Slide 1The Moisture-Stability Index (MSI) and its Application to Flash Flood Forecasting in the Hawaiian Islands Kevin Kodama and Robert Ballard NOAA/NWS Honolulu Slide 2…

Slide 11 Numerical Weather Prediction Parametrization of diabatic processes Convection II The parametrization of convection Peter Bechtold, Christian Jakob, David Gregory…

Slide 1 1 Numerical Weather Prediction Parametrization of diabatic processes Convection II The parametrization of convection Peter Bechtold, Christian Jakob, David Gregory…

Slide 1 Deep Convection A review of processes “Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not truth” Marcus Aurelius: AD121-180…

Slide 1 Slide 2 Slide 3 Slide 4 Corfidi, et al. 2008 – convection where air parcels originate from a moist absolutely unstable layer above the PBL. Can produce severe hail,…

Slide 1 1 The parameterization of moist convection Peter Bechtold, Christian Jakob, David Gregory With contributions from J. Kain (NOAA/NSLL) Original ECMWF lecture has been…

Summary Summary Shear line just north of us, responsible for showers and stronger NE component to surface wind. Shear line retreats, to be replaced by tropical disturbance…

Numerical Weather Prediction Parametrization of diabatic processes Convection II The parametrization of convection Peter Bechtold, Christian Jakob, David Gregory (with contributions…

Tropical Cyclone Energy Dispersion in a Three-Dimensional Primitive Equation Model: Upper-Tropospheric Influence Ge X., T. Li, Y. Wang, and M. S. Peng, 2008: Tropical Cyclone…