Second Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey: 4 of 5 …...2nd Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey SWS SPECIAL REPORT 6 August 2019, page 5 of 12 pr20190806 - SWR2019-II Satisfaction with

2nd Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey

SWS SPECIAL REPORT

6 August 2019, page 1 of 12

52 Malingap St., Sikatuna Village, Quezon City

Website: www.sws.org.ph

Tel: 924-4456, 924-4465

Fax: 920-2181

pr20190806 - SWR2019-II Satisfaction with and Credibility of the May 2019 Elections (special report).doc

Second Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey:

4 of 5 Pinoys are satisfied with the conduct of the May 2019 Elections

• 86% found the May 2019 Election results for Senators “believable”

Social Weather Stations

The Second Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey, conducted from June 22-26, 2019,

found 80% satisfied (consisting of 38% strongly satisfied and 43% somewhat satisfied, correctly

rounded), 7% are undecided, and 12% dissatisfied (consisting of 7% somewhat dissatisfied and

5% strongly dissatisfied) with the conduct of the May 13, 2019 elections in the Philippines.

This gives a net satisfaction rating (% satisfied minus % dissatisfied) of +68, classified by

SWS as very good, 5 points below the record-high excellent +73 in June 2016 [Chart 1].

At the same time, 79% agree, 11% are undecided, and 10% disagree with the statement,

“The COMELEC performed its job independently without favoring any candidate or group.”

This gives a net agreement score (% agree minus % disagree, correctly rounded) of

extremely strong +70, up by 9 points from the extremely strong +61 in June 2013 [Chart 2].

The June 2019 survey also found that 86% say the May 13, 2019 election results are

believable for Senators, 88% for Congress Representatives, 84% for Governors, and 89% for

Mayors [Chart 3].

“Very good” to “Excellent” net satisfaction with the elections since 2010

Net satisfaction with the conduct of the elections was at moderate levels of +18 when it

was first asked in June 2004, and +19 in June 2007.

It rose to very good +60 in June 2010, very good +59 in June 2013, a record-high

excellent +73 in June 2016, and very good +68 in June 2019.

“Extremely strong” net agreement on the impartiality of the COMELEC in 2013 and 2019

To the statement, “The COMELEC performed its job independently without favoring any

candidate or group,” the June 2019 survey found that 79% agree (consisting of 42% strongly

agree and 37% somewhat agree), 11% are undecided, and 10% disagree (consisting of 5%

somewhat disagree and 4% strongly disagree, correctly rounded).

http://www.sws.org.ph/


SWS SPECIAL REPORT



The resulting net agreement score of extremely strong +70 is 9 points above the extremely

strong +61 in June 2013.

It was a very strong +35 when SWS first asked about it in June 2007.

86% found the May 2019 Election results for Senators “believable”

The June 2019 survey found that 86% say the May 2019 election results for Senators are

believable (consisting of 45% very believable and 41% somewhat unbelievable), while 14% say

they are unbelievable (consisting 9% somewhat unbelievable, 5% strongly unbelievable)

[Chart 4].

The proportion of those who find the Senatorial results believable has been over 80%

since the record-high 93% in June 2010. The latest figure of 86% is the same as in June 2013,

and 6 points below the 92% in June 2016.

It was 79% when first asked in June 2004, and 80% in June 2007.

88% find the May 2019 Election results for Congress Representative “believable”

On the May 2019 election results for Congress Representative, 88% say they are

believable (51% very believable, 37% somewhat believable), while 12% say they are

unbelievable (8% somewhat unbelievable, 3% strongly unbelievable, correctly rounded)

[Chart 5].

The proportion of those who find the election results for Congress Representative

believable was 83% when first asked in June 2007, a record-high 91% in 2010, and 86% in June

2013. It returned to record-high 91% in June 2016, and went to 88% in June 2019.

84% find the May 2019 Election results for Governor “believable”

Among respondents residing outside of Metro Manila, the June 2019 survey found that

84% say the May 2019 election results for Governor are believable (58% very believable, 26%

somewhat believable), while 8% say they are unbelievable (5% somewhat unbelievable, 3%

strongly unbelievable [Chart 6].

