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Geographies of diversity in Manchester OCTOBER 2013 Summary • The ethnic minority population, as measured by non-white residents, increased between 1991 and 2011 by 104,300 in Manchester. • Despite this growth, the White British ethnic group, only measured since 2001, remains the largest ethnic group in the city, accounting for 59% of the population. • Pakistani is the largest ethnic minority group in Manchester accounting for 9% of the population. The group is clustered in Longsight and Cheetham. • The second largest ethnic minority group in Manchester is African, which has grown four- fold and faster than any other group since 1991. The group is fairly evenly distributed across the city with the largest cluster in Moss Side ward. • There is evidence of dispersal of ethnic minority groups from areas in which they have previously clustered. • The largest ethnic minority groups in Manchester (Pakistani, African and Other White) are growing more rapidly in wards where they are least clustered and slower in wards where they are most clustered. • New measures in the 2011 Census show that Manchester is not becoming less British, despite its increased ethnic diversity. More people report a British or English national identity in Manchester than report White British ethnic identity. • Poor English language proficiency is higher in Manchester than the national average reflecting a local need for support services. However, only a minority of residents cannot speak English well even in those areas where the need is greatest. 2% 5% 4% 2% 85% (includes White Other and White Irish 74% 59% 15% 19% 33% 1991 2001 2011 White Other White Irish White Brish Non-White Total populaon – 503,127 Total populaon – 422,922 Total populaon – 432,685 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 1991 2001 2011 Pakistani 42,904 (73%) African 25,718 (254%) Chinese 13,539 (142%) Indian 11,417 (80%) Caribbean 9,642 (0%) Bangladeshi 6,437 (65%) White-Caribbean 8,887 (57%) Mixed Other 5,096 (91%) White-Asian (82%) White-African 4,397 (72%) Other Asian 11,689 (225%) Arab (see note) Other Black 8,124 (274%) Other 5,884 (59%) 2011 Census esmates (% change from 2001 shown in brackets): Figure 1. Ethnic diversity in Manchester, 1991-2011 Notes: Figures may not add due to rounding. Notes: There are no Mixed categories in 1991; and no Arab category in 1991 & 2001. Excludes White Irish and White Other categories shown in Figure 1a. a) Increased ethnic minority share of the population, 1991-2011 b) Growth of ethnic minority groups, 1991-2011 LOCAL DYNAMICS OF DIVERSITY: EVIDENCE FROM THE 2011 CENSUS Prepared by ESRC Centre on Dynamics of Ethnicity (CoDE) 1 www.ethnicity.ac.uk
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Page 1: Geographies of diversity in Manchesterhummedia.manchester.ac.uk/institutes/code/... · Geographies of diversity in Manchester Figure 3. Geographical spreading of the largest ethnic

Geographies of diversity in Manchester

OCTOBER 2013

Summary• The ethnic minority population, as measured

by non-white residents, increased between 1991 and 2011 by 104,300 in Manchester.

•Despitethisgrowth,theWhiteBritishethnicgroup,onlymeasuredsince2001,remainsthelargestethnicgroupinthecity,accountingfor59%ofthepopulation.

•PakistaniisthelargestethnicminoritygroupinManchesteraccountingfor9%ofthepopulation.ThegroupisclusteredinLongsightandCheetham.

•ThesecondlargestethnicminoritygroupinManchesterisAfrican,whichhasgrownfour-foldandfasterthananyothergroupsince1991.ThegroupisfairlyevenlydistributedacrossthecitywiththelargestclusterinMossSideward.

• There is evidence of dispersal of ethnic minority groups from areas in which they have previously clustered.

•ThelargestethnicminoritygroupsinManchester(Pakistani,AfricanandOtherWhite)aregrowingmorerapidlyinwardswheretheyareleastclusteredandslowerinwardswheretheyaremostclustered.

• New measures in the 2011 Census show that Manchester is not becoming less British, despite its increased ethnic diversity. More people report a British or English national identity in Manchester than report White British ethnic identity.

•PoorEnglishlanguageproficiencyishigherinManchesterthanthenationalaveragereflectingalocalneedforsupportservices.However,onlyaminorityofresidentscannotspeakEnglishwelleveninthoseareaswheretheneedisgreatest.

