1 Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P. As of September 2014, ISAGEN’s revenue totaled $1,726,766 million, 16% over that obtained in the same period for the previous year. The net profit was $302,542 million, showing a reduction of 4% compared to the same period in 2013. Listed below are the major regulatory events that occurred in the energy market during the third quarter this year. Report Financial P R O D U C T I V E E N E R G Y Third Quarter 2014 Industry Regulation Modified the schedule applicable to the sale of natural gas on the primary mar- ket and for the implementation of the transportation transition mechanism for the long-term “Use it or Sell it” process for 2014. The main changes for ISAGEN are as follows: • The new period of direct negotiation and contract signing will be between September 22 and October 3, 2014. • Direct negotiation shall be held on November 5, 2014 regarding the terms under which the owners of excess capacity will allow its use by the owners of supply rights. Modifies CREG Resolution 089 of 2013, which regulates the wholesale natural gas market. Listed below are the most important aspects that are modified: • Eliminates the limitation on allowing non-regulated users to buy directly in the “Use it or Sell it” market, which before they had to do through a reseller. • Creates a procedure to avoid penalties for gas consumption schedule variations at thermal power plants when they are due to energy re- dispatches and authorizations from the National Dispatch Center. CREG Resolution 113 of August 28, 2014 Resolution 122 of September 12 of 2014 Regulation in the natural gas market
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1Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
As of September 2014, ISAGEN’s revenue totaled $1,726,766 million, 16% over that obtained in the same period for the previous year. The net profit was $302,542 million, showing a reduction of 4% compared to the same period in 2013.
Listed below are the major regulatory events that occurred in the energy market during the third quarter this year.
ReportFina
ncia
l
P R O D U C T I V E E N E R G Y
Third Quarter 2014
Industry Regulation
Modified the schedule applicable to the sale of natural gas on the primary mar-ket and for the implementation of the transportation transition mechanism for the long-term “Use it or Sell it” process for 2014. The main changes for ISAGEN are as follows:
• The new period of direct negotiation and contract signing will be between September 22 and October 3, 2014.
• Direct negotiation shall be held on November 5, 2014 regarding the terms under which the owners of excess capacity will allow its use by the owners of supply rights.
Modifies CREG Resolution 089 of 2013, which regulates the wholesale natural gas market. Listed below are the most important aspects that are modified:
• Eliminates the limitation on allowing non-regulated users to buy directly in the “Use it or Sell it” market, which before they had to do through a reseller.
• Creates a procedure to avoid penalties for gas consumption schedule variations at thermal power plants when they are due to energy re-dispatches and authorizations from the National Dispatch Center.
CREG Resolution 113 of August 28, 2014
Resolution 122 of September 12
of 2014
Regulation in the natural gas market
2 Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
• Specifies that in order to determine the type of negotiation in annual sales, auctions or direct negotiation processes, the average demand curve of UPME’s balance shall be used, and not low demand as had been established.
• Gives more flexibility to the notice times required to declare the end of extenuating circumstances or events of force majeure.
Regulates the signing of firm natural gas bi-monthly contracts in the primary market. The aim of this new type of contract is to allow producers to sell sur-plus amounts from annual sale processes defined by CREG Resolution 089 of 2013.
These contracts shall be awarded through monthly First-Price Sealed-Bid Auctions organized by the Market Manager. The Resolution includes all the operating details for these auctions, including base price, type of auction, award mechanism, etc.
CREG Circular 045 of 2014 published a review to the 2014 Regulatory Agenda, featuring:
• The 2014 agenda includes modifications to Resolution 202 of 2013 (remu-neration for distribution), modification to the distribution code, and modi-fication of natural gas wholesale sales regulation. These resolutions are expected to be issued in the fourth quarter of 2014.
• Regulations pertaining to the rate formula of jet fuel as a liquid fuel and the basis for the fuel transport by pipeline rate methodology are expected to be issued in the last quarter of 2014.
• The definitive Resolution of the Organized Regulated Market (ORM) was delayed for the third quarter of 2014, but it is still pending.
