SEISMIC ZONATION: A POLICY TOOL THAT
FACILITATES EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCE
SEISMIC ZONATION: A POLICY TOOL THAT
FACILITATES EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCE
Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of
North Carolina, USA
SEIMIC ZONATION IS A POLICY TOOL FOR SEIMIC ZONATION IS A POLICY TOOL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE DISASTER RESILIENCE
SEIMIC ZONATION IS A POLICY TOOL FOR SEIMIC ZONATION IS A POLICY TOOL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE DISASTER RESILIENCE
EDUCATION
PUBLIC-STAKE-HOLDER INTER-ACTION
ACCUMULATED KNOWLEDGE
COMMUNITY EQUITY AND EMPOWERMENT
A GOAL OF DISASTER RESILIECE
FOUNDATIONS OF SEISMIC ZONATION
FOUNDATIONS OF SEISMIC ZONATION
SEISMIC ZONATION IS A KNOWLEDGE
MANAGEMENT TOOL THAT FACILITATES ADOPTION OF
POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES TO PROTECT PEOPLE, BUILDINGS, AND
INFRASTRUCTURE
SEISMIC ZONATION IS A KNOWLEDGE
MANAGEMENT TOOL THAT FACILITATES ADOPTION OF
POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES TO PROTECT PEOPLE, BUILDINGS, AND
INFRASTRUCTURE
TECTONIC DEFORMATION
EARTHQUAKE
TSUNAMI
GROUND SHAKING
FAULT RUPTURE
FOUNDATION FAILURE
SOIL AMPLIFICATION
LIQUEFACTION
LANDSLIDES
QUAKE LAKES
AFTERSHOCKS
DAMAGE/LOSSDAMAGE/LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/ LOSSDAMAGE/ LOSS
DAMAGE/LOSSDAMAGE/LOSS
INADEQUATE RESISTANCE TO HORIZONTAL GROUND SHAKING
EARTHQUAKESEARTHQUAKES
SOIL-STRUCTURE RESONANCE
PERMANENT DISPLACEMENT (SURFACE FAULTING & GROUND
FAILURE)
IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION AND PLAN
TSUNAMI WAVE RUNUP
LACK OF DETAILING/POOR CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS
IGNORING NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
CAUSES OF DAMAGE
CAUSES OF DAMAGE
CASE HISTORIESCASE HISTORIES
EARTHQUAKE HAZARDS MODEL
EXPOSURE MODELVULNERABILTY
MODEL
SEISMOTECTONIC SETTING
LOCATION OF STRUCTURE
QUALITY OF DESIGN AND
CONSTRUCTION
RESISTANCE TO LATERAL FORCES
IMPORTANCE AND VALUE OF
STRUCTURE
POLITICAL PROCESS
ACCEPTABLE RISK
BENEFIT/ COSTS
EXPERIENCE AND RESEARCH
DAMAGE ALGORITHM
INCORPORATE NEW KNOWLEDGE
INSPECTION AND REGULATION
AN EARTHQUAKE AN EARTHQUAKE RESILIENT CITY RESILIENT CITY
AN EARTHQUAKE AN EARTHQUAKE RESILIENT CITY RESILIENT CITY
SEISMIC ZONATION: SEISMIC ZONATION: A POLICY TOOL A POLICY TOOL
SEISMIC ZONATION: SEISMIC ZONATION: A POLICY TOOL A POLICY TOOL
SEISMIC ZONATION: INCREASES PROTECTION OF
PEOPLE, BUILDINGS, AND INFRASTRUCTURE
WHEN IMPLEMENTED BEFORE AN EARTHQUAKE STRIKES
SEISMIC ZONATION: INCREASES PROTECTION OF
PEOPLE, BUILDINGS, AND INFRASTRUCTURE
WHEN IMPLEMENTED BEFORE AN EARTHQUAKE STRIKES
POLITICAL
SOLUTIONS:
RISK MANAGEMENT POLICIES
• PROTECTION
• PREPAREDNESS
• PREDICTION AND WARNING
• RELOCATION
• EMERGENCY RESPONSE
• RECOVERY
POLITICAL
SOLUTIONS:
RISK MANAGEMENT POLICIES
• PROTECTION
• PREPAREDNESS
• PREDICTION AND WARNING
• RELOCATION
• EMERGENCY RESPONSE
• RECOVERY
TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS
TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS
SEISMIC ZONATION CAN GUIDE ADOPTION AND IMPLEMENTATION OF BEST PRACTICES
EARTHQUAKE DISASTER STUDIES
EARTHQUAKE DISASTER STUDIES
RESEARCHRESEARCH
YOUR YOUR CITY CITYYOUR YOUR CITY CITY
DATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATIONDATA BASES DATA BASES AND INFORMATIONAND INFORMATION
HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS
•HAZARD MAPS•INVENTORY•VULNERABILITY•LOCATION
RISK ASSESSMENTRISK ASSESSMENT
RISK
ACCEPTABLE RISK
UNACCEPTABLE RISK
SESMIC ZONATIONSESMIC ZONATION
•MITIGATION•PREPAREDNESS•EMERGENCY RESPONSE•RECOVERY and RECONSTRUCTION
POLICIES/BEST PRACTICES POLICIES/BEST PRACTICES FOR DISASTER RESILIENCEFOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
SEISMIC ZONATION: ENSURES EARTHQUAKE
RESILIENCE WHEN IMPLEMENTED
DURING POST-EARTHQUAKE RECONSTRUCTION
SEISMIC ZONATION: ENSURES EARTHQUAKE
RESILIENCE WHEN IMPLEMENTED
DURING POST-EARTHQUAKE RECONSTRUCTION
EXAMPLES OF PAST EARTHQUAKE DISASTERS
• APRIORI IMPLEMENTATION OF SEISMIC ZONATION AS A KNOWLEDGE MANAGE-MENT TOOL WOULD HAVE SAVED OVER 1 MILLION LIVES AND BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
HAITI- 2010: $ BILLIONS IN LOSSES AND DEATH TOLL OVER 200 THOUSAND
SICHUAN, CHINA: 2008
• LOSS OF HOPE COULD EASILY HAPPEN DURING THE HUGE RECONSTRUCTION PROJECT NOW FACING CHINA.
