Department of Buildings and General Services Agency of Administration BGS Financial Operations Office of Purchasing & Contracting 10 Baldwin St [phone] 802-828-2211 Montpelier VT05633-7501 [fax] 802-828-2222 http://bgs.vermont.gov/purchasing SEALED BID REQUEST FOR PROPOSAL Actuarial Services ISSUE DATE: May 17, 2010 QUESTIONS DUE BY: June 7, 2010 @ 4:30 PM DUE DATE and TIME: June 25, 2010 @ 1:30 PM LOCATION OF BID OPENING: 10 Baldwin St, Montpelier PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT ALL NOTIFICATIONS, RELEASES, AND AMENDMENTS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS RFP WILL BE POSTED AT: http://bgs.vermont.gov/purchasing/bids THE STATE WILL MAKE NO ATTEMPT TO CONTACT VENDORS WITH UPDATED INFORMATION. IT IS THE RESPONSIBILITY OF EACH VENDOR TO PERIODICALLY CHECK http://bgs.vermont.gov/purchasing/bids FOR ANY AND ALL NOTIFICATIONS, RELEASES AND AMENDMENTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE RFP. PURCHASING AGENT: Betsy Laraway TELEPHONE: (802) 828-4658 E-MAIL: [email protected]FAX: (802) 828-2222
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Department of Buildings and General Services Agency of Administration BGS Financial Operations Office of Purchasing & Contracting 10 Baldwin St [phone] 802-828-2211 Montpelier VT05633-7501 [fax] 802-828-2222 http://bgs.vermont.gov/purchasing
SEALED BID
REQUEST FOR PROPOSAL
Actuarial Services
ISSUE DATE: May 17, 2010 QUESTIONS DUE BY: June 7, 2010 @ 4:30 PM DUE DATE and TIME: June 25, 2010 @ 1:30 PM LOCATION OF BID OPENING: 10 Baldwin St, Montpelier PLEASE BE ADVISED THAT ALL NOTIFICATIONS, RELEASES, AND AMENDMENTS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS RFP WILL BE POSTED AT:
http://bgs.vermont.gov/purchasing/bids THE STATE WILL MAKE NO ATTEMPT TO CONTACT VENDORS WITH UPDATED INFORMATION. IT IS THE RESPONSIBILITY OF EACH VENDOR TO PERIODICALLY CHECK http://bgs.vermont.gov/purchasing/bids FOR ANY AND ALL NOTIFICATIONS, RELEASES AND AMENDMENTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE RFP.
STATE OF VERMONT OFFICE OF PURCHASING & CONTRACTING RFP for Actuarial Services PAGE 1
1. OVERVIEW:
1.1. SCOPE AND BACKGROUND: The Office of Purchasing & Contracting is seeking to establish purchasing agreements with one or more companies that can provide Actuarial Services for review of their two self-insurance funds: Workers’ Compensation and Automobile and General Liability
The contract is to provide an actuarial review of self-insured programs provided by the Risk Management Division of Buildings and General Services, claims audit, review of the historic sufficiency of the sovereign immunity limits, and other services as may be called for.
1.2. CONTRACT PERIOD: Contracts arising from this request for proposal will be for a period of 24 months with an option to renew for 2 additional 12 -month periods. Proposed start date will be July 15, 2010.
1.3. CONTRACT VALUE/QUANTITY: The estimated annual value of this contract is $10,000. The annual value and quantities are estimated only based on prior usage; actual purchases may be higher or lower depending on the state’s needs.
1.4. SINGLE POINT OF CONTACT: All communications concerning this Request For Proposal (RFP) are to be addressed in writing to the attention of: Betsy Laraway, Purchasing Agent, State of Vermont, Office of Purchasing & Contracting, 10 Baldwin St - Montpelier, Montpelier, VT 05633-7501. Betsy Laraway, Purchasing Agent is the sole contact for this proposal. Actual contact with any other party or attempts by bidders to contact any other party could result in the rejection of their proposal.
1.5. BIDDERS’ CONFERENCE: There will be no bidders’ conference.
1.6. QUESTION AND ANSWER PERIOD: Any vendor requiring clarification of any section of this proposal or wishing to comment or take exception to any requirements or other portion of the RFP must submit specific questions in writing no later than 4:30 PM June 7, 2010. Questions may be e-mailed to [email protected] . Any objection to the RFP, or to any provision of the RFP, that is not raised in writing on or before the last day of the question period is waived. At the close of the question period a copy of all questions or comments and the State's responses will be posted on the State’s web site http://bgs.vermont.gov/purchasing/bids . Every effort will be made to have these available as soon after the question period ends, contingent on the number and complexity of the questions.
1.7. INSTRUCTIONS FOR BIDDERS: see sections 5 and 6.
2. DETAILED REQUIREMENTS:
2.1. BACKGROUND: The State has been self-insured for workers compensation since February 1, 1990 and liability since July 1, 1990. The last change to sovereign immunity limits was made July 1, 1990 when the limits were fixed at $250,000 per person, $1,000,000 per occurrence. In 1989 the limits had been revised to $250,000 per person, $500,000 per occurrence changing from the initial limits of $75,000 per person, $300,000 per occurrence established in the early 1960’s
2.2. Workers compensation has been fully self-insured from its inception February 1, 1990 with unlimited liability and no commercially purchased excess insurance. The liability program, which is limited by the sovereign immunity statute (referenced below), has purchased excess insurance from its inception July 1, 1990. For the first three years of the liability program the self-insured retention (SIR) was $150,000. From 1993 forward the SIR has been $250,000.
2.3. Statutory Basis: The relevant statutory language pertaining to this study can be found at the following:
STATE OF VERMONT OFFICE OF PURCHASING & CONTRACTING RFP for Actuarial Services PAGE 2
(c) (f) Losses shall be fully reserved and funded in accordance with common insurance industry practices and in accordance with the principle of accuracy rather than adequacy whenever possible. The fund shall be actuarially reviewed annually.
And http://www.leg.state.vt.us/statutes/fullsection.cfm?Title=29&Chapter=055&Section=01406
The Vermont Statutes Online
Title 29: Public Property and Supplies
Chapter 55: STATE INSURANCE
29 .S.A. § 1406. Liability insurance
(3) Losses shall be fully reserved and funded and provision shall be made for losses incurred but not reported. The fund shall be actuarially reviewed annually.
And http://www.leg.state.vt.us/statutes/fullsection.cfm?Title=12&Chapter=189&Section=05601
The Vermont Statutes Online
Title 12: Court Procedure
Chapter 189: TORT CLAIMS AGAINST THE STATE
12 .S.A. § 5601. Liability of state
(8) (h) The commissioner of buildings and general services shall review the adequacy of the dollar limits on liability imposed by 12 V.S.A. § 5601 and shall report his or her findings to the Judiciary Committees of the House and Senate not later than January 1 in every odd-numbered year.
The full chapter regarding sovereign immunity statute can be found at: http://www.leg.state.vt.us/statutes/sections.cfm?Title=12&Chapter=189
The Vermont Statutes Online
Title 12: Court Procedure
Chapter 189: TORT CLAIMS AGAINST THE STATE
2.4. Actuarial Study: The State of Vermont is seeking qualified vendors to provide an annual actuarial review of its two casualty self-insurance funds, Workers Compensation and Liability (general, auto, and employment practices/discrimination). Specifically we require an estimate of ultimate losses for each expired year and a five-year forecast of future ultimate losses.
2.4.1. Confidence Levels / Future Projections: The estimates of ultimate values need to reflect best estimate of ultimate loss as well as at confidence levels of 50%, 75%, and 95%. The five-year projections should reflect retention levels of $250,000, $500,000, $1,000,000 and unlimited. Additionally the sovereign immunity study will require a retention level study reflecting that specific value.
2.4.2. Data Elements: Information available includes payroll and other broad based exposure data, claims data in general and in detail. The nature and detail of data elements that you request for the study should be outlined in your proposal.
2.4.3. Reserves: All reserves should be developed on an undiscounted basis only.
2.5. Claims Audit: On-site claims audit reviewing claims handling and reserve practices. The purpose of this claims audit is to assess the adequacy and sufficiency of claim reserving practices and to assist in establishing best practices for
STATE OF VERMONT OFFICE OF PURCHASING & CONTRACTING RFP for Actuarial Services PAGE 3
the claims handling staff. Ideally timing will have the audit conducted in June so it may be used as a tool to aid in the actuarial study as well.
2.5.1. Data Location: The on-site inspections of specific claim files will be conducted at the Office of Risk Management and Office of Workers Compensation, both in Montpelier.
2.5.2. Data Review: A representative sampling of files is to be reviewed and critique developed. The number of files (open or closed) is indeterminate. It is expected that a representative sample, sufficient to give the auditing entity a clear sense of the practices of the claims adjusting agency would be chosen. The sample must be adequate to determine the current practices and to offer guidance on best practices. It is expected that this selection would be broad based and represent the full range of claims, size of claims, and claims types to best be able to aid in the evaluation of the claims practices in use. Best practices and claims reserve sufficiency and accuracy should be evaluated.
2.5.3. Closing Conference: It is desirable but not required that a closing discussion to involve the RMD claims staff is included. This will give the adjustors an opportunity to hear first impressions and ask questions.
2.6. Sovereign Immunity Limits: An annual review of the sufficiency of the sovereign immunity limits relative to historic goals. The continuing goal is to stay in step with the original principle of that earlier legislative session and to keep faith with their evaluation of just and equitable compensation. To that end we have attempted to maintain current immunity limits at a similar relative dollar value. CPI has been the most widely used measure to establish that value but we are open to other or broader interpretations.
2.7. Miscellaneous Services: From time to time, additional analysis is needed and rates should be provided for such additional services on a time and expense basis.
2.8. Actuarial Study Time Frame: Both the actuarial study and claims audit are to be conducted annually. The study will be conducted in July / August, draft report due in mid August and final figures due September first (dates approximate). Flexibility in scheduling will be important, but the turn-around time will necessarily be short. The claims audit may be conducted separately or jointly. When the contract year allows, it is preferable for the claims audit to be conducted prior to the actuarial study so the actuarial study might benefit from the information in the claims audit.
