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The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs www.PairTrader.com Presented by: Don Bright
14

The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs Presented by: Don Bright.

Dec 27, 2015

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Page 1: The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs  Presented by: Don Bright.

The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs

www.PairTrader.com

Presented by: Don Bright

Page 2: The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs  Presented by: Don Bright.

What is a Pair?

The combination of two stocks to profit from their relative change in price through divergence or convergence of the spread price.

Statistical Arbitrage vs. Risk Arbitrage

Created for different purposes traded with many different strategies

Page 3: The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs  Presented by: Don Bright.

Creating a Spread Price to Watch

Example: Long Alcan vs. Short Alcoa

DifferentialLast Price of AL minus Last Price of AA

48.06 – 30.58 = 17.48

• Factor– (.65 x AL) – AA (.65 x 48.06) – 30.58 = .66

• RatioNumerator and Denominator

AA divided by AL 30.58 / 48.06 = .64

Page 4: The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs  Presented by: Don Bright.

Trading Considerations

Goal is Market Neutral

Choices are: Dollar Neutral ($1 long to $1 short)

Beta Neutral (H.V is substitute)

Share Neutral

Page 5: The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs  Presented by: Don Bright.

Best Pairs Created From:

Same Industry Group

Correlated

Exhibit Mean Reverting Tendencies

Why is there the probability of mean reversion over time?

Fundamental Difference Between Stocks

Comparing Metrics is Straightforward

Overvalued / Undervalued to Peers

Page 6: The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs  Presented by: Don Bright.

CnpSrp100 65-Day Chart

Page 7: The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs  Presented by: Don Bright.

Metrics used in Fundamental Comparisons

Value out performs growth when risk adjustedCompare:

Market CapPrice to Book (P/B)Tangible Book ValuesPrice to Earnings (P/E use TTM)Dividend YieldIndustry Group

Short the overvalued stockBuy the undervalued stock

Page 8: The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs  Presented by: Don Bright.
Page 9: The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs  Presented by: Don Bright.

Spread History

Page 10: The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs  Presented by: Don Bright.

Compoundable TradesPredictabilityIntra-day ScalpsMarket Neutral Swing TradeRelative Strength PairsBasketsPair InvestingFundamental EdgeTechnical Edge

Page 11: The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs  Presented by: Don Bright.
Page 12: The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs  Presented by: Don Bright.
Page 13: The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs  Presented by: Don Bright.

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Page 14: The Powerful Edge of Market Neutral Equity Pairs  Presented by: Don Bright.

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