The Brush Country Agriculture Newsletter atascosa.agrilife.org August 2015 Beef herd expansion: how fast and how much? Derrell S. Peel, Oklahoma State University Extension Livestock Marketing Specialist The dramatic rise in calf prices in 2014 and the corresponding increase in cow-calf returns highlight the growing market incentives to rebuild the beef cow herd. As the primary supply source for the beef industry, cow-calf producers will, by their decisions in the next two to four years, determine the inventory of cattle and the overall level of beef production in the U.S. for the remainder of the decade. Dramatic improvement in forage and pasture conditions in much of the country in 2015 means that the beef cattle industry can focus on doing what they want to do rather than being restricted to what they have to do. Much of the far west regions of the country are still hampered by severe drought in areas that represent about 9 percent of the total beef cow herd. Beef cow herd expansion started briskly in 2014 with a 2.1 percent increase in beef cow numbers in the first year of expansion. This faster-than-typical early growth reflected suppressed expansion desires as a result of the drought. Though producers were forced to liquidate cows during the drought years of 2011-2013, they continued to add heifers to the herd to be ready to expand when the opportunity arose. The resulting cow herd is young and productive and allowed for a sharp drop in beef cow culling in 2014 with a culling rate of 8.8 percent, down from 10.6 percent in 2013. So far in 2015, beef cow slaughter is down 17.3 percent. Though seasonally higher beef cow slaughter is anticipated in the fall, thereby reducing the year over year decline, beef cow slaughter will be down again year over year and is likely to result in a near record low 2015 net culling rate below 8 percent. The July Cattle report indicates a 2.5 percent year over year increase in beef cows to mid-year 2015. Historical relationships between the estimated July beef cow inventory and the following January 1inventory suggest a January 2016 beef cow inventory of just over 30 million head, representing just over 1 percent growth in 2015. However, beef replacement heifers were up 4 percent on January 1 and were up 6.5 percent on July 1, indicating more aggressive herd expansion. The year over year increase in the beef cow herd in 2015 is likely to fall in the range of 2.5-3.5 percent. Annual herd growth up to 4 percent is possible but would be very aggressive. The January 1, 2016 inventory is likely to fall in the range of 30.4 to 30.7 million head. -- Continued next page… Upcoming Educational Programs August Location 22 Feral Hog Workshop Jourdanton 28 Living in the Country Program Poteet September Location 3 Beef Quality Assurance Prgm Floresville 16 Statewide Quail Symposium Abilene 18 WFG Farm Sale Poteet 22 Atascosa Wildlife Coop Mtg Pleasanton 24 S. TX Peanut Growers Tour Pearsall 25 Living in the Country Program Poteet Location 10/23 Living in the Country Prgm Poteet 11/20 Living in the Country Prgm Poteet
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The Brush Country
Agriculture Newsletter
atascosa.agrilife.org
August 2015
Beef herd expansion: how
fast and how much? Derrell S. Peel, Oklahoma State University
Extension Livestock Marketing Specialist
The dramatic rise in calf prices in 2014 and
the corresponding increase in cow-calf returns
highlight the growing market incentives to
rebuild the beef cow herd. As the primary
supply source for the beef industry, cow-calf
producers will, by their decisions in the next
two to four years, determine the inventory of
cattle and the overall level of beef production
in the U.S. for the remainder of the
decade. Dramatic improvement in forage and
pasture conditions in much of the country in
2015 means that the beef cattle industry can
focus on doing what they want to do rather
than being restricted to what they have to
do. Much of the far west regions of the
country are still hampered by severe drought
in areas that represent about 9 percent of the
total beef cow herd.
Beef cow herd expansion started briskly in
2014 with a 2.1 percent increase in beef cow
numbers in the first year of expansion. This
faster-than-typical early growth reflected
suppressed expansion desires as a result of the
drought. Though producers were forced to
liquidate cows during the drought years of
2011-2013, they continued to add heifers to
the herd to be ready to expand when the
opportunity arose. The resulting cow herd is
young and productive and allowed for a sharp
drop in beef cow culling in 2014 with a
culling rate of 8.8 percent, down from 10.6
percent in 2013.
