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CANADIAN PUBLIC PERSPECTIVES IMMIGRATION, REFUGEES & SECURITY NOVEMBER 2015
1 © 2015 Ipsos.
2 © 2015 Ipsos.
After the Paris attacks … Canadians are spilt 52% agree and 48% disagree that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau should stay committed to his campaign promise to remove Canadian CF-18 jets from the airstrike mission against ISIS targets in Iraq and Syria. Despite the public split on the withdrawal of CF-18s… - 68% of Canadians agree that they support the use of Canadian Forces fighter jets in the international coalition’s airstrikes against ISIS targets in Iraq and Syria. - 62% agree that they support the use of Canadian Forces on the ground in a combat mission against ISIS in Iraq and Syria. - 73% believe the coalition of allies can win the war against ISIS. On the issue of accepting 25,000 refugees before December 31st, 60% of Canadians disagree that Canada should “immediately accept up to 25,000 government- sponsored refugees in 2015” while 40% agree with this initiative.
PUBLIC PERSPECTIVES IMMIGRATION, REFUGEES & SECURITY
3 © 2015 Ipsos.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau should stay committed to his campaign promise to remove Canadian CF-18 jets from the airstrike mission against ISIS targets in Iraq and Syria.
24%
26%
22%
32%
24%
19%
25%
13%
25%
28%
24%
24%
28%
24%
31%
35%
26%
23%
27%
31%
27%
29%
25%
30%
52%
51%
53%
67%
50%
43%
52%
44%
51%
57%
48%
54%
Total
Male
Female
18-34
35-54
55+
BC
AB
SK/MB
Ontario
Quebec
Atlantic
Agree very much Agree somewhat Total Agree
Gender
Age
Region
4 © 2015 Ipsos.
Immediately accept up to 25,000 government-sponsored refugees in 2015.
15%
15%
16%
20%
15%
12%
17%
6%
13%
18%
14%
19%
24%
24%
25%
31%
22%
22%
22%
25%
21%
26%
23%
23%
40%
39%
40%
51%
37%
34%
40%
30%
34%
44%
38%
43%
Total
Male
Female
18-34
35-54
55+
BC
AB
SK/MB
Ontario
Quebec
Atlantic
Agree very much Agree somewhat Total Agree
Gender
Age
Region
September 2015
39%
37%
41%
50%
34%
35%
44%
43%
39%
38%
34%
45%
© 2015 Ipsos.
5 © 2015 Ipsos.
I support the use of Canadian Forces fighter jets in the international coalition’s airstrikes against ISIS targets in Iraq and Syria.
36%
42%
30%
26%
35%
45%
36%
46%
43%
35%
31%
37%
32%
29%
35%
35%
33%
30%
33%
35%
29%
32%
33%
32%
68%
72%
65%
61%
68%
75%
69%
81%
71%
67%
64%
70%
Total
Male
Female
18-34
35-54
55+
BC
AB
SK/MB
Ontario
Quebec
Atlantic
Agree very much Agree somewhat Total Agree
Gender
Age
Region
Mar 2015
74%
80%
69%
69%
74%
79%
81%
83%
74%
78%
59%
81%
© 2015 Ipsos.
6 © 2015 Ipsos.
I support the use of Canadian Forces on the ground in a combat mission against ISIS in Iraq and Syria.
27%
32%
23%
21%
29%
31%
26%
25%
24%
28%
27%
36%
35%
32%
37%
39%
31%
36%
35%
41%
34%
35%
34%
29%
62%
64%
60%
60%
59%
67%
60%
66%
58%
63%
61%
65%
Total
Male
Female
18-34
35-54
55+
BC
AB
SK/MB
Ontario
Quebec
Atlantic
Agree very much Agree somewhat Total Agree
Gender
Age
Region
Mar 2015
65%
66%
63%
67%
64%
63%
69%
69%
66%
67%
56%
64%
© 2015 Ipsos.
7 © 2015 Ipsos.
I believe the coalition of allies can win the war against ISIS.
33%
38%
28%
32%
30%
37%
34%
43%
34%
34%
26%
33%
40%
36%
43%
44%
39%
38%
36%
35%
39%
40%
45%
37%
73%
74%
72%
76%
69%
75%
70%
78%
73%
74%
71%
70%
Total
Male
Female
18-34
35-54
55+
BC
AB
SK/MB
Ontario
Quebec
Atlantic
Agree very much Agree somewhat Total Agree
Gender
Age
Region
Mar 2015
73%
75%
71%
74%
70%
75%
78%
76%
78%
77%
61%
71%
© 2015 Ipsos.
8 © 2015 Ipsos.
Canada, United Kingdom and United States Attitudes Towards the Refugee Crisis
9 © 2015 Ipsos.
