Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Market Market Situation for Sheep & Goats…

Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Market

Market Situation for Sheep & Goats22 October 2015

DG AGRI C3 SHEEP & GOAT 22 October 2015

Production


162.

90

66.5

8

49.6

3

36.7

7

30.8

5

14.0

4

10.0

0

6.97

6.05

4.21

2.96 9.

30

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

In 1

000

tonn

es

Sheep meat productionJan-July 2014/2015

Jan-July 2014 Jan-July 2015

EU= + 0.5% tonnesEU= + 1.2% heads


15.1

8

4.74

4.01

1.33

1.17

1.08

0.49

0.46

0.15

0.13

0.01

0.00

0.00

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

In 1

000

tonn

es

Goat meat productionJan-July 2014/2015

Jan-July 2014 Jan-July 2015

EU= - 3.3% tonnesEU= - 4.1% heads


Prices


350

400

450

500

550

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

€uro

/100

kg

Heavy Lamb prices in the EU2013 - 2015

2013 2014 2015


500

550

600

650

700

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

€uro

/100

kg

Light Lamb prices in the EU2013 - 2015

2013 2014 2015


250

350

450

550

650

750

| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |

€ur

o / 1

00kg

Development of the EU average market price for Heavy and Light Lamb carcass

Light L 28 Average EU Heavy Lamb Average

200

300

400

500

600

700

Jan

- 14

Feb

- 14

Mar

- 14

Apr -

14

May

- 14

Jun

- 14

Jul -

14

Aug

- 14

Sep

- 14

Oct

- 14

Nov

- 14

Dec -

14

Jan

- 15

Feb

- 15

Mar

- 15

Apr -

15

May

- 15

Jun

- 15

Jul -

15

Aug

- 15

Sep

- 15

Eur /

100

kg c

we

HEAVY LAMB EVOLUTION PRICES ( Main Producers - 2014-15 )

FR

DE

ES

NL

EU_H

GB

IE

NI

RO


0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

FR CY AT DE ES NL

DK BE

EU_H SE GB IE N

I

LT PL FI LV EE RO

Eur /

100

kg c

we

HEAVY LAMB PRICES ( Main Producers - Sep.2015 )


400

500

600

700

800

Jan

- 14

Feb

- 14

Mar

- 14

Apr -

14

May

- 14

Jun

- 14

Jul -

14

Aug

- 14

Sep

- 14

Oct

- 14

Nov

- 14

Dec -

14

Jan

- 15

Feb

- 15

Mar

- 15

Apr -

15

May

- 15

Jun

- 15

Jul -

15

Aug

- 15

Sep

- 15

Eur /

100

kg c

we

LIGHT LAMB EVOLUTION PRICES ( Main Producers - 2014-15 )

ES

IT

EU_L

BG

GR

HR

PT


0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

ES IT EU_L BG HU GR SI HR SK PT

Eur /

100

kg c

we

LIGHT LAMB PRICES ( Main Producers - Sep.2015 )



150

250

350

450

550

| 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015

€uro

/ 10

0kg

EU average and international market prices for Heavy Lamb carcases

EU Heavy Lamb Average AUSN. Zealand (avg N&S island) Uruguay


Trade


0.5

0.75

1

1.25

1.5

1.75

2

2.25

2.5

I 2007 I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I 2013 I 2014 I 2015 I

Exchange rate UK£ - NZ$ & AUS$ - Euroquotation: 1st day of the month

NZ$ AUS$ UK£http://ec.europa.eu/budget/inforeuro/index.cfm


0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

|Jan11

2011 |Jan12

2012 |Jan13

2013 |Jan14

2014 |Jan15

2015

in T

onne

s cw

e

EU-28 Imports of Sheep and Goat products

FRESH FROZEN OTHERS


EU import of sheep & goat meat and live animals

Trade figures (Comext)IMPORT

2011 2012 Comparedtonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Aug 14

New Zealand 192 987 82.2% 170 112 84.7% 178 732 84.4% 165 175 82.5% 138 827 87.9% + 6.3%Australia 21 097 9.0% 17 631 8.8% 19 645 9.3% 21 355 10.7% 12 261 7.8% - 18.5%Chile 5 317 2.3% 3 226 1.6% 3 983 1.9% 3 618 1.8% 2 017 1.3% - 33.3%For.JRep.Mac 3 054 1.3% 2 527 1.3% 2 666 1.3% 2 484 1.2% 1 784 1.1% - 21.6%Uruguay 4 974 2.1% 3 504 1.7% 3 264 1.5% 3 339 1.7% 1 327 0.8% - 39.5%Falkland Is. 608 0.3% 616 0.3% 740 0.3% 766 0.4% 670 0.4% - 15.1%Argentina 4 302 1.8% 1 944 1.0% 1 115 0.5% 1 604 0.8% 628 0.4% - 55.0%Iceland 2 073 0.9% 1 102 0.5% 1 441 0.7% 1 798 0.9% 428 0.3% - 21.3%Other Origins 2 355 1.0% 1 380 0.7% 1 604 0.8% 1 889 0.9% 470 0.3% - 35.6%

