Tag: different mortality

Documents tagged

evaluation of forecasts

Documents Seasonnal Forecasting in Africa J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie.

Slide 1Seasonnal Forecasting in Africa J.P. Céron – Direction de la Climatologie Slide 2 The Oceanic Forcing (ENSO) Planetary influence of El Niño (on left) and La Niña…

Documents Munehiko Yamaguchi Meteorological Research Institute of Japan Meteorological Agency Studies on...

Slide 1Munehiko Yamaguchi Meteorological Research Institute of Japan Meteorological Agency Studies on Tropical Cyclone Forecasting using TIGGE 11 th Session of THORPEX GIFS…

Science Seasonal climate forecasts in colombia

1. Sharon Gourdji June 24, 2015 Cali, Colombia [email protected] EVALUATION OF SEASONAL CLIMATE FORECASTING SKILL IN COLOMBIA 2. OUTLINE • Theory & methods •…

Documents Seasonal climate forecasts in colombia apr widescreen2_no_animation

1. Sharon Gourdji June 24, 2015 Cali, Colombia [email protected] EVALUATION OF SEASONAL CLIMATE FORECASTING SKILL IN COLOMBIA 2. OUTLINE • Theory & methods •…

Documents Increasing uncertainties? A post-mortem on the Federal Planning Bureau’s medium-term projections

How to address uncertainty in forecasting? Scenario analysis (‘variants’): To illustrate effects of potential risks surrounding baseline (results are often presented…

Documents Backtesting Stochastic Mortality Models: An Ex-Post Evaluation of Multi-Period- Ahead Density...

Backtesting Stochastic Mortality Models: An Ex-Post Evaluation of Multi-Period-Ahead Density Forecasts Kevin Dowd (CRIS, NUBS) Andrew J. G. Cairns (Heriot-Watt) David Blake…