Minnesota Demographic ChangeCHARIS Ecumenical Center
Tom Gillaspy
Minnesota Planning
November, 2001
Minnesota’s Population Is
• Increasing, especially in the suburbs
• Growing older
• More racially and culturally diverse, though still not very
All States In The Region Grew Faster In The 90s Than 80s
3.1%
7.1%
5.7%
3.7%
6.5%
-4.7%
7.3%
-2.1%
0.8%
4.0%
5.4%
12.4%
0.5%
8.5%9.6%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Iowa Minnesota NorthDakota
SouthDakota
Wisconsin
Pe
rce
nt
Ch
an
ge
Ov
er
De
ca
de
70 to 80
80 to 90
90 to 00
Change in Total Population for North Dakota and MinnesotaPercentage Change between 1990 and 2000
St. LouisItasca
Cass
Lake
Polk
Cass
Dunn
Ward
Beltrami
Pine
Aitkin
Cook
Grant
McLeanMcKenzie
Morton
Stark Stutsman
Koochiching
Williams
Otter Tail
Roseau
Clay
Wells
Barnes
Slope
Kidder
Walsh Marshall
Becker
McHenry
Sioux
Mountrail
Stearns
Divide
Benson
Burleigh
Todd
Burke
Cavalier
Emmons
Bottineau
Pierce Ramsey
Richland
Logan
Dickey
Trai llMercer
Kittson
Billings
Pope
Nelson
Adams
Lyon
Swift
TownerRolet te
Bowman
Pembina
Morrison
Eddy
Hettinger
Renville
Carlton
La Moure
Steele
HubbardOliver
Grand Forks
Sargent
Sheridan
Rice
Martin
Norman
Wilkin
Ransom
GriggsFoster
Renville
McIntosh
Fillmore
Wright
Nobles
Grant
Crow Wing
Mower
Murray
Clearwater
Sibley
Lake of the Woods
Redwood
Jackson
Brown
Rock
Douglas
Goodhue
Meeker
Isanti
Winona
Dakota
Kandiyohi
Faribaul t Freeborn
Olmsted
Stevens
Scott
SteeleBlue Earth
Lincoln
Golden Valley
Houston
Traverse
Dodge
Wadena
Anoka
Hennepin
Mille LacsKanabec
Wabasha
McLeod
Chippewa
Nicollet
Lac Qui Parle
Waseca
Benton
Chisago
Carver
Big Stone
Pennington
Cottonwood
Le Sueur
Mahnomen
Pipestone
Red Lake
Yellow Medicine
Sherburne
Watonwan
Washington
Ramsey
Loss: -25.32% to -11.87%Loss: -11.86% to 0%Gain: 0% to 13.39%Gain: 13.4% to 30.96%Gain: 30.97% to 54.72%
The Growth Collar Grew rapidly In The 90s While Growth Was Modest Elsewhere
4.6% 3.5%
36.3%
6.8%Per
cen
t C
han
ge 9
0-00
Mpls + St. Paul
Older DevelopedSuburbsGrowth collar
Rest of the State
1990-2000 1990-2000 1980-1990No. of 2000 1990 Population Percent No. Losing Percent
Size Category Cities Population Population Change Change Population Change
100,000 or more 2 669,769 640,618 29,151 4.6% 0 -0.1%50,000-99,999 12 792,236 676,731 115,505 17.1% 1 30.7%25,000-49,999 19 662,479 558,462 104,017 18.6% 3 15.1%10,000-24,999 50 817,345 703,624 113,721 16.2% 11 10.4%5,000-9,999 43 311,483 266,862 44,621 16.7% 7 9.0%2,500-4,999 81 284,897 242,056 42,841 17.7% 16 5.5%1,000-2,499 124 202,002 185,689 16,313 8.8% 29 -1.9%500-999 146 104,522 98,385 6,137 6.2% 52 -2.5%250-499 145 52,226 51,056 1,170 2.3% 62 -5.0%Less than 250 231 30,381 31,487 -1,106 -3.5% 133 -13.4%
Total 853 3,927,340 3,454,970 472,370 13.7% 314 10.2%
Cities By Size Of Place: 2000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Population Growth Is Fastest Around The Twin Cities Area
54.7%
6.9%
9.4%
6.0%
3.5%
-4.2%
-2.5%
12.4%
-0.3%
-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Scott
Sibley
Le Sueur
Nicollet
Blue Earth
Brown
Cottonwood
Redwood
Minnesota
Percent Change 1990-2000
Minnesota Natural Increase Is Slowing While Migration Increasing
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Net Migration
Natural Increase
Census Bureau estimate and vital statistics
Minnesota Change By Age Group 1990 to 2000
-2.1%
2.9%
19.7%25.8%
2.0%
-13.7%
23.7%
55.4%
31.1%
4.0%0.4%
15.9%24.4%
-20%-10%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%
Under
5
5 to 9
10 to
14
15 to
19
20 to
24
25 to
34
35 to
44
45 to
54
55 to
59
60 to
64
65 to
74
75 to
84 85+
2000 Census
Change in Persons Age 0 to 18 for North Dakota and MinnesotaPercentage Change between 1990 and 2000