According to the financial stability criteria stipulated by law, rate formulas established by the CREG must remunerate shareholder equity in the same way an efficient company in a sector of comparable risk would. To do so, two Draft Resolutions were issued that apply to natural gas transport, gas fuel distribution, LPG transport by pipeline, electric energy transmission and distribution in the National Electric Grid, and electricity generation and distribution in unconnected areas.
CREG Resolution 136 of September 17
of 2014
CREG Circular 045 of July 9, 2014 -
REGULATORY AGENDA REVIEW 2014
CREG Draft Resolutions 083 of June 12 of 2014
and 112 of August 5 of 2014
Other Regulations
3Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
This regulation extends the application of the concept of Firm Energy Obligation assignments to cases that already have extended maintenance and delays in building power plants. Firm Energy Obligation assignments cover the entire Reliability Premium period (December 1 year x to November 30 year x+1).
Firm Energy Obligation assignments may be undertaken with the power plants of other agents, negotiating the price conditions bilaterally. It should be noted that this mechanism is a last-resort coverage option for the power plant, subsequent to the use of Sale Reconfiguration Auctions.
In the case of power plants under construction, the assignments may be made provided progress in the project is under 80%, and similar to the case of the Sale Reconfiguration Auctions. Assignments may delay the start of the OEF’s obligation period for projects under construction by one year.
Resolution 114 of August 28, 2014
The first draft published with CREG Resolution 083 of 2014 attempts to define the methodology to calculate the discount rate established for network transmission activities in the National Electric Grid and electricity generation in unconnected areas. Said rate corresponds to that calculated from the estimate of the weighted average capital cost (WACC).
Draft resolution 112 clarifies that the discount rate for each activity shall be defined by the CREG in a subsequent resolution, as well as the delta beta value (Δ ).
4 Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
Energy Market
Energy Demand
So far in 2014, domestic energy demand has been 47,461 GWh. This is 4.5% greater than the figure for the first nine months of 2013.
This increase in total demand so far this year is primarily explained by climatological conditions (warming,) which directly affects regulated demand, moving from 3% to 4.5% average growth. This increase in demand is evident in the country’s hot regions.
The growth of regulated energy demand accumulated to September 2014 was 5.1%, while the growth of non-regulated energy demand was 3.5%.
Moreover, in the last twelve months (October 2013 - September 2014), Colombian electricity demand was 62,972 GWh, a 4.0% increase from that of the October 2012 - September 2013 (60,403 GWh).
Accumulated to September
2013: 45,379 GWh 2014: 47,461 GWh
5Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
Water Levels and Evolution of National Electric Grid Reserves
The following diagram shows the monthly trends of water flows to the National Electric Grid. As observed, in 2014 water levels have been below the historical average in general terms. However, as compared to last quarter, this period shows a slight increase in the levels in the system, although some of the areas where ISAGEN’s power plants are located have remained below the historical average.
Source: XM
Source: XM
Water Contributions to the National Electric Grid
Jan/
00
25
0
Jan/
01
Apr/
00
Jul/0
0
Oct/0
0
Apr/
01
Jul/0
1
Oct/0
1
Jan/
02
Apr/
02
Jul/0
2
Oct/0
2
Jan/
03
Apr/
03
Jul/0
3
Oct/0
3
Jan/
04
Apr/
04
Jul/0
4
Oct/0
4Ja
n/05
Apr/
05
Jul/0
5
Oct/0
5
Jan/
06
Apr/
06
Jul/0
6
Oct/0
6
Jan/
07
Apr/
07
Jul/0
7
Oct/0
7
Jan/
08
Apr/
08
Jul/0
8
Oct/0
8
Jan/
09
Apr/
09
Jul/0
9
Oct/0
9
Jan/
10
Apr/
10
Jul/1
0
Oct/1
0Ja
n/11
Apr/
11
Jul/1
1
Oct/1
1
Jan/
12
Apr/
12
Jul/1
2
Jan/
13
Apr/
13
Jul/1
3
Oct/1
3
Jan/
14
Apr/
14
Jul/1
4
Oct/1
2
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250(% media)
Natural water flows in % of historical levels
January February March April May June July August September
6 Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
Source: XM - Portal BI
National Electric Grid Reserves (GWh)
The following diagram analyzes the trends of the National Electric Grid reserves, highlighting the last quarter of each year. With regard to what has been exhibited so far this year, there is evidence of a recovery in reserves in the last quarter of the year thanks to improved water levels and the projection for next summer made by some generators given the expectation of El Niño phenomenon.
