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WILL THE US ABS MARKET BUCKLE TO GLOBAL PRESSURES? By Adam Yanelli
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Will the US ABS mArket buckle to global pressures?...c 2019 r B i l iciS rBi rel G iciS By AdAm yAnelli decemBer 2019 inSiGHt Will the us abs marketing buckle to global pressures?

Mar 14, 2020

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Page 1: Will the US ABS mArket buckle to global pressures?...c 2019 r B i l iciS rBi rel G iciS By AdAm yAnelli decemBer 2019 inSiGHt Will the us abs marketing buckle to global pressures?

Will the US ABS mArket buckle to global pressures

by adam Yanelli

Copyright 2019 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

By AdAm yAnelli decemBer 2019

inSiGHtWill the us abs marketing buckle to global pressures

The US acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene (ABS) market continues to be pressured by soft demand and long supply with additional headwinds from aggressively priced material from Asia

Lower-priced imports from Asia continue to influence pricing in the US market as the US-China trade war and soft domestic demand in the Chinese market - which is the typical destination for much of Asia ABS production - have forced Asian suppliers to look for new destinations for their material

End-of-year destocking activity is also putting downward pressure on prices as producers tend to offer deals in order to lower inventories for tax purposes

US November ABS prices as assessed by ICIS on Wednesday ticked lower by 1 centlb ($22tonne) as decreases in feedstocks styrene and butadiene contracts offset a slight increase in acrylonitrile (ACN) contracts

ICIS assessments for US ABS are strictly formula-based and tied to upstream price movements

upstreamABS is about 60 styrene so styrene costs generally drive price direction

Deteriorating downstream demand and long supply have combined to push US styrene spot prices to multi-year lows and amid a global manufacturing slowdown pressure could be growing on producers to reduce operating rates

iciS SUpply And demAnd dAtA Service

get crucial data on the global petrochemical supplY-demand frameWork

Covering over 100 petrochemical commodities across 160 countries with historical data from 1978 and forecast available up to 2040 this powerful data and analytics service helps you to

n Identify evaluate and optimize opportunities

n Identify and manage financial or investment risks

n Validate commercial and growth strategies

learn more about icis supply and demand service

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

05-Dec-2

018

01-Jan-2019

16-Jan-2019

01-Feb-2019

20-Feb-2019

06-Mar-2

019

27-Mar-2

019

10-Apr-2

019

01-May-2019

22-May-2019

05-Jun-2019

26-Jun-2019

10-Jul-2

019

31-Jul-2

019

14-Aug-2019

01-Sep-2019

18-Sep-2019

02-Oct-

2019

23-Oct-

2019

06-Nov-2019

27-Nov-2019

US

CTS

lb

ABS Inj Medium FD US Assessment Bulk Domestic 0-4 Weeks Full Mahellip

Acrylonitrile DEL US Contract Price Assessment Domestic Contract hellip

Butadiene FOB USG Contract Reference Price Contract Reference Mhellip

Styrene FOB US Contract Price Assessment Contract Month Contracthellip

us abs price historY

Copyright 2019 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

US October styrene contracts which settle a month in arrears fell on Friday edging lower by 05 centslb ($11tonne)

Formula-based US October domestic ACN contracts fell slightly from September tracking a lower settlement for October propylene contracts

US November butadiene (BD) contracts settled lower from October amid ongoing supply length and steady-but-

soft demand

pressure from importsUS September ABS imports fell by almost 11 from the same month a year ago and imports are down by 14 year to date according to the ICIS Supply and Demand Database

While import volumes are down the majority of material has been competitively priced

A distributor said this week it expects the threat of imports to keep downward pressure on domestic prices

South Korea is the top source of imported material so far this year followed by Mexico and Taiwan

ABS is the largest volume engineering thermoplastic resin and is used in automobiles electronics appliances and recreational products

North American ABS producers include A Schulman INEOS Styrolution SABIC and Trinseo

Click here to view related stories and content on the ICIS US-China trade war topic page

140000

120000

100000

80000

60000

40000

20000

0

Sep 18 Aug 19 Sep 19 2018 2019

Tonn

es

Monthly Year to date

us abs imports

Page 2: Will the US ABS mArket buckle to global pressures?...c 2019 r B i l iciS rBi rel G iciS By AdAm yAnelli decemBer 2019 inSiGHt Will the us abs marketing buckle to global pressures?

