Global Trends in Online Learning the Big Picture, Threats, Opportunities and Change Next Generation Learning Conference 2014 Dalarna, 20 March 2014 Gard Titlestad Secretary General International Council For Open and Distance Education, ICDE
Feb 22, 2016
Global Trends in Online Learning the Big Picture, Threats, Opportunities and Change
Next Generation Learning Conference 2014Dalarna, 20 March 2014
Gard TitlestadSecretary General
International Council For Open and Distance Education, ICDE
• The leading global membership organization for open, distance and online education
• An NGO official partner of UNESCO, and shares that agency’s key aim – the attainment of quality education for all
• ICDE believes that in pursuing education as a universal right, the needs of the learner must be central.
• Members in all regions of the world
25 Years SupportFrom Norway
What do we want to achieve?Re-imaging Higher Education: Taking a Broader View of Diversity
Professor Ellen HazelkornVice President of Research and Enterprise, and Dean of the Graduate
Research SchoolHigher Education Policy Research Unit (HEPRU)
Dublin Institute of Technology5th Global Meeting of Associations (GMA V), Manchester, April 2013
A World-Class Higher Education System
• Coherent portfolio of horizontally diverse and distinctive high performing, complementary and actively engaged institutions:
• Providing a breadth of educational, research and student experiences which offer the widest chance to the broadest number of students; ;
• Working collaboratively to maximize capacity beyond individual institutional capability.
• Developing knowledge and skills that citizens need to contribute to society throughout their lives, while attracting international talent;
• Graduates able to succeed in the labour market, fuel and sustain personal, social and economic development, and underpin civil society;
• Operating successfully in the global market, international in perspective and responsive to change.
Professor Ellen Hazelkorn
From Elite to Universal Participation
Elite0-15%
Mass16-50%
Universal Over 50%
Functions of higher education
Shaping mind and character of ruling class; preparation for elite roles
Transmission of skills; preparation for broader range of technical elite roles
Adaptation of "whole population" to rapid social and technological change
Curriculum and forms of instruction
Highly structured in terms of academic conceptions of knowledge
Modular, flexible and semi-structured sequence of courses
Boundaries and sequences break down; distinctions between learning and life break down
Institutional characteristics
Homogeneous with high and common standards; small residential communities; clear and impermeable boundaries
Comprehensive with more diverse standards; "cities of intellect" – mixed residential & commuting; boundaries fuzzy and permeable.
Great diversity with no common model; aggregates of people enrolled but...many rarely on campus; boundaries weak or non-existent.
Research and knowledge transfer
Pursuit of understanding of fundamental principles focused on "pure disciplines" and arising from curiosity, with no (direct or immediate) commercial benefits.
Pursuit of understanding of principles in order to solve practical problems of the modern world, rather than to acquire knowledge for knowledge’s sake.
Research is democratised, co-produced with and responsive to wider society, with an emphasis on impact and benefit.
(Hazelkorn, 2011 – Adapted from Brennan, 2004 and Trow, 1973, 1974, 2006; Gibbons et al, 1994)
The BIG picture
The BIG Picture• Online and distance education is steadily increasing all over
the world
IndiaSweden
Russia
South America
The US
AfricaAustralia
China
The BIG picture
• The growth in higher education is massive
20442030
320
4002007 - 2030
Mill. students
EU/OECD projections the need for HEby 2030: 400 mill.
The BIG picture
• The changes in higher education is dramatic
The BIG picture• MOOC took the world (?) with storm, peaked, and opened up
for massive innovation in education
Coursera ”Learning Hubs”
Where?
Numbers per March 2014
http://openeducationeuropa.eu/en/european_scoreboard_moocs
Numbers per March2014
2013 (ECAR)
Who take MOOC ? 2013 (ECAR)
Paul Stacey, Associate Director of Global Learning, Creative Commons, Oktober 2013
MOOC or MOC
• ”LORD knows there’s a lot of bad news in the world today to get you down, but there is one big thing happening that leaves me incredibly hopeful about the future, and that is the budding revolution in global online higher education. Nothing has more potential to lift more people out of poverty — by providing them an affordable education to get a job or improve in the job they have. Nothing has more potential to unlock a billion more brains to solve the world’s biggest problems.”
Thomas Friedman, columnist and author
Karl AbererPierre Dillenbourg
http://moocs.epfl.ch/eu-mooc-summit
Mind to MOOCsOverview, reflections and brainstorming in whitening water
Think tank 20 October 2013, Open Universitty of China, Beijing, China
To be reported to the ICDE Standing Conference of Presidents meeting and Policy Forum
Excerpts from ICDE Mind to MOOCs reportA few of the issues and recommendations Equity. • Consider this initiative as an opportunity to rethink our role as universities and take
up MOOCs. . • Integrate open MOOCs in our respective institutions• National, regional and transnational cooperation is a great opportunity in developing
MOOC and MOOC-alike concepts. Diversity. • Undertake contextualized strategies when implementing MOOCs • Be aware of cultural and language aspects → anglo-centric core, colonialism • OER and OCW as the basis for MOOC will ease contextual, cultural and language
adaptationInnovation and Quality. • Improve and innovate on pedagogical aspects: methodologies, content formats,
assessment. • Provide learning analytics as a tool for improving the courses. Connect the learning
process and research for new knowledge and improvements.• Promote research about MOOCs. • Keep moving towards quality. Beyond quantity of MOOCs and users, the focus on
quality is essential for sustainability.
