Is the system broken? Ipsos Global @dvisor

1 ©Ipsos.1

Is the system broken?International views

December 2016

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2 ©Ipsos.

Over half think their country is in decline (although not yet irreversible)

“…is in decline” “Do you think [country] can recover from its decline or is it irreversible”*

GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?

28%

29%

20%

10%

8%5%

AGREE VERY MUCH

AGREE SOMEWHAT

NEITHER AGREE OR DISAGREE

DISAGREE SOMEWHAT

DISAGREE VERY MUCH

DON'T KNOW 67%

15%

18%CAN RECOVER

IS IRREVERSIBLE

DON'T KNOW

Base: 16,096 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016.* Asked of all those who think their country is in decline

3 ©Ipsos.

Majority in 14 nations think their country is in decline – especially South Africa, South Korea, Italy and Brazil….


Base: 16,096 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016

57%77%

73%73%

72%70%

69%69%

67%64%

60%58%

57%55%

53%50%

49%47%

44%42%

40%38%

22%

TotalSouth AfricaSouth Korea

ItalyBrazil

HungaryMexico

SpainFrance

BelgiumUnited States

ArgentinaGreat Britain

TurkeySwedenPoland

AustraliaGermany

PeruIsraelJapan

CanadaIndia

Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree

Q5 To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements – “Your country is in decline”

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67%85%84%84%

82%81%

80%78%

76%72%

69%68%

66%65%

61%60%60%60%60%

53%52%51%

24%

15%5%

9%2%

15%8%

11%9%

15%11%

13%10%

11%19%19%

15%14%

17%17%

28%29%

21%34%

T o t a lP e r u

M e x i c oI s r a e lI n d i a

A r g e n t i n aB r a z i l

S o u t h A f r i c aT u r k e y

S w e d e nP o l a n d

U n i t e d S t a t e sA u s t r a l i a

S p a i nI t a l y

H u n g a r yC a n a d aF r a n c e

G r e a t B r i t a i nG e r m a n yB e l g i u m

S o u t h K o r e aJ a p a n

Can recover Irreversible

Q6 And do you think [country] can recover from its decline or is it irreversible ?


…But are optimistic that it can recover (although less so in Japan, Belgium and Germany)

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GLOBAL @ADVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?And there is significant pessimism for current and future generations in France, Belgium, Hungary, South Korea, Italy and Spain

43%65%

61%60%

56%56%

54%53%

47%46%

44%43%

41%40%

39%38%38%38%

35%33%

30%22%

19%

TotalHungary

FranceItaly

South KoreaSpainJapan

BelgiumUnited States

CanadaGermany

Great BritainSouth Africa

TurkeyIsrael

MexicoSweden

AustraliaBrazil

PolandArgentina

IndiaPeru

Slightly/Much worse

48%67%

66%65%

63%60%

56%55%55%

53%53%

52%47%

45%44%44%

42%38%

37%36%

30%22%

20%

TotalFrance

BelgiumSpain

South KoreaHungary

Great BritainItaly

JapanCanada

GermanyUnited States

TurkeySweden

AustraliaIsrael

South AfricaBrazil

MexicoPoland

ArgentinaIndiaPeru

Slightly/Much worse

Q7 To what extent, if at all, do you feel that your generation will have had a better or worse life than your parents’ generation, or will it have been the same?

Q8 And to what extent, if at all, do you feel that today’s youth will have had a better or worse life than their parents’ generation, or will it have been about the same?


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Strong feeling in many countries that the people in charge don’t care about ‘people like me’, and instead favour rich and powerful.


Politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks about their views

To fix [country], we need a strong leader willing to break the rules

[Country] needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful

Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people like me

41% 27% 15% 5% 7% 4%

The [country’s] economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful

35% 29% 18% 6% 7% 5%

28% 21% 19% 6% 11% 14%

40% 24% 17% 6% 8% 6%

37% 27% 17% 6% 7% 4%

STRONGLY AGREE

SOMEWHAT AGREE

SOMEWHAT DISAGREE

STRONGLY DISAGREE

32% 29% 21% 7% 8% 4%

Experts in this country don’t understand the lives of people like me


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Most feel the system favours the rich and powerful – especially Mexico, Peru, Hungary, Israel and Spain



63%81%

74%72%72%72%

71%71%

70%70%

69%68%

67%67%

65%63%

62%60%

59%53%

45%34%

31%

TotalMexico

PeruHungary

SpainIsrael

AustraliaIndia

South KoreaFrance

United StatesBrazil

Great BritainItaly

CanadaTurkey

ArgentinaSouth Africa

BelgiumPoland

JapanGermany

Sweden


Q10 [Country] needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful

69%83%

82%80%

79%79%

75%74%

71%70%

69%69%

68%68%

67%67%

66%65%

64%63%

59%55%

39%

TotalHungary

MexicoIsraelPeru

SpainItaly

South KoreaBelgium

FranceBrazil

United StatesTurkey

AustraliaPoland

Great BritainGermany

ArgentinaSouth Africa

IndiaCanada

JapanSweden


Q10 The [country’s] economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful

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Most people feel politicians don’t care about them, especially parts of LATAM and continental Europe



64%78%

77%76%

75%73%

72%70%

69%66%

65%65%65%

64%63%

61%61%

58%57%

56%53%

42%39%

TotalMexico

PeruFrance

SpainHungary

ItalyPoland

BrazilUnited States

ArgentinaSouth AfricaSouth Korea

IndiaBelgium

TurkeyAustralia

Great BritainIsrael

CanadaGermany

SwedenJapan


Q10 Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people like me

9 ©Ipsos.

Close to two-thirds on average favour outspoken politicians



64%79%79%79%

74%72%

71%70%

68%66%66%

64%64%64%

60%59%59%

58%57%

53%51%

49%47%

TotalArgentina

HungaryIsraelSpainPeru

PolandFrance

South KoreaBelgium

IndiaMexico

GermanyGreat Britain

United StatesAustralia

ItalySwedenCanadaTurkey

BrazilSouth Africa

Japan


Q10 Politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks about their views

10 ©Ipsos.

Similarly most people feel misunderstood by experts, especially Spain, France and Mexico



60%74%

73%72%

70%69%

67%65%

64%64%

62%60%60%60%

59%58%

57%55%55%

53%46%

45%38%

TotalSpain

FranceMexico

HungaryPeru

ArgentinaItaly

PolandUnited States

TurkeySouth Africa

AustraliaIndia

Great BritainCanada

BelgiumSouth Korea

BrazilIsrael

GermanyJapan

Sweden


Q10 Experts in this country don’t understand the lives of people like me

11 ©Ipsos.

Big variation in desire for a strong leader willing to break the rules - especially high in France



49%80%

69%68%

66%66%

65%60%

54%51%

50%50%

48%42%42%

41%41%

40%39%

36%35%

23%21%

TotalFrance

IsraelItaly

South KoreaTurkey

IndiaPoland

BelgiumPeru

AustraliaGreat Britain

BrazilSouth Africa

HungaryMexicoCanada

United StatesJapan

ArgentinaSpain

SwedenGermany


Q10 To fix [country], we need a strong leader willing to break the rules

12 ©Ipsos.

On balance, people are still more likely to feel that opening up their country to foreign business and trade is an opportunity rather than a threat, but across the world people are split on whether their country should protect itself or open up more to the world.



26% 42%

31% 36%

OPENING UP [COUNTRY’S] ECONOMY TO FOREIGN BUSINESSES AND FOREIGN TRADE IS A THREAT TO [YOUR COUNTRY]

OPENING UP [COUNTRY’S] ECONOMY TO FOREIGN BUSINESSES AND FOREIGN TRADE IS AN OPPORTUNITY FOR [YOUR COUNTRY]