Spot Market Prices Thus far in 2014, the average market price has been 239.6 $/kWh, and most months have been higher than last year.
The third quarter shows that the average market price was below the price in the second quarter of the year, which had the highest prices for the year. This is due to better reserve levels at the National Electric Grid thanks to higher water levels, especially in the eastern region of Colombia.
Average contract prices have been in line with the IPP and market conditions.
Jan012006
April012006
July012006
Oct012006
Jan012007
April012007
July012007
Oct012007
Jan012008
April012008
July012008
Oct012008
Jan012009
April012009
July012009
Oct012009
Jan012010
April012010
July012010
Oct012010
Jan012011
April012011
July012011
Oct012011
Jan012012
April012012
Jan012013
April012013
July012013
Jan012014
July012012
Oct012012
2,000.00
4,000.00
6,000.00
8,000.00
10,000.00
12,000.00
GWh
14,000.00
16,000.00
Abr012014
July012014
Oct012013
7Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
Spot Market Price ($/kWh)
Wholesale Energy Market Contract Price ($/KWh)
Source: XM – Portal BI
161.0
185.0 182.2 137.7 234.3 139.1 141.2
189.6 151.6 371.9 338.8
236.5
180.6
151.8
203.7
143.8
176.0382.7
January February March April May June July August September
Spot Market Price 2013 Spot Market Price 2014
126.1
126.0 126.2 124.1 126.6 124.1 125.3
128.7 130.0 136.7 132.1
127.8
130.4
125.7
131.2
125.7
131.4133.5
January February March April May June July August September
Contract Price 2013 Contract Price 2014
8 Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
Source: XM – Portal BI
ISAGEN’S Monthly Generation (GWh)
The reduction in generation by ISAGEN is due primarily to less energy generated at the San Carlos Power Plant, which was 15% under the number recorded in the first nine months of the previous year. This reduction is attributed to the Nare Chain operation.
However, it should be noted that this decreased generation at San Carlos has been partly compensated by thermal power generation at the Termocentro Power Plant, which had an 18% increase as compared to the same period in 2013.
The following image depicts generation by ISAGEN power plant, both quarterly and accumulated.
ISAGEN’S Generation
ISAGEN’s accumulated generation as of September 2014 was 7,477 GWh, 3% lower than the figure recorded for the same period of the previous year. This generation supplied 16% of the national demand.
11Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
Third quarter 2014 revenue totaled $588,157 million, 21% higher than that of the same quarter of the previous year. This increase is primarily attributable to:
• Revenue from contract energy sales has been progressively increasing this year, with a 42% increase in revenue from this category as compared to the same quarter of the previous year. This increase is primarily attributable to increased energy sales to Industrial and Wholesale end clients in anticipa-tion of the start-up of the Sogamoso power plant.
The graph below shows that contract sales over the year grew by 15%. Specifically in the quarter analyzed, there was a 7% increase compared to the same period last year.
CONTRACT SALES (GWh) 2013 2014 % Variation
January 805.6 885.1 10
February 747.4 842.7 13
March 843.6 865.8 3
April 850.8 845.4 -1
May 879.2 990.7 13
June 807.9 1,000.0 24
July 845.7 1,004.6 19
August 821.9 1,021.6 24
September 774.4 997.8 29
TOTAL 7,376.5 8,453.7 15 Source: XM – Portal BI
• There were no energy exports to Venezuela in the third quarter of the year.
• Energy sales on the spot market accounted for 2% of all revenue this quarter. This quarter has had low revenue from this category as compared to previous quarters, which is attributed to decreased generation at the Company, more energy generated used to cover contracts, and majority market share in providing automatic generation control service.
• Revenue for providing the Automatic Generation Control Service (AGC) accounted for 13% of the total revenue for the quarter. This is due in part to the optimization of our commercial operations.
• Revenue from gas sales was lower because, as in previous quarters, this quarter the Company continued to have an active share of the thermal power generation as part of its total production.