2.9. Claims Administration: Workers compensation claims have been administered by in-house staff from the program’s inception. From 1990 until July 2005, liability claims had been administered by Crawford & Company as our TPA. In July of 2005 the State began to self administer all new claims regardless of date of occurrence. Crawford continued to run off claims they had received prior to July 2005 until June of 2007 at which time all remaining claims were taken over by the State. All records are now at Risk Management and Worker s Compensation offices in Montpelier.
2.10. Claims Administration Staff: Risk management has four adjusters teamed with four medical case managers handling workers compensation claims. There is one full time liability claims adjuster.
2.11. Legal Representation: With the exception of conflict of interest situations all liability claims are handled by the Office of the Attorney General. There is a dedicated Civil Division staff that handle the bulk of the claims but there are also Human Resources attorneys, and department of corrections dedicated Assistant Attorneys General that will handle some of the claims. Workers compensation claims are handled under contract by one of two private counsel firms that specialize in workers compensation.
2.12. Current Contract: The current contractor is AMI risk Consultants of Miami, Florida. Most recently the annual fee for services was $6,975.
2.13. Current Study: A copy of the most recent actuarial study is attached. A claims audit was not performed in 2009.
2.14. Open Claims: The open claim count as of 5/12/2010 stand at 473 workers compensation claims, 60 auto, and 181 general liability/EPL/discrimination claims.
2.15. Claims RMIS: The current risk management information system is AON’s IVOS.
STATE OF VERMONT OFFICE OF PURCHASING & CONTRACTING RFP for Actuarial Services PAGE 4
2.16. Services: It is not necessary that the actuarial firm also conduct the claims audit. This second leg of the contract
may by conducted by a sub-contractor. But that subcontractor should be identified in the proposal and references and other qualifications should be provided. There must be a single point entity responsible for all aspects of the contract.
2.17. Reports: The State will require an original hard copy report and six additional copies, including one loose leave copy as well as an electronic copy. These should be presented as an Actuarial Report and a separate Claims Audit.
3. GENERAL REQUIREMENTS:
3.1. PRICING: Any and all costs that you wish the state to consider must be submitted for consideration. If applicable, all equipment pricing is to include F.O.B. delivery to the ordering facility. No request for extra delivery cost will be honored. All equipment shall be delivered assembled, serviced, oiled, and ready for immediate use, unless otherwise requested by the purchasing agency.
Proposals should be developed indicating rates for services as well as a “not to exceed” cost for each year, exclusive of additional projects. An estimate of expected costs for each phase of the project is requested. Hourly rates for potential additional projects should be separately identified. Proposals are to reflect all years of the contract term including the possible two one year extensions. Rates for each year must be specifically identified.
3.2. WORKER’S COMPENSATION; STATE CONTRACTS COMPLIANCE REQUIREMENT: The Department of Buildings and General Services in accordance with Act 54, Section 32 of the Acts of 2009 and for total projects costs exceeding $250,000.00, requires bidders comply with the following provisions and requirements.
(a) (1) Bidder is required to self report detailed information including information relating to past violations, convictions, suspensions, and any other information related to past performance and likely compliance with proper coding and classification of employees requested by the applicable agency.
The bidder is required to report information on any violations that occurred in the previous 12 months.
(a) (2) Bidder is required to provide a list of subcontractors on the job along with lists of subcontractor’s subcontractors and by whom those subcontractors are insured for workers’ compensation purposes. Include additional pages if necessary. This is not a requirement for subcontractor’s providing supplies only and no labor to the overall contract or project.
In order for a bidder’s response to be considered valid bidders must complete and submit the following two (2) forms at time of bid:
Self Reporting
Subcontractor Reporting
3.3. AVAILABILITY: Initial work will begin in July, the draft report is due mid August and final report by September 1. These dates necessarily are not firm but they do reflect the intent.
3.4. METHOD OF ORDERING: Purchase orders must be used to order items available under this contract. If verbal orders are given a confirming purchase order must be issued.
3.5. INVOICING: All invoices are to be rendered by the Contractor on the vendor's standard billhead and forwarded directly to the institution or agency ordering materials or services and shall specify the address to which payments will be sent.
3.6. CANCELLATION: The State specifically reserves the right to cancel the contract, or any portion thereof, if, in the opinion of its Commissioner of Buildings and General Services, the services or materials supplied by the contractor are not satisfactory or are not consistent with the terms of the contract
3.7. METHOD OF AWARD: Awards will be made under the provisions of 29 V.S.A. § 903. The State may award one or more contracts and reserves the right to make additional awards to other compliant bidders at any time during the
STATE OF VERMONT OFFICE OF PURCHASING & CONTRACTING RFP for Actuarial Services PAGE 5
first year of the contract if such award is deemed to be in the best interest of the State. All other considerations being equal, preference will be given to resident bidders of the state and/or to products raised or manufactured in the state.
3.7.1. Evaluation Criteria: Proposals will be evaluated on the basis of the qualifications of the proposing company(s) (25%), the scope of the funds review and the claims audit (25%), the ability to meet the time constraints (10%), and the cost of the proposal across the entire term of the contract (40%).
3.7.1.1. Bidders must demonstrate for themselves and any subcontractors that they have the organization, experience, technical skills, financial resources, and proven track record to effectively provide the services required.
3.7.1.2. A comprehensive scope of report outline should be provided for both the fund review and claims audit.
3.7.1.3. Bidders should indicate the anticipated time table for report delivery starting with initial delivery of data to final copy.
3.8. CONFIDENTIALITY: The successful response will become part of the contract file and will become a matter of public record, as will all other responses received. If the response includes material that is considered by the bidder to be proprietary and confidential under 1 VSA, Chapter 5, the bidder shall clearly designate the material as such, explaining why such material should be considered confidential. The bidder must identify each page or section of the response that it believes is proprietary and confidential with sufficient grounds to justify each exemption from release, including the prospective harm to the competitive position of the bidder if the identified material were to be released. Under no circumstances can the entire response or price information be marked confidential. Responses so marked may not be considered.
3.9. CONTRACT TERMS: The selected vendors will sign a contract with the State to provide the items named in their responses, at the prices listed. Minimum support levels, terms, and conditions from this RFP, and the vendor’s response will become part of the contract. This contract will be subject to review throughout its term. The State will consider cancellation upon discovery that a vendor is in violation of any portion of the agreement, including an inability by the vendor to provide the products, support, and/or service offered in their response.
3.10. STATEMENT OF RIGHTS: The State of Vermont reserves the right to obtain clarification or additional information necessary to properly evaluate a proposal. Vendors may be asked to give a verbal presentation of their proposal after submission. Failure of vendor to respond to a request for additional information or clarification could result in rejection of that vendor's proposal. To secure a project that is deemed to be in the best interest of the State, the State reserves the right to accept or reject any and all bids, in whole or in part, with or without cause, and to waive technicalities in submissions. The State also reserves the right to make purchases outside of the awarded contracts where it is deemed in the best interest of the State.
3.11. TAXES: Most state purchases are not subject to federal or state sales or excise taxes and must be invoiced tax free. An exemption certificate will be furnished upon request covering taxable items. The contractor agrees to pay all Vermont taxes which may be due as a result of this order. If taxes are to be applied to the purchase it will be so noted in the response.
3.12. ORDER OF PRECEDENCE: The order of precedence for documentation will be the State of Vermont Standard Contract Form and attachments, the bid document and any amendments, and the vendor’s response and any amendments.
3.13. SPECIFICATION CHANGE: Any changes or variations in the specifications must be received in writing from the Office of Purchasing & Contracting. Verbal instructions or written instructions from any other source are not to be considered.
3.14. AMENDMENTS: No changes, modifications, or amendments in the terms and conditions of this contract shall be effective unless reduced to writing, numbered, and signed by the duly authorized representative of the State and Contractor.
STATE OF VERMONT OFFICE OF PURCHASING & CONTRACTING RFP for Actuarial Services PAGE 6
3.15. NON COLLUSION: The State of Vermont is conscious of and concerned about collusion. It should therefore be
understood by all that in signing bid and contract documents they agree that the prices quoted have been arrived at without collusion and that no prior information concerning these prices has been received from or given to a competitive company. If there is sufficient evidence to warrant investigation of the bid/contract process by the Office of the Attorney General, all bidders should understand that this paragraph might be used as a basis for litigation.
4. VENDOR RESPONSE CONTENT AND FORMAT: The content and format requirements listed below are the minimum required for our evaluation. They are not intended to limit the content of the proposals; vendors may include additional information or offer alternative solutions which may be considered.
4.1. NUMBER OF COPIES: Submit one original bid and one copy of the bid.
4.2. BACKGROUND AND EXPERIENCE. Provide a full description of the experience you have had in supplying actuarial review for a public entity and audits of claims functions.
4.3. REFERENCES. Provide the names, addresses, and phone numbers of at least three companies with whom you have transacted similar business in the last 12 months. You must include contact names who can talk knowledgeably about performance.
4.4. REPORTING REQUIREMENTS: Provide a sample of your current reporting document.
4.5. PRICING: Proposals should be developed indicating rates for services as well as a “not to exceed” cost for each year, exclusive of additional projects. An estimate of expected costs for each phase of the project is requested. Hourly rates for potential additional projects should be separately identified. Proposals are to reflect all years of the contract term including the possible two one year extensions. Rates for each year must be specifically identified.
4.6. CERTIFICATE OF COMPLIANCE: This form must be completed and submitted as part of the response for the proposal to be considered valid.
4.7. WORKERS’ COMPENSATION; STATE CONTRACTS COMPLIANCE REQUIREMENT; SELF REPORTING: This form must be completed and submitted as part of the response for the proposal to be considered valid.
4.8. WORKERS’ COMPENSATION; STATE CONTRACTS COMPLIANCE REQUIREMENT; SUBCONTRACTOR REPORTING: This form must be completed and submitted as part of the response for the proposal to be considered valid.
4.9. OFFSHORE OUTSOURCING QUESTIONNAIRE: This form must be completed and submitted as part of the response for the proposal to be considered valid.