The proportion of those who find the results for Governor believable was 86% when first

asked in June 2004, 80% in June 2007, a record-high 92% in 2010, 82% in June 2013, 86% in

June 2016, and 84% in June 2019.


SWS SPECIAL REPORT



89% find the May 2019 Election Mayoral results “believable”

On the May 2019 election results for Mayor, 89% say they are believable (63% very

believable, 26% somewhat believable), while 11% say they are unbelievable (6% somewhat

unbelievable, 4% strongly unbelievable, correctly rounded) [Chart 7].

The proportion of those who consider the Mayoral election results believable has been

consistently high since 2004.

It was 88% when it is first asked in June 2004, 87% in June 2007, a record-high 92% in

June 2010, and 87% in June 2013. It returned to record-high 92% in June 2016, and went to 89%

in June 2019.

Net satisfaction with the May 2019 Elections “Excellent” in Mindanao and the Visayas;

“Very good” in Balance Luzon and Metro Manila

Net satisfaction with the conduct of the May 13, 2019 elections is highest in Mindanao at

excellent +77, followed by the Visayas at excellent +71, Balance Luzon at very good +66, and

Metro Manila at very good +54 [Chart 8].

“Extremely strong” net agreement on the impartiality of the COMELEC in all areas

Net agreement on the impartiality of the COMELEC is extremely strong in all areas.

It is highest in the Visayas at +77, followed closely by Mindanao at +76, Balance Luzon

at +69, and Metro Manila at +51 [Chart 9].

Believability of the May 2019 Election results is higher in Mindanao for Senators and

Congress Representatives; higher in Balance Luzon for Governors and Mayors

By area, the proportion of those who believe the May 2019 election results for Senators is

highest in Mindanao at 90%, followed by Balance Luzon at 86%, the Visayas at 86%, and Metro

Manila at 81% [Chart 10].

For Congress Representatives, it is highest in Mindanao at 91%, followed by Balance

Luzon at 89%, the Visayas at 88%, and Metro Manila at 80% [Chart 11].

For Governors, it is highest in Balance Luzon at 91%, followed by Mindanao at 76%, and

the Visayas at 76% [Chart 12].

For Mayors, it is highest in Balance Luzon at 91%, followed by Mindanao at 90%, the

Visayas at 88%, and Metro Manila at 81% [Chart 13].


SWS SPECIAL REPORT



Survey background

The June 2019 Social Weather Survey was conducted from June 22-26, 2019 using face-

to-face interviews of 1,200 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 300 each in Metro

Manila, Balance of Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±3% for national

percentages, and ±6% each for Metro Manila, Balance of Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao).

The area estimates were weighted by Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population

projections for 2019 to obtain the national estimates.

The Social Weather Survey items on people’s assessment of the May 2019 Elections are

non-commissioned. These items were included on SWS's own initiative and released as a public

service.

The exact questions are as follows:

Q146. "Gaano po kayo nasisiyahan o hindi nasisiyahan sa pangkalahatang pagsasagawa

ng May 13, 2019 na eleksyon dito sa Pilipinas? (Lubos na nasisiyahan, Medyo nasisiyahan,

Hindi tiyak kung nasisiyahan o hindi nasisiyahan, Medyo hindi nasisiyahan, o Lubos na hindi

nasisiyahan) [How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the conduct of the May 13, 2019

elections in the Philippines? (Very satisfied, Somewhat satisfied, Undecided if satisfied or

dissatisfied, Somewhat dissatisfied, or Very dissatisfied)?.]"

[The SWS terminology for net satisfaction: +70 and above, "excellent"; +50 to +69,

"very good"; +30 to +49, "good"; +10 to +29, "moderate"; +9 to -9, "neutral"; -10 to -29,

"poor"; -30 to -49, "bad"; -50 to -69, "very bad"; -70 and below, "execrable". SWS considers the

movement from one classification to another as either an "upgrade" or "downgrade”.]

