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Introduction What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? Devesh Raval Federal Trade Commission December 2016 Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 1 / 29
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Page 1: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Introduction

What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior?

Devesh Raval

Federal Trade Commission

December 2016

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 1 / 29

Page 2: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Introduction

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed here are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Federal Trade Commission or any of its Commissioners.

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 2 / 29

Page 3: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Introduction

What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior?

Who complains to the Consumer Sentinel?

What do they complain about?

How do complaint rates compare to victimization rates?

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 3 / 29

Page 4: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Introduction

What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior?

Who complains to the Consumer Sentinel?

What do they complain about?

How do complaint rates compare to victimization rates?

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 4 / 29

Page 5: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Introduction

Consumer Demographics

Consumer Zip Code matched to ACS 2008-2012 Demographics � Race: Percent Black, Percent Hispanic, Percent Asian � Culture: Percent College Graduates, Degree of Urbanization � Cost of Time: Median Household Income, Unemployment Rate,

Median Age, Household Size

Examine how per capita complaint rate for Consumer Sentinel varies with demographics

Data from 2015, excluding identity theft

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 5 / 29

Page 6: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Cl)

a. ~4 a. 0 0 o_ ... ..... Cl)

a. 3

~ ell c: '(ij

a. E 0 (.) 2

0 25 50 Population Share

Variable - Black - Hispanic

75 100

Introduction

Do minority areas complain at different rates?

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 6 / 29

Page 7: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

5.0

Cl)

a. 0 Cl) a. 845 c_ ... .... Cl)

a. J!l c ell c '(ij 4.0 a. E 0 (,)

3.5 0 25 50

Population Share

Variable - Percent Urban

75 100

Introduction

Do urban areas complain at different rates?

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 7 / 29

Page 8: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Cl)

"ii 12 0 Cl) a. 0 0 o_ ... .....

9 Cl)

a. J!l c ell c '(ij

"ii 6 E 0 (,)

0 25 50 Population Share

Variable - Percent College Educated

75 100

Introduction

Do college educated areas complain at different rates?

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 8 / 29

Page 9: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Introduction

How do complaint rates vary across areas?

Higher rates for black, college educated, higher unemployment areas

Lower rates for Hispanic, rural, greater HH Size areas

Small differences for median age and income

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 9 / 29

Page 10: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Introduction

What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior?

Who complains to the Consumer Sentinel?

What do they complain about?

How do complaint rates compare to victimization rates?

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 10 / 29

Page 11: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

0.20

J!l c: "iij

~015 0

(.) -0

~ Ill i7i 0.10

0.05

0 25 50 Population Share

75

category - Auto - Bank - DebtCollection - Imposter - Prize

100

Introduction

Minority areas complain about different issues (% Black)

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 11 / 29

Page 12: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

'i' 2.0 .!:! Cij

E 0 ~

~ 15 ·; ii E 0 u -0

~10 .c II)

0 25 50 Population Share

75

category - Auto - Bank - DebtCollection - Imposter - Prize

100

Introduction

Minority areas complain about different issues (% Black)

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 12 / 29

Page 13: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

'ti' .~ Cij

E

2.0

0 ~1.5

.l!l c: ·; ii E 0 u 010 ~ ca .c: II)

0 25 50 Population Share

75

category - Auto - Bank - DebtCollection - Imposter - Prize

100

Introduction

Minority areas complain about different issues (% Hispanic)

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 13 / 29

Page 14: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

'ti' .~ Cij

E

2.0

0 ~1.5

.l!l c: ·; ii E 810 -0

~ ca .c: II)

0.5

0 25 50 Population Share

75

category - Auto - Bank - DebtCollection - Imposter - Prize

100

Introduction

Urban areas complain about different issues

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 14 / 29

Page 15: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

0 25 50 Population Share

75

category - Auto - Bank - DebtCollection - Imposter - Prize

100

Introduction

College educated areas complain about different issues

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 15 / 29

Page 16: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Introduction

What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior?

Who complains to the Consumer Sentinel?

What do they complain about?

How do complaint rates compare to victimization rates?

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 16 / 29

Page 17: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Introduction

Why do consumers complain?

Higher rates of consumer complaints could reflect: Higher Propensity to Complain

Worse Consumer Experience

Typically difficult to disentangle these two stories

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 17 / 29

Page 18: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Introduction

I separate the two using a set of legal cases

Victim Datasets matched to Consumer Sentinel Network complaints

Linked to demographics at zip code level

Do policymakers learn about problems affecting all communities?

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 18 / 29

Page 19: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Introduction

For four cases, I can compare victims to complaints

Case Number of Victims Number of Complaints Case B 12,311,307 4,271 Ideal Financial 2,010,169 1,403 Platinum Trust 69,576 510 WinFixer 304,493 1,062

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 19 / 29

Page 20: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Analysis

Complaint rates are correlated with victim rates

Case Effect Case B 0.125

(0.033) Ideal Financial 0.151

(0.026) Platinum Trust 0.155

(0.023) WinFixer 0.173

(0.036)

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 20 / 29

Page 21: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

~ Q) N 'fij6 E 0 ~ c: 0 ·-; g_4 0 a..

0 0 o_

Qi ~ E ·.;::; 0

> 0 25 50

Population Share 75

Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer

100

Analysis

Victim rates vary widely by case (% Black) ...

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 21 / 29

Page 22: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

~ .~1.50 iii E 0 z -;125 0

~ ::I a. ~1.00 0 0 o_

&15 UJ E ·.;::; 0

> 0.50 --.---~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~----.--'

0 25 50 Population Share

75

Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer

100

Analysis

Victim rates vary widely by case (% Hispanic) ...

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 22 / 29

Page 23: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

~1.6 "Cl Q)

.!::! iii E 0 z ';14 0

~ ::I a. 0 a..

0

8_12

Qi a. UJ E ·.;::; 0

>10

0 25 50 Population Share

75

Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer

100

Analysis

Victim rates vary widely by case (% Urban) ...

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 23 / 29

Page 24: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Qi a. UI0.5 E ·.;::; 0

> 0.0 ->--~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~-.--'

0 25 50 Population Share

75

Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer

100

Analysis

Victim rates vary widely by case (% College) ...

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 24 / 29

Page 25: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

S' Q)

.!::! ca E ~12 VI E ()

> g o.a o_

Qi 0.. VI E ·m0.4 0.. E 0

CJ

0 25 50 Population Share

75

Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer

100

Analysis

... but complaint rates lower in minority areas (% Black)

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 25 / 29

Page 26: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

25 50 Population Share

75

Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer

100

Analysis

... but complaint rates lower in minority areas (% Hispanic)

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 26 / 29

Page 27: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

0 25 50 Population Share

75

Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer

100

Analysis

... but complaint rates higher in urban areas

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 27 / 29

Page 28: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

S' Q)

.!::! ca E7.5 0 6 VI E .°25.0 > 0 0 o_

&.5 VI E "iii 0.. E 800

0 25 50 Population Share

75

Case - Case B - Ideal - Platinum - WinFixer

100

Analysis

... but complaint rates higher in college areas

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 28 / 29

Page 29: What Determines Consumer Complaining Behavior? - Davesh ...

Conclusion

How can we account for differences in complaint propensity?

Policy answer - Outreach Contact groups that typically complain less FTC: Outreach events Marketer: Surveys / Incentives?

Statistical answer - Weighting Overweight complaints from groups that complain less But: Need data on consumer experience to construct weights

Raval (FTC) What Determines Consumer Complaints? December 2016 29 / 29