5. SUBMISSION INSTRUCTIONS:
5.1. CLOSING DATE: The closing date for the receipt of proposals is 1:30 p.m. EST, June 25, 2010.
5.2. The bid opening will be held at 10 Baldwin St, Montpelier, VT and is open to the public.
5.3. SEALED BID INSTRUCTIONS: All bids must be sealed and must be addressed to the State of Vermont, Office of Purchasing & Contracting, 10 Baldwin St - Montpelier, VT 05633-7501. BID ENVELOPES MUST BE CLEARLY MARKED ‘SEALED BID’ AND SHOW THE REQUISITION NUMBER AND/OR PROPOSAL TITLE, OPENING DATE AND NAME OF BIDDER.
5.3.1. All bidders are hereby notified that sealed bids must be received and time stamped by the Office of Purchasing & Contracting located at 10 Baldwin St - Montpelier, VT 05633-7501by the time of the bid opening. Bids not in possession of the Office of Purchasing & Contracting at the time of the bid opening will be returned to the vendor, and will not be considered.
5.3.2. Office of Purchasing & Contracting may, for cause, change the date and/or time of bid openings or issue an addendum. If a change is made, the State will make a reasonable effort to inform all bidders by posting at: http://bgs.vermont.gov/purchasing/bids.
STATE OF VERMONT OFFICE OF PURCHASING & CONTRACTING RFP for Actuarial Services PAGE 7
5.3.3. All bids will be publically opened. Typically, the Office of Purchasing & Contracting will open the bid, read the
name and address of the bidder, and read the bid amount. However, the Office of Purchasing & Contracting reserves the right to limit the information disclosed at the bid opening to the name and address of the bidder when, in its sole discretion, the Office of Purchasing & Contracting determines that the nature, type, or size of the bid is such that the Office of Purchasing & Contracting cannot immediately (at the opening) determine that the bids are in compliance with the RFP. As such, there will be cases in which the bid amount will not be read at the bid opening. Bid openings are open to members of the public. Bid results are a public record however, the bid results are exempt from disclosure to the public until the award has been made and the contract is executed.
5.4. DELIVERY METHODS:
5.4.1. U.S. MAIL: Bidders are cautioned that it is their responsibility to originate the mailing of bids in sufficient time to ensure bids are received and time stamped by the Office of Purchasing & Contracting prior to the time of the bid opening.
5.4.2. EXPRESS DELIVERY: If bids are being sent via an express delivery service, be certain that the RFP designation is clearly shown on the outside of the delivery envelope or box. Express delivery packages will not be considered received by the State until the express delivery package has been received and time stamped by the Office of Purchasing & Contracting.
5.4.3. HAND DELIVERY: Hand carried bids shall be delivered to a representative of the Division prior to the bid opening.
5.4.4. ELECTRONIC: Electronic bids will not be accepted.
5.4.5. FAX BIDS: FAXED responses MAY be acceptable. You must contact the purchasing agent and obtain prior approval. If approval is received, the FAX must be prefixed with the “SEALED BID”. Bidders are cautioned that if a FAXED response is approved it is their responsibility to originate the message in sufficient time to insure receipt by the Office of Purchasing & Contracting prior to the time of the bid opening. All pages must be printed and in the possession of the division prior to the date and time of the bid opening or the bid will not be considered. FAXED bidders are cautioned that bids submitted by the FAX method may be compromised prior to the time of the sealed bid opening. FAXED information is accessible when transmitted and confidentiality cannot be guaranteed. State reserves the right to reject a faxed bid if it appears that the faxed bid is incomplete or portions of the faxed bid or eligible.
6. ATTACHMENTS:
6.1. Attachment C: Standard State Contract Provisions (January 8, 2009)
6.2. Certificate of Compliance
6.3. Price Schedule
6.4. Offshore Outsourcing Questionnaire
6.5. Workers’ Compensation; State Contracts Compliance Requirement; Self Reporting
6.6. Workers’ Compensation; State Contracts Compliance Requirement; Subcontractor Reporting
Revised 01-08-09
State of Vermont ATTACHMENT C: STANDARD STATE PROVISIONS
FOR CONTRACTS AND GRANTS
1. Entire Agreement: This Agreement, whether in the form of a Contract, State Funded Grant, or Federally Funded Grant, represents the entire agreement between the parties on the subject matter. All prior agreements, representations, statements, negotiations, and understandings shall have no effect.
2. Applicable Law: This Agreement will be governed by the laws of the State of Vermont.
3. Definitions: For purposes of this Attachment, “Party” shall mean the Contractor, Grantee or Subrecipient, with whom the State of Vermont is executing this Agreement and consistent with the form of the Agreement.
4. Appropriations: If this Agreement extends into more than one fiscal year of the State (July 1 to June 30), and if appropriations are insufficient to support this Agreement, the State may cancel at the end of the fiscal year, or otherwise upon the expiration of existing appropriation authority. In the case that this Agreement is a Grant that is funded in whole or in part by federal funds, and in the event federal funds become unavailable or reduced, the State may suspend or cancel this Grant immediately, and the State shall have no obligation to pay Subrecipient from State revenues.
5. No Employee Benefits For Party: The Party understands that the State will not provide any individual retirement benefits, group life insurance, group health and dental insurance, vacation or sick leave, workers compensation or other benefits or services available to State employees, nor will the state withhold any state or federal taxes except as required under applicable tax laws, which shall be determined in advance of execution of the Agreement. The Party understands that all tax returns required by the Internal Revenue Code and the State of Vermont, including but not limited to income, withholding, sales and use, and rooms and meals, must be filed by the Party, and information as to Agreement income will be provided by the State of Vermont to the Internal Revenue Service and the Vermont Department of Taxes.
6. Independence, Liability: The Party will act in an independent capacity and not as officers or employees of the State.
The Party shall defend the State and its officers and employees against all claims or suits arising in whole or in part from any act or omission of the Party or of any agent of the Party. The State shall notify the Party in the event of any such claim or suit, and the Party shall immediately retain counsel and otherwise provide a complete defense against the entire claim or suit.
After a final judgment or settlement the Party may request recoupment of specific defense costs and may file suit in Washington Superior Court requesting recoupment. The Party shall be entitled to recoup costs only upon a showing that such costs were entirely unrelated to the defense of any claim arising from an act or omission of the Party.
The Party shall indemnify the State and its officers and employees in the event that the State, its officers or employees become legally obligated to pay any damages or losses arising from any act or omission of the Party.
7. Insurance: Before commencing work on this Agreement the Party must provide certificates of insurance to show that the following minimum coverages are in effect. It is the responsibility of the Party to maintain current certificates of insurance on file with the state through the term of the Agreement. No warranty is made that the coverages and limits listed herein are adequate to cover and protect the interests of the Party for the Party’s operations. These are solely minimums that have been established to protect the interests of the State.
Workers Compensation: With respect to all operations performed, the Party shall carry workers’ compensation insurance in accordance with the laws of the State of Vermont.
General Liability and Property Damage: With respect to all operations performed under the contract, the Party shall carry general liability insurance having all major divisions of coverage including, but not limited to:
Premises - Operations
Products and Completed Operations
Personal Injury Liability
Contractual Liability
Revised 01-08-09
The policy shall be on an occurrence form and limits shall not be less than:
Party shall name the State of Vermont and its officers and employees as additional insureds for liability arising out of this Agreement.
Automotive Liability: The Party shall carry automotive liability insurance covering all motor vehicles, including hired and non-owned coverage, used in connection with the Agreement. Limits of coverage shall not be less than: $1,000,000 combined single limit.
Party shall name the State of Vermont and its officers and employees as additional insureds for liability arising out of this Agreement.
8. Reliance by the State on Representations: All payments by the State under this Agreement will be made in reliance upon the accuracy of all prior representations by the Party, including but not limited to bills, invoices, progress reports and other proofs of work.
9. Requirement to Have a Single Audit: In the case that this Agreement is a Grant that is funded in whole or in part by federal funds, and if this Subrecipient expends $500,000 or more in federal assistance during its fiscal year, the Subrecipient is required to have a single audit conducted in accordance with the Single Audit Act, except when it elects to have a program specific audit.
The Subrecipient may elect to have a program specific audit if it expends funds under only one federal program and the federal program’s laws, regulating or grant agreements do not require a financial statement audit of the Party.
A Subrecipient is exempt if the Party expends less than $500,000 in total federal assistance in one year.
The Subrecipient will complete the Certification of Audit Requirement annually within 45 days after its fiscal year end. If a single audit is required, the sub-recipient will submit a copy of the audit report to the primary pass-through Party and any other pass-through Party that requests it within 9 months. If a single audit is not required, the Subrecipient will submit the Schedule of Federal Expenditures within 45 days. These forms will be mailed to the Subrecipient by the Department of Finance and Management near the end of its fiscal year. These forms are also available on the Finance & Management Web page at: http://finance.vermont.gov/forms
10. Records Available for Audit: The Party will maintain all books, documents, payroll papers, accounting records and other evidence pertaining to costs incurred under this agreement and make them available at reasonable times during the period of the Agreement and for three years thereafter for inspection by any authorized representatives of the State or Federal Government. If any litigation, claim, or audit is started before the expiration of the three year period, the records shall be retained until all litigation, claims or audit findings involving the records have been resolved. The State, by any authorized representative, shall have the right at all reasonable times to inspect or otherwise evaluate the work performed or being performed under this Agreement.
11. Fair Employment Practices and Americans with Disabilities Act: Party agrees to comply with the requirement of Title 21V.S.A. Chapter 5, Subchapter 6, relating to fair employment practices, to the full extent applicable. Party shall also ensure, to the full extent required by the Americans with Disabilities Act of 1990 that qualified individuals with disabilities receive equitable access to the services, programs, and activities provided by the Party under this Agreement. Party further agrees to include this provision in all subcontracts.
12. Set Off: The State may set off any sums which the Party owes the State against any sums due the Party under this Agreement; provided, however, that any set off of amounts due the State of Vermont as taxes shall be in accordance with the procedures more specifically provided hereinafter.
a. Party understands and acknowledges responsibility, if applicable, for compliance with State tax laws, including income tax withholding for employees performing services within the State, payment of use tax on property used within the State, corporate and/or personal income tax on income earned within the State.
b. Party certifies under the pains and penalties of perjury that, as of the date the Agreement is signed, the Party is in good standing with respect to, or in full compliance with, a plan to pay any and all taxes due the State of Vermont.
c. Party understands that final payment under this Agreement may be withheld if the Commissioner of Taxes determines that the Party is not in good standing with respect to or in full compliance with a plan to pay any and all taxes due to the State of Vermont.
d. Party also understands the State may set off taxes (and related penalties, interest and fees) due to the State of Vermont, but only if the Party has failed to make an appeal within the time allowed by law, or an appeal has been taken and finally determined and the Party has no further legal recourse to contest the amounts due.