2%

5%

4%

2%

85% (includes White Other and

White Irish

74%

59%

15%

19%

33%

1991

2001

2011

White Other White Irish White British Non-White

Total population – 503,127

Total population – 422,922

Total population – 432,685

0

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40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

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180,000

1991 2001 2011

Pakistani 42,904 (73%)

African 25,718 (254%)

Chinese 13,539 (142%)

Indian 11,417 (80%)

Caribbean 9,642 (0%)

Bangladeshi 6,437 (65%)

White-Caribbean 8,887 (57%)

Mixed Other 5,096 (91%)

White-Asian (82%)

White-African 4,397 (72%)

Other Asian 11,689 (225%)

Arab (see note)

Other Black 8,124 (274%)

Other 5,884 (59%)

2011 Census estimates (% change from 2001 shown in brackets):

Figure 1.EthnicdiversityinManchester,1991-2011

Notes:Figuresmaynotaddduetorounding.

Notes:TherearenoMixedcategoriesin1991;andnoArabcategoryin1991&2001.ExcludesWhiteIrishandWhiteOthercategoriesshowninFigure1a.

a)Increasedethnicminorityshareofthepopulation,1991-2011

b)Growthofethnicminoritygroups,1991-2011

LOCAL DYNAMICS OF DIVERSITY: EVIDENCE FROM THE 2011 CENSUSPrepared by ESRC Centre on Dynamics of Ethnicity (CoDE)

1 www.ethnicity.ac.uk

Page 2: Geographies of diversity in Manchesterhummedia.manchester.ac.uk/institutes/code/... · Geographies of diversity in Manchester Figure 3. Geographical spreading of the largest ethnic

The growth of ethnic diversity 1991-2011

Theethnicminoritypopulation(ornon-whitepopulation)increasedby104,300or164%inManchesterbetween1991and2011(seeFigure1a).Despitethisgrowth,theWhiteBritishethnicgroup,onlymeasuredsince2001(seebox),remainsthelargestgroupinManchester(59%)andGreaterManchester(80%).InManchester,thePakistani(9%),African(5%),OtherWhite(5%)andChinese(3%)arethelargestethnicminoritygroups(seeFigure1b).Theremainderofthepopulationcomprisesadiversemixofethnicgroups,includingWhiteIrish(2%),OtherAsian(2%),andIndian(2%).Since1991,theAfricanethnicgrouphasgrownfasterthananyotherethnicgroup(by430%).

Census ethnic group questionTherehasbeenaquestiononethnicityintheUKCensussince1991.Thequestionhaschangedovertimeintermsofhowitisframedandthepre-definedresponsecategoriesofferedforpeopletochoosefrom.In1991,thecensusasked‘whichethnicgroupdoyoudescendfrom:White;Black-Caribbean;Black-African;Black-Other;Indian;Pakistani;BangladeshiandChinese.’Butin2001,itaskedabout‘yourethnicgroupintermsofculturalbackground.’Therewereadditionalpre-definedcategoriesofMixedandWhiteIrishin2001aswellasan‘Other’categoryforeachbroadgroupofWhite,Mixed,AsianandBlack.The2011questionchangedagain,simplyaskingabout‘yourethnicgrouporbackground’andtherewerecategoriesaddedforWhiteGypsyorIrishTravellerandArab.Thechangesinthephrasingofthequestionandthetickboxresponsecategoriesrestrictcomparisonacrosscensuses.

Geographies of diversity in Manchester

Figure 2.GeographicaldistributionoftheManchester’slargestethnicminoritygroupsacrossGreaterManchesterbyward,2011

0% - 5%

5% - 10%

10% - 20%

20% - 60%Manchester average: 9%Greater Manchester average: 5%England & Wales average: 2%

Percentage of popula�on

Salford

Stockport

BuryBolton

Tameside

Trafford

Wigan

Rochdale

Oldham

Manchester

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Stockport

BuryBolton

Tameside

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Wigan

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5% - 10%

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20% - 60%Manchester average: 5%Greater Manchester average: 2%England & Wales average: 2%

Percentage of popula�on

Salford

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BuryBolton

Tameside

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Wigan

Rochdale

Oldham

Manchester

0% - 5%

5% - 10%

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20% - 60%Manchester average: 5%Greater Manchester average: 3%England & Wales average: 4%

Percentage of popula�on

Salford

Stockport

BuryBolton

Tameside

Trafford

Wigan

Rochdale

Oldham

Manchester

0% - 5%

5% - 10%

10% - 20%

20% - 60%Manchester average: 3%Greater Manchester average: 1%England & Wales average: 1%

Percentage of popula�on

a)Pakistanigroup b)Africangroup

c)WhiteOthergroup d)Chinesegroup

Thesemapsarepopulationcartogramswhereeachwardisshownapproximatelyproportionalinsizetoitsresidentpopulation.