12 Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
Operating Costs
In the third quarter of 2014, ISAGEN’s operating costs were $458,231 million, 34% greater than that obtained in the same period for the previous year, which can be attributed to the following:
• Energy purchases accounted for 54% of the total operating costs in the quarter, and are broken down as follows:
* Amount in millions of COP
Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q3 2013 % Variation
Energy purchases 85,089 280,839 245,826 126,639 94
Usage and connection to the National Transmission System charges
47,792 53,026 48,091 57,052 -16
NDC, CRDs and Commercial Exchange System 1,960 1,956 2,846 1,918 48
Transfer Law 99/93 11,249 8,955 7,609 9,259 -18
FAZNI contribution 3,421 2,751 2,351 2,914 -19
Depreciation 27,990 27,965 28,043 26,924 4
Fuels 69,211 63,637 64,942 67,827 -4
Other operating costs 46,592 47,089 58,523 48,446 21
13Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
* Amount in millions of COP
According to the information displayed in the chart above, energy purchases were higher than sales in the same quarter last year, and lower than sales recorded in the previous quarter of this year. This increase in sales is due to a greater need for energy to cover contracts due to reduced generation in the quarter as compared to the forecast.
Furthermore, hedging transactions continued. These consist of energy exchanges between generators in different time periods.
There was a decrease in the Reliability Premium refund compared to the same quarter of last year, mainly due to the decrease in power generation.
• Operating costs associated with usage and connection charges to the National Transmission System repre-sented a 16% decrease against those recorded in the same quarter of the previous year.
• Other operating costs accounted for 13% of the quarter’s total costs. The increase when compared to pre-vious quarters is because of Termocentro maintenance expenses, computer equipment maintenance expen-ses and security service expenses of the quarter.
Operating Costs Q3 2013 Operating Costs Q3 2014
Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q3 2013 % Variation
Energy Purchases 85,089 280,839 245,825 126,639 94
Energy Purchases 34,591 246,779 201,325 80,947 149
Income Tax Allowance (COP Millions) (86,659) (99,958) -13
Net Profit (COP Millions) 302,542 314,422 -4
Net Margin 18% 21% -
Accumulated to September 2014
Accumulated to September 2014 % Variation
Domestic contracts 1,369,031 1,025,079 34
International Contracts 6,963 179,623 -96
Spot Market Transactions 178,251 199,507 -11
AGC 163,738 44,480 268
Deviations 643 725 -11
Gas 2,261 34,100 -93
Technical Services 5,879 4,904 20
TOTAL 1,726,766 1,488,418 16
EnergyGeneration
3%
OperatingRevenues
16%
OperatingCosts
27%
OperatingProfit
7%
EBITDA
5%
NetProfit
4%
15Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
So far this year, revenue has grown 16% as compared to the same period for the previous year. Revenue trends so far this year have been influenced by the following:
• Greater revenue from domestic energy sale contracts were due to a 15% increase in quantities of energy sold to Industrial and Wholesale End Clients because greater generation was expected, which did not happen because of lower rainfall and the start-up of the Sogamoso power plant.
Source: ISAGEN
Operating Revenues accumulated to September 2013
Operating Revenues accumulated to September 2014
• Revenue from energy sales on the spot market was slightly inferior to that obtained last year, mainly because of reduced energy generation at the Company.
• Not much energy has been exported to Venezuela over the year because of reduced demand in the neighboring country.
• Revenue from Automatic Generation Control (AGC) has increased.
