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Page 1: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Operating agent: Jan REMUND

Head of Energy & Climate, Meteotest, Switzerland

Prof. Philippe BLANC

Yves-Marie SAINT-DRENAN

MINES ParisTech

Center Observation, Impacts, Energy

IEA PVPS Task 16

Solar resource for high penetration and large

scale applications

Page 2: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Background of PVPS Task 16

• International Energy Agency (IEA)

Technology Collaboration Programmes (TCP)

used as backing organization

• Formalised way of international collaboration

• Participants are confirmed by states

• Three solar programmes involved:

• Solar Heating and Cooling (SHC)

• SolarPACES (solar chemistry and

concentrating solar power)

• PV power systems (PVPS)

• Duration: 2017-2020 (extented to 2023)

Page 3: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

IEA SHC Task 36/46

• 2005 – 2016, lead by Dave Renne (NREL, ISES)

• Best Practices Handbook for the Collection and Use of Solar Resource Data

for Solar Energy Applications (2015)

http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy15osti/63112.pdf

• New version 2018

Best Practices Handbook for the Collection and Use of Solar Resource Data

for Solar Energy Applications: Second Edition

https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy18osti/68886.pdf

• Benchmarks:

– Satellite based solar resource assessment

– Solar forecasts

• Modelling:

– Definition of circumsolar radiation and DNI

– Integration of ground measurements with model derived data

– Spatio-temporal variability of solar resource with respect time and space aggregation

Page 4: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Objectives for the Task 16 of PVPSBig PV and high penetration need high quality of meteorological

information

• Finer spatial and temporal resolution of data

• Uncertainty in solar belt still high

• Resource uncertainty is biggest part of financial uncertainty

• Main objective:

Lower solar resource uncertainties to lower costs of

implementation

• Added values

• Independent benchmarks

Never trust non independent validations

• Scientific exchange

Faster and more detailed as on conferences

Page 5: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Network 14 IEA PVPS members

2 IEA SHC members

7 IEA SolarPACES m.

Global horizontal irradiance. Source: www.meteonorm.com Verion 7.2

Page 6: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

54

institutions

Science

(labs and

universities)

Met Services

Utilities

Data providers

Page 7: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Subtask 1: Resources

Manajit Sengupta, NREL

Stefan Wilbert, DLR (temp)

• Evaluation of current and

emerging resource

assessment methodologies:

– Ground based methods

(instruments, soiling)

– Numerical weather models

(NWP)

– Satellite-based methods

(uncertainties, modelling)

– Benchmarking framework

Page 8: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Page 9: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Subtask 2: Bankability

Philippe Blanc, MINES ParisTech

• Enhanced data & bankable

products:

– Data quality & format

– Merging of satellite, NWP and

ground data

– Spatio-temporal high variability

– Long-term inter-annual

variability

– Products for the end-users

Page 10: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

ICEM 2019: Workshop on best

practices for automatic and expert

based data quality control methods and

for gap filling methods

Page 11: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Benchmark on short-to-long

term adaptation

Page 12: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Subtask 3: Forecasting

Alessandro Betti, I-EM

• Evaluation of current and

emerging solar

forecasting techniques:

– Value of solar power

forecasts

– Regional solar power

forecasting

– Variability forecasting and

probabilistic forecasting

Page 13: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Page 14: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Workshop about probabilistic

forecasts

Organized by N. Schmutz (Reuniwatt)

Workshop at EUPVSEC 2019 (Marseille, FRA)

Page 15: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Sky imager benchmark • Date & location: August-October 2019, PSA Almeria (DLR)

• Organizer: DLR, DEU and Univ. Patras, GRE

• Participants: DLR, FH Oberösterreich, Reuniwatt, Univ. Utrecht,

CSEM/MT, EPFL (external)

• Validation: Univ. Patras (independent)

Page 16: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Subtask 4: Dissemination

Dave Renné, USA

• Dissemination and Outreach:

– Task Brochure & Newsletters

– Conference and Journal papers

– Webinars and/or conference

presentations

connection to ISES

– Workshops (at major

conferences)

– Reports

July 2017- June 2020 Update of the solar

resource handbook

(NREL)

Page 17: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Extensions of activities

Page 18: IEA PVPS Task 16 Solar resource for high penetration and ... · – Satellite based solar resource assessment – Solar forecasts • Modelling: – Definition of circumsolar radiation

IEA INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME

Thank you for your attention!

http://www.iea-pvps.org/index.php?id=389


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