DRAFT Pan Am 2015 Science Plan Paul Joe, Stephane Belair, Ismail Gultepe, David Sills, Stewart Cober, Veronique Bouchet, Jean-Pierre Charland, David Hudak, Norman Donaldson, George Isaac, Tsoi Yip, Ed Becker, Victor Chung, Mark Seifert, Sara, Wong, Helen Yang, George Isaac, Dave Henderson, Bill Appleby, Health Canada
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DRAFT
Pan Am 2015 Science Plan
Paul Joe, Stephane Belair, Ismail Gultepe, David Sills, Stewart Cober, Veronique Bouchet, Jean-Pierre
Charland, David Hudak, Norman Donaldson, George Isaac, Tsoi Yip, Ed Becker, Victor Chung, Mark Seifert,
Sara, Wong, Helen Yang, George Isaac, Dave Henderson, Bill Appleby, Health Canada
Outline
• Introduction– Mandate, Constraints– Process
• Themes - DRAFT
• Status/Next Steps
Introduction
• Warnings for venues – Main operational mandate – large crowds, security– Infrastructure & Efficiency – good place for business
• Legacy– Demonstrate advanced capabilities– Accelerate existing programs– Align and provide a focus for MSC Signature Projects
• Coordinate the dependencies• Prototype key concepts• Early deliverable• Capacity build NL’s/Tech Transfer
Themes
• Demonstration and validation of emerging NWP and Nowcasting capabilities for urban forecasts, warnings and AQHI
• Demonstration, evaluation of emerging monitoring technologies for validation of emerging prediction capabilities
• Demonstration of use of new prediction and monitoring in the forecast/warning office of the future
Theme - Prediction
• 1 km and 250 model application and validation
• Town Energy Balance model
• Wind/wind shift nowcasting• AQ model• AQ nowcasting• Health Index
6 July, 01:00 LST6 July, 01:00 LSTNocturnal 2m air Nocturnal 2m air temperaturetemperature(simulation, 120m) (simulation, 120m)
22
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17
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15
14
►UHI : 5-6 °C
°CMontreal Island
6 July, 01:00 LST6 July, 01:00 LSTNocturnal 2m air Nocturnal 2m air temperaturetemperature(simulation, 120m) (simulation, 120m)
22
21
20
19
18
17
16
15
14
►UHI : 5-6 °C
°CMontreal Island
Theme - Monitoring• Emerging monitoring technologies to
validate high resolution models in urban environment
– High temporal frequency measurements
– Low cost sensors– AQ supersite concept
• Validation of the Network of Network concepts,
– Intercomparison for data quality knowledge and application