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Page 1: PPT

Chapter 18. The Common Stock Chapter 18. The Common Stock MarketMarketChapter 18. The Common Stock Chapter 18. The Common Stock MarketMarket

• Types of markets

• Trading mechanics

• Stock market indexes

• Pricing efficiency

• Types of markets

• Trading mechanics

• Stock market indexes

• Pricing efficiency

Page 2: PPT

Common stockCommon stockCommon stockCommon stock

• equity security• ownership• entitled to distributed earnings• entitled to share of assets

• equity security• ownership• entitled to distributed earnings• entitled to share of assets

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I. Type of MarketsI. Type of MarketsI. Type of MarketsI. Type of Markets

• exchanges

• OTC trading of

• unlisted stocks & listed stocks

• direct trading

• exchanges

• OTC trading of

• unlisted stocks & listed stocks

• direct trading

Page 4: PPT

ExchangesExchangesExchangesExchanges

• physical location for trading

• trading by members• own a seat on the exchange

• stock traded on exchange are listed stocks

• physical location for trading

• trading by members• own a seat on the exchange

• stock traded on exchange are listed stocks

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NYSENYSENYSENYSE

• the “Big Board”

• about 2800 listed U.S. companies• & 450 non-U.S. companies

• $18 trillion market value (2/04)

• 1366 seats (fixed)• seat price $2 million 2002• 10/2003 $1.35 million

• the “Big Board”

• about 2800 listed U.S. companies• & 450 non-U.S. companies

• $18 trillion market value (2/04)

• 1366 seats (fixed)• seat price $2 million 2002• 10/2003 $1.35 million

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• stocks trade at post on the trading floor• 20 posts, trading about 100 stocks

• each stock has one specialist• 10 specialist firms, 470 specialists• each specialist has 5-10 stocks• process trades from floor brokers

(5%) and electronically (95%)

• stocks trade at post on the trading floor• 20 posts, trading about 100 stocks

• each stock has one specialist• 10 specialist firms, 470 specialists• each specialist has 5-10 stocks• process trades from floor brokers

(5%) and electronically (95%)

Page 7: PPT

role of the specialistrole of the specialistrole of the specialistrole of the specialist• MUST maintain a fair and orderly market

for stock

• act as buyer or seller as needed (10% of trades)

• match buyers and sellers

• maintain order priority

• MUST maintain a fair and orderly market for stock

• act as buyer or seller as needed (10% of trades)

• match buyers and sellers

• maintain order priority

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the future of the specialistthe future of the specialistthe future of the specialistthe future of the specialist

• may be phased on with next 5-10 years

• recent SEC fines for improper trading for several major firms

• may be phased on with next 5-10 years

• recent SEC fines for improper trading for several major firms

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AMEXAMEXAMEXAMEX

• merged w/ Nasdaq 1998

• specializes in equity derivative securities and closed-end funds

• merged w/ Nasdaq 1998

• specializes in equity derivative securities and closed-end funds

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Regional exchangesRegional exchangesRegional exchangesRegional exchanges

• stocks may be listed on both NYSE and regional exchange

• 5 regional exchanges

• cheaper seat prices

• stocks may be listed on both NYSE and regional exchange

• 5 regional exchanges

• cheaper seat prices

Page 11: PPT

OTC marketsOTC marketsOTC marketsOTC markets

• electronic network of dealers all over the world

• ECNs• electronic communication

networks

• more than one dealer per stock• not obligated to make a market

• electronic network of dealers all over the world

• ECNs• electronic communication

networks

• more than one dealer per stock• not obligated to make a market

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NasdaqNasdaqNasdaqNasdaq

• not the only OTC system, but the largest

• over 4000 companies listed• mkt. value $2 trillion (2/28/03)

• leader in daily share volume

• over 500 dealers

• listing requirements

• not the only OTC system, but the largest

• over 4000 companies listed• mkt. value $2 trillion (2/28/03)

