February, 2012 NTHMP Warning Coordination Subcommittee Meeting
February, 2012 NTHMP Warning Coordination Subcommittee Meeting.
Dec 26, 2015
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February, 2012NTHMP
Warning Coordination Subcommittee Meeting
Agenda
• Introductions
• Action Item Review
• Exercises
• NTHMP Post-event Assessments
• TWC Products
• TWC Procedures
• NTHMP Measures and Milestones
• WCS Core Membership
Action Item Review
• Tsunami Amplitude terminology– IOC PTWS User’s Guide Definition:
• Tsunami Height: Amplitude from predicted tide level to the crest of the maximum wave.
• EAS Activation for Tsunami Warnings
Exercises
• West coast communications test– Move from Sept. to March in 2014?
• March, 2012 live code tests
• Sept., 2012 west coast EAS test
• 2014 USGS Exercise
• 2013 National Exercises – Date?
• Exercises– Pacifex/ Lantex/ PacWave Plans
Lantex12
• Two separate options– GOM slide– Atlantic slide
Pacifex12
• Similar to 1964 event
• KMZ overlays available
• Handbook at WCATWC web site
Post-warning effectiveness survey
• Utilized 3 times in 2011– Japan Tsunami– June Aleutian Warning– September Aleutian Warning– Three Reports Available on NTHMP web site
Post-warning effectiveness survey
• Results– ¾ Japan event responses from WA– 20-40% of responders had rec’d large amt. of training– 55-75% had been involved with tsunami warning– Almost all knew the correct TWC for their area– Most trusted dissem. systems – NWR - EAS –State – Local News– Least trusted – National News– Understanding of tsunamis – generally very good– Have safe shelter or area – 47 to 100%
Post-warning effectiveness survey
• Results– How rec’d warning 1. Email
2. Web Sites
3. State system
4. Local News
5. National News
6. EAS
7. NWR
8. LETS
9. FAX
10.NAWAS
11.Other
12.CISN
13.EMWIN
Post-warning effectiveness survey
• Results– Was risk to community Clear?
• Yes 59%• No 10% • Do Not Know 31%
– Was warning Timely?• Yes 59%• No 10%• Do Not Know 31%
– Was information updated regularly?• Yes 56%• No 13%• Do Not Know 31%
Post-warning effectiveness survey
• Results– Was information clear and concise?
• Yes 57%• No 12% • Do Not Know 31%
– Did warning give proper response guidance?• Yes 50%• No 9%• Do Not Know 41%
– Did being TsunamiReady help response?• Yes 81%• No 2%• Do Not Know/NA 17%
Post-warning effectiveness survey
• Lessons Learned– Need better participation!– Update questions
• Group as laid out in report• Change “trust” points with categories as in report• Don’t allow answers if question doesn’t pertain.• Use Survey Monkey?
– Report Writing
Tsunami Products
• Last year’s updates
• Product Improvement Team
• Tsunami Travel Times… Include in TIS?
• Estimate of length of danger time
• Tsunami Local Statement
• PTWC Domestic Product update
• Inundation Map and Currents Update
Forecast/Observation Table•
• MEASUREMENTS AND/OR FORECASTS OF TSUNAMI ACTIVITY• • SITE LAT LON ARRIVAL TIME FCST AMP OBS AMP• --------------------------------------------------------------------• CANADA• HALIFAX-NS 44.7N 63.6W 2018EDT JUL 27 6.6F/2.0M 6.8F/2.1M • LOCKEPORT-NS 43.7N 65.1W 2244ADT JUL 27 3.3F/1.0M• NEW YORK• MONTAUK 41.1N 72.0W 2150EDT JUL 27 1.2F/0.4M• VIRGINIA• VIRGINIA BCH 36.9N 76.0W 2150EDT JUL 27 1.5F/0.5M• • LAT – LATITUDE/ N-NORTH, S-SOUTH/• LON – LONGITUDE/ E-EAST, W-WEST/• ARRIVAL TIME – EXPECTED TIME OF INITIAL TSUNAMI ARRIVAL• FCST AMP – FORECAST TSUNAMI AMPLITUDE ABOVE AMBIENT SEA LEVEL.• OBS AMP – OBSERVED TSUNAMI AMPLITUDE ABOVE AMBIENT SEA LEVEL.• IT IS ...NOT... CREST-TO-TROUGH WAVE HEIGHT.• VALUES ARE GIVEN IN BOTH METERS/M/ AND FEET/F/.