14. Child Support: (Applicable if the Party is a natural person, not a corporation or partnership.) Party states that, as of the date the Agreement is signed, he/she:
a. is not under any obligation to pay child support; or
b. is under such an obligation and is in good standing with respect to that obligation; or
c. has agreed to a payment plan with the Vermont Office of Child Support Services and is in full compliance with that plan.
Party makes this statement with regard to support owed to any and all children residing in Vermont. In addition, if the Party is a resident of Vermont, Party makes this statement with regard to support owed to any and all children residing in any other state or territory of the United States.
15. Sub-Agreements: Party shall not assign, subcontract or subgrant the performance of his Agreement or any portion thereof to any other Party without the prior written approval of the State. Party also agrees to include in all subcontract or subgrant agreements a tax certification in accordance with paragraph 13 above.
16. No Gifts or Gratuities: Party shall not give title or possession of any thing of substantial value (including property, currency, travel and/or education programs) to any officer or employee of the State during the term of this Agreement.
17. Copies: All written reports prepared under this Agreement will be printed using both sides of the paper.
18. Certification Regarding Debarment: Party certifies under pains and penalties of perjury that, as of the date that this Agreement is signed, neither Party nor Party’s principals (officers, directors, owners, or partners) are presently debarred, suspended, proposed for debarment, declared ineligible or excluded from participation in federal programs or programs supported in whole or in part by federal funds.
(End of Standard Provisions)
RFP/PROJECT: ACTUARIAL SERVICES DATE: MAY 17, 2010
CERTIFICATE OF COMPLIANCE
This form must be completed in its entirety and submitted as part of the response for the proposal to be considered valid. TAXES: Pursuant to 32 V.S.A. § 3113, bidder hereby certifies, under the pains and penalties of perjury, that the company/individual is in good standing with respect to, or in full compliance with a plan to pay, any and all taxes due to the State of Vermont as of the date this statement is made. A person is in good standing if no taxes are due, if the liability for any tax that may be due is on appeal, or if the person is in compliance with a payment plan approved by the Commissioner of Taxes. INSURANCE: Bidder certifies that the company/individual is in compliance with, or is prepared to comply with, the insurance requirements as detailed in Section 7 of Attachment C: Standard State Contract Provisions. Certificates of insurance must be provided prior to issuance of a contract and/or purchase order. If the certificate(s) of insurance is/are not received by the Office of Purchasing & Contracting within five (5) days of notification of award, the State of Vermont reserves the right to select another vendor. Please reference the RFP and/or RFQ # when submitting the certificate of insurance.
CONTRACT TERMS: The undersigned hereby acknowledges and agrees to Attachment C: Standard State Contract Provisions. TERMS OF SALE: The undersigned agrees to furnish the products or services listed at the prices quoted. The Terms of Sales are Net 30 days from receipt of service or invoice, whichever is later. Percentage discounts may be offered for prompt payments of invoices, however such discounts must be in effect for a period of 30 days or more in order to be considered in making awards. FORM OF PAYMENT: Would you accept the Visa Purchasing Card as a form of payment? ____ Yes ____ No
Insurance Certificate(s): Attached ______________ Will provide upon notification of award ____________ Delivery Offered: _______ days after notice of award Terms of Sale: ___________________ (If Discount) Quotation Valid for: _____ days Date: __________ Name of Company: __________________________ Contact Name: ______________________________ Address: ___________________________________ Fax Number: ___________________________ ___________________________________________ E-mail: _______________________________ By: _______________________________________ Name: _______________________________ Signature (Bid Not Valid Unless Signed) (Type or Print)
All returned quotes and related documents must be identified with our request for quote number.
RFP/PROJECT: ACTUARIAL SERIVCES DATE: MAY 17, 2010
WORKERS’ COMPENSATION; STATE CONTRACTS COMPLIANCE REQUIREMENT
Self Reporting
Form 1 of 2
This form must be completed in its entirety and submitted as part of the response for the proposal to be considered valid. The Department of Buildings and General Services in accordance with Act 54, Section 32 of the Acts of 2009 and for total projects costs exceeding $250,000.00, requires bidders comply with the following provisions and requirements. Bidder is required to self report the following information relating to past violations, convictions, suspensions, and any other information related to past performance relative to coding and classification for worker’s compensation. The state is requiring information on any violations that occurred in the previous 12 months.
Summary of Detailed Information Date of Notification Outcome
WORKERS’ COMPENSATION STATE CONTRACTS COMPLIANCE REQUIREMENT: Bidder hereby certifies that the company/individual is in compliance with the requirements as detailed in Act 54, Section 32 of the Acts of 2009. Date: Name of Company: Contact Name: Address: Title: Phone Number: E-mail: Fax Number: By: Name: Signature (Bid Not Valid Unless Signed)* (Type or Print) *Form must be signed by individual authorized to sign on the bidder’s behalf.
RFP/PROJECT: ACTUARIAL SERVICES DATE: MAY 17, 2010
WORKERS’ COMPENSATION; STATE CONTRACTS COMPLIANCE REQUIREMENT
Subcontractor Reporting
Form 2 of 2
This form must be completed in its entirety and submitted as part of the response for the proposal to be considered valid. The Department of Buildings and General Services in accordance with Act 54, Section 32 of the Acts of 2009 and for total projects costs exceeding $250,000.00 requires bidders to comply with the following provisions and requirements. Bidder is required to provide a list of subcontractors on the job along with lists of subcontractor’s subcontractors and by whom those subcontractors are insured for workers’ compensation purposes. Include additional pages if necessary. This is not a requirement for subcontractor’s providing supplies only and no labor to the overall contract or project.
Subcontractor Insured By Subcontractor’s Sub Insured By
Date: Name of Company: Contact Name: Address: Title: Phone Number: E-mail: Fax Number: By: Name: Signature (Bid Not Valid Unless Signed)* (Type or Print) *Form must be signed by individual authorized to sign on the bidder’s behalf.
Offshore Outsourcing Questionnaire Vendors must indicate whether or not any services are or will be performed in a country other than the United Sates. Indicate N/A if not applicable. Services:
Proposed Service to be Outsourced
Bid Total
Offshore Dollars
Represents what % of total Contract Dollars
Outsourced Work Location (Country)
Subcontractor
If any or all of the services are or will be outsourced offshore, Vendors are required to provide a cost estimate of what the cost would be to provide the same services onshore and/or in Vermont.
Proposed Service to be
Outsourced
Bid Total if provided
Onshore
Bid Total if provided in
Vermont
Cost Impact
Onshore Work Location
Subcontractor
Name of Bidder: Signature of Bidder: Date
STATE OF VERMONT REQUEST FOR PROPOSAL
ACTUARIAL SERVICES PRICING WORKSHEET
Year One
Actuarial Study Cost $
Claims Audit Cost $
Annual Not to Exceed Figure $
Hourly Rate for Special Projects $ Per Hour
Year Two
Actuarial Study Cost $
Claims Audit Cost $
Annual Not to Exceed Figure $
Hourly Rate for Special Projects $ Per Hour
Year Three (Option)
Actuarial Study Cost $
Claims Audit Cost $
Annual Not to Exceed Figure $
Hourly Rate for Special Projects $ Per Hour
Year Four (Option)
Actuarial Study Cost $
Claims Audit Cost $
Annual Not to Exceed Figure $
Hourly Rate for Special Projects $ Per Hour
Name of Bidder: Signature of Bidder: Date:
AMI Risk Consultants, Inc.
State of Vermont
Self - Insurance Program Actuarial Review
as of June 30, 2009
Firm: AMI Risk Consultants, Inc. 11410 N. Kendall Drive, Suite 208 Miami, Florida 33176 (305) 273-1589
Contact: Aguedo (Bob) M. Ingco, FCAS, MAAA, CPCU, ARM
Date: September 17, 2009
September 17, 2009 Mr. Bill Duchac Manager, Office of Risk Management BGS Financial Operation 200 Governor Aiken Avenue Montpelier, VT 05633-5801 Dear Mr. Duchac: We are pleased to submit to you ten (10) bound and one (1) unbound copies of the final report for our actuarial review of the self-insurance program of the State of Vermont as of June 30, 2009. We very much appreciate the cooperation and courtesies extended to us during the course of this engagement. Please do not hesitate to contact us should you have any questions regarding the report. Sincerely, Bob Ingco, FCAS, MAAA, CPCU, ARM President
Conclusions.......................................................................................................................... 2-5 Distribution and Use ............................................................................................................ 6
Reliances and Limitations .................................................................................................... 6
Summary of Results ...................................................................................................... Summary Calculation of Ultimate Losses for Workers' Compensation ............................................... I Calculation of Ultimate Losses for General Liability .......................................................... II Calculation of Ultimate Losses for Automobile Liability .................................................... III
Calculation of Projected Losses for Workers' Compensation.............................................. IV
Calculation of Projected Losses for General Liability ........................................................ V
Calculation of Projected Losses for Automobile Liability .................................................. VI
AMI Risk Consultants, Inc.
TABLE OF CONTENTS (continued)
Analysis Reserve Change for Workers' Compensation....................................................... Appendix A
Analysis Reserve Change for General Liability................................................................... Appendix B
Analysis of Reserve Change for Automobile Liability ........................................................ Appendix C
Future Funding Amounts At Alternate Sovereign Immunity Limits for General Liability and Automobile Liability ..................................... Appendix D
IV. GLOSSARY OF TERMS
AMI Risk Consultants, Inc.
State of Vermont
Self-Insurance Program Actuarial Review June 30, 2009
Purpose
The State of Vermont (the State) has engaged the services of AMI Risk Consultants, Inc. (AMI) to perform the following for its self-insurance program: • Estimate the funding requirements for outstanding liabilities (loss reserves)
at June 30, 2009 for workers’ compensation, general liability, and automobile liability, to comply with the Government Accounting Standards Board Statement Number 10 (GASB 10).
• Estimate the funding requirements for prospective fiscal accident years
2009/2010, 2010/2011, 2011/2012, 2012/2013 and 2013/2014 at the State’s current retention.