St. LouisItasca
Cass
Lake
Polk
Cass
Dunn
Ward
Beltrami
Pine
Aitkin
Cook
Grant
McLeanMcKenzie
Morton
Stark Stutsman
Koochiching
Williams
Otter Tail
Roseau
Clay
Wells
Barnes
Slope
Kidder
Walsh Marshall
Becker
McHenry
Sioux
Mountrail
Stearns
Divide
Benson
Burleigh
Todd
Burke
Cavalier
Emmons
Bottineau
Pierce Ramsey
Richland
Logan
Dickey
Trai llMercer
Kittson
Billings
Pope
Nelson
Adams
Lyon
Swift
TownerRolet te
Bowman
Pembina
Morrison
Eddy
Hettinger
Renville
Carlton
La Moure
Steele
HubbardOliver
Grand Forks
Sargent
Sheridan
Rice
Martin
Norman
Wilkin
Ransom
GriggsFoster
Renville
McIntosh
Fillmore
Wright
Nobles
Grant
Crow Wing
Mower
Murray
Clearwater
Sibley
Lake of the Woods
Redwood
Jackson
Brown
Rock
Douglas
Goodhue
Meeker
Isanti
Winona
Dakota
Kandiyohi
Faribaul t Freeborn
Olmsted
Stevens
Scot t
SteeleBlue Earth
Lincoln
Golden Valley
Houston
Traverse
Dodge
Wadena
Anoka
Hennepin
Mille LacsKanabec
Wabasha
McLeod
Chippewa
Nicollet
Lac Qui Parle
Waseca
Benton
Chisago
Carver
Big Stone
Pennington
Cottonwood
Le Sueur
Mahnomen
Pipestone
Red Lake
Yellow Medicine
Sherburne
Watonwan
Washington
Ramsey
Loss: -39.29% to -22.32%Loss: -22.31% to -8.46%Loss: -8.45% to 0%Gain: 0.0% to 26.44%Gain: 26.45% to 55.35%
Minnesota Public School Enrollment Projected To 2008
500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000
70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 0 2 4 6 8
YearUS Dept of Education
Minnesota Is Increasingly Racially Diverse, But Not Very, By National
Standards
Percent minority increased from 6.3 percent in 1990 to 11.8 percent in 2000, compared with 30.9 percent for the nation.
Growth 1990 to 2000 In Selected
Minnesota Race and Ethnic Groups
6%
81%
8%
87%
166%
7%
112%
57%
113%
0%20%40%60%80%
100%120%140%160%180%200%
White, NH Black, NH Indian, NH Asian, NH Hispanic
Per
cent
Cha
nge
90-0
0
Single Race Single or Mult Race
2000 Census, NH abbreviation for Not Hispanic
Minnesota’s Asian Population Saw Rapid Growth In Most Groups
7,220
8,283
17,764
12,262
6,247
9,543
14,661
19,963
18,622
45,443
15,255
11,516
20,570
50,103
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000
Asian Indian
Chinese
Hmong
Korean
Laotian
Vietnamese
Other Asian
2000
1990
Minnesota’s Latino Population Saw Large Gains In All Origins, Especially Mexican
32,954
3,373 1,765 3,1908,382
95,613
6,616 6,180 7,239
27,734
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
Mexican PuertoRican
CentralAmerican
SouthAmerican
All Other
1990
2000
Minnesota’s Foreign Born Population
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
Data for 2000 is C2SS high and low
5.8% of total population in 2000, up from 2.6% in 90 but was 28.9% in 1900
Non-English Speaking Students: While Minneapolis and St. Paul have the largest numbers, some smaller
districts also have substantial proportions
24.8%
37.9%
5.4%
5.1%
27.7%
20.6%
16.8%
17.3%
16.1%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Minneapolis
St. Paul
Other large district
State
Worthington
Madelia
Sleepy Eye
Pelican Rapids
Willmar
Mn Dept of Children Families & Learning
Minnesota Housing Vacancy Rates
5.5%
1.5%
7.9%
3.3%
0.9%
4.1%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%
Total,excludingseasonal
Homeowner
Rental
2000
1990
State: 78% 39 to 67 67 to 80 80 to 100 100 to 173
% change in median sales price of existing houses1989-1990 to 1999-2000
Some Sources of Demographic Information
• State Demographer http://www.mnplan.state.mn.us/demography/
• Helpline 651-296-2557
• Metro Council http://www.metrocouncil.org/
• Census Bureau http://www.census.gov/
• Hennepin County http://www.co.hennepin.mn.us/opd/opd.htm