Tsunami Procedures
• Tsunami Information Statements– When to Issue?
• Major Warning level of Alert
WCS Milestone Status
• NTHMP strategic plan WCS items– Annual table top exercise by 2010
• DONE
– Develop decision support tools for emergency responders by 2013
• ONGOING WITH WEB SITE DEVELOPMENT• PROVIDE DIRECT DECISION SUPPORT FROM TWCs TO
PRIMARY CUSTOMERS DURING EVENT
WCS Milestone Status
• NTHMP strategic plan WCS items– All states with high/very high hazard create high-level
structure to address tsunami response by 2012• Hawaii – Tsunami Technical Review Committee• California – Tsunami Steering Committee• Oregon - Yes• Washington – State/Local Working Group• Alaska• Puerto Rico – Tsunami Technical Review Committee• USVI - ???• American Samoa• Guam
WCS Milestone Status
• NTHMP strategic plan WCS items– Increase percentage of monthly TWC comms test
responses to 90% by 2013 • 97% OVERALL IN 2011
– Conduct annual E2E comms test of the TWS• LIVE CODE TESTS CONDUCTED IN THREE STATES/TERR.
PRESENTLY
– Develop post-event review process by 2009• SURVEYS DEVELOPED BY WCS MEMBERS IN 2009• IMPLEMENTATION PLAN DEVELOPED
WCS Milestone Status
• NTHMP strategic plan WCS items– Conduct post-event reviews within one year of a tsunami
warning• THREE SURVEYS CONDUCTED IN 2011
– Develop inventory of local warning dissemination capabilities by 2010
• INCLUDED IN MES SURVEY
– Develop inventory of local warning reception capabilities by 2010
• INCLUDED IN MES SURVEY
WCS Milestone Status
• NTHMP strategic plan generic items– Annually increase to baseline developed above by 10%.
• TRACK WITH SEMI ANNUAL REPORTS
– Complete 90% of action items from subcommittee meetings• CLOSE THIS YEAR – 89%
– Conduct one in-person meeting per year• MEET AGAIN DURING NEXT ANNUAL MEETING
– Revise Terms of Reference to implement Strat. Plan measures and milestones by 2009.
• CONSIDER INCLUSION OF CTWP/ITIC MGRs.
– Funds Required• NONE REQUESTED
New Actions– Special team for Tsunami Advisory EAS
• JS, KM, KR, MB, TN, CP, JL – Rizzo Lead• Provide rec. by May 1
– Product format changes• Implement 10-701 changes to message format• TWCs work ideas from PIT into messages and send prototypes to
WCS Core for review
– Amplitude to Tsunami Height• Proposed change sent to Core Members for review
– Kevin M to provide CA input on move of comms test to March,
• Depending on CA input, propose date for 2014
New Actions
– Establish date and scenario for 2013 Exercises• Christa to suggest March 20, 2013 to Carib ICG and will
respond to co-Chairs• PW to suggest March 27, 2013 to WCS Core for review
– Create 2013 Exercise Handbooks – ITIC to keep WCS informed on plans for PacWave
2013– Re-post effectiveness survey (3/2011) around
anniversary– Implement update to survey process
New Actions
– Posting Tsunami Travel Times during event:• Chris Gregg to question focus groups and respond to
WCS
– WCATWC to evaluate and propose updated TIS criteria for west coast/PR-VI
– Schedule conference calls at specific and predictable times
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