5/17/2010 1 JESUS T. TAMANG JESUS T. TAMANG Director Director Energy Policy and Planning Bureau Energy Policy and Planning Bureau JESUS T. TAMANG JESUS T. TAMANG Director Director Energy Policy and Planning Bureau Energy Policy and Planning Bureau 2 ND ND Meeting of the Energy Committee Meeting of the Energy Committee Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry 28 April 2010 28 April 2010 PCCI Boardroom PCCI Boardroom 2 ND ND Meeting of the Energy Committee Meeting of the Energy Committee Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry 28 April 2010 28 April 2010 PCCI Boardroom PCCI Boardroom GOP Directive 2008 Philippine Energy Summit Ensuring the Ensuring the best energy best energy Ensure energy security PEP Consultations Sustainable Development Framework International Frameworks on Energy Cooperation choices for a choices for a better quality better quality of life of life Pursue effective implementation of energy sector reforms Implement social mobilization and cross- sector monitoring mechanism Oil 32% Biomass 14% Wind & Solar 0% 2009 30 40 50 60 70 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 % kTOE PRIMARY ENERGY MIX Increased Energy Self-sufficiency and Fuel Diversification Total = 40.4 MTOE Coal 17% Natural Gas 8% Hydro 6% Geothemal 23% Self-sufficiency 2001 = 47.75% 2009 =58.89% ‐ 10 20 ‐ 5,000 10,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Oil Coal NaturalGas Hydro Geothemal Biomass Wind & Solar Self‐sufficiency Oil 8% Coal Geothemal 17% Wind & Solar 0% 2009 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 GWh 40 50 60 70 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 % GWh POWER GENERATION MIX Increased Energy Self-sufficiency and Fuel Diversification in Power Total = 62,000 GWh 26% Natural Gas 33% Hydro 16% ‐ 10,000 20,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Oil Coal Natural Gas Hydro Geothemal Biomass Wind & Solar Self-sufficiency 2001 = 39.1% 2009 = 66.4% 20 30 ‐ 10,000 20,000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Oil Coal Natural Gas Hydro Geothemal Biomass Wind & Solar Self‐sufficiency • Accelerate the exploration and development of oil, gas and coal resources • Intensify development and utilization of renewable and environment-friendly alternative energy 1 Ensure energy security resources/technologies • Enhance energy efficiency and conservation • Attain nationwide electrification • Put in place long-term reliable power supply • Improve transmission and distribution systems • Secure vital energy infrastructure and facilities • Maintain a competitive energy investment climate • Monitor the implementation of, and if necessary, recommend amendments to existing energy laws 2 Pursue effective implementation of energy sector reforms laws • Promote an efficient, competitive, transparent and reliable energy sector • Advocate the passage of new and necessary laws
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5/17/2010
1
JESUS T. TAMANGJESUS T. TAMANGDirectorDirectorEnergy Policy and Planning BureauEnergy Policy and Planning Bureau
JESUS T. TAMANGJESUS T. TAMANGDirectorDirectorEnergy Policy and Planning BureauEnergy Policy and Planning Bureau
22NDND Meeting of the Energy CommitteeMeeting of the Energy CommitteePhilippine Chamber of Commerce and IndustryPhilippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry
28 April 201028 April 2010PCCI BoardroomPCCI Boardroom
22NDND Meeting of the Energy CommitteeMeeting of the Energy CommitteePhilippine Chamber of Commerce and IndustryPhilippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry
28 April 201028 April 2010PCCI BoardroomPCCI Boardroom
GOP Directive
2008 Philippine Energy Summit
Ensuring the Ensuring the
best energy best energy
Ensure energy security
PEP Consultations
Sustainable Development Framework