Q147. “Kayo po ba ay sang-ayon o hindi sang-ayon sa pangungusap na ito:

“Ginampanan ng COMELEC ang kanilang tungkulin na walang pinapaborang kandidato o

grupo.” (Lubos na sumasang-ayon, Medyo sumasang-ayon, Hindi tiyak kung sumasang-ayon o

hindi sumasang-ayon, Medyo hindi sumasang-ayon, o Lubos na hindi sumasang-ayon) [Do you

agree or disagree with this statement: “The COMELEC performed its job independently without

favoring any candidate or group.” (Strongly agree, Somewhat agree, Undecided if agree or

disagree, Somewhat disagree, or Strongly disagree)]”

[The SWS terminology for net agreement: +50 and above, “extremely strong”; +30 to

+49, “very strong”; +10 to +29, “moderately strong”; +9 to -9, “neutral”; -10 to -29,

“moderately weak”; -30 to -49, “very weak”; -50 and below, “extremely weak”.]


SWS SPECIAL REPORT



Q148-151. “Sa inyong opinyon, Talagang kapani-paniwala, Medyo kapani-paniwala,

Medyo hindi kapani-paniwala, o Talagang hindi kapani-paniwala po ba ang mga opisyal na

resulta ng nakaraang halalan sa mga sumusunod na posisyon? [In your opinion, do you

consider the official results of the past election for the following positions to be Very believable,

Somewhat believable, Somewhat unbelievable, or Very unbelievable?]”

Q148. Para sa mga Senador (for Senators)

Q149. Para sa Kinatawan sa Kongreso o Congressman ng inyong Distrito (for your

Representative in Congress or Congressman of your District)

Q150. Para sa Mayor ng inyong Lungsod/Munisipyo (for Mayor of your City/Town)

Q151. Para sa Gobernador ng inyong Probinsya (for Governor of your Province)

SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-

processing, and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations. This report was

prepared by Krisia S. Santos.

#


SWS SPECIAL REPORT



Chart 1

Second Quarter 2019 Social Weather ReportJune 22-26, 2019 National Survey

20 18

3826

37 38

33 34

3847

45 4311 15

8 128 7

20 17

8 9 6 715 147 5 3 5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

75%

15%

73%

14%

35%

53% 32%

51%

Jun 2010 Jun 2013

+60 +59 Net *

Very satisfied

UndecidedSomewhat dissatisfied

Somewhat satisfied

Very dissatisfiedJun 2004

+18

Jun 2007 Jun 2019

9%

82%

+19 +68

OVERALL EVALUATION OF THE NATIONWIDE ELECTIONS,

PHILIPPINES, JUN 2004 TO JUN 2019

*Net satisfaction figures (% Very/Somewhat satisfied minus % Somewhat/Very dissatisfied) are correctly rounded.

Note: Blank spaces are Don’t Know and Non-responses.

Q. Gaano po kayo nasisiyahan o hindi nasisiyahan sa pangkalahatang pagsasagawa ng May 13, 2019 na eleksyon dito

sa Pilipinas? (SHOWCARD: Lubos na nasisiyahan, Medyo nasisiyahan, Hindi tiyak kung nasisiyahan o hindi

nasisiyahan, Medyo hindi nasisiyahan, o Lubos na hindi nasisiyahan)

% o

f a

du

lts

Jun 2016

+73

12%

80%

Chart 2


OPINION ON THE IMPARTIALITY OF THE COMELEC,

PHILIPPINES, JUN 2007, JUN 2013, AND JUN 2019

*Net agreement figures (% Strongly/Somewhat agree minus % Somewhat/Strongly disagree) are correctly rounded.

Note: Blank spaces are Don’t Know responses.

