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Page 1: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Adrian Liu, UC Berkeley

Page 2: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Vision

Page 3: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

The redshifted 21cm line is possibly our only direct

probe of reionization and the dark ages

21cm

FAST

, Mes

inge

r et

al.

Page 4: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Current power

spectrum limits from

experiments like PAPER…

Parsons, AL et al. 2013, 1304.4991

Page 5: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

…are sensitivity/integration time

limited at high k…

Parsons, AL et al. 2013, 1304.4991

Page 6: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

…are likely limited by foreground

contamination at low k.

Parsons, AL et al. 2013, 1304.4991

Page 7: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Foreground contamination is serious

Foregrounds ~ O(100 K); Signal ~ O(1-10 mK)

Page 8: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Cosmic Microwave Background

21cm Tomography

(See AL, Pritchard, Tegmark, Loeb 2013 PRD 87, 043002 for more details)

Page 9: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Parsons, AL et al. 2013, 1304.4991

Foreground subtraction• Work at low k.• Instrumental noise

low.• Foreground

modeling requirements extreme.

Page 10: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Parsons, AL et al. 2013, 1304.4991

Foreground avoidance• Work at high k.• Instrumental noise

high.• Foreground

modeling requirements easier.

Page 11: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Page 12: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Take-home messages• A robust framework for the

quantification of errors is essential for a detection of the power spectrum.

• “Optimal” methods may be overly aggressive and susceptible to mis-modeling of foregrounds.

• Assuming that foregrounds are Gaussian-distributed may lead to an underestimation of errors.

• Foreground avoidance may be a more robust way forward.

Page 13: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Necessary ingredients for successful foreground mitigation

Page 14: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Ingredients for foreground mitigation

1. A power spectrum estimation framework that fully propagates error covariances.

Data

Foreground model

Model uncertai

nty

Fourier, binning

Bias removal

Page 15: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

10-

110-

2

10-

1

100

101

100

10-

50

10-

100AL 2013, in prep.

Page 16: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

10-

110-

2

10-

1

100

101

100

10-

50

10-

100AL 2013, in prep.

Page 17: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

10-

110-

2

10-

1

100

101

100

10-

50

10-

100AL 2013, in prep.

Page 18: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Ingredients for foreground mitigation

1. A power spectrum estimation framework that fully propagates error covariances.• Window functions.• Covariant errors.

Page 19: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Along constant k-tracks, error properties differ

k~0.1

hMpc-1

k~0.4 hMpc-

1

k~3

hMpc-1

Page 20: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Ignoring error correlations can yield larger error bars or

mistaken detectionsR

elat

ive

erro

r ba

r in

crea

se

10-

110-

2 k [Mpc-1]100

101

-20%

0%20%

40%60%

80%

Dillon, AL, Williams et al. 2013, 1304.4229

Page 21: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Ingredients for foreground mitigation

1. A power spectrum estimation framework that fully propagates error covariances.• Window functions.• Covariant errors.

Page 22: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

1. A power spectrum estimation framework that fully propagates error covariances.• Window functions.• Covariant errors.

2. A good foreground model including error covariances (see, e.g., Trott et al. 2012, ApJ 757, 101).

Ingredients for foreground mitigation

Foreground model

Model uncertai

nty

Page 23: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

1. A power spectrum estimation framework that fully propagates error covariances.• Window functions.• Covariant errors.

2. A good foreground model including error covariances (see, e.g., Trott et al. 2012, ApJ 757, 101).

3. A method for propagating foreground properties through instrumental effects (e.g. chromatic beams).

Ingredients for foreground mitigation

Page 24: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

10-

110-

2

10-

1

100

101

100

10-

50

10-

100AL 2013, in prep.

Page 25: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Ingredients for foreground mitigation

1. A power spectrum estimation framework that fully propagates error covariances.• Window functions.• Covariant errors.

2. A good foreground model including error covariances (see, e.g., Trott et al. 2012, ApJ 757, 101).

3. A method for propagating foreground properties through instrumental effects (e.g. chromatic beams).

Page 26: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Page 27: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Subtraction

Avoidance

Projection matrix, e.g.

delay transform

Page 28: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

10-

110-

2

10-

1

102.

5

100

AL 2013, in prep.

101

Error(avoid)

Error(sub)10

0

Page 29: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

10-

110-

2

10-

1

100

102.

5

100

AL 2013, in prep.

101

Error(avoid)

Error(sub)

Page 30: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

AL 2013, in prep.

Subtraction

Avoidance

Page 31: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Leakage from mismodeled foregrounds more extended for subtraction than for avoidance

10-

1

10-

1

100

101

10-

50

10-

100AL 2013, in prep.

100Avoidanc

e

10-

2

Page 32: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Leakage from mismodeled foregrounds more extended for subtraction than for avoidance

10-

1

10-

1

100

101

AL 2013, in prep.

Subtraction

10-

50

10-

100

100

10-

2

Page 33: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Non-Gaussianity?

Page 34: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Foregrounds are highly non-Gaussian

de Oliveira-Costa 2008, MNRAS 388,

247

T

Log[

p(T

)]

Histogram

Page 35: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

AL 2013, in prep.

0 1000

2000

10-

8

10-

6

10-

4

10-

2

T [K]

p(T)

Gaussian

Log-norm

Page 36: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Assuming Gaussianity doesn’t bias the estimator

Pick b to ensure cancellation

Page 37: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Assuming Gaussianity causes the error to be

underestimated

Page 38: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Assuming Gaussianity causes the error to be

underestimated

Page 39: Foreground subtraction or foreground avoidance?

Take-home messages• A robust framework for the

quantification of errors is essential for a detection of the power spectrum.

• “Optimal” methods may be overly aggressive and susceptible to mis-modeling of foregrounds.

• Assuming that foregrounds are Gaussian-distributed may lead to an underestimation of errors.

• Foreground avoidance may be a more robust way forward.


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