International Frameworks on Energy Cooperation
choices for a choices for a
better quality better quality
of lifeof life
Pursue effective implementation of energy sector reforms
Implement social mobilization and cross-sector monitoring mechanism
Oil32%
Biomass 14%
Wind & Solar 0%
2009
30
40
50
60
70
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
%
kTOE
PRIMARY ENERGY MIXIncreased Energy Self-sufficiency and Fuel Diversification
Total = 40.4 MTOE
Coal17%
Natural Gas8%
Hydro6%
Geothemal23%
Self-sufficiency 2001 = 47.75% 2009 =58.89%
‐
10
20
‐
5,000
10,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Oil Coal Natural Gas Hydro
Geothemal Biomass Wind & Solar Self‐sufficiency
Oil8%
Coal
Geothemal17%
Wind & Solar 0%
2009
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
GWh
40
50
60
70
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
%
GWh
POWER GENERATION MIXIncreased Energy Self-sufficiency and Fuel Diversification in Power
Total = 62,000 GWh
26%
Natural Gas33%
Hydro16%
‐
10,000
20,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Oil Coal Natural Gas Hydro
Geothemal Biomass Wind & Solar
Self-sufficiency2001 = 39.1% 2009 = 66.4%
20
30
‐
10,000
20,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Oil Coal Natural Gas Hydro
Geothemal Biomass Wind & Solar Self‐sufficiency
• Accelerate the exploration and development ofoil, gas and coal resources
• Intensify development and utilization of renewableand environment-friendly alternative energy
1 Ensure energy security
resources/technologies• Enhance energy efficiency and conservation• Attain nationwide electrification• Put in place long-term reliable power supply• Improve transmission and distribution systems• Secure vital energy infrastructure and facilities• Maintain a competitive energy investment climate
• Monitor the implementation of, and if necessary,recommend amendments to existing energylaws
laws• Promote an efficient, competitive, transparent
and reliable energy sector• Advocate the passage of new and necessary
laws
5/17/2010
2
• Expand reach through Information, Educationand Communication
3 Implement social mobilization and cross-sector monitoring mechanism
• Establish cross-sector monitoring mechanism incooperation with other national governmentagencies, academe, LGUs, NGOs and otherlocal and international organizations
• Promote good governance
1 Ensure energy security
Field 2030 Targets
Awarding of Service Contracts 117
Production
Oil (MMB) 78.59
- Nido 0.9
- Matinloc 0.51
- Galoc 10.77
- Malampaya 23.1
SECTOR: OIL AND GAS
- West Linapacan A 23.16
- Cadlao 3.45
- Octon 1.46
- Linapacan 15.24
Gas (BCF) 2,694.16
- Malampaya 2,628.00
- San Martin 51.72
- Sultan sa Barongis 10.92
- Libertad 3.52
Condensate (MMB) 87.58
- Malampaya 79.33
- Sultan sa Barongis 8.25
Exploration and development of natural gas supply base
Inventory of other potential sources of natural gas and itsapplication
Improve IEC campaign on petroleum operations
SECTOR: OIL AND GAS
Improve IEC campaign on petroleum operations
Establishment of environmental standards with the DENR-EMB
Creation of one-stop shop
Continuous conduct and improvement of accessprovision of the PECR
TOTAL 6,971.8 5,565.12 7,120.23 10,408.55 10,805.91 12,083.91
Note: There is an additional indicative capacity of 240.8-MW for biomass. However, no data was provided as to what year the indicative capacities would come in.
Development of RE database
Intensive promotional activities on RE resources
Enhancement of RE stakeholders’ technical expertise
P ti f i j t (OTEC
SECTOR: RENEWABLE ENERGY
Promotion of emerging ocean energy projects (OTEC, wave,marine and tidal)
Encourage service contractors to undertake expansion andoptimization projects
Assessment/development of low enthalpy geothermal resources,as well as non-power applications of geothermal resources.