• Review the sufficiency of the current sovereign immunity limits. The funding requirements are liabilities retained by the State for losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses (ALAE). We did not include in our estimates any provision to meet other general and administrative expenses of the State’s self-insurance program. For this report, the term "losses" means losses and ALAE, unless otherwise indicated.
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Conclusions
Funding for Outstanding Liabilities at June 30, 2009 Our estimated outstanding liabilities (or loss reserves) by type of coverage at June 30, 2009 are shown below. This is the estimated unpaid balance on claims that occurred on or before that date.
Estimates of outstanding liabilities (loss reserves) at higher confidence levels can be seen in the Summary Exhibit, Pages 1 and 2 following this report.
Outstanding Liabilities at June 30, 2009 Undiscounted
Expected Confidence Level (amounts in thousands)
Workers
Compensation General Liability
Automobile Liability Total
$19,112 $4,946 $1,061 $25,119
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Conclusions (continued)
Funding for New Claims Occurring in Future Fiscal Years Our estimate of ultimate losses for accidents occurring in prospective fiscal years 2009/2010, 2010/2011, 2011/2012, 2012/2013 and 2013/2014 are shown below. These are the necessary amounts to fund new accidents that will occur during the next five (5) fiscal policy periods:
Estimates at higher confidence levels can be seen on Pages 4-8 of the Summary Exhibit attached to this report. The estimates shown above assume the State will continue with no excess insurance on workers’ compensation and a $250 thousand retention on general and automobile liability claims.
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Conclusions (continued)
Reconciliation of Current Reserves to Last Year’s Estimate
Reconciliation to Prior Year’s Estimate – Undiscounted All Coverages Combined – Expected Confidence Level
(amounts in thousands) 1. Estimated undiscounted loss reserves at 6/30/2008 $22,305 2. Loss payments during FY 2009 for accident years 2008 and prior. ($5,460) 3. Change in estimated ultimate losses for accident years 2008 and prior due to re-evaluation at 6/30/2009
$645
4. Estimated ultimate losses for AY 2009 $9,781 5. Loss payments during FY 2009 for accident year 2009 ($2,152) 6. Estimated undiscounted loss reserves at 6/30/2009 Sum of (1) thru (5)
$25,119
This table shows the components impacting the change in the total reserve level between June 30, 2008 and June 30, 2009. The increase in the reserve level from $22,305 to $25,119 is due primarily to the cost of the new accidents that occurred in 2009 (Item 4). Because this cost exceeds the reduction in the reserve from payments made during the year (Item 2 plus Item 5), there is a net increase in the reserve. It is commonly the case for both insurance companies and self-insurance programs that the cost of new accidents is larger than the payout of older claims. The latest year’s claims are typically more costly than prior years due to increased exposure to loss and the impact of inflation on the average claim cost. In addition to the cost of new claims the reserve was also impacted by an adverse development on prior accidents of $645 (Item 3). This means that claims that occurred in prior accident years developed by more than expected during the past year, and that estimated ultimate losses for past years have increased by $645. Further discussion is included in the next section, “Reserve Change by Coverage”.
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Conclusions (continued)
Reserve Change by Coverage The total undiscounted reserve increased by $2,814 thousand over the estimate from a year ago. The table below shows the change by coverage.
Estimated Undiscounted Reserves
Expected Confidence Level (000’s)
Coverage
At June 30, 2008 At June 30, 2009 Change
Workers’ Compensation $17,121 $19,112 $1,991 General Liability 4,255 4,946 691
Auto Liability 929 1,061 132 Total $22,305 $25,119 $2,814
The primary increase occurred in Workers’ Compensation. Although the Workers’ Compensation increase was due mainly to the cost of claims for the new 2009 accidents, there was also an adverse development on prior accident years, primarily accident year 2006. The table below details the $548 change in ultimate losses for 2006 claims. It shows the significant increase in case incurred losses over the past year for these claims, and the resulting upward shift in the estimate of ultimate losses.
Adverse Development of
Workers’ Compensation Accident Year 2006 (000’s)
Case Incurred
Losses At 6/30/08
Estimated Ultimate Losses
At 6/30/08
Case Incurred
Losses At 6/30/09
Estimated Ultimate Losses
At 6/30/09
Change in Estimated
Ultimate Losses $5,848 $6,996 $6,953 $7,544 $548
Overall prior accident year development for Automobile Liability was slightly favorable (by $55 thousand) and for General Liability was slightly adverse (by $13 thousand). Please see Appendices D-F in the Exhibits Section of this report for a complete reconciliation of reserves between June 30, 2008 and June 30, 2009 for each coverage.
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Distribution and Use
This report is for the internal use of the management of the State and their independent accountants, solely to enable the latter to opine on the annual financial statements of the State. We suggest that the user of this report review a complete copy as parts considered out of context might be misleading. Please request our written consent prior to distributing this report to other third parties.
Reliance and Limitations
In performing the analysis we relied without audit or verification on the following information furnished by the State: • Historical loss development information prepared by the State, by accident
year and by type of coverage, for incurred and paid losses through June 30, 2009. The types of coverage are: workers' compensation, general liability, and automobile liability.
• Exposure estimates by accident year through June 30, 2009. For workers'
compensation and general liability, the State provided payroll; for automobile liability claims, the State provided number of vehicles.
In performing the work, we spoke with Mr. Bill Duchac, Manager, Office of Risk Management for the State. Estimates of net reserves are subject to potential errors of estimation because the ultimate liability for claims is subject to the outcome of events yet to occur, e.g., jury decisions and attitudes of claimants with respect to settlements. In projecting loss emergence, we assumed that historical loss development patterns and insurance industry loss development patterns are predictive of future patterns. We have not anticipated any extraordinary changes in the legal, social or economic environment that might affect the ultimate cost of claims. We cannot reasonably estimate the uncertainties that ultimate liabilities are subject to. Therefore, while we believe our assumptions and methods are reasonable, we cannot guarantee that actual results will not differ, perhaps substantially, from our estimates. Loss Development History for General and Automobile Liability This year we appended an additional diagonal to the General Liability and Automobile Liability triangles which were created last year. As the triangle history builds over time, progressively more weight will be assigned to the State’s development pattern and less to industry factors.
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Background
The State has been self-insured for workers compensation since February 1, 1990 and liability since July 1, 1990. The last change to sovereign immunity limits was made July 1, 1990 when the limits were fixed at $250,000 per person, $1,000,000 per occurrence. In 1989 the limits had been revised to $250,000 per person, $500,000 per occurrence changing from the initial limits of $75,000 per person, $300,000 per occurrence established in the early 1960’s. Workers compensation has been fully self-insured from its inception February 1, 1990 with unlimited liability and no commercially purchased excess insurance. The liability program, which is limited by the sovereign immunity statute (referenced below), has purchased excess insurance from its inception July 1, 1990. For the first three years of the liability program the self-insured retention (SIR) was $150,000. From 1993 forward the SIR has been $250,000.
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Actuarial Approach Description of the methods we used to estimate the reserves as of June 30, 2009.
Recommended Funding Level as of June 30, 2009 To estimate total reserves as of June 30, 2009, we first estimated ultimate losses. Paid losses through June 30, 2009 were then subtracted from ultimate losses to estimate total reserves.
To estimate ultimate losses, we used the following four actuarial approaches. They were applied separately by accident year and by type of coverage:
• Incurred Loss Development Approach (ILDA) • Paid Loss Development Approach (PLDA) • Bornhuetter-Ferguson Incurred Loss Approach (BFILA) • Bornhuetter-Ferguson Paid Loss Approach (BFPLA).
Incurred Loss Development Approach (ILDA) Under the ILDA, we multiplied incurred losses to date by the appropriate loss development factors to estimate ultimate losses.
In applying this approach, we used loss development factors that are based on the State's historical loss development patterns, supplemented by insurance industry loss development patterns as compiled by AM Best. We assumed that losses are reported and reserved consistently.
Paid Loss Development Approach (PLDA) The PLDA is similar to the ILDA. Instead of multiplying incurred losses by loss development factors, we multiplied paid losses by the appropriate loss development factors to estimate ultimate losses.
In applying this approach, we used loss development factors that are based on the State's historical loss development patterns, supplemented by insurance industry development patterns as compiled by AM Best. We assumed that losses are paid consistently.
Bornhuetter-Ferguson Incurred Loss Approach (BFILA) Under the BFILA, we summed actual incurred losses and expected unreported losses to estimate projected ultimate losses.
In applying this approach, we estimated expected unreported losses by using loss development factors that are based on the State's historical loss development patterns, supplemented by insurance industry loss development patterns. We also used the average of estimated loss rates (ultimate losses divided by exposure base) indicated by the ILDA and PLDA. We assumed that losses are reported and reserved consistently.
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Actuarial Approach (continued)
Bornhuetter-Ferguson Paid Loss Approach (BFPLA) Under the BFPLA, we summed actual paid losses and expected unpaid losses to estimate projected ultimate losses.
In applying this approach, we estimated expected unpaid losses by using loss development factors that are based on the State's historical loss development patterns, supplemented by insurance industry loss development patterns. We also used the average of estimated loss rates (ultimate losses divided by exposure base) indicated by the ILDA and PLDA. We assumed that losses are paid consistently.
Calculation of Ultimate Losses for Accident Year 2008/2009 To react to the immaturity of the paid and incurred losses for accident year 2008/2009, we used the Loss Rate Approach (LRA) instead of the ILDA and PLDA. Under the LRA, a loss rate is estimated for 2008/2009 by averaging net ultimate losses divided by exposure of prior years. This loss rate is multiplied by the 2008/2009 exposure to estimate the 2008/2009 ultimate loss. Risk Margins
Our estimates using the various methods and procedures we have described, are based on an expected value. Conceptually, an expected value is an average value. The actual losses of an entity like the State will vary and could be higher or lower than this average value. The more risk margin that is added to this average value in determining the funding level, the higher the likelihood that the State’s funding level will be sufficient to pay for actual losses.
In our calculations, we used margins for 60%, 70%, 75%, 85%, 90% and 95% confidence levels. With the 75% confidence level, we are estimating the margin that is necessary so that there is a 75% likelihood that the funding level will be sufficient to cover the actual liabilities.