Copyright 2019 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

By AdAm yAnelli decemBer 2019

inSiGHtWill the us abs marketing buckle to global pressures

The US acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene (ABS) market continues to be pressured by soft demand and long supply with additional headwinds from aggressively priced material from Asia

Lower-priced imports from Asia continue to influence pricing in the US market as the US-China trade war and soft domestic demand in the Chinese market - which is the typical destination for much of Asia ABS production - have forced Asian suppliers to look for new destinations for their material

End-of-year destocking activity is also putting downward pressure on prices as producers tend to offer deals in order to lower inventories for tax purposes

US November ABS prices as assessed by ICIS on Wednesday ticked lower by 1 centlb ($22tonne) as decreases in feedstocks styrene and butadiene contracts offset a slight increase in acrylonitrile (ACN) contracts

ICIS assessments for US ABS are strictly formula-based and tied to upstream price movements

upstreamABS is about 60 styrene so styrene costs generally drive price direction

Deteriorating downstream demand and long supply have combined to push US styrene spot prices to multi-year lows and amid a global manufacturing slowdown pressure could be growing on producers to reduce operating rates

iciS SUpply And demAnd dAtA Service

get crucial data on the global petrochemical supplY-demand frameWork

Covering over 100 petrochemical commodities across 160 countries with historical data from 1978 and forecast available up to 2040 this powerful data and analytics service helps you to

n Identify evaluate and optimize opportunities

n Identify and manage financial or investment risks

n Validate commercial and growth strategies

learn more about icis supply and demand service

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

05-Dec-2

018

01-Jan-2019

16-Jan-2019

01-Feb-2019

20-Feb-2019

06-Mar-2

019

27-Mar-2

019

10-Apr-2

019

01-May-2019

22-May-2019

05-Jun-2019

26-Jun-2019

10-Jul-2

019

31-Jul-2

019

14-Aug-2019

01-Sep-2019

18-Sep-2019

02-Oct-

2019

23-Oct-

2019

06-Nov-2019

27-Nov-2019

US

CTS

lb

ABS Inj Medium FD US Assessment Bulk Domestic 0-4 Weeks Full Mahellip

Acrylonitrile DEL US Contract Price Assessment Domestic Contract hellip

Butadiene FOB USG Contract Reference Price Contract Reference Mhellip

Styrene FOB US Contract Price Assessment Contract Month Contracthellip

us abs price historY

Copyright 2019 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

US October styrene contracts which settle a month in arrears fell on Friday edging lower by 05 centslb ($11tonne)

Formula-based US October domestic ACN contracts fell slightly from September tracking a lower settlement for October propylene contracts

US November butadiene (BD) contracts settled lower from October amid ongoing supply length and steady-but-

soft demand

pressure from importsUS September ABS imports fell by almost 11 from the same month a year ago and imports are down by 14 year to date according to the ICIS Supply and Demand Database

While import volumes are down the majority of material has been competitively priced

A distributor said this week it expects the threat of imports to keep downward pressure on domestic prices

South Korea is the top source of imported material so far this year followed by Mexico and Taiwan

ABS is the largest volume engineering thermoplastic resin and is used in automobiles electronics appliances and recreational products

North American ABS producers include A Schulman INEOS Styrolution SABIC and Trinseo

Click here to view related stories and content on the ICIS US-China trade war topic page

140000

120000

100000

80000

60000

40000

20000

0

Sep 18 Aug 19 Sep 19 2018 2019

Tonn

es

Monthly Year to date

us abs imports

Page 3: Will the US ABS mArket buckle to global pressures?...c 2019 r B i l iciS rBi rel G iciS By AdAm yAnelli decemBer 2019 inSiGHt Will the us abs marketing buckle to global pressures?

Copyright 2019 Reed Business Information Ltd ICIS is a member of RBI and is part of RELX Group plc ICIS accepts no liability for commercial decisions based on this content

US October styrene contracts which settle a month in arrears fell on Friday edging lower by 05 centslb ($11tonne)

Formula-based US October domestic ACN contracts fell slightly from September tracking a lower settlement for October propylene contracts

US November butadiene (BD) contracts settled lower from October amid ongoing supply length and steady-but-

soft demand

pressure from importsUS September ABS imports fell by almost 11 from the same month a year ago and imports are down by 14 year to date according to the ICIS Supply and Demand Database

While import volumes are down the majority of material has been competitively priced

A distributor said this week it expects the threat of imports to keep downward pressure on domestic prices

South Korea is the top source of imported material so far this year followed by Mexico and Taiwan

ABS is the largest volume engineering thermoplastic resin and is used in automobiles electronics appliances and recreational products

North American ABS producers include A Schulman INEOS Styrolution SABIC and Trinseo

Click here to view related stories and content on the ICIS US-China trade war topic page

140000

120000

100000

80000

60000

40000

20000

0

Sep 18 Aug 19 Sep 19 2018 2019

Tonn

es

Monthly Year to date

us abs imports