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A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical School Three Aces In the Hole
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A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

Dec 22, 2015

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Page 1: A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

A. James Moser, M.D.Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute

Beth Israel Deaconess Medical CenterAssociate Professor of Surgery

Harvard Medical School

Three Aces In the Hole

Page 2: A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

• U.S. Mortality Statistics– #1: Heart Disease– #2: Cancer: Moser– #12: Chronic liver disease: Robson

A cure for hepatitis C!• #1: Inpatient GI diagnosis

• Pancreatitis: Freedman• >240,000 patients annually• $2.8 billion

The DDNC Mission: Three AcesMission: “to improve access to and

the quality of life of digestive health care…”

Page 3: A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

Facts About Pancreatic Cancer

• Fourth leading cause of cancer death in 2014– 46,420 Americans annually

• Disproportionate incidence among African-Americans

– The “silent killer”: symptoms occur too late• No early diagnostic tests

– No meaningful progress

http://www.lshtm.ac.uk/eph/ncde/cancersurvival/http://www.lshtm.ac.uk/eph/ncde/cancersurvival/

Page 4: A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

No Time to Be Complacent

• Rising incidence• Disproportionate

impact on African-Americans

• Surpassing breast and colon cancer by 2020

Page 5: A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

Crossroads of Triumph and Tragedy

46,420 Americans beg you to succeed this year

Werner von Braun

John von NeumannSally RideJack KempLuciano PavarottiJack BennyCount BasieWilliam SaffireJoan CrawfordRex HarrisonDonna Reed

Geniuses lost to pancreatic cancer

Page 6: A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

Perceived Value of Current Treatment:

Panic!

Steve Jobs unveiling iPhone on

June 9, 2008Lost shareholder value=

$15.95B in 3 days=132X Annual Funding!

June 9!

Brief history oftoo little, too late

• 5- FU; 1974• Gemcitabine; 1996 (+ 1 mo)• Erlotinib; 2005 (+13 days)• Nab-paclitaxel; 2013 (+2.8 mo.)

Page 7: A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

“Surgery is the only potential cure

for pancreatic cancer.”see footnote

Footnote: Except for all patients with metastases and those in whom resection cannot be done or results in a margin of less than one millimeter.

Page 8: A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

Bilimoria K, National Failure to Operate on Early Stage Pancreatic Cancer, Ann Surg 2007 Aug

Current Perception:Majority Vote with Their Feet

!“Surgery is something you do, not something you have.” Anonymous

Page 9: A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

“Human beings, left to their own devices, will usually

find solutions to problems, but only if they are allowed to.”

Stephen Davies

Page 10: A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

We Must Stop Progress!?

“The Kaiser Family Foundation study concluded that the only measures that are likely to control health care inflation over the long term are either the delay or prevention of new medical technology.”

Press release Feb 2010

Page 11: A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

“Health Care Investment: The Hidden Crisis”

• Milken WSJ Feb 8, 2011• Murphy and Topol, University of Chicago, 2006

– Improvements in health care added $3.2T per year to US GDP since 1970

• 1% reduction in cancer death: $500B per year

Page 12: A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

Economic Threats to Progress

X=Recent casualties of “reform” and increased US taxation

X

XX

Page 13: A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

Technology is Not the Problem…Monopoly and Regulation Are

• Dr. Jeff Flier, Wall Street Journal, Nov. 19, 2009• Regulated marketplace

– Absence of price transparency– Cost overruns

• Price controls and rationing– SGR “formulas,”– Access “issues”– Workforce “targets”

• Looming threats– Elective healthcare may soon follow the rest of US

industry offshore

Page 14: A. James Moser, M.D. Co- Director, BIDMC Pancreas and Liver Institute Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center Associate Professor of Surgery Harvard Medical.

“We would accomplish many more things if we did not think of them

as impossible.” Vince Lombardi