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Actuarial Approach (continued) The steps we used to estimate the recommended funding levels for Fiscal Accident Years 2009/2010,2010/2011, 2011/2012, 2012/2013, and 2013/2014.
Recommended Funding Levels for 2009/2010, 2010/2011, 2011/2012, 2012/2013 and 2013/2014 To estimate the funding levels for prospective fiscal accident years 2009/2010, 2010/2011, 2011/2012, 2012/2013 and 2013/2014 by coverage, we followed these steps: • Estimated the historical loss rates by accident year. • Extrapolated the historical loss rates to fiscal years 2009/2010,
2010/2011, 2011/2012, 2012/2013 and 2013/2014. • Multiplied the extrapolated loss rates by the projected exposures. As we did when estimating the loss reserves as of June 30, 2009, we then estimated a risk margin.
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Results of Calculations
Outstanding Liabilities at June 30, 2009 Our estimated outstanding liabilities by type of coverage at June 30, 2009, are depicted in the pie chart below. We prepared the pie chart to show the proportion of the estimated reserves (prior to the addition of any risk margin for adverse deviations) of $25.1 million associated with each coverage.
Roughly three-quarters, or 76% of the $25.1 million undiscounted reserves as of June 30, 2009, are for workers’ compensation.
TOTAL ESTIMATED RESERVES
WC76%
GL20%
AL4%
Notes: GL - General Liability AL - Auto Liability WC - Workers’ Compensation
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Results of Calculations (continued)
To give perspective on the prospective funding levels relative to the historical trend in ultimate losses and loss rates, we prepared the following exhibits by type of coverage. In each graph the bar chart shows estimate ultimate losses by accident year for both past and future years. The scale on the left-hand side of the graph should be used with the bars. The line graph shows the historical and projected loss rate, and the scale on the right-hand side should be used to read the values.
W O R K ER S' C O M PEN SA TIO NU LTIM A TE LO SSES AN D LO SS RA TES
01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,000
10,000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
A CCID ENT Y EA R
ULT
IMA
TE L
OSS
ES($
AM
T IN
'000
)
1 .00%
2.00%
3.00%
LOSS
RA
TE(L
OSS
ES A
S %
OF
PAY
RO
LL)
G E N E R A L L I A B I L I T YU L T I M A T E L O S S E S A N D L O S S R A T E S
0
5 0 0
1 ,0 0 0
1 ,5 0 0
2 ,0 0 0
2 ,5 0 0
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
A C C I D E N T Y E A R
ULT
IMA
TE L
OSS
ES
($A
MT
IN '0
00)
0 .0 0 %
0 .5 0 %
1 .0 0 %
LOSS
RA
TE
(LO
SSES
AS
% O
F PA
YR
OLL
)
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Results of Calculations (continued)
AUTO LIABILITYULTIMATE LOSSES AND LOSS RATES
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
ACCIDENT YEAR
ULT
IMA
TE L
OSS
ES($
AM
T IN
'000
)
$0
$300
$600
$900
LO
SS R
AT
E
(DO
LL
AR
S O
F L
OSS
PE
R V
EH
ICL
E)
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Results of Calculations (continued)
Sovereign Immunity Limits
The State currently enjoys sovereign immunity protection which limits liability claims to $250,000 per person / $1,000,000 per occurrence. These limits were set in 1990 and at that time represented a significant increase from the previous limits of $75,000 per person / $300,000 per occurrence. It is our understanding that the change was made in keeping with the original principle of the legislation to provide just and equitable compensation to claimants. To this end the State has attempted in the past to maintain the immunity limits at a relative dollar value in keeping with inflation.
It has now been 19 years since the current sovereign immunity limits were set, and the State, in keeping with the above ideals, might want to assess the sufficiency of the current limits.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is a widely used measure to establish relative value over time. We note that the CPI has increased by 71.3% since 1990. This would suggest an increase of a similar magnitude in the sovereign immunity limits to approximately $425,000 per person / $1,700,000 per occurrence is appropriate in order to adjust the limits for the effects of inflation. Furthermore, to allow for additional inflation between now and the actual implementation period of revised limits, an adjustment of the sovereign immunity limits to $500,000 per person / $2,000,000 per occurrence is recommended.
We estimate that adoption of the recommended limits would increase the State’s annual expected losses by 0.8% to 3.5%, assuming the State adjusted its retention to $500,000 as well. Below is the estimated impact of such a change to the projected funding level for 2009/2010 claims.
Impact of Proposed Change in Sovereign Immunity Limits
For Fiscal Year 2009/2010 Claims (000’s)
Range of Projected Ultimate
Losses at Proposed Limits
Impact of Change in
Limits Coverage
Projected Ultimate Losses at Current Limits
Low High Low High General Liability $1,373 $1,384 $1,421 $11 $48 Automobile Liability $347 $350 $359 $3 $12 Total $1,720 $1,734 $1,780 $14 $60
As shown in the table above, the estimated dollar impact of the proposed change in sovereign immunity limits on the cost of claims occurring during fiscal year 2009/2010 is between $14 thousand and $60 thousand. Please see Appendix D for expected liability losses for each of the next five fiscal accident years assuming alternate sovereign immunity limits.
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Attached Exhibits
Estimated Funding Levels for Outstanding Liabilities at June 30, 2009
We prepared Exhibits I-III estimate the total reserves at June 30, 2009 by coverage: • Exhibit I - Workers' Compensation • Exhibit II - General Liability • Exhibit III - Automobile Liability
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Attached Exhibits (continued)
There are 4 pages to each of the Exhibits I-III. Each page relates to the following: • Page 1 shows how we estimated the loss reserves as of June 30, 2009 before
considering future investment income and the margins necessary to raise the confidence levels higher than the expected level. To estimate the loss reserves, we used ultimate losses that are based on the ultimates suggested by the various approaches previously described.
• Page 2 shows the calculation of ultimate losses using the ILDA and the
PLDA. • Page 3 shows the calculation of the ultimate losses using the BFILA and the
BFPLA. • Page 4 (Pages 4A – 4D) shows the calculation of the historical incurred loss
and paid loss development factors. Projected Funding Levels for Future Accident Years We prepared the attached Exhibits IV-VI to estimate the prospective funding levels for fiscal years 2009/2010, 2010/2011, 2011/2012, 2012/2013, and 2013/2014. • Exhibit IV- Workers' Compensation • Exhibit V - General Liability • Exhibit VI - Automobile Liability This pages shows the estimation of ultimate losses for prospective fiscal years 2009/2010, 2010/2011, 2011/2012, 2012/2013, and 2013/2014.
AMI Risk Consultants, Inc.
O:\State of Vermont\2009\State of Vermont_RPT2009.doc Page 17
Attached Exhibits (continued)
Appendices We prepared Appendices A-C to show why our undiscounted reserves changed from those estimated last year. Specifically, the exhibits show the calculation and analysis of the change in undiscounted reserves from June 30, 2008 to June 30, 2009 for workers' compensation, general liability, and automobile liability, respectively. Please refer to page 1 of Appendices A, B and C. Page 2 of Appendices A, B and C shows the comparison of total ultimate losses for claims prior to fiscal year 2008/2009, using loss information at June 30, 2008 and June 30, 2009. Page 3 of Appendices A, B and C shows the comparison of paid losses for claims prior to fiscal year 2008/2009, using loss information at June 30, 2008 and June 30, 2009. We prepared Appendix D to show projected General Liability and Automobile Liability losses assuming alternate sovereign immunity limits.
AMI Risk Consultants, Inc.
SUMMARY EXHIBITPAGE 1 OF 9
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
SUMMARY OF UNDISCOUNTED RESERVES BY CONFIDENCE LEVELALL COVERAGES COMBINED
AS OF JUNE 30, 2009(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)
UNDISCOUNTED LOSS RESERVES AS OF JUNE 30, 2009COVERAGE EXPECTED 60% CONFIDENCE 70% CONFIDENCE 75% CONFIDENCE
Notes:(1) - From Exhibits IV, V & VI for WC, GL and AL, respectively, - Page 1, Column (1), 2009/2010.(2), (4), (7) & (10) - Per AMI calculation, based on Monte Carlo simulations.(5) = (3) + (4); (8) = (6) + (7); (11) = (9) + (10)
75% Confidence Level
85% Confidence Level
95% Confidence Level
Expected Level
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SUMMARY EXHIBITPAGE 5 OF 9
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
AS OF JUNE 30, 2009RECOMMENDED FUNDING BY CONFIDENCE LEVEL
FOR FISCAL YEAR 2010/2011 ACCIDENTSALL COVERAGES - CURRENT RETENTION
($AMOUNTS IN THOUSANDS)
Projected Margin AmountUndiscounted on Undiscounted
Notes:(1) - From Exhibits IV, V & VI for WC, GL and AL, respectively, - Page 1, Column (1), 2009/2010.(2), (4), (7) & (10) - Per AMI calculation, based on Monte Carlo simulations.(5) = (3) + (4); (8) = (6) + (7); (11) = (9) + (10)
75% Confidence Level
85% Confidence Level
95% Confidence Level
Expected Level
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AMI Risk Consultants, Inc.
SUMMARY EXHIBITPAGE 6 OF 9
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
AS OF JUNE 30, 2009RECOMMENDED FUNDING BY CONFIDENCE LEVEL
FOR FISCAL YEAR 2011/2012 ACCIDENTSALL COVERAGES - CURRENT RETENTION
($AMOUNTS IN THOUSANDS)
Projected Margin AmountUndiscounted on Undiscounted
Notes:(1) - From Exhibits IV, V & VI for WC, GL and AL, respectively, - Page 1, Column (1), 2009/2010.(2), (4), (7) & (10) - Per AMI calculation, based on Monte Carlo simulations.(5) = (3) + (4); (8) = (6) + (7); (11) = (9) + (10)
75% Confidence Level
85% Confidence Level
95% Confidence Level
Expected Level
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SUMMARY EXHIBITPAGE 7 OF 9
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
AS OF JUNE 30, 2009RECOMMENDED FUNDING BY CONFIDENCE LEVEL
FOR FISCAL YEAR 2012/2013 ACCIDENTSALL COVERAGES - CURRENT RETENTION
($AMOUNTS IN THOUSANDS)
Projected Margin AmountUndiscounted on Undiscounted
Notes:(1) - From Exhibits IV, V & VI for WC, GL and AL, respectively, - Page 1, Column (1), 2009/2010.(2), (4), (7) & (10) - Per AMI calculation, based on Monte Carlo simulations.(5) = (3) + (4); (8) = (6) + (7); (11) = (9) + (10)
75% Confidence Level
85% Confidence Level
95% Confidence Level
Expected Level
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AMI Risk Consultants, Inc.