• leader in daily share volume

• over 500 dealers

• listing requirements

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Page 14: PPT

II. Trading MechanicsII. Trading MechanicsII. Trading MechanicsII. Trading Mechanics

• types of orders

• short selling

• buying on the margin

• institutional trading

• types of orders

• short selling

• buying on the margin

• institutional trading

Page 15: PPT

Types of ordersTypes of ordersTypes of ordersTypes of orders

• instructions from investors to brokers

• market order• buy/sell order to be executed at

best price

-- get lowest price for buy order

-- get highest price for sell order

• instructions from investors to brokers

• market order• buy/sell order to be executed at

best price

-- get lowest price for buy order

-- get highest price for sell order

Page 16: PPT

• market order (cont.)• market orders given priority in

trading• no guarantee of execution price

-- price could rise/fall from time order is placed to time it is executed

• market order (cont.)• market orders given priority in

trading• no guarantee of execution price

-- price could rise/fall from time order is placed to time it is executed

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• limit order• buy/sell order where investor

specifies price range• “buy at $50 or less”• “sell at $52 or more”• specialist records orders in

limit order book

• limit order• buy/sell order where investor

specifies price range• “buy at $50 or less”• “sell at $52 or more”• specialist records orders in

limit order book

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• investor sets reservation price

BUT• no guarantee that limit order will

be executed

• investor sets reservation price

BUT• no guarantee that limit order will

be executed

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• stop order• order lies dormant • turns into market order when

certain price (“the stop”) is reached• “buy if price rises to $60”• “sell if price falls to $58”

-- stop loss order

• stop order• order lies dormant • turns into market order when

certain price (“the stop”) is reached• “buy if price rises to $60”• “sell if price falls to $58”

-- stop loss order

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• investor does not have to watch market• but in a volatile market stop could be

triggered prematurely

-- end up trading unnecessarily

• investor does not have to watch market• but in a volatile market stop could be

triggered prematurely

-- end up trading unnecessarily

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• stop limit order• turns into limit order when stop is

reached• “buy if price rises to $60, but only

is executed at $65 or less”

• stop limit order• turns into limit order when stop is

reached• “buy if price rises to $60, but only

is executed at $65 or less”

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• market if touched order• turns into market order if certain

price is reached• “buy if price falls to $55”• “sell if price rises to $62”

• market if touched order• turns into market order if certain

price is reached• “buy if price falls to $55”• “sell if price rises to $62”

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how long is an order good?how long is an order good?how long is an order good?how long is an order good?

• fill or kill order• executed when reaches trading

floor, or canceled

• good until canceled/open order• is good indefinitely

• fill or kill order• executed when reaches trading

floor, or canceled

• good until canceled/open order• is good indefinitely

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order sizeorder sizeorder sizeorder size

• round lots• lots of 100 shares

• odd lots• less than 100 shares• more difficult to trade

• block trades• 10,000 shares or $200,000 value

• round lots• lots of 100 shares

• odd lots• less than 100 shares• more difficult to trade

• block trades• 10,000 shares or $200,000 value

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short sellingshort sellingshort sellingshort selling

• sale of borrowed stock

• profit from belief that stock price is too high will fall soon

• how?• borrow stock through broker• sell stock• buy and return later

• sale of borrowed stock

• profit from belief that stock price is too high will fall soon

• how?• borrow stock through broker• sell stock• buy and return later

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• short selling could further destabilize falling prices• tick test rules on exchange

• short sales allowed if• uptick or zero uptick in price for

previous trades:• $20.75, $21 (uptick)• $20.75, $20.75 (zero upick)• $20.75, $20 (downtick)

• short selling could further destabilize falling prices• tick test rules on exchange

• short sales allowed if• uptick or zero uptick in price for

previous trades:• $20.75, $21 (uptick)• $20.75, $20.75 (zero upick)• $20.75, $20 (downtick)

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• so short sellers• believe price will fall and SOON• but price not currently falling• face unlimited losses if price rises

• so short sellers• believe price will fall and SOON• but price not currently falling• face unlimited losses if price rises

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Buying on the marginBuying on the marginBuying on the marginBuying on the margin

• buyer borrows part of purchase price of stock, using stock as collateral• borrow at call money rate

