The Ecofys Reports – key arguments to support energy efficiency in buildings
EU STRUCTURAL FUNDS TRAINING DAY
March 06, 2006
What is at stake?
Global Warming – Europe’s reputation at stake
Under the Kyoto Protocol Europe is committed to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 8% by 2008-2012. Not only are current policies insufficient to achieve this goal, failure to meet it will severely undermine the moral authority of Europe in negotiating future commitments.
Security of Energy Supply – more dependence, less stability The EU’s dependence on foreign energy supplies is expected to increase to 70% by 2030. Given the current potential for conflicts in major energy exporting regions, we are gambling with the future of the economy.
The Lisbon Process – action not words needed
The reform process needed to implement the Lisbon Strategy is way behind schedule. In the recent report from the High Level Group Chaired by Wim Kok this was recognised and action on eco-efficiency was seen as an area for focus.
Meeting these challenges
zz
z
Improving energy efficiency improves economic efficiency
Global Warming
Security of Energy Supply
The Lisbon Process
Buidlings alone have the pontential to reach Kyoto objectives
Reducing energy demand in buildings can help limit our exposure
to supply issues
No action
No action
No action
Action
Action
Action
EU unlikely to
meet Kyoto
objectives
Increasing dependenc
e on foreign energy
sources
Lisbon objectives
not achieved
ECOFYS reports – quantifying the potential
Climate Protection Regulation Competitiveness Enlarged EU
STEP 1 - Climate protection (EU 15)
Potential from buildings (EU 15)- CO2 savings
Total heatrelated emission
Technical potential emission reductions
Annual CO2 Emissions in the European Building Stock (EU 15)
(Mt/
a)
398
725
Reduction Potential from Buildings
STEP 2 - Quantifying the impact of regulation (EU 15)
Quantyfing the gap in the EU
Transport
Industry
Buildings
Untapped
10%
32%
28%
40%
Only ten percent of the potential for buildings is
being seized by the Energy Performance of Buildings
Directive
Key findings
Key findings - in detail
• Technical potential for buildings > 1000 m²
amounts to 82 Mt/a
• Technical potential for all buildings: 398 Mt/a
• Main potential in moderate and warm climate
Technical Potential CO2-Savings
0
100
200
300
400
500
CO
2-E
mis
sio
n s
avin
gs
[Mt/
a]
sum 82 151 398
w arm 12 29 65
moderate 68 118 319
cold 2 5 14
EPBDExtended EPBD
> 200m²Extended EPBD
all houses
Key findings
All small buildings
Current EU
rules
ECOFYS Study
New buildings
Existing large
buildings
STEP 3 - Quantifying the impact on competitiveness (EU 15)
Potential from buildings (EU 15) - cost savings
Individual
Potential from buildings (EU 15) - cost savings
Societal
8 BillionEURO
Conclusion for jobs
o Impact on jobs based on:
Construction market Equipment Maintenance of
equipment
o Impact expected to lead to up to: 300,000* new jobs per year
* Eurima estimate
STEP 4 - Extending all the results to the new Member States (EU 8)
• Same potential of energy savings
40% of Energy Use
• Large potential of CO2 reduction
60 million tonnes
• Significant potential of cost savings
0.5 Billion EURO
• Major job potential
230 000 extra jobs
New Member States – commonopportunities
New Member States – different challenges
• Crisis in the Housing Sector Suffer from inadequate condition
of their homes High energy bills Very poor energy efficiency
levels
• Need for urgent refurbishment
Specific in new Member States – job creation
Up to
230,000*
New Jobs
* Eurima estimate
New Member States – barriers
• Barriers to energy efficiency investment
PoliPolitical and institutional Financial and economic Legal Capacity and social
STEP 5 - Adjusting the results to the new energy prices (EU 25)
ECOFYS VI
A changing landscape
The need for actions
What needs to be done?
• Correct implementation
• EPBD to be fully extended to all buildings
• Used to refurbish buildings
• National Action Plans to focus on buildings
What is the EU Doing?
• EPBD
• Green Paper
• Structural Funds
• Energy Services Directive