ICA, PERU; 2007
SOLOMON ISLANDS: 2007
ISLAMABAD, PAKISTAN; 2005
BAM, IRAN; 2003
KOACELI, TURKEY; 1999
The Kocaeli(Turkey) Earthquakeof 17 August 1999
KOBE, JAPAN; 1995
ERZICAN, TURKEY; 1992
SPITAK, ARMENIA; 1988
MEXICO, 1985MEXICO, 1985
MEXICO, 1985 MEXICO, 1985
TANGSHAN, CHINA; 1976
NIIGATA, JAPAN; 1964
KANTO-TOKYO, 1923
SAN FRANCISCO, 1906
CREATING GLOBAL TURNING POINTS FOR EARTHQUAKE
RESILIENCE AND OTHER COUNTRIES
INTEGRATION OF SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL SOLUTIONS INTO BEST PRACTICES
ATIOIN AND MONITORING CREATING EQUITY EARTHQUAKE
SUSTAINABILITY ON A GLOBAL SCALE
PRINCIPLES THAT WILL MAKE SEISMIC ZONATION AN
EFFECTIVE GLOBAL KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
TOOL IN THEFUTURE
PRINCIPLES THAT WILL MAKE SEISMIC ZONATION AN
EFFECTIVE GLOBAL KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
TOOL IN THEFUTURE
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT PRINCIPLES • TURNING POINT
• GOVERNMENTS PROVIDING THE BEST POSSIBLE DISASTER RESILIENCE FOR THEIR PEOPLE AT RISK
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
• PRINCIPLES• TURNING POINT
• KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT IS AN INTER-ACTIVE PROCESS AMONG THE INSTITUTIONS INVOLVED IN IT
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
• PRINCIPLES• EACH
COMMUNITY REDUCING ITS IGNORANCE, APATHY, DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES, AND LACK OF POLITICAL WILL
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
• PRINCIPLES • EACH
COMMUNITY FORMULATING STRATEGIES TO INCREASE PUBLIC AWARENESS
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
• PRINCIPLES • TURNING POINTS• MANDATED
DESIGNS TO PROTECT PEOPLE, INFRASTRUCTURE, AND LIVELI-HOODS.
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
• PRINCIPLES • TURNING POINTS
• EMPOWERED AND ENABLED PROFESSIONALS AND POLICY MAKERS AT COMMUNITY AND NATIONAL LEVELS
BARRIERS TO SUCCESS
INEVITABLE OBSTACLES
• COMMUNITIES UNABLE TO OVERCOME IGNORANCE, APATHY, ORGANIZATIONAL BOUNDARIES, AND LACK OF POLITICAL WILL
GOAL:GOAL: CREATING CHANGE FOR A CULTURE CREATING CHANGE FOR A CULTURE OF EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCEOF EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCE
GOAL:GOAL: CREATING CHANGE FOR A CULTURE CREATING CHANGE FOR A CULTURE OF EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCEOF EARTHQUAKE RESILIENCE
EDUCATION
FROM IGNORANCE TO ENLIGHTENMENT
FROM APATHY TO EMPOWERMENT
FROM BOUNDARIES TO SEAMLESS
FROM LACK OF POLITICAL WILL TO ENABLEMENT
CRITICAL CHANGES CRITICAL CHANGES
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
• PRINCIPLES• TURNING
POINTS• IGNORANCE IS
TRANSFORMED INTO ENLIGHTEN-MENT
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
• PRINCIPLES• TURNING
POINTS• APATHY IS
TRANSFORMED INTO EMPOWERMENT
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
• PRINCIPLES • TURNING POINTS
• DISCIPLINARY AND POLITICAL BOUNDARIES ARE TRANSFORMED INTO SEAMLESS, ENFICHED UNIVERSES
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
• PRINCIPLES • TURNING POINTS• LACK OF
POLITICAL WILL IS TRANSFORMED INTO POLITICAL ENABLEMENT THAT PRODUCES SUCCESS STORIES
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
• PRINCIPLES• TURNING
POINTS• COOPERATION,
COMMUNICATION, COORDINATION, AND COLLAB-ORATION IS THE NORM IN ALL COMMUNITIES
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
• PRINCIPLES • TURNING POINTS
• COMMUNITIES OF DEVELOPED NATIONS ASSISTING COMMUNITIES IN LESS DEVELOPED NATIONS
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
• PRINCIPLES • TURNING POINTS
• A CONTINUING DIALOGUE ON THE PROBLEMS AND THE SOLUTIONS OF DISASTER RESILIENCE