Setting the Stage
Dr. J. Phillip LondonExecutive Chairman and Chairman of the Board
CACI International Inc
Dealing with Today’s Asymmetric Threat
2
The Symposium Reports
2008 to Present
An Ancient Challenge
3
“All warfare is based on
deception”The Art of War
Sun Tzu6th Century BC
What If…
4
Washington hadn’t crossed the Delaware?
The Surprise at Trenton
Operation Fortitudehad failed?
The Deception at Pas de Calais
The Oldest Tricks in the Book
5
Assess
Decide
Influence
Trojan Horsec. 1194–1184
BC
Battle of Agincourt
1415
9/11
Arab Spring2010-2011
Today’s Symposia
6
Frame the highly complex challenges of surprise, denial and deceptionStrengthen our threat assessment capabilities, improve Indications and Warning systems
Facilitate better decision-making across government
Stop falling for the age old tricks of surprise, denial and
deception
Decision Superiority – Perception
7
Surprise – Contradicts perception
Denial – Prevents perception
Deception – Distorts perception
8
Decision Superiority – Perception
Battle of Waterloo – 1815
Decision Superiority – Target vs. Victim
9
Decision Superiority – Duality
10
Knowledge
Capabilities Private Sector
Public Sector
Technical
Human
Moving Toward Decision Superiority
11
“Men are so simple and yield so readily to the desires of the moment that he who will trick will always find another who
will suffer to be tricked.”
–Niccolo Machiavelli “The Prince”