So far in 2015, beef cow slaughter is down
17.3 percent. Though seasonally higher beef
cow slaughter is anticipated in the fall, thereby
reducing the year over year decline, beef cow
slaughter will be down again year over year
and is likely to result in a near record low
2015 net culling rate below 8 percent. The
July Cattle report indicates a 2.5 percent year
over year increase in beef cows to mid-year
2015. Historical relationships between the
estimated July beef cow inventory and the
following January 1inventory suggest a
January 2016 beef cow inventory of just over
30 million head, representing just over 1
percent growth in 2015. However, beef
replacement heifers were up 4 percent on
January 1 and were up 6.5 percent on July 1,
indicating more aggressive herd
expansion. The year over year increase in the
beef cow herd in 2015 is likely to fall in the
range of 2.5-3.5 percent. Annual herd growth
up to 4 percent is possible but would be very
aggressive. The January 1, 2016 inventory is
likely to fall in the range of 30.4 to 30.7
million head. -- Continued next page…
Upcoming Educational Programs
August Location 22 Feral Hog Workshop Jourdanton
28 Living in the Country Program Poteet
September Location 3 Beef Quality Assurance Prgm Floresville
Time of Day of Harvest and Impact on Nitrate Concentration
Glenn Selk, Oklahoma State University
Emeritus Extension Animal Scientist
Forage sorghums are used by cattle producers
for summer grazing or harvested for
hay. Forage sorghums can be very productive
and high quality, but can also accumulate toxic
levels of nitrate when stressed. In the past, the
assumption was made that the plant continues
soil nitrate uptake during nighttime hours,
followed by accelerated conversion of the
nitrate to protein during daylight hours.
Therefore past recommendations have been to
wait until afternoon to cut forage sorghum for
hay if anticipated nitrate levels are marginally
high. You have heard the old adage: “Never
assume anything….”
To evaluate the significance of the change in
nitrate concentration in forage sorghums during
the day, Oklahoma State University Extension
County and Area Educators collected samples at
two hour intervals from 8 AM to 6 PM. Five
cooperator’s fields (“farm”) were divided into
quadrants. Three random samples, consisting of
ten stems each, were taken from each quadrant
at the specified interval. The samples were
analyzed at the Oklahoma State University Soil,
Water, and Forage Analytical Laboratory to
determine the level of nitrates, in parts per
million (ppm).
As expected, differences between “farms” were
substantial and significant. The mean
concentration of nitrate for individual farms
varied from only 412 ppm to 8935 ppm. The
mean nitrate concentrations across all farms
were 3857, 3768, 4962, 4140, 4560, and 4077
ppm for samples at 8 AM, 10 AM, noon, 2 PM,
4 PM, and 6 PM, respectively.
Remember, most laboratories consider nitrate
concentrations at, or above 10,000 ppm
potentially lethal. There was much more
variation between farms than between
harvest times. Time of day of harvest did not
impact nitrate concentration or proportion of
dangerous samples of forage sorghum
hay. Don’t be misled and believe that cutting
the hay late in the day will solve all of the
potential dangers of nitrate toxicity. Source: Levalley and co-workers. 2008 Oklahoma State
University Animal Science Research Report.
South Texas Peanut Growers Association
Annual Tour The 2015 South Texas Peanut Growers Field Day and Tour will be Held on Thursday September 24, 2015 in Frio County. Registration will start at 9:00 a.m. at the Frio County Extension Office and the tour will begin at 9:30 a.m. Topics to include variety trials, peanut breeding lines and more. Three (3) continuing education units (CEU’s) will be given with a $10.00 fee. Lunch will be served at 12:00 noon at the Extension Office. An RSVP is requested by Wednesday September 23, 2015 by calling the Frio County Extension Office at (830) 334-0099 or the Atascosa County Extension Office at (830) 769-3066
The Atascosa Wildlife Coop is planning their annual meeting for September 22, 2015 at 7:00 p.m. at Coastal Bend College. Topics for the day will be an update on how our wildlife has been impacted or improved with the actions of the Eagle Ford Shale. We will also here an update on the Chronic Wasting Disease. Our Guest Speaker for the Day is Matt Reidy Texas Barks and Wildlife Biologist for Atascosa County. An RSVP is requested by Friday September 18, 2015 by calling the Atascosa County Extension Office at (830) 769-3066.
