Age and Aging In Minnesota Tom Gillaspy Minnesota Planning October, 2001
Mar 27, 2015
Age and Aging In Minnesota
Tom Gillaspy
Minnesota Planning
October, 2001
Some Findings From The 2000 Census
• Population increased 12.4% to 4.9 million
• Fastest growing state in the “frost-belt”
• Most growth in the suburban fringe past the 694/494 belt
• Minneapolis and St. Paul grew for the first time in half a century.
• About 2/5ths of statewide growth due to migration. Each year about 80,000 people move in and 60,000 move out.
During The 1990s
• Minneapolis (3.9%), St. Paul (5.5%) and Duluth (1.7%) increased in population, reversing trends of a half century of loss.
• Rochester (21.3% gain) is now the fourth largest city in Minnesota.
• Of the 15 largest cities, Eden Prairie (39.7%) was the fastest growing followed by Eagan (34.1%). Only Bloomington (-1.3%) lost.
• Scott (54.7%) and Sherburne (53.6%) Counties were the fastest growing counties.
• During the 1990s, 25 counties lost population, down from 49 in the 1980s
Minnesota Growth = 12.4% -11.9% to .0% .0% to 12.4% 12.4% to 25.0% 25.0% to 55.0%
Population Change 1990 to 2000Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Growth 1990 to 2000 In Selected
Minnesota Race and Ethnic Groups
6%
81%
8%
87%
166%
7%
112%
57%
113%
0%20%40%60%80%
100%120%140%160%180%200%
White, NH Black, NH Indian, NH Asian, NH Hispanic
Per
cent
Cha
nge
90-0
0
Single Race Single or Mult Race
2000 Census, NH abbreviation for Not Hispanic
More Trends From The 90’s
• Populations of color increased rapidly. Latino nearly tripled, Black and Asian nearly doubled.
• Race comparisons difficult due to change in definitions.
• Immigration—4,000 to 9,000 per year.
• Median age increased from 32.4 to 35.4 over the decade. Middle-aged and college age increased most rapidly.
Minnesota Births 1910 to 1999
0100002000030000400005000060000700008000090000
100000
1910
1915
1920
1925
1930
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
Births
Deaths
Minnesota Total Fertility Rate Since 1940
2.38
3.48
4.2
2.49
1.87 1.9 1.88
00.5
11.5
22.5
33.5
44.5
5
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1994
Lif
etim
e C
hil
dre
n P
er W
oman
Minnesota Life Expectancy At Age 65 And Age 85 Have Increased Steadily
14.9
15.7
17.4
18.2
4.6
5.4
6.2
6.5
0 5 10 15 20
1960
1970
1980
1990
Average Years Of Life Remaining
Age 85Age 65
Minnesota Death Rates Per 100,000 By Race
0200400600800
100012001400160018002000
Under 1 1 to 4 5 to 9 15-24 25-44 45-64
African AmAm IndianAsianHispanicWhite
Population as of 1991; deaths averaged over 1989 to 1993
NonMetropolitan Natural Increase 1990-98
Minnesota Change By Age Group 1990 to 2000
-2.1%
2.9%
19.7%25.8%
2.0%
-13.7%
23.7%
55.4%
31.1%
4.0%0.4%
15.9%24.4%
-20%-10%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%
Under
5
5 to 9
10 to
14
15 to
19
20 to
24
25 to
34
35 to
44
45 to
54
55 to
59
60 to
64
65 to
74
75 to
84 85+
2000 Census
Minnesota Age-Sex Pyramid 2000
-50000 -40000 -30000 -20000 -10000 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000
Under 1 year
10 years
20 years
30 years
40 years
50 years
60 years
70 years
80 years
90 years
100 or more
Female Male
Minnesota's Population Is Aging: Projected Population 2000 to 2010
-3%
-12%
-11%
-8%
36%
10%
17%
-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Preschool, 0-4
K-12, 5-17
College, 18-24
Young worker, 25-44
Older worker, 45-64
Younger old, 65-79
Older old, 80+
Minnesota Poverty Rate By Age 2000
11.3%
8.6%
13.2%
5.8%
4.1% 4.6%5.3%
6.3%
10.7%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
<5 5-17 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+
Per
cent
Bel
ow P
over
ty
Source: Census Bureau, C2SS survey
Percent Change 1990 to 2000 In Selected Minnesota Household Characteristics
11%
9%
23%
6%
4%
19%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Families
Families with Children
Female HouseholderWith Children
65+ Living Alone
Renters
Homeowners
Nearly Half of Households With Someone Age 65 And Older Are Single Person
Households
22.0%
44.0%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Without 65+
With 65+
Percent of Households by Presence of Person 65+
Minnesota State Government Workforce Is Aging Rapidly
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
Under 20 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 63 65
+
Age
Per
cen
t of
Sta
te W
ork
forc
e
1984
2000
Median Age Of Minnesota State Workers Is 46 in 2000
46
47
51
48
47
44
46
41
47
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
All employees
Administration
Economic Security
Revenue
Human Services
Public Safety
Natural Resources
Corrections
Transportation
Some Sources of Demographic Information
• State Demographer http://www.mnplan.state.mn.us/demography/
• Helpline 651-296-2557
• Metro Council http://www.metrocouncil.org/
• Census Bureau http://www.census.gov/
• Health profiles http://www.mnplan.state.mn.us/datanetweb/
Some Results Expected From The 2000 Census
• Foreign born population doubled
• Substantial increases in limited English proficiency population, especially Spanish speaking
• Decrease in poverty across most age groups and household types
• Education attainment increased
• Houses larger
• Commutes increase in length
Natural Increase
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
1910 1918 1926 1934 1942 1950 1958 1966 1974 1982 1990 1998
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
Death RateBirth Rate