Intensive IEC campaign on environmental issues
1 Ensure energy securityYear Diesel Demand
(In million liters)*
Biodiesel Blend (Targets)*
Fuel Displacement
(In million liters)2009 5,144.54 2% 102.892010 5,379.42 2% 107.59
SECTOR: ALTERNATIVE FUELS (Biodiesel)
Note: *Based on JICA Study on Capability Enhancement on Policy and Planning for a More Effective and Comprehensive Philippine Energy Plan (PEP) Formulation
Note: *Based on JICA Study on Capability Enhancement on Policy and Planning for a More Effective and Comprehensive Philippine Energy Plan (PEP) Formulation
Increase market awareness for alternative energyprojects
Forge partnerships with academe and researchinstitutions to conduct on-road performance and
SECTOR: ALTERNATIVE FUELS (BIOFUELS)
durability tests for higher biofuels blend forvehicles
Develop standards for higher fuel blends (10%-20%for biodiesel and 20%-85% for bioethanol)
Viability study for other potential feedstock
Expand the utilization of biofuels
Year
Cumulative number of CNG Buses (Target)
Total
Diesel LiterEquivalent
(In million liters)Luzon Visayas Mindanao
2009 70 70 3.28
2010 200 200 9.36
SECTOR: ALTERNATIVE FUELS (CNG)
2015 1,022 178 1,200 56.16
2020 1,884 329 288 2,213 117.00
2025 3,768 657 576 5,001 234.05
2030 7,535 1,314 1,151 10,000 468.00
Note: Based on JICA Study on Capability Enhancement on Policy and Planning for a More Effective and Comprehensive Philippine Energy Plan (PEP) Formulation
Implementation of NGVPPT policy directives
Support/facilitate passage of a CNG Bill for Transport
SECTOR: ALTERNATIVE FUELS (CNG)
Enhancement of policy directives and programincentives (supply and price mechanisms)
Ensure gas supply for the commercial phase
Policy direction on- LPG utilization- Two/four stroke motorcycle engine, motorized
bancas and other diesel engines
SECTOR: ALTERNATIVE FUELS (Auto-LPG)
Review and formulate standards for two and fourstroke motorcycle engine
Validation of the BNPP feasibility study result which was recentlysubmitted by the Korean Electric Power Company (KEPCO) as themajor deliverable of the MOU between the NPC and KEPCO
Site safety review on the BNPP to assess previous site studies
SECTOR: ALTERNATIVE FUELS (NUCLEAR)
Develop a public communication plan that will serve as guidepostIEC
Conduct a comprehensive study in the economic viability andcompetitiveness of nuclear power as a long-term energy option forthe Philippines
Continue capability enhancement of local manpower
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1 Ensure energy security
SECTOR: ENERGY EFFICIENCY
Energy Unit 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
KTOE 2,402 2,898 3,457 4,085 4,798
Sectoral Target : 10% energy savings on the total annual energy demand of all economic sectors
Advocate passage of the Energy Efficiency andConservation Bill
Promotion of Energy Service Companies (ESCO)
SECTOR: ENERGY EFFICIENCY
Continuing implementation of National EnergyEfficiency and Conservation Program (NEECP),Government Energy Management Program (GEMP),and the Philippine Energy Efficiency Project (PEEP)and Demand Side Management (DSM) Program
Development of: Energy labeling for new models of passenger cars
and light-duty vehicles Efficiency guidelines for residential buildings Energy benchmark for commercial/ government
buildings and industrial facilities
SECTOR: ENERGY EFFICIENCY
buildings and industrial facilities Energy Management Standard for industrial
establishmentsDevelopment/Promotion of Green Building
Technology
Put in place a Certification Program for energymanagers/auditors
Monitoring of efficiency performance of powergeneration utilities and electric distribution utilities
Promotion of: Aviation Fuel Efficiency Enhancement Retrofit of commercial and industrial
SECTOR: ENERGY EFFICIENCY
Retrofit of commercial and industrialestablishments for energy efficiency andconservation
Voluntary Agreement Program on theRationalization of Tricycle Operation
2 Pursue effective implementation of energy sector reforms
3RD Wave To cover the capacity contracted at Ilijan Natural Gas Power Plant in
Ilijan, Batangas Approach and commercial structure to be adopted for the
remaining IPPs can differ from the one being used for the 1st wave of
SECTOR: POWER (PRIVATIZATION)
remaining IPPs can differ from the one being used for the 1 wave oftendering (Sual and Pagbilao) and second wave (San Roque andBakun Hydroelectric).
