Top Banner
IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME Operating agent: Jan REMUND Head of Energy & Climate, Meteotest, Switzerland Prof. Philippe BLANC Yves-Marie SAINT-DRENAN MINES ParisTech Center Observation, Impacts, Energy IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and large scale applications
18

IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

Mar 11, 2020

Download

Documents

dariahiddleston
Welcome message from author
This document is posted to help you gain knowledge. Please leave a comment to let me know what you think about it! Share it to your friends and learn new things together.
Transcript
Page 1: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Operating agent: Jan REMUND

Head of Energy & Climate, Meteotest, Switzerland

Prof. Philippe BLANC

Yves-Marie SAINT-DRENAN

MINES ParisTech

Center Observation, Impacts, Energy

IEA PVPS Task 16

Solar resource for high penetration and large

scale applications

Page 2: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Background of PVPS Task 16

• International Energy Agency (IEA)

Technology Collaboration Programmes (TCP)

used as backing organization

• Formalised way of international collaboration

• Participants are confirmed by states

• Three solar programmes involved:

• Solar Heating and Cooling (SHC)

• SolarPACES (solar chemistry and

concentrating solar power)

• PV power systems (PVPS)

• Duration: 2017-2020 (extented to 2023)

Page 3: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

IEA SHC Task 36/46

• 2005 – 2016, lead by Dave Renne (NREL, ISES)

• Best Practices Handbook for the Collection and Use of Solar Resource Data

for Solar Energy Applications (2015)

http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy15osti/63112.pdf

• New version 2018

Best Practices Handbook for the Collection and Use of Solar Resource Data

for Solar Energy Applications: Second Edition

https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy18osti/68886.pdf

• Benchmarks:

– Satellite based solar resource assessment

– Solar forecasts

• Modelling:

– Definition of circumsolar radiation and DNI

– Integration of ground measurements with model derived data

– Spatio-temporal variability of solar resource with respect time and space aggregation

Page 4: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Objectives for the Task 16 of PVPSBig PV and high penetration need high quality of meteorological

information

• Finer spatial and temporal resolution of data

• Uncertainty in solar belt still high

• Resource uncertainty is biggest part of financial uncertainty

• Main objective:

Lower solar resource uncertainties to lower costs of

implementation

• Added values

• Independent benchmarks

Never trust non independent validations

• Scientific exchange

Faster and more detailed as on conferences

Page 5: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Network 14 IEA PVPS members

2 IEA SHC members

7 IEA SolarPACES m.

Global horizontal irradiance. Source: www.meteonorm.com Verion 7.2

Page 6: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

54

institutions

Science

(labs and

universities)

Met Services

Utilities

Data providers

Page 7: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Subtask 1: Resources

Manajit Sengupta, NREL

Stefan Wilbert, DLR (temp)

• Evaluation of current and

emerging resource

assessment methodologies:

– Ground based methods

(instruments, soiling)

– Numerical weather models

(NWP)

– Satellite-based methods

(uncertainties, modelling)

– Benchmarking framework

Page 8: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Page 9: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Subtask 2: Bankability

Philippe Blanc, MINES ParisTech

• Enhanced data & bankable

products:

– Data quality & format

– Merging of satellite, NWP and

ground data

– Spatio-temporal high variability

– Long-term inter-annual

variability

– Products for the end-users

Page 10: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

ICEM 2019: Workshop on best

practices for automatic and expert

based data quality control methods and

for gap filling methods

Page 11: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Benchmark on short-to-long

term adaptation

Page 12: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Subtask 3: Forecasting

Alessandro Betti, I-EM

• Evaluation of current and

emerging solar

forecasting techniques:

– Value of solar power

forecasts

– Regional solar power

forecasting

– Variability forecasting and

probabilistic forecasting

Page 13: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Page 14: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Workshop about probabilistic

forecasts

Organized by N. Schmutz (Reuniwatt)

Workshop at EUPVSEC 2019 (Marseille, FRA)

Page 15: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Sky imager benchmark • Date & location: August-October 2019, PSA Almeria (DLR)

• Organizer: DLR, DEU and Univ. Patras, GRE

• Participants: DLR, FH Oberösterreich, Reuniwatt, Univ. Utrecht,

CSEM/MT, EPFL (external)

• Validation: Univ. Patras (independent)

Page 16: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Subtask 4: Dissemination

Dave Renné, USA

• Dissemination and Outreach:

– Task Brochure & Newsletters

– Conference and Journal papers

– Webinars and/or conference

presentations

connection to ISES

– Workshops (at major

conferences)

– Reports

July 2017- June 2020 Update of the solar

resource handbook

(NREL)

Page 17: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Extensions of activities

Page 18: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Thank you for your attention!

http://www.iea-pvps.org/index.php?id=389