Expert: Chronic Wasting Disease
Containment Demands Vigilance,
Common Sense Posted on July 20, 2015 by Linda Causey Writer: Steve Byrns, 325-653-4576, [email protected] Contact: Dr. John Tomecek, 325-653-4576, [email protected]
SAN ANGELO – A positive case of chronic wasting disease was recently verified in a captive white-tailed deer in Medina County, and hunters are advised to learn precautionary measures.
“Chronic Wasting Disease is a condition that affects the nervous system of deer, elk and moose,” said Dr. John Tomecek, Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service wildlife specialist at San Angelo. “It is similar to diseases such as scrapie in sheep and goats, and bovine spongiform encephalopathy or BSE in cattle. There is no evidence chronic wasting disease can be transmitted to sheep, goats, cattle or humans.”
“Chronic wasting disease was reported in Far West Texas in 2012, which was the first instance in the state in wild mule deer until the Medina County confirmation reported by the Texas Parks and Wildlife Department and the Texas Animal Health Commission on July 1, 2015.” Tomecek said the precise origin where chronic wasting disease developed is unknown, but the condition was first detected in 1967 in a captive research mule deer herd in Colorado. Since then it has been detected in 22 U.S. states and two Canadian provinces.
“As its name suggests, chronic wasting disease causes weight loss and degraded body condition, abnormal behavior and ultimately death of the animal,” Tomecek said. “Infected animals may drink and urinate excessively and exhibit symptoms ranging from repetitive movement to sluggishness or hyperactivity to standing ‘spraddle-legged’ with a blank expression and head held low.”
There is no vaccination to guard against it, and once infected there is no treatment for animals with the disease, so prevention is the only solution, he said.
“The most common prevention techniques practiced in other states include removing infected animals from the population and discouraging high-density deer scenarios coupled with intensive sampling for early disease detection. It should be noted that the Texas Parks and Wildlife Department has been monitoring our state’s deer for the disease since 2002.”
Among the over 33,000 deer tested, no white-tailed deer tested positive until the recent occurrence near Medina, he said. Tomecek said deer hunters have always been important in deer management to balance population size, while maintaining healthy habitat.
“High deer densities compromise habitat and contribute to easier transmission for a variety of pathogens,” he said. “Common sense should prevail, and a diseased animal, whether it might have chronic wasting disease or some other health issue, should not be consumed.
“Although there is no evidence of human health risks, experts advise those hunting in known chronic wasting disease areas to completely process healthy-looking harvested animals to include removing the bones and any brain, spinal, tonsil, spleen or lymph node tissues,” he said. “Disposing of these organs in a location where other susceptible species will not encounter them helps limit the spread of the disease.”
“Some people have expressed concern about the potential of chronic wasting disease to negatively impact deer populations in Texas. While that is a possibility, states where CWD is prevalent still have large, healthy deer populations that provide excellent hunting. Early prevention and action are paramount in controlling many diseases, including this one,” he said. “Therefore Texans should focus on remaining vigilant by immediately reporting any deer they suspect may be diseased to the Texas Parks and Wildlife Department.” Tomecek added, “The key message is to enjoy the outdoors, while paying attention for animals showing signs of distress.” Resources include: Texas Parks and Wildlife Department, 512-389-4800, http://tpwd.texas.gov/huntwild/wild/diseases/cwd/ Texas Animal Health Commission, 1-800-550-8242, www.tahc.texas.gov . Chronic Wasting Disease Alliance www.cwd-info.org Source: http://today.agrilife.org/2015/07/17/expert-chronic-wasting-disease-containment-demands-vigilance-common-sense/
The Atascosa Wildlife and Fisheries Committee, Atascosa Wildlife Coop and the Atascosa County Farm Bureau are pleased to announce the re-scheduling of the Feral Hog Program that was recently cancelled due to unforeseen circumstances. The program will be held on Saturday, August 22 from 9:00 a.m. to 2:00 p.m. at the Cowboy Fellowship Church of Atascosa County located at 561 FM 3350 in Jourdanton, Texas. The cost of the program will be $10.00 and three (3) CEU’s will be provided for private, commercial and non-commercial applicators. Registration will start at 9:00 a.m. and the first official presentation will start at 10:00 a.m. with a talk on overview of feral hogs in Texas by Matt Reidy, Texas Parks and Wildlife Biologist for Atascosa County. We will then hear about feral hog health issues associated with livestock and people followed by hunting concerns from Game Warden officials. We will round out the official meeting with an update on current Feral Hog research. Vendor booths will open at 9:00 a.m. and company representatives will be available to visit with you and discuss feral hogs, control methods, merchandise and related products. An RSVP is requested by Wednesday, August 19, 2015 and more information can be obtained by calling the Atascosa County Extension Office at (830) 769-3066.