Q. Kayo po ba ay Sang-ayon o Hindi Sang-ayon sa pangungusap na ito: “Ginampanan ng COMELEC ang kanilang

tungkulin na walang pinapaborang kandidato o grupo.” (SHOWCARD: Lubos na sumasang-ayon, Medyo sumasang-

ayon, Hindi tiyak kung sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon, Medyo hindi sumasang-ayon, o o Lubos na hindi

sumasang-ayon)

26 3242

31

4037

21

171112

7 510 4 4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

72%

11%22%

57%

Jun 2013

+61 Net*

Strongly agree

Undecided

Somewhat disagree

Somewhat agree

Strongly disagree

Jun 2007 Jun 2019

+35 +70

% o

f a

du

lts

10%

79%


SWS SPECIAL REPORT



Chart 3


WHETHER THE RESULTS OF THE MAY 13, 2019 ELECTIONS ARE

BELIEVABLE OR NOT BELIEVABLE: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2019

Note: Blank spaces are Don’t Know responses. Figures may not add up due to rounding error.

Q. Sa inyong opinyon, Talagang kapani-paniwala, Medyo kapani-paniwala, Medyo hindi kapani-paniwala, o

Talagang hindi kapani-paniwala po ba ang mga opisyal na resulta ng nakaraang halalan sa mga sumusunod

na posisyon?

45 51 58 63

41 37 2626

9 85

65 3

34

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

88%

12%14%

86%

Mayor

Very believable

Somewhat unbelievable

Somewhat believable

Very unbelievable

Senators

Congress

Representative Governor

11%

89%

% o

f a

du

lts

8%

84%

Chart 4


WHETHER THE RESULTS OF THE ELECTIONS ARE BELIEVABLE

OR NOT BELIEVABLE: FOR SENATORS,


Note: Blank spaces are Don’t Know and Non-responses. Figures may not add up due to rounding error.



na posisyon? Para sa mga Senador.

33 35

5739

5345

46 45

36

47

3941

15 165 12 6

95 4 2 2 2 5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

93%

7%

86%

14%

79%

19% 20%

80%

Jun 2010 Jun 2013

Very believable


Somewhat believable

Very unbelievableJun 2004 Jun 2007 Jun 2019

8%

92%

% o

f a

du

lts

Jun 2016

14%

86%


SWS SPECIAL REPORT



Chart 5



OR NOT BELIEVABLE: FOR CONGRESS REPRESENTATIVE,





na posisyon? Para sa kinatawan sa Kongreso o Congressman ng inyong Distrito.

4462

4258 51

39

29

44

3337

116 12 6 8

4 2 2 2 3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

86%

14%

83%

16% 8%

91%

Jun 2010 Jun 2013

Very believable


Somewhat believable

Very unbelievableJun 2007 Jun 2019

9%

91%

% o

f a

du

lts

Jun 2016

12%

88%

Chart 6



OR NOT BELIEVABLE: FOR GOVERNOR,





na posisyon? Para sa Gobernador ng inyong Probinsya.

57 5067

5061 58

2930

24

3225 26

69

510 5 5

3 32

2 1 3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

92%

7%

82%

12%

86%

9% 12%

80%

Jun 2010 Jun 2013

Very believable


Somewhat believable

Very unbelievable

Jun 2004 Jun 2007 Jun 2019

6%

86%

% o

f a

du

lts

Jun 2016

8%

84%

(Base: Total outside NCR)


SWS SPECIAL REPORT



Chart 7



OR NOT BELIEVABLE: FOR MAYOR,





na posisyon? Para sa Mayor ng inyong Lungsod/Munisipyo.

61 6071

5167 63

27 2722

36

24 26

7 9 4 10 6 64 3 3 3 3 4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

92%

7%

87%

13%

88%

12% 12%

87%

Jun 2010 Jun 2013

Very believable


Somewhat believable

Very unbelievableJun 2004 Jun 2007 Jun 2019

8%

92%

% o

f a

du

lts

Jun 2016

11%

89%

Chart 8


3828 29

4654

4344

5036

32

78

6 7 5711

8 7 55 7 5 4 4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

80%

13%

82%

11%

80%

18%

72%

12%

Balance

Luzon Visayas

+66 +71 Net agreement *

Strongly satisfied

UndecidedSomewhat dissatisfied

Somewhat satisfied

Very dissatisfied Total PH

+68

NCR

+54 +77

OVERALL EVALUATION OF THE NATIONWIDE ELECTIONS,

BY AREA, JUN 2019

*Net satisfaction figures (% Very/Somewhat satisfied minus % Somewhat/Very dissatisfied) are correctly rounded.

