Monitoring CAADP Implementation

IFPRI

IFPRI

INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE

Monitoring CAADP Implementation

Melissa Lambert, Research Analyst, IFPRIRegional Strategic Analysis and Knowledge Support System (ReSAKSS)

Partnership to Cut Hunger and Poverty in Africa 3rd Annual Forum: “Getting Down to Business: Scaling Up Agricultural Development in Africa”

March 1, 2011

IFPRI

Outline

ReSAKSS CAADP M&E Framework

» Rationale and key questions» Results

Next steps for CAADP M&E and ReSAKSS

IFPRI

Organization of ReSAKSSOne Africa-wide and three

Regional nodesCountry SAKSS nodes

Established: Rwanda and Uganda

Countries advanced in process:» SA: Zambia (under

discussion)» WA: Ghana, Liberia, Mali,

Senegal, Sierra Leone, and Niger, Nigeria, Togo

» ECA: DRC, Malawi, Mozambique

Eastern and Central Africa

at ILRI in Nairobi – works with COMESA

Southern Africa at IWMI in Pretoria – works with SADC

West Africa at IITA in Ibadan –

works with ECOWAS

Africa Wide at IFPRI in DC– coordinates across

regional nodes

IFPRI

CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK

IFPRI

Idea behind M&E framework

Page 5

Greater/better distributedpoverty reduction & food and

nutrition security outcomes

Accelerated agricultural growth & Greater market access

More enabling policies &Greater/more efficient allocation of

agricultural investments

Global levelCommitments

Africa-wide levelDeclarations

Decisions

Regional levelEarly actions

8

7

6

1

2

3

5

P 4P 3

P 2

4

P 1

National levelRoundtable

ProcessesOther factors

Other factors

Other factors

More effective

tracking

reporting

analysis

IFPRI

Page 6

Key questions for M&E Delivering on commitments

» Have commitments and targets been met so far? Effectiveness of interventions (policies, investments, etc.)

» How effective have different types of interventions been in any achievements realized so far? What factors have shaped the achievements?

Consistency with initial targets» What are the projected impacts if interventions proceed as planned?» Are the projected impacts compatible with the CAADP targets?» If not, what adjustments are needed to get it on track?

Exploring better interventions» Could greater or better distributed impacts be obtained by reconfiguring the

interventions?» What are the different interventions that can lead to these outcomes?

IFPRI

Main Reports and Dissemination

Website (www.resakss.org)Newsletter (

www.resakss.wordpress.com)

Annual Report and Briefs in time for CAADP PP meeting National, regional and continental levels

ReSAKSS Website and Online Newsletter to view and download trends, data, charts, supporting research publications, etc.

IFPRI

2010 CONTINENTAL ATORCurrent results…

IFPRI

1. Government appoints Focal Point(s)

2. REC and Government launch

process

3. Country Steering and Technical

Committee

4. Cabinet Memo and Endorsement

5. Stocktaking, Growth, Invest.

Analysis

6. Drafting of Country CAADP Compact

7. Roundtable Signing of Compact

8. Elaboration of detailed investment

plans

9. Post compact review meeting and

validation of investment plans

10. Agreement on financing plan,

financing instruments, and annual review

mechanism

11. Operational design and other technical

studies and assessment for program execution

12. Execution of new investment programs

13. First annual review meeting

14. Second annual review meeting

The National CAADP Roundtable Process & Country StatusCameroon, Chad,

Egypt, Eritrea, Gabon, Libya

Mauritius, Mozambique

COMESA, Zimbabwe

Cote d’Ivoire, Guinea Bissau,

Zambia

Benin, Burkina Faso, Cape Verde, ECOWAS, The Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Kenya, Liberia, Malawi, Mali, Nigeria, Senegal,

Tanzania, Uganda

Comoros, Djibouti, DRC, Madagascar, Seychelles, Sudan

† Countries have accessed GAFSP funding.

Ethiopia†, Niger†, Rwanda†, Sierra Leone†, Togo†

Burundi, Swaziland

39 countries have started

CAADP process24 countries &

1 regionhave signed

compacts

5 countries have received funding

and are about to begin implementation

IFPRI

Africa SSA CA EA NA SA WA0123456789

Agriculture GDP growth (%)

90-95 95-03 2003 03-09

Perc

ent

Tracking CAADP targets

Africa SSA CA EA NA SA WA0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Agriculture expenditure share in total expenditures

90-95 95-03 2003 03-09

Perc

ent

10% Target

•Declines in average levels across most regions, except in EA and WA

• Only EA and WA currently meeting 10% target

• No regions reaching an averageannual agGDP growth rateof 6% target in recent periods

•Some regions – SSA, central,eastern, southern – have seen an upward trend in growth since 2003

6% Target

IFPRI

Poverty and hunger (MDG1)

Countries on track for halving poverty by 2015

Countries on track for halving hunger by 2015Countries on track

for achieving MDG1

Burkina FasoCameroon**

Cape Verde**,***Central African Rep.**

EthiopiaGuinea*,**

KenyaLesothoMalawi

MaliMorocco*Senegal

Swaziland**,***Uganda*

EA RegionLI-2

Algeria***Angola**,***

Benin*,**Botswana**,***

BurundiEquatorial Guinea**,***

Gambia, The**Guinea Bissau**Mozambique**Namibia**,***

Sao Tome & Principe**,***Tunisia

Egypt*,**Ghana**

Mauritania**

NA Region*,**

Yet northern Africaonly region to

possibly meet both

14 on track for halving poverty

12 on track for halving hunger

Majority of thesecountries are in WestAfrica (5 for poverty,

and 4 for hunger)

IFPRI

Outlook for M&E and ReSAKSS Present results (2010 continental and regional reports)

at next CAADP PP, 23-25 March 2011 in Yaoundé, Cameroon

Focus on establishing country SAKSS nodes for M&E of investment plans

2011 M&E to focus on agricultural productivity» Why there has not been widespread technical change in Africa?» Review any lessons associated with the efficiency gains in

agricultural production achieved in different parts of Africa

IFPRI

THANK YOU!