Water, energy, food symposium set Nov. 19 in Austin
by Kay Ledbetter
Limited registration opens Aug. 15
AUSTIN – In a time of increased competition for limited natural resources, evolving social preferences, expanding global markets and climate uncertainty, the agriculture industry needs to be talking about how it will feed 9 billion people by 2050.
Navigating Agriculture through the Water-Energy-Food Nexus is a symposium designed to do that, according to David Smith, Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service program specialist in College Station.
The event will be held Nov. 19 at the Omni Austin Hotel Southpark, 4140 Governors Row, Austin.
The program is aimed at AgriLife Extension educators, technical service providers, regulatory agencies, academic institutions, agricultural commodity groups, producers and agricultural science teachers, Smith said.
Some questions to be addressed include: What are the linkages between water, energy, and food systems? What are the interdependencies and tradeoffs that will influence future policy and sustainability of agriculture? How does the water-energy-food nexus function from local to regional scales and can it be a useful tool for future planning? Is agriculture prepared to manage risks from climate variability and does it have a voice in climate change policy?
“This will be a unique opportunity to hear from a distinguished panel of experts as they discuss these and other issues facing agriculture and the rural communities that support this vital industry,” Smith said.
Registration is limited and will open Aug. 15 at https://agriliferegister.tamu.edu/Nexus.
This event is sponsored by the U.S. Department of Agriculture-NIFA project “Animal Agriculture in a Changing Climate” led by Smith and Dr. Saqib Mukhtar, former AgriLife Extension engineer and associate head of the Texas A&M University
department of biological and agricultural engineering. Mukhtar recently became the associate dean and agriculture program leader at the University of Florida Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences, Gainesville, Florida.
Topics and speakers on the program will be: – Water-energy-food nexus – Applications for agriculture communities, Dr. Rabi Mohtar, endowed professor with the Texas A&M department of biological and agricultural engineering, College Station. – Water supply and demand – Trends and challenges for the Southwest, Dr. Robert Mace, Texas Water Development Board deputy executive director, College Station. – Value of water to agricultural communities, Jason Coleman, High Plains Water District general manager, Lubbock. – The shale boom – Impacts for agriculture production and producers, Dr. Thomas Tunstall, The University of Texas at San Antonio Institute for Economic Development research director, San Antonio. – The future of renewable energy and agriculture, Dr. Wendell Porter, University of Florida agricultural and biological engineering department lecturer, Gainesville, Florida. – Global market impacts and implications for local farms and ranches, Dr. James Richardson, Regents Professor and co-director of the Agriculture and Food Policy Center, Department of Agricultural Economics at Texas A&M, College Station. – Innovation and technology applications for agriculture production, Dr. Reza Ehsani, University of Florida Citrus Research and Education Center agricultural and biological engineering associate professor, Gainesville, Florida. – Turning climate change into opportunities for agricultural producers, Dr. John Nielsen-Gammon, Texas state climatologist, College Station. – Policy alternatives for promoting sustainable agriculture, Steven Rhines, The Samuel Roberts Noble Foundation vice president, general counsel and director of public affairs, Ardmore, Oklahoma. – The rapidly evolving legal and regulatory framework for agriculture producers, Jim Bradbury, attorney, Austin and Fort Worth. – Panel discussion: How can ‘nexus thinking’ take root in agriculture?