Transcript
Presented by: Nicolas Gutowski and Shane Rooney
Project Completed by: Nicolas Gutowski, Shane Rooney, Cameron Ives, Paul Kennedy, Sean Connor, Matthew
Berlowitz
What is the likely impact of the proposed ballistic missile
defense systems (BMDS) on Russia’s general strategic
response in the Balkans and EU region, especially with
respect to Poland and the Czech Republic?
Is it likely that Russia will resolve frozen conflicts in the
Russian-European Union (EU) border region within the
next 5 years, and if so what are the likely ways in which
this will happen.
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Ballistic Missile Defense System Estimate
◦ Key Evidence
Frozen Conflict Estimate
◦ Key Evidence
Tour of the Wiki
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Highly likely that military maneuver response a minor part of a larger power play
◦ A Pattern of Decreasing Rhetoric
◦ Matching NATO Aggression
◦ New and Strengthened Alliances
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Czech Republic◦ Indications of legislative failure Observer Status
Poland◦ Dangerous Game International Law
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It is unlikely that Russia will move to resolve the frozen conflicts in Crimea, Transdniestria, or Nagorno Karabakh.
◦ Current Global Financial Crisis
◦ Instability of Volatile Energy Markets
◦ Unfavorable Conflict Zones
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If Russia were to resolve any of the frozen conflict zones, Crimea represents the most likely of the three.
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http://russianpotential.wikispaces.com
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Thank You
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