Introduction What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? Devesh Raval Federal Trade Commission December 2016 Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 1 / 29
Introduction
What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior?
Devesh Raval
Federal Trade Commission
December 2016
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 1 / 29
Introduction
Disclaimer: The opinions expressed here are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Federal Trade Commission or any of its Commissioners.
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 2 / 29
Introduction
What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior?
Who complains to the Consumer Sentinel?
What do they complain about?
How do complaint rates compare to victimization rates?
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 3 / 29
Introduction
What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior?
Who complains to the Consumer Sentinel?
What do they complain about?
How do complaint rates compare to victimization rates?
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 4 / 29
Introduction
Consumer Demographics
Consumer Zip Code matched to ACS 2008-2012 Demographics � Race: Percent Black, Percent Hispanic, Percent Asian � Culture: Percent College Graduates, Degree of Urbanization � Cost of Time: Median Household Income, Unemployment Rate,
Median Age, Household Size
Examine how per capita complaint rate for Consumer Sentinel varies with demographics
Data from 2015, excluding identity theft
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 5 / 29
Cl)
a. ~4 a. 0 0 o_ ... ..... Cl)
a. 3
~ ell c: '(ij
a. E 0 (.) 2
0 25 50 Population Share
Variable - Black - Hispanic
75 100
Introduction
Do minority areas complain at different rates?
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 6 / 29
5.0
Cl)
a. 0 Cl) a. 845 c_ ... .... Cl)
a. J!l c ell c '(ij 4.0 a. E 0 (,)
3.5 0 25 50
Population Share
Variable - Percent Urban
75 100
Introduction
Do urban areas complain at different rates?
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 7 / 29
Cl)
"ii 12 0 Cl) a. 0 0 o_ ... .....
9 Cl)
a. J!l c ell c '(ij
"ii 6 E 0 (,)
0 25 50 Population Share
Variable - Percent College Educated
75 100
Introduction
Do college educated areas complain at different rates?
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 8 / 29
Introduction
How do complaint rates vary across areas?
Higher rates for black, college educated, higher unemployment areas
Lower rates for Hispanic, rural, greater HH Size areas
Small differences for median age and income
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 9 / 29
Introduction
What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior?
Who complains to the Consumer Sentinel?
What do they complain about?
How do complaint rates compare to victimization rates?
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 10 / 29
0.20
J!l c: "iij
~015 0
(.) -0
~ Ill i7i 0.10
0.05
0 25 50 Population Share
75
category - Auto - Bank - DebtCollection - Imposter - Prize
100
Introduction
Minority areas complain about different issues (% Black)
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 11 / 29
'i' 2.0 .!:! Cij
E 0 ~
~ 15 ·; ii E 0 u -0
~10 .c II)
0 25 50 Population Share
75
category - Auto - Bank - DebtCollection - Imposter - Prize
100
Introduction
Minority areas complain about different issues (% Black)
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 12 / 29
'ti' .~ Cij
E
2.0
0 ~1.5
.l!l c: ·; ii E 0 u 010 ~ ca .c: II)
0 25 50 Population Share
75
category - Auto - Bank - DebtCollection - Imposter - Prize
100
Introduction
Minority areas complain about different issues (% Hispanic)
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 13 / 29
'ti' .~ Cij
E
2.0
0 ~1.5
.l!l c: ·; ii E 810 -0
~ ca .c: II)
0.5
0 25 50 Population Share
75
category - Auto - Bank - DebtCollection - Imposter - Prize
100
Introduction
Urban areas complain about different issues
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 14 / 29
0 25 50 Population Share
75
category - Auto - Bank - DebtCollection - Imposter - Prize
100
Introduction
College educated areas complain about different issues
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 15 / 29
Introduction
What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior?
Who complains to the Consumer Sentinel?
What do they complain about?
How do complaint rates compare to victimization rates?
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 16 / 29
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Introduction
Why do consumers complain?
Higher rates of consumer complaints could reflect: Higher Propensity to Complain
Worse Consumer Experience
Typically difficult to disentangle these two stories
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 17 / 29
Introduction
I separate the two using a set of legal cases
Victim Datasets matched to Consumer Sentinel Network complaints
Linked to demographics at zip code level
Do policymakers learn about problems affecting all communities?
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 18 / 29
Introduction
For four cases, I can compare victims to complaints
Case Number of Victims Number of Complaints Case B 12,311,307 4,271 Ideal Financial 2,010,169 1,403 Platinum Trust 69,576 510 WinFixer 304,493 1,062
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 19 / 29
Analysis
Complaint rates are correlated with victim rates
Case Effect Case B 0.125
(0.033) Ideal Financial 0.151
(0.026) Platinum Trust 0.155
(0.023) WinFixer 0.173
(0.036)
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 20 / 29
~ Q) N 'fij6 E 0 ~ c: 0 ·-; g_4 0 a..
0 0 o_
Qi ~ E ·.;::; 0
> 0 25 50
Population Share 75
Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer
100
Analysis
Victim rates vary widely by case (% Black) ...
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 21 / 29
~ .~1.50 iii E 0 z -;125 0
~ ::I a. ~1.00 0 0 o_
&15 UJ E ·.;::; 0
> 0.50 --.---~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~----.--'
0 25 50 Population Share
75
Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer
100
Analysis
Victim rates vary widely by case (% Hispanic) ...
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 22 / 29
~1.6 "Cl Q)
.!::! iii E 0 z ';14 0
~ ::I a. 0 a..
0
8_12
Qi a. UJ E ·.;::; 0
>10
0 25 50 Population Share
75
Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer
100
Analysis
Victim rates vary widely by case (% Urban) ...
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 23 / 29
Qi a. UI0.5 E ·.;::; 0
> 0.0 ->--~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~-.--'
0 25 50 Population Share
75
Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer
100
Analysis
Victim rates vary widely by case (% College) ...
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 24 / 29
S' Q)
.!::! ca E ~12 VI E ()
> g o.a o_
Qi 0.. VI E ·m0.4 0.. E 0
CJ
0 25 50 Population Share
75
Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer
100
Analysis
... but complaint rates lower in minority areas (% Black)
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 25 / 29
25 50 Population Share
75
Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer
100
Analysis
... but complaint rates lower in minority areas (% Hispanic)
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 26 / 29
0 25 50 Population Share
75
Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer
100
Analysis
... but complaint rates higher in urban areas
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 27 / 29
S' Q)
.!::! ca E7.5 0 6 VI E .°25.0 > 0 0 o_
&.5 VI E "iii 0.. E 800
0 25 50 Population Share
75
Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer
100
Analysis
... but complaint rates higher in college areas
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 28 / 29
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Conclusion
How can we account for differences in complaint propensity?
Policy answer - Outreach Contact groups that typically complain less FTC: Outreach events Marketer: Surveys / Incentives?
Statistical answer - Weighting Overweight complaints from groups that complain less But: Need data on consumer experience to construct weights
Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 29 / 29