2 www.ethnicity.ac.uk

Page 3: Geographies of diversity in Manchesterhummedia.manchester.ac.uk/institutes/code/... · Geographies of diversity in Manchester Figure 3. Geographical spreading of the largest ethnic

Geographical spread of diversityFigures2a-2dshowtheclusteringofthelargestethnicminoritygroupsinManchesteracrosswardsinGreaterManchesterin2011.ThePakistaniethnicgroupisclusteredinwardsinpartsofRochdale,Oldham,ManchesterandBolton(seeFigure2a).InManchester,morethanathirdofthepopulationinLongsightward(36%),morethanaquarterofthepopulationinCheethamward(28%),andmorethanafifthofthepopulationinthewardsofWhalleyRange,CrumpsallandLevenshulmehaveaPakistaniethnicidentity.

TheAfricanethnicgroupisclusteredinManchesteraccountingformorethanatenthofthepopulationinthewardsofMossSide(17%),Bradford(11%),Harpurhey(11%),Ardwick,(11%)andGortonNorth(10%)(seeFigure2b).TheChineseethnicgroupaccountsforfewerthan1in10peopleinallwardsinGreaterManchesterexceptCityCentre(13%)(seeFigure2d).

TheOtherWhitegroupislessclusteredinManchesterandonlyaccountsformorethan10%ofthepopulationinCityCentreward(12%)(seeFigure2c).Thegroupaccountsformorethan10%ofthepopulationintheSalfordwardsofKersal(12%),Broughton(10%)andOrdsall(10%).The2011Censusformaskedpeopleidentifyingwithan‘Other’group

towriteintheirethnicgroup.InManchester,Polish(5,900)wasthefavouredwrittenincategoryfollowedbyOtherWesternEuropean(3,400),EuropeanMixed(3,000)andOtherEasternEuropean(2,500).

Dispersal of ethnic diversityMostethnicminoritygroupsareevenlyspreadresidentiallyacrossManchesterandtherestofGreaterManchester.Thiseven-nessisincreasing:thereisevidenceofdispersalawayfromthoseareaswhereethnicminoritygroupsaremostclustered.ThisisshowninFigure3,whichhighlightsthepercentagechange(2001-2011)inthepopulationofthePakistani,African,OtherWhiteandChineseethnicminoritygroupsinGreaterManchesterandManchesterwardswheretheyaremostclustered(thosethatcontainedafifthofthepopulationofeachgroupin2001),andthepercentagechangeineachgroupinallotherlessclusteredwards.

Thereisaclearpatternofgreaterpopulationgrowthforeachethnicminoritygroupinthosewardswheretheyarelessclusteredcomparedwithsmallergrowthinthemostclusteredwardsinthecityandthewiderregion.TheonlyexceptionistheChinesegroup.Theconcentrationofthisgroupmayreflecttherecentriseinimmigrationtotheurbancentresforstudyattheregion’sHigherEducationinstitutions.

Geographies of diversity in Manchester

Figure 3.GeographicalspreadingofthelargestethnicminoritygroupsacrosswardsinGreaterManchesterandManchester,2001-2011

0%

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400%

Pakistani African Other White

Chinese Pakistani African Other White

Chinese

Greater Manchester Manchester

Popu

lati

on g

row

th (%

), 2

001-

2011

Most clustered wards Less clustered wards

Notes:The‘mostclusteredwards’foreachethnicgroupcontainafifthofanethnicgroup’spopulationin2001inthewardswiththehighestpercentageofthegroup,andthe‘lessclusteredwards’containtheremainingfour-fifths.Themostclusteredwardsareasfollowsforeachgroup:Greater Manchester - Pakistani:Milkstone&Deeplish,Werneth,StMary’s,CentralRochdale;African:MossSide,Ardwick;Other White:CityCentre,Kersal,Rusholme,Hulme,Ardwick,DidsburyWest,WhalleyRange,MossSide,Clifford,IrwellRiverside,Cheetham,Chorlton;Chinese:CityCentre,Ardwick,Hulme,IrwellRiverside,Rusholme,Bradford.Manchester - Pakistani:Longsight,Cheetham;African:MossSide,Ardwick;Other White:CityCentreRusholme,Hulme,Ardwick;Chinese:CityCentre,Ardwick