[COUNTRY] NEEDS TO TAKE MORE STEPS TO PROTECT ITSELF FROM TODAY’S WORLD

[COUNTRY] NEEDS TO TAKE MORE STEPS TO OPEN ITSELF UP TO TODAY’S WORLD

BOTH/DON’T KNOW

BOTH/DON’T KNOW

33%

33%

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26%21%

20%20%

18%19%

21%25%

20%29%

34%21%

28%29%

32%26%

29%22%

28%31%

38%22%

33%

42%55%54%54%

51%50%

50%50%49%

46%45%44%44%

39%39%

37%37%

35%34%33%

28%27%26%

T o t a l

P e r u

S o u t h A f r i c a

G r e a t B r i t a i n

S w e d e n

P o l a n d

H u n g a r y

I s r a e l

S p a i n

M e x i c o

A r g e n t i n a

B r a z i l

I n d i a

U n i t e d S t a t e s

T u r k e y

C a n a d a

B e l g i u m

S o u t h K o r e a

G e r m a n y

A u s t r a l i a

I t a l y

J a p a n

F r a n c e

Opening up [country's] economy to foreign businesses and foreign trade is a threat to [your country]Opening up [country's economy to foreign businesses and foreign trade is an opportunity for [your country]

People tend to view globalisation as an opportunity, rather than a threat – but not in Italy and France


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31%47%

39%39%

37%36%36%36%

34%33%33%

32%32%32%31%

29%27%

26%25%

24%22%

21%19%

36%25%25%

34%25%

22%24%

27%25%

32%28%

47%38%

24%38%38%

40%56%

43%45%

51%48%

62%

T o t a l

U n i t e d S t a t e s

C a n a d a

I s r a e l

A u s t r a l i a

B r a z i l

F r a n c e

I t a l y

G e r m a n y

B e l g i u m

S o u t h K o r e a

A r g e n t i n a

H u n g a r y

J a p a n

T u r k e y

I n d i a

S w e d e n

M e x i c o

G r e a t B r i t a i n

S o u t h A f r i c a

S p a i n

P o l a n d

P e r u

Agree most that [country] needs to take more steps to protect itself from today’s worldAgree most that [country] needs to take more steps to open itself up to today’s world

Peru, Mexico and Argentina want to open up more to the world – but North Americans more likely to say they should protect themselves from the world


15 ©Ipsos.

MethodologyGLOBAL @DVISOR: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?

• These are the findings of a Global @dvisor survey into the political mood around the world. In total 16,096 interviews were conducted between October 21 – November 4 among adults aged 18-64 in the US and Canada, and adults aged 16-64 in all other countries.

• The survey was conducted in 22 countries around the world via the Ipsos Online Panel system. The countries reporting herein are Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States of America.

• Between 500 and 1000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis via the Ipsos Online Panel. The sample was 1000+ inAustralia, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Japan, Spain and the United Stated of America. In all other countries the sample was 500+. The precision of Ipsos online polls is calculated using a credibility interval with a poll of 1,000 accurate to +/- 3.5 percentage points and of 500 accurate to +/- 5.0 percentage points. For more information on Ipsos’ use of credibility intervals, please visit the Ipsos website.

• In countries where internet penetration is approximately 60% or higher the data output generally reflects the overall population. Of the 22 countries surveyed online, 16 yield results that are balanced to reflect the general population: Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hungary, Israel, Italy, Japan, Poland, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Great Britain and the United States. The 6 remaining countries surveyed – Brazil (58%), India (19%), Mexico (44%), Peru (39%), South Africa (49%) and Turkey (51%) - have lower levels of internet connectivity and reflect online populations that tend to be more urban and have higher education/income than the general population.

• Where results do not sum to 100, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses or the exclusion of don't knows or not stated responses.

• Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.

16 ©Ipsos.

For more information

Gideon SkinnerResearch Director, Ipsos MORI UK

[email protected]

+44 (0)20 7347 3260

Jean-Michel LebrunResearch Director, Ipsos

[email protected]

+32 (0) 2 642 49 10

Daan BijwaardResearch Executive, Ipsos

[email protected]

+32 (0) 2 642 49 37

17 ©Ipsos.

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Is the system broken? Ipsos Global @dvisor

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