SUMMARY EXHIBITPAGE 8 OF 9
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
AS OF JUNE 30, 2009RECOMMENDED FUNDING BY CONFIDENCE LEVEL
FOR FISCAL YEAR 2013/2014 ACCIDENTSALL COVERAGES - CURRENT RETENTION
($AMOUNTS IN THOUSANDS)
Projected Margin AmountUndiscounted on Undiscounted
Notes:(1) - From Exhibits IV, V & VI for WC, GL and AL, respectively, - Page 1, Column (1), 2009/2010.(2), (4), (7) & (10) - Per AMI calculation, based on Monte Carlo simulations.(5) = (3) + (4); (8) = (6) + (7); (11) = (9) + (10)
75% Confidence Level
85% Confidence Level
95% Confidence Level
Expected Level
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SUMMARY EXHIBITPAGE 9 OF 9
RETENTION AMOUNT OF $250,000Expected Expected Undiscounted
Self-Funded Unlimited Retention FundingPeriod Funding Factor Amount at
Notes:(1), (4) & (7) - Per Exhibit IV, Col. (1).(2), (5) & (8) - Based on NCCI excess loss factors for Vermont.(3) = (1) x (2); (4) = (5) x (6); (9) = (7) x (8).
WORKERS' COMPENSATIONAS OF JUNE 30, 2009
(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
DEVELOPMENT OF FUTURE FUNDING AMOUNTS FOR ALTERNATE RETENTIONS $250,000, $500,000 and $1,000,000 RETENTION LIMITS
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EXHIBIT IPAGE 1 OF 4
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
CALCULATION OF SELECTED ULTIMATE LOSSESWORKERS' COMPENSATION
AS OF JUNE 30, 2009(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)
NET
ALL APPROACHES COMBINEDILDA PLDA BFILA BFPLA SELECTED PAID LOSS
TOTAL $106,685 $104,849 $108,055 $106,666 $106,831 $87,719 $19,112
Notes:(1), (2), (3) & (4)- Ultimate incurred losses calculated from Exhibit I, Pages 2 and 3.(5) = Selected based on (1), (2), (3) & (4).(6) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(7) = (5) - (6).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
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EXHIBIT IPAGE 2 OF 4
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
CALCULATION OF LOSS RESERVES - LOSS DEVELOPMENT APPROACHWORKERS' COMPENSATION
AS OF JUNE 30, 2009(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)
NET
INCURRED LOSS DEVELOPMENT APPROACHINCURRED LOSS ULTIMATE ESTIMATED
ACCIDENT LOSSES DEVLPMT INCURRED PAYROLL LOSS LOSSYEAR* @6/30/2009 FACTORS LOSSES (IN $000'S) RATE RESERVES
Notes:(1), (2), (4), (7), (8) & (10) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(2) & (8) - Per State's historical loss patterns. (3) = (1) x (2); (9) = (7) x (8). If ultimate incurred losses in (9) are less than the incurred losses in (1), we use the losses in (1).
For the most recent year, we used the Loss Rate Approach.(5) = (3) / (4), (11) = (9) / (10). For the most recent year, it is the average of prior years.(6) = (3) - (7); (12) = (9) - (7).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
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EXHIBIT IPAGE 3 OF 4
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
CALCULATION OF ULTIMATE LOSSES - BORNHUETTER-FERGUSON APPROACHWORKERS' COMPENSATION
AS OF JUNE 30, 2009(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)
NET
BORNHUETTER-FERGUSON INCURRED LOSS APPROACHESTIMATED EXPECTED EXPECTED % INCURRED ULTIMATE
ACCIDENT LOSS PAYROLL ULTIMATE OF LOSSES IBNR LOSSES INCURREDYEAR* RATE ($ '000s) LOSSES UNREPORTED RESERVES @6/30/2009 LOSSES
Notes:(1) & (8) - Exhibit I, Page 2 of 4, Columns (5) and (11). These Loss Rates are selected.(2), (6), (9) & (13) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(3) = (1) x (2); (10) = (8) x (9).(4) = (1 - (1/ILDF)); (11) = (1 - (1/PLDF)).(5) = (3) x (4); (12) = (10) x (11).(7) = (5) + (6); (14) = (12) + (13). If ultimate incurred losses in (14) are less than the incurred losses in (6), we used the incurred losses in (6).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
O:\State of Vermont\2009\WC2009.xls\BFA9/14/2009 12:59 PM
TOTAL $18,274 $18,108 $18,578 $18,662 $18,396 $13,450 $4,946
Notes:(1), (2), (3) & (4) - Ultimate incurred losses calculated from Exhibit II, Pages 2 & 3.(5) = Selected based on (1), (2), (3) & (4).(6) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(7) = (5) - (6).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
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EXHIBIT IIPAGE 2 OF 4
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
CALCULATION OF LOSS RESERVES - LOSS DEVELOPMENT APPROACHGENERAL LIABILITYAS OF JUNE 30, 2009
(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)NET
INCURRED LOSS DEVELOPMENT APPROACHINCURRED LOSS ULTIMATE ESTIMATED
ACCIDENT LOSSES DEVLPMT INCURRED PAYROLL LOSS LOSSYEAR* @6/30/2009 FACTORS LOSSES (IN $000'S) RATE RESERVES
Notes:(1), (2), (4), (7), (8) & (10) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(2) & (8) - Per State's historical loss patterns. (3) = (1) x (2); (9) = (7) x (8). If ultimate incurred losses in (9) are less than the incurred losses in (1), we use the losses in (1).
For the most recent year, we used the Loss Rate Approach.(5) = (3) / (4), (11) = (9) / (10). For the most recent year, it is the average of prior years.(6) = (3) - (7); (12) = (9) - (7).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
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EXHIBIT IIPAGE 3 OF 4
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
CALCULATION OF ULTIMATE LOSSES - BORNHUETTER-FERGUSON APPROACHGENERAL LIABILITYAS OF JUNE 30, 2009
(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)NET
BORNHUETTER-FERGUSON INCURRED LOSS APPROACHESTIMATED EXPECTED EXPECTED % INCURRED ULTIMATE
ACCIDENT LOSS PAYROLL ULTIMATE OF LOSSES IBNR LOSSES INCURREDYEAR* RATE ($ '000s) LOSSES UNREPORTED RESERVES @6/30/2009 LOSSES
Notes:(1) & (8) - Exhibit II, Page 2 of 4, Columns (5) and (11). These Loss Rates are fitted values.(2), (6), (9) & (13) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(3) = (1) x (2); (10) = (8) x (9).(4) = (1 - (1/ILDF)); (11) = (1 - (1/PLDF)).(5) = (3) x (4); (12) = (10) x (11).(7) = (5) + (6); (14) = (12) + (13). If ultimate incurred losses in (14) are less than the incurred losses in (6), we used the incurred losses in (6).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
O:\State of Vermont\2009\GL2009.xls\BFA9/14/2009 1:03 PM
TOTAL $7,562 $7,870 $7,697 $8,067 $7,799 $6,738 $1,061
Notes:(1), (2), (3), & (4) - Ultimate incurred losses calculated from Exhibit III, Pages 2, & 3.(5) = Selected based on (1), (2), (3), & (4).(6) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(7) = (5) - (6).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
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EXHIBIT IIIPAGE 2 OF 4
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
CALCULATION OF LOSS RESERVES - LOSS DEVELOPMENT APPROACHAUTOMOBILE LIABILITY
AS OF JUNE 30, 2009(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)
NET
INCURRED LOSS DEVELOPMENT APPROACHINCURRED LOSS ULTIMATE ESTIMATED
ACCIDENT LOSSES DEVLPMT INCURRED NO. OF LOSS LOSSYEAR* @6/30/2009 FACTORS LOSSES VEHICLES RATE RESERVES
Notes:(1), (2), (5), (8), (9) & (12) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(3) & (10) - Per State's historical loss patterns. (4) = [ (1) - (2) ] x (3); (11) = [ (8) - (9)] x (10). If ultimate incurred losses in (11) are less than the incurred losses in (1), we use the losses i
For the most recent year, we used the Loss Rate Approach.(6) = (4) / (5), (13) = (11) / (12). For the most recent year, it is the average of prior 8 years.(7) = (4) - (8); (14) = (11) - (8).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
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EXHIBIT IIIPAGE 3 OF 4
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
CALCULATION OF ULTIMATE LOSSES - BORNHUETTER-FERGUSON APPROACHAUTOMOBILE LIABILITY
AS OF JUNE 30, 2009(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)
NET
BORNHUETTER-FERGUSON INCURRED LOSS APPROACHESTIMATED EXPECTED EXPECTED % INCURRED ULTIMATE
ACCIDENT LOSS NO. OF ULTIMATE OF LOSSES IBNR LOSSES INCURREDYEAR* RATE VEHICLES LOSSES UNREPORTED RESERVES @6/30/2009 LOSSES
Notes:(1) & (8) - Exhibit III, Page 2 of 4, Columns (5) and (11). These Loss Rates are fitted values.(2), (6), (9) & (13) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(3) = (1) x (2); (10) = (8) x (9).(4) = (1 - (1/ILDF)); (11) = (1 - (1/PLDF)).(5) = (3) x (4); (12) = (10) x (11).(7) = (5) + (6); (14) = (12) + (13). If ultimate incurred losses in (14) are less than the incurred losses in (6), we used the incurred losses in (6).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
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Notes:(1) - Exhibit I, Page 1, Column (5). For the projection years (1) = (2) x (3)(2) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(3) = (1) / (2). For the projection years (3) is the trended average of prior years* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year
O:\State of Vermont\2009\WC2009.xls\PROJ19/14/2009 1:00 PM
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EXHIBIT V
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
CALCULATION OF PROJECTED LOSSESGENERAL LIABILITYAS OF JUNE 30, 2009
(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)NET
PROJECTED ULTIMATE LOSSESSELECTED
ACCIDENT ULTIMATE PAYROLL LOSSYEAR* LOSSES (IN $000'S) RATE
Notes:(1) - Exhibit II, Page 1, Column (5). For the projection years (1) = (2) x (3).(2) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(3) = (1) / (2). For the projection years (3) is the trended average of prior years.* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
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EXHIBIT VI
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
CALCULATION OF PROJECTED LOSSESAUTOMOBILE LIABILITY
Notes:(1) - Exhibit III, Page 1, Column (5). For the projection years (1) = (2) x (3).(2) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(3) = (1) / (2). For the projection years (3) is the trended average of prior years.* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
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APPENDIX APAGE 1 OF 3
1. Estimated undiscounted reserves at 6/30/2008 $17,121
2. Loss payments during AY 2009 for accident years 2008 and prior ($4,836)
3. Change in estimated ultimate losses for accident years 2008 and prior $687 due to re-evaluation at 6/30/2009
4. Estimated ultimate losses for AY 2009 $8,079
5. Loss payments during AY 2009 for accident year 2009 ($1,938)
6. Estimated undiscounted reserves at 6/30/2009 $19,112
Notes:(1) - Per AMI's 2008 Actuarial Report, Appendix D, Page 1, Item (6)(2) - Total from Appendix A, Page 3 of 3, Column (3). (3) - Total from Appendix A, Page 2 of 3, Column (3). (4) - See Exhibit I, Page 1 of 4, Column (5) for accident year 2009.(5) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(6) - Sum of (1) through (5).