The BIG picture• Online, Distance (ODL) and on Campus Learning are
converging => Blended
BlendedODLCampus
• And as a result – an even more diverse higher education landscape……
The BIG picture
• Three streams work in parallel:
– Online becomes mature – and Internet/mobile: freedom from distance, mobile broadband: freedom from location
– New methodologies, content and pedagogy – new opportunities for student supportive teaching
– New knowledge about the brain and learning, new knowledge in neurosciences
• Big science lights the way to an understanding of how the world's most complex machine gives rise to our thoughts and emotions
The BIG picture• We are in the beginning (of the beginning) – example: mobile
technology
We are in the beginning of the beginning
State of Broadband Report 2013 www.broadbandcommission.org
African Undersea Cables
nov. 2013
http://manypossibilities.net/african-undersea-cables/
We are in the beginning of the
beginning
The Governments moves…..
Ref. Yang Zhijian, president Open University of China, ICDE world Conference, Tianjin, China October 2013
The Governments moves…..
http://www.regjeringen.no/nb/dep/kd/dep/styrer-rad-og-utvalg/utvalg-om-hoyere-utdanningstilbud-pa-net.html?id=732679
• The Norwegian MOOC Commission was appointed by Royal Decree on 21 June 2013.
• One subreport delivered by 13 December 2013.
• Final report, green paper, expected in June 2014.
• A white paper on structures and financial regulations foreseen in 2015.
Wide definition
http://www.regjeringen.no/nb/dep/kd/dep/styrer-rad-og-utvalg/utvalg-om-hoyere-utdanningstilbud-pa-net.html?id=732679
The Commission’s recommendations
• Ch. 6.2 Innovative education science and quality development– research-based knowledge, learning analytics– Incentives– skills for faculty and staff– assess skills developed through MOOCs without exams and credits
• Ch. 6.3 Infrastructure for MOOCs and other digital learning• Ch. 6.4 Skills needed by business and the labour market• Ch. 6.5 MOOCs as part of the Norwegian degree system:
accreditation and recognition of MOOCs• Ch. 6.6 Student fees and the free principle in higher education• Ch. 6.7 Educational support• Ch. 6.8 Financing higher educationhttp://www.regjeringen.no/nb/dep/kd/dep/styrer-rad-og-utvalg/utvalg-om-hoyere-utdanningstilbud-pa-net.html?id=732679
The CONCRETE example
January 2014
The BIG trends
Openknowledge
Societal needs
Technology
Students needs and
expectations
OERCost
Trends, within the framwork of globalisation and internationalisation
HE needs – 1 U a week
Demographics
Globalisation
Enabling economic growth
Access
Open Access
eInfrrastructureseScience
Automation
Robots Sensors
2020 – 80% connectedInternet of things Open Research
Open Data
Open Innovation
US quadruppling
Southern Europe….
Developing economies
ICT Habitus
Flexibility
Employability
Lifelong
Disruptive Innovations
The BIG change?
Computerization Threatens One Third of Finnish Employment
37% of Danish jobs classified with high probability for being phased out
http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21594264-previous-technological-innovation-has-always-delivered-more-long-run-employment-not-less
The future of jobs; The onrushing wave
Technology and jobs; Coming to an office near youhttp://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21594298-effect-todays-technology-tomorrows-jobs-will-be-immenseand-no-country-ready
http://www.kraka.org/artikler/computere_og_udskiftning_af_jobfunktioner
http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/rifbriefs/22.htm
The Future of Employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation?About 47 per cent of total US employment is at risk.http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/publications/view/1314
The BIGGER opportunities
”For the first time in human history we have the tools to enable everyone to attain all the education they desire.”
(Wiley, Green, & Soares, 2012)
Dramatically bringing down the cost of education with OER: How open education resources unlock the door to free
learning.
From the UNESCO OER Declaration
• Foster awareness and use of OER• Encourage the development and adaptation of
OER in a variety of languages and cultural contexts• Encourage the open licensing of educational
materials produced with public funds.ICDE work shouder to shoulder with UNESCO and other stakeholders to have this implementet
OER and Open and Distance Learning can increase the impact of
investments in knowledge
OER &ODL
Open Access – open scienceResearch based OERResearch based teaching
Innovation in education – open innovationInnovate the learning system – flip the classroomKnowledge supply for innovation
High quality educationResearch based educationResource based educationOpen education
The next years
• Open, distance, online and eLearning – enables:
• Equal, easy and affordable access• Quality Higher education• Better learning outcome• Student success
• And the threats? The other way around…..
The small TEXT
MOOC in an international perspective: New global agenda for innovation
in higher education • 1) Government should provide a holistic, favourable framework for open and online
learning and in line with the values of UNESCO. Incentives should be established for wanted direction. Dialogue with stakeholders, in particular HEI. Specific goals to be set. OER in line with the UNESCO declaration a part of the framework.
• 2) Support and facilitation of Leadership for change to a more open and online education. Competencies to be build.
• 3) Incentives and support for faculty and teachers change processes, competencies and working environment to achieve a more open and online education.
• 4) Framework and methodologies that put the learner in the centre. • 5) Cooperation across institutions, and countries on content and platforms for a more
open and online education, hereunder MOOC. • 6) Interoperability between solutions.• 7) Common global outlook, statistics and understanding of fundamental concepts• 8) Concrete goals and plans for research and innovation within the field, well anchored
at the institutions concerned..
Dr Qian Tang, Assistant Director-General for Education, UNESCO (8/11/2013).It is necessary to repeat the confirmation of fundamental principles:
• Education is– A fundamental human rights– A public good– A basis for man's attainment of peace, sustainable development, gender
equality and responsible global citizenship– A key factor in reducing inequality and poverty.
• And further: Imperative for Education for post 2015 agenda must be:– Equitable access to education for all and at all levels– Quality of education and learning– Fairness– Gender equality– Lifelong learning