When comparing the views of citizens in Canada, the UK and the US, Canadians appear to be slightly more positive about the prospects and plans for bringing refugees into Canada. Canadians are: - More confident (48%) that their border and security forces can identify potential terrorists. - More likely (40%) to say that Canada has the room for refugees and should bring in as many as we can. - More likely (57%) to say they are confident that refugees will successfully integrate into society. Even though Canadians appear more supportive than their UK or US counterparts, 80% of Canadians say all refugees must go through proper security screening no matter what their situation is and 33% agree that Canada should close it borders to refugees entirely.
PUBLIC PERSPECTIVES IMMIGRATION, REFUGEES & SECURITY
10 © 2015 Ipsos.
I am confident that security forces can identify potential terrorists posing as refugees.
TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS?
I’M CONFIDENT THAT MY COUNTRY’S BORDER SECURITY FORCES CAN IDENTIFY ANY POTENTIAL TERRORISTS WHO PRETEND TO BE REFUGEES IN ORDER TO GET INTO GET INTO MY COUNTRY TO DO HARM
BASE: ADULTS AGED 16-75. 1,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA. 18-19 NOVEMBER 2015
Change since
October 2015
48% -2
34% -6
39% -5
% saying “strongly/somewhat agree”
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11 © 2015 Ipsos.
My country has lots of room for refugees and we should take as many as we can.
TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS?
MY COUNTRY HAS LOTS OF ROOM FOR REFUGEES AND SHOULD TAKE IN AS MANY AS WE CAN.
BASE: ADULTS AGED 16-75. 1,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA. 18-19 NOVEMBER 2015
Change since
October 2015
40% -5
27% -8
35% -3
% saying “strongly/somewhat agree”
© 2015 Ipsos.
12 © 2015 Ipsos.
I am confident that most of the refugees who come to my country will successfully integrate into their new society.
TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS?
I’M CONFIDENT THAT MOST REFUGEES WHO COME TO MY COUNTRY WILL SUCCESSFULLY INTEGRATE INTO THEIR NEW SOCIETY.
BASE: ADULTS AGED 16-75. 1,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA. 18-19 NOVEMBER 2015
Change since
October 2015
57% n/c
43% -4
52% -3
% saying “strongly/somewhat agree”
© 2015 Ipsos.
13 © 2015 Ipsos.
Refugees must go through proper security screening – regardless of their situation.
TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS?
WE CAN'T COMPROMISE MY COUNTRY‘S SECURITY: INDIVIDUAL REFUGEES—REGARDLESS OF HOW DIRE THEIR PERSONAL SITUATION IS—MUST GO THROUGH A PROPER SECURITY SCREENING TO MAKE SURE THEY AREN'T TERRORISTS EVEN IF THIS SLOWS DOWN THEIR ADMISSION
BASE: ADULTS AGED 16-75. 1,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA. 18-19 NOVEMBER 2015
Change since
October 2015
80% +2
86% +7
83% +3
% saying “strongly/somewhat agree”
© 2015 Ipsos.
14 © 2015 Ipsos. © 2015 Ipsos.
We must close our borders to refugees entirely.
TO WHAT EXTENT DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS?
WE MUST CLOSE OUR BORDERS TO REFUGEES ENTIRELY - WE CAN'T ACCEPT ANY AT THIS TIME
BASE: ADULTS AGED 16-75. 1,002 IN CANADA, 1,007 IN GREAT BRITAIN, 1,002 IN THE USA. 18-19 NOVEMBER 2015
% saying “strongly/somewhat agree”
Change since
October 2015
33% -1
44% +5
48% +2
15 © 2015 Ipsos.
Ipsos Public Affairs (Canada)
Ipsos Public Affairs conducts strategic research in partnership with clients to understand and manage issues, advance reputations, determine and pinpoint shifts in attitude and opinion, enhance communications, and evaluate policy. We help our clients Listen, Engage and Measure the world around them and the issues of the day. We collect and interpret the intelligence our clients need to make decisions and to move their organizations forward. We specialize in the following:
Visit www.ipsos.ca for information about all of our products and services. Copyright Ipsos 2015 All rights reserved. The contents of this publication constitute the sole and exclusive property of Ipsos.
Public Opinion Polling for Media Releases • Data for public release, Ipsos News & Polls • Pollster for Global News (Canada) and
Reuters News (U.S. & International)
International Trends • Global Omnibus • Global @dvisor - Used to generate data for this report
Public Sector Research • Government and Social • Program Evaluation/Performance Measurement • Not-for-Profit • Municipal • Health
Reputation & Risk Management • Corporate Social Responsibility • Stakeholder Relations, Strategic and Crisis Communications
Respondents aged 16-75 were interviewed online via the Ipsos Global @dvisor Online Panel in Canada, Great Britain and the United States. Approximately 1000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis.
16 © 2015 Ipsos.
For more information about this Public Perspectives report or our research capabilities, please contact:
Mike Colledge President, Canadian Public Affairs
613.688.8971
Chris Martyn Chief Research Officer, Public Affairs North America
416.324.2010
@MikeDColledge
© 2015 Ipsos Reid. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos’ confidential, trade secret and proprietary information.
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