EXTRA EU 234 695 200 940 211 750 200 231 157 983% change - 14% + 5% - 5% + 1.4%

2013 Jan-Aug 152014


EU imports of sheep & goatmeat and live animalsTrade figures (COMEXT)

138 306 130 569 138 827

12 46515 050

12 261

160 032 155 856 157 983

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000

140 000

160 000

180 000

Jan-Aug 13 Jan-Aug 14 Jan-Aug 15

InTonnes

cwe

EU IMPORTS of Sheet & Goat (Tonnes cwe)

New Zealand Australia ChileFor.JRep.Mac Uruguay Other origins

615 005 652 997733 678

48 47769 724

65 115698 004764 591

831 411

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

800 000

900 000


in 1000EUR

EU IMPORTS of Sheet & Goat (1000 EUR)

New Zealand Australia Chile

For.JRep.Mac Uruguay Other origins


Annual quotaBalance

(remaining amount)

Actual import Quota use %Period:

01/01/2014 - 16/10/2014

Argentina 09.2011 23 000 22 509 491 2% 1 402Australia 09.2012 19 186 6 611 12 575 66% 15 211New Zealand 09.2013 228 254 78 599 149 655 66% 132 814Uruguay 09.2014 5 800 4 421 1 379 24% 2 315Chile 09.1922 7 400 5 278 2 122 29% 3 315Norway 09.0781 300 300 0 0% 0Greenland 09.0693 100 100 0 0% 0Faeroes 09.0690 20 19 1 4% 0Turkey 09.0227 200 200 0 0% 0Others 09.2015 200 200 0 0% 12Erga Omnes 09.2016 200 0 200 100% 200

Iceland 09.0790 1 850 1 551 299 16% 379

0104 10 300104 10 80 92 92 0 0% 00104 20 90

286 602 119 880 166 722 58% 155 649

UTILISATION OF SHEEPMEAT AND GOATMEAT TARIFF QUOTAS IN 2015EU-28 : January > December 2015

Reg. 1354/2011

COUNTRY GROUP No

CN CODES ORIGIN ORDER NUMBER

Period: 01/01/2015 - 20/10/2015 Unit: tonnes cwe

09.2019

TOTAL

1 0204

20204

0210 99 210210 99 290210 99 60

3 Erga Omnes


0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

9 000

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

8 000

9 000

€/ to

nne

Qty

in to

nnes

SHEEP & GOAT PRODUCTS IMPORTED FROM NEW ZEALANDFresh or chilled sheep legs - Frozen sheep legs

- Frozen lamb carcasses and half-carcasses

02042250 - Fresh or chilled sheep legs 02044250 - Frozen sheep legs02043000-Frozen lamb carcasses and half-carcasses 02042250 - Fresh or chilled sheep legs02043000-Frozen lamb carcasses and half-carcasses 02044250 - Frozen sheep legs


70

19 20

9 7

3 2 2 3 1 1 1 1

01020304050607080

NZ imports to MS(In 1000 tonnes cw)

Jan-Aug14 Jan-Aug1533

0 13

2

114

999

123

388

49 4

88

42 4

39

14 5

42

11 1

78

13 4

58

14 7

19

4 35

8

6 38

1

3 41

8

1 15

6

050 000

100 000150 000200 000250 000300 000350 000

NZ imports to MS(In 1000 €)

Jan-Aug14 Jan-Aug15


Chin

a +

H. K

ong

Chin

a +

H. K

ong

EU EU

Unite

d St

ates

Unite

d St

ates

Mal

aysia

(up

to Ju

n)

Mal

aysia

(up

to Ju

n)

Taiw

an (

up t

o Ju

l)

Taiw

an (

up t

o Ju

l)

0

50

100

150

200

250

2014 (up to August) 2015 (up to August)

Qty

in 1

000

Tonn

es

Main Importers of SHEEP&GOAT Products (up to August)

Source : GTA & Eurostat (excl. live animals)


0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

|Jan11

2011 |Jan12

2012 |Jan13

2013 |Jan14

2014 |Jan15

2015

in T

onne

s cw

e

EU-28 Exports of Sheep and Goat products

LA FRESH FROZEN OTHERS


EU exports of sheep & goat meat and live animals:Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes cwe)

