Shift Conference 2015 - Mike Butcher (TechCrunch)

Mike Butcher“Editor At Large”, TechCrunchTwitter.com/MikeButcherLinkedIn.com/MikeButchermbites.com/[email protected]&Facebook.com/MikeButcher (but only if we get drunk together)

TechHub.com

Coadec.com

The Soma SalonFacebook.com/groups/TheSomaSalon

The Europas Awards & Conference

Political Party?

London’s Eastern Tech Startup Cluster in 2009

Only 2 years later

‘Silicon Allee’ in Berlin

‘Silicon Sentier’ in Paris

In fact, we can graph this:

Startups are sexy!

Geeks in Fashion

Magazines?!

Key Tech Trends

Key Tech Trends• Health and technology: Apple Watch and

Health kit will make this mainstream

• Wearables: Over 30% of the ‘Wearables’ market will simply be Smart Watches.

• Live video streaming, is HOT.

• Meerkat• Periscope• TV Rights?!

• Privacy & distrust.

• Privacy is therefore an opportunity

• Zendo

• Wickr

• Virtual and augmented reality

• MOBILE, MOBILE, MOBILE!

• By 2017, mobile phone penetration will rise to 69.4% of the global population

• People spend an average of 89% of media time in mobile on apps

• Verizon / Aol…

• Mobile Payments: Apple Pay is live in 220,000 outlets in the US

• Connected Vehicles: Tesla already updates its cars’ software over-the-air to improve performance.

• Apple reportedly working on ‘Project Titan’ to develop car technologies (or even an actual car).

• Driverless vehicles inside 5 years.

• Drones:Emerging worldDeliveriesAgricultureIndustry

Ground drones?

• Internet of Things: Smart locks, air conditioners, speakers, cooking appliances, tracking inventory etcSmarter homes

Key Mobile App Trends• “Sharing economy” (travel and

transportation) apps grew 30% year-over-year.

• Mobile video streaming app downloads grew 44% year-over-year.

• Games based on movies and TV shows still ranked in the top 10 games by downloads.

• Smart Cities: (Qualcommmmmm…)

Corporates (oh dear)• Most Public companies unable to innovate.

• Unicorns are rampant: Uber owning transport, AirBnB owning housing etc

• Many public company PE ratios don’t stack up

• Corporate accelerators don’t rebuild the mothership

• AT&T didn’t buy Twilio and now it’s about to IPO

On the Horizon• Humans As Platform:

Biohacking and transhumanist advances (including nootropics/smart drugs, extended longevity, implants etc)

• Biohacking technologies are like genetic enhancement

On the Horizon• Graphene:

• Graphene is an allotrope of carbon in the form of a two-dimensional, atomic-scale, hexagonal lattice in which one atom forms each vertex.

On the Horizon• Memristors: This can pave the way for

computers that will instantly turn on and off like a light bulb and never lose data: the RAM, or memory, will no longer be erased when the machine is turned off, without the need to save anything to hard drives as with current technology

On the Horizon• Battery-tech

On the Horizon• Quantum computing: Has the potential for

things like drug discovery, drug design, chemical design, and bio-hacking, you name it.

On the Horizon• Smart Lens: Google is now testing a smart

contact lens that’s built to measure glucose levels in tears (diabetes)

On the Horizon

• Imagine: you go to the Apple retail store and get injected.

“The Interface Is Where the Profit Is”

• “Uber, the world’s largest taxi company, owns no vehicles. Facebook, the world’s most popular media owner, creates no content. Alibaba, the most valuable retailer, has no inventory. And Airbnb, the world’s largest accommodation provider, owns no real estate.

• Tom Goodwin, Havas Media.

Kurzwell

• (Singularity University) • 2010s, glasses will beam images directly onto

the retina. • 2020s driveless cars • 2030 Virtual reality IS reality• 2040s non-biological intelligence a billion

times more capable than biological intelligence

• 2045, we will multiply our intelligence a billionfold by linking wirelessly from our neocortex to a synthetic neocortex in the cloud.

On the Horizon• Artificial Intelligence:

Google DeepMind in London has developed “Deep Q” which can learn and adapt to unexpected things. These types of systems are more human-like in the way they learn.

• Up to 60% of human work will, within 20 years, be entirely replaced by machines.

Blockchain• With Blockchain as the verification layer,

means you could retrofit the Internet with an ownership layer

Blockchain• Solve ownership of content online

Blockchain• Art, antique and collectibles market has

around 50€ Billion in turnover annually. 1.5 times bigger than the entire advertising market

As you can see, things are only going to get more complicated.

Your next startup?

See you on Techcrunch

@MikeButcher