Other Expired or Expiring IPP Contracts Oil-fired IPPs such as Malaya (plants with ECAs and/or O&M
contracts which expired or to expire this year and in 2010) willundergo the original path of privatization adopted for the NPC ownedgenerating power plants.
2 Pursue effective implementation of energy sector reforms
Ensure a competitive oil industry market, as well asreasonable prices of petroleum products
Mitigate the impact of oil prices on consumers
SECTOR: DOWNSTREAM OIL
Promote efficiency in supply and distribution chain
Promote awareness on the downstream oil industryinitiatives and developments including pricing
2 Pursue effective implementation of energy sector reforms
POLICY INITIATIVES
Natural Gas Bill Incentives for natural gas in the Investment Priorities Plan
PRODUCTION AND SUPPLY SECURITY
M it i d l ti f t l l d l t i
SECTOR: NATURAL GAS
Monitoring and evaluation of natural gas supply developments inASEAN, Middle East and APEC member countries
INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
Review and update of the country’s Master Plan Study for theDevelopment of the Natural Gas Industry
Conduct of FS for LNG terminal to supply natural gas requirementsin Visayas and Mindanao
Develop and implement Infrastructure Development Plan forVisayas and Mindanao by 2021-2030
BATMAN 2BATMAN 2(Bataan (Bataan -- Manila)Manila)140 kms. (2016)140 kms. (2016)
Conduct study for the use of natural gas from other potentialsources
Evaluation of techno-economic aspects of related technologies forfuel shift to natural gas
Promotion of on-site or small-scale power generation using
SECTOR: NATURAL GAS
Promotion of on-site or small-scale power generation usingmarginal gas fields
SECTOR: ENVIRONMENT MANAGEMENT
Impact and vulnerability assessments of the energy systems
Monitoring systems in the application of adaptation policies and measures and adaptive capacity
Assessment of energy technology needs options and Assessment of energy technology needs, options and priorities
Modification of engineering design practices Development and adoption of sustainable financing
mechanisms Integration of climate change adaptation to energy
policies, plans and strategies JESUS T. TAMANGJESUS T. TAMANGDirectorDirectorEnergy Policy and Planning BureauEnergy Policy and Planning Bureau
JESUS T. TAMANGJESUS T. TAMANGDirectorDirectorEnergy Policy and Planning BureauEnergy Policy and Planning Bureau
22NDND Meeting of the Energy CommitteeMeeting of the Energy CommitteePhilippine Chamber of Commerce and IndustryPhilippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry
28 April 201028 April 2010PCCI BoardroomPCCI Boardroom
22NDND Meeting of the Energy CommitteeMeeting of the Energy CommitteePhilippine Chamber of Commerce and IndustryPhilippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry
28 April 201028 April 2010PCCI BoardroomPCCI Boardroom
Player April May June September ProblematicDOE 7 7 9 2 10NEANPC – SPUG 1TeaM E
10
SECTOR: RURAL ELECTRIFICATION
EnergyKEPHILCO 1EDC 1USAID -AMORE
3
MERALCO 54Grand Total 21 7 9 56 12
SCENARIO DEMANDPROGRAMS/TARGETS
SUPPLY ASSUMPTION
Reference (2008 base year)
REFERENCE SCENARIO 5% efficiency improvement for all demand
sector CNG buses to increase by 200 units in 2010 Bi di l bl d (2% i 2009)
Existing + committed power projects
Biodiesel blend (2% in 2009) Ethanol blend(10% in 2011)
Low Carbon Scenario 1 (LCS 1)
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO 10% efficiency improvement for all
demand sectors CNG buses to increase to 10,000 units in
2030 Biodiesel blend (5% in 2010; 10% by 2015;
15% by 2020; 20% by 2025) Ethanol blend (10% in 2011; 15% in 2015;
20% in 2020)
Double RE capacity
Low Carbon Scenario 2 (LCS 2)
Double RE capacity + new and other emerging technology e.g. new RE, nuclear, etc.