.00302 0.00409

    Dec 3353.37 0.0586 913.35-

    0.0093 0.00344 0.00009 -0.00054 0.0414 -0.0341 0.00172 0.00116

    2006 Jan 3549.92 0.0252 904.9-

    0.0394 0.00064 0.00155 -0.00099 0.0081 -0.0642 0.00006 0.00413

    Feb 3639.43 0.1070 869.25 0 .0137 0.01145 0.00019 0.00147 0.0898 -0.0111 0.00807 0.00012

    Mar 4028.82 0.0459 881.2 0.1159 0.00211 0.01344 0.00532 0.0288 0.0911 0.00083 0.00829

    Apr 4213.88 -0.1356 983.35-

    0.0220 0.01840 0.00048 0.00299 -0.1528 -0.0469 0.02335 0.00220

    May 3642.31 0.0218 961.7-

    0.1486 0.00048 0.02209 -0.00324 0.0046 -0.1735 0.00002 0.03010

    Jun 3721.71 0.0064 818.75-

    0.0930 4.1E-05 0.00865 -5.9E-04 -0.0108 -0.1179 1.2E-04 0.01389

    July 3745.46 0.0876 742.6 0.0931 0.00767 0.00867 0.00816 0.0704 0.0683 0.00496 0.00466

    Aug 4073.55 0.0529 811.75 0 .1472 0.00280 0.02167 0.00778 0.0357 0.1224 0.00128 0.0149

    Sep 4288.97 0.0437 931.25 0 .1096 0.00191 0.01202 0.00479 0.0266 0.0848 0.00071 0.00719

    Oct 4476.5 0.0564 1033.35 0.0779 0 .00318 0.00606 0.00439 0.0393 0.0530 0.00154 0.00281

    Nov 4729.13 0.0062 1113.8 0 .2234 3.8E-05 5.0E-02 1.4E-03 -0.0110 0.1986 1.2E-04 3.9E-02

    Dec 4758.45 0.0296 1362.65-

    0.0801 0.00088 0.00641 -0.00237 0.0125 -0.1049 0.00016 0.01101

    2007 Jan 4899.39 -0.0806 1253.55

    -

    0.0403 0.00649 0.00163 0.00325 -0.0977 -0.0652 0.00955 0.00425

    Feb 4504.73 0.0225 1203-

    0.1225 0.00050 0.01500 -0.00275 0.0053 -0.1473 0.00003 0.02171

    Mar 4605.89 0.0713 1055.65-

    0.1186 0.00509 0.01405 -0.00846 0.0542 -0.1434 0.00293 0.02056

    Apr 4934.46 0.0510 930.5 0 .4819 0.00260 0.23222 0.02456 0.0338 0.4570 0.00114 0.2088

    May 5185.95 0.0073 1378.9 0 .1101 5.3E-05 1.2E-02 8.0E-04 -0.0099 0.0853 9.7E-05 7.3E-03

    Jun 5223.82 0.0497 1530.75 0.0113 0.00247 0.00013 0.00056 0.0325 -0.0136 0.00106 0.00018

    July 5483.25 -0.0131 1548.05 0.0379 0.00017 0.00143 -0.00050 -0.0303 0.0130 0.00092 0.00017

    Aug 5411.29 0.1262 1606.65 0.1792 0.01592 0.03212 0.02262 0.1090 0.1544 0.01189 0.0238

    Sep 6094.11 0.1754 1894.6 0 .0954 0.03078 0.00910 0.01674 0.1583 0.0706 0.02505 0.00498

    Oct 7163.3 -0.0231 2075.35 0.1202 0.00054 0.01444 -0.00278 -0.0403 0.0953 0.00162 0.00909

    Nov 6997.6 0.0663 2324.75 0.0000 0.00439 0.00000 0.00000 0.0491 -0.0249 0.00241 0.00062

    Dec 7461.48 -1.0000 2324.75-

    1.0000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 -1.0172 -1.0249 1.03462 1.05032

    1.4911 1.33849 2.223455 1.11404 0.0000 1.466273324 0.00000 2.14996

    SUM 1.0298 1.4911 1.3385 2.2235 1.1140 0.0000 1.4422 0.30697 2.08004

    AVERAGE 0.0172 0.0249 1.32082 1.82353

    49

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    1 Beta

    xy 1.114 x 1.0298

    y 1.4911

    x2 1.3385

    n 60

    y2 2.2235

    0.824

    2 Alpha

    Avg(X) 0.0172

    Avg(Y) 0.0249

    0.824

    0.0107272

    IMS BHADDAL

    3 Coef.Correlation

    0.64047

    4

    Coef of

    Determination

    0.4102

    50

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    6Variance

    Vx 0.005115

    Vy 0.03466

    IMS BHADDAL

    5 StandardDeviation

    SDx 0.07152

    SDy 0.18619

    51

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    BETA VALUES

    IMS BHADDAL 52

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    CONCLUSION AND SUGGESTIONS

    IMS BHADDAL 53

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    Conclusions

    Average rate of return of the 2 different companies are lesser than that of its

    market returns. So, the returns are better than the market returns.

    Since standard deviation of SBI equity and ICICI equity is less than its market, the

    risk is likely less compared to that of market.

    Lower the beta and higher the funds performance is the better equity for

    investment. One might expect the best performance by funds with low

    diversification because they apparently are attempting to beat the market by being

    unique in their selection or timing.

    Since Beta (0.6085) of ICICI Bank is less than that of markets beta, the fund reacts

    less than the market reaction. Also beta indicates that the funds returns would

    increase or decease by 0.6% for every 1 % increase or decrease in the market

    returns. This also means that the mutual fund fluctuates 4% less than the market

    index.

    Considering only the rate of return, all the equities outperformed the market.

    IMS BHADDAL 54

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    BIBLIOGRAPHY

    IMS BHADDAL 55

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    EQUITIES AND PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT IN ICICI BANK AND SBI BANK

    WEB SIETS:-

    WWW.NSEINDIA.COM

    www.google.co.in

    Security Analysis and Portfolio Management

    ---Donald D.Fischer

    ---Ronald J.Jordan

    IMS BHADDAL 56

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    http://www.nseindia.com/http://www.google.co.in/