2011 2012 Comparedtonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Aug 14

Libya 1 707 4.2% 13 560 24.4% 23 383 31.4% 24 952 33.9% 13 885 32.0% - 18.8%Jordan 5 235 12.9% 5 836 10.5% 7 032 9.5% 7 834 10.7% 11 758 27.1% + 54.2%Hong Kong 4 404 10.9% 14 014 25.3% 23 122 31.1% 19 333 26.3% 3 757 8.7% - 74.8%Lebanon 2 774 6.8% 2 336 4.2% 2 400 3.2% 3 011 4.1% 2 887 6.7% + 58.9%Sw itzerland 2 660 6.6% 2 846 5.1% 3 238 4.4% 2 584 3.5% 1 999 4.6% + 8.3%Algeria 0 0.0% 275 0.5% 1 355 1.8% 1 949 2.7% 1 864 4.3% + 26.4%Ghana 1 813 4.5% 2 271 4.1% 3 138 4.2% 1 810 2.5% 1 622 3.7% + 32.7%Norw ay 716 1.8% 1 978 3.6% 2 509 3.4% 1 716 2.3% 806 1.9% - 48.0%Guinea 17 0.0% 13 0.0% 375 0.5% 773 1.1% 801 1.8% + 73.0%Ivory Coast 392 1.0% 565 1.0% 1 118 1.5% 1 350 1.8% 599 1.4% - 4.7%U.A.Emirates 15 0.0% 338 0.6% 311 0.4% 1 078 1.5% 336 0.8% - 53.5%Tunisia 60 0.1% 1 512 2.7% 893 1.2% 983 1.3% 304 0.7% - 53.5%Congo 192 0.5% 169 0.3% 125 0.2% 365 0.5% 219 0.5% - 3.5%Russia 45 0.1% 152 0.3% 8 0.0% 7 0.0% 2 0.0% - 60.6%Other Destinations 20 552 50.6% 9 635 17.4% 5 399 7.3% 5 757 7.8% 2 513 5.8% - 14.9%

EXTRA EU 40 581 55 500 74 406 73 504 43 351% change + 37% + 34% - 1% - 20.2%

2013 Jan-Aug 152014


0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

350000

400000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Export of live sheep, in heads(Excluding pure-bred breeding)

Lamb Sheep >1 year

2011 = 1 453730 heads2012 = 1 613 031 heads2013 = 1 853 517 heads2014 = 1 996 636 heads


EU exports of sheep & goatmeat and live animalsTrade figures (COMEXT )

15 470 17 109

3 4207 626 11 758

9 081

10 986

9 065

46 152

54 319

43 351

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000


Tonn

es c

w

EU EXPORTS of Sheep & Goat (Tonnes cwe)

Libya Jordan Hong Kong

Lebanon Switzerland Other destinations

87 433 100 906 87 102

32 931

40 070 35 377184 183

229 076221 941

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000


1,00

0 E

UR

EU EXPORTS of Sheep & Goat (1000 EUR)

Libya Jordan Hong Kong

Lebanon Switzerland Other destinations


EU Sheep and Goat Meat Trade Balance, tonnes cwe

284 7

78

288 6

21

255 6

91

234 6

95

200 9

40

211 7

50

200 2

31

157 9

83

9 951

14 03

2 35 47

2

40 58

1

55 50

0 74 40

6

73 50

4

43 35

1

0

50 000

100 000

150 000

200 000

250 000

300 000

350 000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan-Aug 15

IMPORTS EXPORTS


New

Zea

land

New

Zeal

and

Aust

ralia

Aust

ralia

EU

EU

Indi

a (u

p to

Jul y

y)

Indi

a (up

to Ju

l yy)

Urug

uay *

Urug

uay

*

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2014 (up to August) 2015 (up to August)

Qty

in 1

000

Tonn

es

Main Exporters of SHEEP&GOAT Products (up to August)

Source : GTA & Eurostat (excl. live animals)


Outlook


EU-28 sheep and goatmeat market balance (000 tonnes carcass weight equivalent)

000 t carcass weight EU-28

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014e 2015f 2016f

Gross Indigenous Production 948 969 928 917 917 926 929

Live Imports 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Live Exports 10 22 27 34 36 33 33

Net Production 937 947 901 883 880 893 897

of which on-farm slaughterings 145 149 140 124 128 121 119

EU-15 845 849 815 803 793 805 807

EU-N13 92 98 87 81 87 88 89

Meat Imports 240 222 190 200 188 190 193

Meat Exports 12 15 25 36 32 24 24

Consumption 1 165 1 154 1 067 1 047 1 036 1 059 1 066

Per Capita Consumption (kg) 2,0 2,0 1,9 1,8 1,8 1,8 1,8

Share in total meat consumption 2,8 2,8 2,6 2,6 2,4 2,4 2,5

Self-sufficiency (%) 81,3 84 87 88 88 87 87

Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Market Market Situation for Sheep & Goats…

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