RECONCILIATION TO PRIOR YEAR'S RESERVE ESTIMATE - UNDISCOUNTED
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
ANALYSIS OF RESERVE CHANGE WORKERS' COMPENSATION
AS OF JUNE 30, 2009(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)
NET
O:\State of Vermont\2009\WC2009.xls/RECON9/14/2009 1:01 PM
Notes:(1) - Sum of Exhibit I, Page 1, Column (5) for of the 2008 AMI Actuarial Report(2) - Exhibit I, Page 1 of 4, Column (5).(3) = (2) - (1).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
COMPARISON OF ESTIMATED ULTIMATE LOSSES AS OF JUNE 30, 2009
WORKERS' COMPENSATION
ESTIMATED ULTIMATE LOSSES
(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)NET
O:\State of Vermont\2009\WC2009.xls\ULT_COMPARE9/14/2009 1:01 PM
Notes:(1) - Sum of Exhibit I, Page 1, Column (6) for of the 2008 AMI Actuarial Report(2) - Exhibit I, Page 1 of 4, Column (6).(3) = (2) - (1).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
PAID LOSSES
STATE OF VERMONT
COMPARISON OF PAID LOSSESAS OF JUNE 30, 2009
SELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
WORKERS' COMPENSATION(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)
NET
O:\State of Vermont\2009\WC2009.xls\PAID_COMPARE9/14/2009 1:02 PM
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APPENDIX BPAGE 1 OF 3
1. Estimated undiscounted reserves at 6/30/2008 $4,255
2. Loss payments during AY 2009 for accident years 2008 and prior ($554)
3. Change in estimated ultimate losses for accident years 2008 and prior $13 due to re-evaluation at 6/30/2009
4. Estimated ultimate losses for AY 2009 $1,327
5. Loss payments during AY 2009 for accident year 2009 ($95)
6. Estimated undiscounted reserves at 6/30/2009 $4,946
Notes:(1) - Per AMI's 2008 Actuarial Report, Appendix E, Page 1, Item (6)(2) - Total from Appendix B, Page 3 of 3, Column (3). (3) - Total from Appendix B, Page 2 of 3, Column (3). (4) - See Exhibit II, Page 1 of 4, Column (5) for accident year 2009.(5) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(6) - Sum of (1) through (5).
AS OF JUNE 30, 2009(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)
NET
RECONCILIATION TO PRIOR YEAR'S RESERVE ESTIMATE - UNDISCOUNTED
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
ANALYSIS OF RESERVE CHANGE GENERAL LIABILITY
O:\State of Vermont\2009\GL2009.xls/RECON9/14/2009 1:05 PM
Notes:(1) - Sum of Exhibit II, Page 1, Column (5) for of the 2008 AMI Actuarial Report(2) - Exhibit II, Page 1 of 5, Column (5).(3) = (2) - (1).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
COMPARISON OF ESTIMATED ULTIMATE LOSSES AS OF JUNE 30, 2009GENERAL LIABILITY
ESTIMATED ULTIMATE LOSSES
(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)NET
O:\State of Vermont\2009\GL2009.xls\ULT_COMPARE9/14/2009 1:06 PM
Notes:(1) - Sum of Exhibit II, Page 1, Column (6) for of the 2008 AMI Actuarial Report(2) - Exhibit II, Page 1 of 5, Column (6).(3) = (2) - (1).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
PAID LOSSES
STATE OF VERMONT
COMPARISON OF PAID LOSSESAS OF JUNE 30, 2009
SELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
GENERAL LIABILITY(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)
NET
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AMI Risk Consultants, Inc.
APPENDIX CPAGE 1 OF 3
1. Estimated undiscounted reserves at 6/30/2008 $929
2. Loss payments during AY 2009 for accident years 2008 and prior ($70)
3. Change in estimated ultimate losses for accident years 2008 and prior ($55) due to re-evaluation at 6/30/2009
4. Estimated ultimate losses for AY 2009 $375
5. Loss payments during AY 2009 for accident year 2009 ($119)
6. Estimated undiscounted reserves at 6/30/2009 $1,061
Notes:(1) - Per AMI's 2008 Actuarial Report, Appendix F, Page 1, Item (6)(2) - Total from Appendix C, Page 3 of 3, Column (3). (3) - Total from Appendix C, Page 2 of 3, Column (3). (4) - See Exhibit III, Page 1 of 4, Column (5) for accident year 2009.(5) - Per STATE OF VERMONT.(6) - Sum of (1) through (5).
AS OF JUNE 30, 2009(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)
NET
RECONCILIATION TO PRIOR YEAR'S RESERVE ESTIMATE - UNDISCOUNTED
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
ANALYSIS OF RESERVE CHANGE AUTOMOBILE LIABILITY
O:\State of Vermont\2009\AL2009.xls/RECON9/14/2009 1:09 PM
Notes:(1) - Sum of Exhibit III, Page 1, Column (5) for of the 2008 AMI Actuarial Report(2) - Exhibit III, Page 1 of 4, Column (5).(3) = (2) - (1).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
COMPARISON OF ESTIMATED ULTIMATE LOSSES AS OF JUNE 30, 2009
AUTOMOBILE LIABILITY
ESTIMATED ULTIMATE LOSSES
(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)NET
O:\State of Vermont\2009\AL2009.xls\ULT_COMPARE9/14/2009 1:09 PM
Notes:(1) - Sum of Exhibit III, Page 1, Column (6) for of the 2008 AMI Actuarial Report(2) - Exhibit III, Page 1 of 4, Column (6).(3) = (2) - (1).* All Accident years end on 6/30 of the stated year.
PAID LOSSES
STATE OF VERMONT
COMPARISON OF PAID LOSSESAS OF JUNE 30, 2009
SELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
AUTOMOBILE LIABILITY(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)
NET
O:\State of Vermont\2009\AL2009.xls\PAID_COMPARE9/14/2009 1:10 PM
AMI Risk Consultants, Inc.
APPENDIX D
GENERAL LIABILITY
Self-Funded CURRENT ALTERNATE 1: ALTERNATE 2:Period $250,000 PER PERSON $425,000 PER PERSON $500,000 PER PERSON
$1,000,000 PER OCCURRENCE $1,700,000 PER OCCURRENCE $2,000,000 PER OCCURRENCE(1) (2) (3)
Notes:(1), (4) - Per Exhibit V and Exhibit VI, Col. (1).(2), (3), (5) & (6) - Based on Monte Carlo simulation.
GENERAL LIABILITY AND AUTOMOBILE LIABILITYAS OF JUNE 30, 2009
(AMTS IN THOUSANDS)
SOVEREIGN IMMUNITY LIMITS
STATE OF VERMONTSELF-INSURANCE PROGRAM ACTUARIAL REVIEW
FUTURE FUNDING AMOUNTS AT ALTERNATE SOVEREIGN IMMUNITY LIMITS
SOVEREIGN IMMUNITY LIMITS
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O:\State of Vermont\2009\GLOSSARY.doc PAGE 1
Glossary of Terms
Accident Year
Attributing to a given year the total cost of losses which occur in that year.
Bornhuetter-Ferguson Approach (BFA)
Approach which combines reported and paid losses with the expected unreported and unpaid losses to estimate ultimate losses.
Case Reserve
Estimate of unpaid loss on reported claims.
Discount Reserve
The present value, calculated at selected interest rates and payout patterns, of the payment of outstanding losses.
Expected Loss
Exposures multiplied by the loss rate.
Exposure Extent of risk and/or possibility of loss (for workers' compensation the exposure is payroll in hundreds, for general liability it is expenditure in thousands, and for auto liability it is the number of vehicles).
IBNR Reserve
Reserve for claims incurred but not reported and for future changes to the case reserves.
Incurred Loss
Paid loss plus the case reserve.
Loss Adjustment Expenses (LAE)
Loss adjustment expenses may be broken down into: Allocated and Unallocated loss adjustment expenses (ALAE and ULAE). ALAE expenses are expenses (other than in-house administrative) for claims handling which can be identified as pertaining to a specific claim (such as outside legal expense). ULAE expenses are general administrative expenses such as salaries of employees.
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Glossary of Terms (continued)
O:\State of Vermont\2009\GLOSSARY.doc PAGE 2
Loss Development
Refer to the increase in number of claims, paid and incurred losses from a given accident year. The number of claims “develop” because in some cases, significant delay in the reporting losses occurs. Paid losses “develop” because claims are paid over several years. Incurred losses “develop” because of the increase in reported claims and because initial reserves tend to be inadequate at settlement.
Loss Development Approach (LDA)
Methods under which historical claim data are recorded and used to estimate the future development of existing claims.
Loss Rate
The value of losses per unit of exposure.
Paid Loss Amount paid on open and closed claims.
Ultimate Loss
The incurred loss plus the IBNR reserve. The ultimate loss is the estimate of the total cost to settle all claims in the accident year.