• Fed sets initial margin requirement• minimum cash payment• 50% since 1975

• buyer borrows part of purchase price of stock, using stock as collateral• borrow at call money rate

• Fed sets initial margin requirement• minimum cash payment• 50% since 1975

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• if stock price falls• collateral worth less• if collateral worth only 125% of loan

(maintenance margin)

-- margin call

-- owner must put up more cash or sell stock• margin calls can worsen stock crash

• if stock price falls• collateral worth less• if collateral worth only 125% of loan

(maintenance margin)

-- margin call

-- owner must put up more cash or sell stock• margin calls can worsen stock crash

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exampleexampleexampleexample

• 1000 shares, $20 per share• $20,000 cost• $10,000 cash, borrow $10,000

• leverage• gains/losses on $20,000 capital• but tied up only $10,000 capital

• 1000 shares, $20 per share• $20,000 cost• $10,000 cash, borrow $10,000

• leverage• gains/losses on $20,000 capital• but tied up only $10,000 capital

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• if prices falls to $12,• value of stock $12,000• below 125% of $10,000 loan• get a margin call

• if prices falls to $12,• value of stock $12,000• below 125% of $10,000 loan• get a margin call

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Institutional tradingInstitutional tradingInstitutional tradingInstitutional trading

• vs. retail trades• institutional trades are larger• special execution• over 50% of NYSE share volume

• vs. retail trades• institutional trades are larger• special execution• over 50% of NYSE share volume

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block tradesblock tradesblock tradesblock trades

• large # shares in one stock

• executed in “upstairs” market• other firms directly take other side

of trade

• remainder executed on trading floor or Nasdaq (downstairs)

• large # shares in one stock

• executed in “upstairs” market• other firms directly take other side

of trade

• remainder executed on trading floor or Nasdaq (downstairs)

Page 34: PPT

program tradesprogram tradesprogram tradesprogram trades

• large # shares, different stocks

• used by mutual funds for asset allocation

• want• low commissions• prevent frontrunning

• large # shares, different stocks

• used by mutual funds for asset allocation

• want• low commissions• prevent frontrunning

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what is frontrunning?what is frontrunning?what is frontrunning?what is frontrunning?

• brokers trade ahead of program trade• to benefit from anticipated price

movements• due to large trade

• brokers trade ahead of program trade• to benefit from anticipated price

movements• due to large trade

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exampleexampleexampleexample

• broker buys ahead of large buy order• broker buys first• large buy order pushes up price• broker’s holdings increase in value

• result• frontrunning starts to push up

price, so firm does not get best price

• broker buys ahead of large buy order• broker buys first• large buy order pushes up price• broker’s holdings increase in value

• result• frontrunning starts to push up

price, so firm does not get best price

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agency basisagency basisagency basisagency basis

• brokers bid for trade by commission

• low commission, but

• frontrunning likely

• brokers bid for trade by commission

• low commission, but

• frontrunning likely

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agency incentive agreementagency incentive agreementagency incentive agreementagency incentive agreement

• set benchmark value for trade• based on last day’s prices

• if broker does better• gets commission + bonus

• higher commission, but

• frontrunning less likely

• set benchmark value for trade• based on last day’s prices

• if broker does better• gets commission + bonus

• higher commission, but

• frontrunning less likely

Page 39: PPT

III. Stock market indicatorsIII. Stock market indicatorsIII. Stock market indicatorsIII. Stock market indicators

• measure average performance of a group of stocks

• different indexes are highly correlated:• DJIA & S&P 500 .991 (1990s)• DJIA & NYSE .95

• measure average performance of a group of stocks

• different indexes are highly correlated:• DJIA & S&P 500 .991 (1990s)• DJIA & NYSE .95

Page 40: PPT

indexes differ due toindexes differ due toindexes differ due toindexes differ due to

• stocks included in the index

• weighting of stocks• equal, price, value

• average• arithmetic• geometric

• stocks included in the index

• weighting of stocks• equal, price, value

• average• arithmetic• geometric

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stock exchange indexstock exchange indexstock exchange indexstock exchange index