3 www.ethnicity.ac.uk

Page 4: Geographies of diversity in Manchesterhummedia.manchester.ac.uk/institutes/code/... · Geographies of diversity in Manchester Figure 3. Geographical spreading of the largest ethnic

Thisbriefingisoneinaseries,Local dynamics of diversity: evidence from the 2011 Census.

Author:StephenJivraj

Centre on Dynamics of Ethnicity (CoDE) TheUniversityofManchesterOxfordRoad,ManchesterM139PL,UK

email:[email protected]

www.ethnicity.ac.uk

Indicators of barriers to community participationEthnicidentitydoesnotprovideaclearindicationoftheassistancesomepeoplewillrequirefromlocalauthorityservicestoparticipateinthecommunitiesinwhichtheysettlebecausemanyethnicminorityresidentswillhavebeenbornintheUKorhavelivedhereformanyyears.Indeed,Britishnessismultiethnic,asinformationfirstavailableinthe2011Censustellsus:inManchester,morepeoplereportaBritishorEnglishnationalidentitythanreportaWhiteBritishethnicidentity.

Figure4showstheproportionofpeopleineachwardinManchesterwhohaveaforeignnationalidentity,arrivedintheUKrecently(2007-11),speakanon-EnglishmainlanguageandcannotspeakEnglishwell.Theaverageproportionofpeoplewithaforeignidentityis17%inManchester,doublethenationalaverageof8%.CityCentreward(33%)hasthehighestproportionandMostonward(6%)hasthelowest.

Theproportionofpeoplewithaforeignidentityisstronglycorrelated(R=0.96)withtheproportionofpeoplewhoarrivedintheUKduring2007-11acrosswardsinManchester.Thisshowsthatareaswithhigherproportionsofpeoplewithaforeignidentityhavehigherproportionsofpeoplewhohaverecentlyarrived.CityCentrewardhasbyfarthegreatestproportionofresidentswhoarrivedinthe4yearspriortothe2011Census(26%).Mostonward(2%)hasthelowestproportionofitspopulationwhorecentlyarrived.

TheproportionofthepopulationwhocannotspeakEnglishwellisnotasstronglycorrelatedwithforeignnationalidentity(R=0.7).Thus,Englishtuitionneedsarenotnecessarilygreatestinareasofrecentimmigration.ThewardswiththegreatestproportionofthepopulationwhocannotspeakEnglishwellareLongsight(10%)andCheetham(8%).TheaverageforManchesteris9%,whichishigherthanthenationalaverageof2%,suggestinganeedforEnglishlanguagetuitioninthecity.Nonetheless,the2011CensusshowsthatthevastmajorityofthepopulationinManchester,evenintheareaswhereethnicminoritiesareclustered,canspeakEnglishwell.

Incompleteness of ethnic group data 1991-2001Non-response(undercount)isthoughttohavebeenwell-estimatedwithinthe2011Census,butincompletelyestimatedin1991and2001.Non-responseisconcentratedinsomeethnicgroups.Ifthisbiasisnottakenintoaccount,comparisonsofpopulationcanbemisleading.Inthisbriefingwehaveusedthecompleteestimatesfor1991and2001availablefromtheUKDataArchive.

Geographies of diversity in Manchester

Figure 4.AlternativemeasuresofimmigranthistoryinManchesterwards,2011

Moston

City Centre

City Centre

Moston

Moston

Longsight

Didsbury West

Longsight

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Foreign identity Arrived 2007-11

Non-English main language

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Manchester averageEngland & Wales average

Percentage of resident population

Notes:Basepopulationfor‘CannotspeakEnglishwell’includesonlypeopleaged3andover.

4 www.ethnicity.ac.uk