Note: Blank spaces are Don’t Know and Non-responses.

Q. Gaano po kayo nasisiyahan o hindi nasisiyahan sa pangkalahatang pagsasagawa ng May 13, 2019 na eleksyon dito

sa Pilipinas? (SHOWCARD: Lubos na nasisiyahan, Medyo nasisiyahan, Hindi tiyak kung nasisiyahan o hindi

nasisiyahan, Medyo hindi nasisiyahan, o Lubos na hindi nasisiyahan)

% o

f a

du

lts

Mindanao

9%

86%


SWS SPECIAL REPORT



Chart 9


OPINION ON THE IMPARTIALITY OF THE COMELEC,

BY AREA, JUN 2019

*Net agreement figures (% Strongly/Somewhat agree minus % Somewhat/Strongly disagree) are correctly rounded.

Note: Blank spaces are Don’t Know responses.

Q. Kayo po ba ay Sang-ayon o Hindi Sang-ayon sa pangungusap na ito: “Ginampanan ng COMELEC ang kanilang

tungkulin na walang pinapaborang kandidato o grupo.” (SHOWCARD: Lubos na sumasang-ayon, Medyo sumasang-

ayon, Hindi tiyak kung sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon, Medyo hindi sumasang-ayon, o o Lubos na hindi

sumasang-ayon)

4234 34

54 53

3735

45

28 29

1113

1112 10

513 5

4 24 5 5 2 5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

79%

10%

83%

5%

79%

18%

69%

10%

Balance

Luzon Visayas

+69 +77 Net agreement *

Total PH

+70

NCR

+51 +76

% o

f a

du

lts

Mindanao

7%

83%

Strongly agree

UndecidedSomewhat disagree

Somewhat agree

Strongly disagree

Chart 10



BELIEVABLE OR NOT BELIEVABLE: FOR SENATORS,

BY AREA, JUN 2019




na posisyon? Para sa mga Senador.

45 38 46 45 49

4143

40 4141

9 14 8 10 75 5 6 4 4

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

86%

14%

86%

14%

86%

19%

81%

14%

Balance

Luzon VisayasTotal PH NCR

% o

f a

du

lts

Mindanao

10%

90%

Very believable


Somewhat believable

Very unbelievable


SWS SPECIAL REPORT



Chart 11



BELIEVABLE OR NOT BELIEVABLE: FOR CONGRESS

REPRESENTATIVE, BY AREA, JUN 2019




na posisyon? Para sa kinatawan sa Kongreso o Congressman ng inyong Distrito.

5140

55 51 50

3739

34 36 41

814

7 9 53 6 3 3 3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

89%

10%

88%

12%

88%

20%

80%

12%

Balance


% o

f a

du

lts

Mindanao

9%

91%

Very believable


Somewhat believable

Very unbelievable

Chart 12



BELIEVABLE OR NOT BELIEVABLE: FOR GOVERNOR,

BY AREA, JUN 2019




na posisyon? Para sa Gobernador ng inyong Probinsya.

58 6448 54

2627

28 22

55

7 4

33

3 3

8 115 17

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

76%

10%

84%

8%

91%

8%

Balance

Luzon VisayasTotal PH

% o

f a

du

lts

Mindanao

7%

76%Very believable


Somewhat believable

Very unbelievableNot applicable

(Base: Total outside NCR)


SWS SPECIAL REPORT



Chart 13



BELIEVABLE OR NOT BELIEVABLE: FOR MAYOR,

BY AREA, JUN 2019




na posisyon? Para sa Mayor ng inyong Lungsod/Munisipyo.

6354

67 65 59

2627

25 23 31

610

5 8 64 9 3 4 3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

91%

8%

88%

12%

89%

19%

81%

11%

Balance


% o

f a

du

lts

Mindanao

10%

90%

Very believable


Somewhat believable

Very unbelievable

Second Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey: 4 of 5 …...2nd Quarter 2019 Social Weather Survey SWS SPECIAL REPORT 6 August 2019, page 5 of 12 pr20190806 - SWR2019-II Satisfaction with

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