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1 An Overview Gregory D. Weyland Current Population Survey (CPS)
25

An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

Jan 12, 2016

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Current Population Survey (CPS). An Overview Gregory D. Weyland. Current Population Survey. Purpose and Uses Monthly Labor Force Data Supplements Annual Social and EConomic Survey (ASEC) Other Supplements. Current Population Survey. Basic CPS Information Unemployment Rate - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

1

An Overview

Gregory D. Weyland

Current Population Survey (CPS)

Page 2: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

2

Current Population Survey

• Purpose and Uses

– Monthly Labor Force Data

– Supplements

• Annual Social and EConomic Survey (ASEC)

• Other Supplements

Page 3: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

3

Current Population Survey

• Basic CPS Information– Unemployment Rate– Hours Worked/Absent– Reasons for Absence– Full-Time/Part-Time– Industry and Occupation– Job Search Methods– Usual Weekly Earnings– Union Membership

Page 4: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

4

Current Population Survey

• ASEC Data

– Income

– Poverty

– Health Insurance

– Other Reports

Page 5: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

5

Current Population Survey

• Other Supplements– January Displaced Workers

– April Child Support

– June Fertility

– August Veterans

– September Volunteers

– October School Enrollment

– November Voting and Registration

– December Food Security

– Other Topics as appropriate

Page 6: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

6

Current Population Survey

• Sample Design

– Rotation Pattern

– Sample Sources

– State Based Sample

– PSU Creation and Selection

Page 7: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

7

Current Population Survey

• Rotation Pattern

– 4-8-4 Pattern– In sample for 4 consecutive months this year– Off 8 months– In for the same 4 months next year– 75 percent month-to-month overlap– 50 percent year-to-year overlap

Page 8: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

8

Current Population Survey

• Sample Sources

– Address Lists

– Area Mapping Operation

– New Construction (Building Permits)

– Special Places

Page 9: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

9

Current Population Survey

• State Based Sample Design

– 53 Separate Samples• 48 States• District of Columbia• New York

– New York City– Balance of State

• California– Los Angeles County– Balance of State

Page 10: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

10

Current Population Survey

• PSU (Primary Sampling Units) Creation and Selection– Like Counties Grouped Together to form PSUs

• Metropolitan Areas formed into Single PSUs• Rural Areas Grouped as appropriate

– Selection Criteria-Stratification• With Certainty—Self Representing—only one PSU within

the stratum• Selection proportional to population—multiple PSUs per

stratum—Non-Self Representing• Only one PSU selected per stratum

Page 11: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

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Current Population Survey

• Field Structure

– Headquarters– 12 Regional Offices– 3 CATI Centers– Supervisory Field Representatives (Interviewers) – Field Representatives (FRs) /Interviewers

Page 12: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

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Current Population Survey

• FR/Interviewer Initial Training

– 2 days of home study– 4 day classroom training– First day observation– Second day alone– Third day observation– Second Month Procedures– Sixth Month Procedures

Page 13: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

13

Current Population Survey

• Ongoing Quality Control and Training

– Monthly home studies– Monthly Feedback

• Household Nonresponse• Item Nonresponse

– Annual Observation– Special Needs Observation– Reinterview

Page 14: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

14

Current Population Survey

• Monthly Data Collection

– First Month—Personal Visit– Months 2-4—Telephone or Personal– Fifth Month—Attempt One Personal Visit First,

Telephone Calls permissible after that– Months 6-8—Telephone or Personal

– Overall—67 percent collected by telephone– MIS 2-4 and 6-8—85 percent telephone

Page 15: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

15

Current Population Survey

• Monthly Data Collection

– Demographics—only in MIS1 or replacement households, updates in other months

– Most labor force data collected each month, though some is dependently captured

• Industry and Occupation• Duration of Unemployment• Retired/Disabled Status

Page 16: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

16

Current Population Survey

• Industry and Occupation Data

– Initial Collection

– Dependent Collection—if possible

– Coding Procedures

• Coding Operations

Page 17: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

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Current Population Survey

• Data Processing

– Edits

– Weighting

– File Creation

Page 18: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

18

Current Population Survey

• Edit Types

– Consistency Edits

– Longitudinal Edits

– “Hot Deck” Edits

Page 19: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

19

Current Population Survey

• Edit Modules

– Household– Demographics– Labor Force– Industry and Occupation– School Enrollment– Earnings

Page 20: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

20

Current Population Survey

• Weighting Steps

– Base Weights

– Noninterview Adjustment

– First Stage

– Second Stage

Page 21: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

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Current Population Survey

• Second Stage Weighting

– Source of Controls

– Controls used

– Raking Procedures

• Compositing

Page 22: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

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Current Population Survey

• Basic CPS Data Collection Cycle

– Interviewing begins Sunday of the Week containing the 19th (12th)

– Every evening the CATI Centers and all FRs transmit all completed cases

– Interviewing Ends Tuesday/Wednesday of the next week

– Production Processing Starts as soon as all data are transmitted to HQ

Page 23: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

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Current Population Survey

– Data transferred to BLS on Thursday/Friday– BLS writes/reviews report on Monday/Tuesday– Wednesday/Thursday, BLS fine tunes the report– Friday: Release Day

• Date Released to the press and general public at 8:30• The Commissioner of BLS reports on the findings to the

Joint Economic Committee of Congress at 9:30

• Overall time from start of data capture to release: 20 days

Page 24: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

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Current Population Survey

• ftp sites to access CPS data:

– http://www.bls.census.gov/ferretftp.htm

– http://www.nber.org/cps/

Page 25: An Overview Gregory D. Weyland

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Current Population Survey

• For more information:

– Greg Weyland (301) 763-3790

[email protected]