Operating Costs
* Amount in millions of COP
Accumulated to September 2014
Accumulated to September 2014 % Variation
Energy purchases 611,754 359,878 70
Usage and connection to the National Transmission System charges
148,909 174,376 -15
NDC, CRDs and Commercial Exchange System 6,762 5,968 13
Transfer Law 99/93 27,813 28,223 -1
FAZNI contribution 8,523 8,834 -4
Depreciation 83,998 74,771 12
Fuels 197,790 192,157 3
Other operating costs 152,204 133,001 14
TOTAL 1,237,753 977,208 27
69%DomesticContracts
12%InternationalContracts
13%Spot Market Transactions
3%AGC
2%Gas 0,4%
Other
79%DomesticContracts
0.4%InternationalContracts
10%Spot Market Transactions
9%AGC
0.1%Gas 0.4%
Other
16 Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
* Amount in millions of COP
Operating costs accumulated to September 2014 were $1,237,753 million, a 27% increase from the result obtained in the same period of the previous year. This is attributed to the following:
• Energy purchased grew by 70% as compared to the previous year. This category is comprised as follows:
Operating Costs accumulated to September 2013
Operating Costs accumulated to September 2014
Source: ISAGEN
Accumulated to September 2014
Accumulated to September 2013 % Variation
Energy Purchases 611,754 359,878 70
Energy purchases 482,695 207,034 133
Energy purchases for coverage 41,074 0 100
Reliability premium refund 56,400 76,278 -26
Restrictions and others 31,584 76,565 -59
Energy purchases showed a significant increase because of greater energy needed to cover contracts, reduced generation, high spot market prices, and an increase in commercial commitments, which has been explained herein.
Reliability premium refunds decreased by 26% as a result of decreased energy generation.
• Decrease in connection and usage fees due to fewer sales to Venezuela.
8%Deprecition
20%Fuels
4%Transfers required by law and others
14%Other operating costs
37%Energy
Purchases
18%Usage and connection
to the National Transmission System
charges
7%Depreciation
16%Fuels
3%Transfers required by law and others
12%Other operating costs
49%Energy
Purchases
12%Usage and connection
to the National Transmission System charges
17Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
Operating Profit and EBITDA
Revenue in the third quarter of this year was reflected in the operating profit and the EBITDA, demonstrating a negative trend compared to previous quarters. This trend is explained by decreased generation, greater rainfall and increased energy purchases needed to cover the commitments of energy sale contracts that were made several years in advance in anticipation of the start-up of Sogamoso.
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
Source: ISAGEN
Source: ISAGEN
513,
560
490,
377
2013 2014
Q1
45%
39%34%
37%
35%
28%
21% 21%
Q2 Q3 Accumulated to September
192,
790
237,
347
173,
803
128,
051
146,
967
124,
979
2013 2014
In regards to results accumulated so far this year, the operating profit was $403,224 million, 7% lower than that obtained in the same period of 2013, and the EBITDA was $490,377 million, also 4.5% lower. This situation is explained throughout this document.
Operational and EBITDA margins sat at 23% and 28%, respectively, in September.
Operating Profit and Operating Margin
433,
396
403,
224
2013 2014
Q1
40%
34%29%
24%
29%
23%
16% 16%
Q2 Q3 Accumulated to September
167,
297
208,
053
147,
885
99,1
64
118,
213
96,0
07
2013 2014
18 Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
Net Profit
Net profit for the quarter decreased 11% as compared to the same quarter last year, which is due to the revenue as explained above, attenuated by a lower income tax allowance.
In accumulated figures, net profit decreased by 4% so far this year compared with the same period the previous year, resulting from a combination of the various quarters.
Net Profit and Net Margin
Source: ISAGEN
314,
420
302,
542
2013 2014
Q1
28%
22% 22%
19%
21%
18%
14%
12%
Q2 Q3 Accumulated to September
110,
891
147,
073
109,
852
83,6
76
93,6
77
71,7
93
2013 2014
19Financial Report Third Quarter 2014 ISAGEN S.A. E.S.P.
* Amount in COP millions
* Amount in COP millions
Liabilities and EquityThe following were the main variations in liabilities in the third quarter:
• Disbursements of the lease loan of $2,933 million and USD 459,840 from JBIC were received. Both were required to finance the Sogamoso Power Plant.
• Interest was paid in pesos to the Leasing, Club Deal, bonds and other loans in the total amount of $78,566 million, and in dollars to the Santander Bank of Spain and BTMU loans in the total amount of USD 842,818. Moreover, payments for the loan capital from Santander Bank of Spain were made in the amount of USD 1.6 million.
• The last installment of the equity tax of $15,161 million was paid.
Balance Sheet
AssetsThe main asset variations during the third quarter of 2014 correspond to the capitalization of project costs at a value of $219,289 million, for a yearly total of $691,809 million.
Furthermore, current assets decreased due to the use of resources required for construction of the Sogamoso Power Plant.