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Business Scenario Planning- Psychological Perspective

1. Introducing Scenario Planning Part-2 Psychological PerspectiveAziz Alizadeh 2. Why We Need Future Study? All our knowledge is about the past, but all our decisions are…

Business The cost of irrationality - how poker players perform better by avoiding cognitive biases

1. Lasse Ringstad The Costs of Irrationality The cost of irrationality Cognitive biases – the difference between good and great decision-makers How poker players perform…

Documents Phil 148 Chances. The importance of understanding chances: A great many injustices are perpetrated.....

Slide 1Phil 148 Chances Slide 2 The importance of understanding chances: A great many injustices are perpetrated upon people who have a poor understanding of mathematical…

Documents Cognitive Biases 4. Conjunction Fallacy Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken, and very bright......

Slide 1Cognitive Biases 4 Slide 2 Conjunction Fallacy Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken, and very bright. She majored in philosophy. As a student, she was deeply concerned…

Documents Thinking about Probabilities CCC8001. Assignment Watch episode 1 of season 1 of Ancient Aliens.

Slide 1Thinking about Probabilities CCC8001 Slide 2 Assignment Watch episode 1 of season 1 of Ancient Aliens. Slide 3 Assignment Find one thing that is said, shown, or presented…

Business Momentum, market states and investor behavior

1. Momentum, market states and investor behaviorLuis Muga and Rafael Santamaría Departamento de Gestión de EmpresasUniversidad Pública de Navarra Mailing address: Luis…

Documents Stress, Fear, and Panic: Decision-Making in Dynamic, High-Risk Environments Marc Lusk Amarillo Fire....

Slide 1 Stress, Fear, and Panic: Decision-Making in Dynamic, High-Risk Environments Marc Lusk Amarillo Fire Department Slide 2 “… a better understanding of how stress,…

Documents Representativeness and Availability Kahneman & Tversky Umut Öztürk.

Slide 1 Representativeness and Availability Kahneman & Tversky Umut Öztürk Slide 2 Representativeness Definition - Assessing the likelihood of an event`s occurrence…

Documents Representativeness and Availability Kahneman & Tversky

Representativeness and Availability Kahneman & Tversky Umut Ãztürk Representativeness Definition - Assessing the likelihood of an event`s occurrence by the similarity…