• includes all stocks listed on exchange

• NYSE Composite

• Nasdaq Composite

• (both value weighted)

• includes all stocks listed on exchange

• NYSE Composite

• Nasdaq Composite

• (both value weighted)

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subjectively selected indexsubjectively selected indexsubjectively selected indexsubjectively selected index

• organization picks group of stocks to measure

• Dow Jones Industrial average

• S&P 500

• organization picks group of stocks to measure

• Dow Jones Industrial average

• S&P 500

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DJIADJIADJIADJIA

• price weighted

• 30 large blue chip companies• cross section of industries• leaders

• large movements in DJIA may halt trading on NYSE

• price weighted

• 30 large blue chip companies• cross section of industries• leaders

• large movements in DJIA may halt trading on NYSE

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S&P 500S&P 500S&P 500S&P 500

• 500 large blue chip companies

• value weighted

• most popular benchmark for index funds

• 500 large blue chip companies

• value weighted

• most popular benchmark for index funds

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objectively selected indexobjectively selected indexobjectively selected indexobjectively selected index

• inclusion of stock based on objective criteria• market value

• Wilshire 5000• all publicly traded stocks

• Russell 2000• largest 3000 companies, then take

smallest 2000 of those

• inclusion of stock based on objective criteria• market value

• Wilshire 5000• all publicly traded stocks

• Russell 2000• largest 3000 companies, then take

smallest 2000 of those

Page 46: PPT

IV. Pricing Efficiency of theIV. Pricing Efficiency of the Stock Market Stock Market

IV. Pricing Efficiency of theIV. Pricing Efficiency of the Stock Market Stock Market

• what information is reflected in current stock prices?• what implications does this have

for active vs. passive investment strategies?

• what information is reflected in current stock prices?• what implications does this have

for active vs. passive investment strategies?

Page 47: PPT

3 levels of price efficiency3 levels of price efficiency3 levels of price efficiency3 levels of price efficiency

• what are they?

• implication?

• evidence for U.S. stock markets?

• what are they?

• implication?

• evidence for U.S. stock markets?

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Weak form efficiencyWeak form efficiencyWeak form efficiencyWeak form efficiency

• current stock prices reflect • information about past prices • and trading history

• current stock prices reflect • information about past prices • and trading history

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implicationimplicationimplicationimplication

• if markets are weak-form efficient• using past price/trading pattern to

predict future stock prices will not work• so, technical analysis will fail to

beat the market

• if markets are weak-form efficient• using past price/trading pattern to

predict future stock prices will not work• so, technical analysis will fail to

beat the market

Page 50: PPT

evidenceevidenceevidenceevidence

• U.S. stock market is weak-form efficient

• technical analysts do not beat the market• especially after trading costs

• U.S. stock market is weak-form efficient

• technical analysts do not beat the market• especially after trading costs

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Semi strong form efficiencySemi strong form efficiencySemi strong form efficiencySemi strong form efficiency

• current stock prices reflect• all publicly available information

relevant to stock

-- economic data

-- financial statements

• current stock prices reflect• all publicly available information

relevant to stock

-- economic data

-- financial statements

Page 52: PPT

implicationimplicationimplicationimplication

• using public info to predict future stock prices will not work• fundamental analysis will fail to

beat market

• using public info to predict future stock prices will not work• fundamental analysis will fail to

beat market

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evidenceevidenceevidenceevidence

• mixed

• Yes• most actively managed portfolios

do not outperform randomly selected portfolios

• mixed

• Yes• most actively managed portfolios

do not outperform randomly selected portfolios

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• No.• certain pricing anomalies persist

for long periods of time• January effect• size effect

• No.• certain pricing anomalies persist

for long periods of time• January effect• size effect

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Strong form efficiencyStrong form efficiencyStrong form efficiencyStrong form efficiency

• current stock prices reflect all information• public and private

• current stock prices reflect all information• public and private

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implicationimplicationimplicationimplication

• impossible to predict future stock prices• stock prices are a random walk

• impossible to predict future stock prices• stock prices are a random walk

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evidenceevidenceevidenceevidence

• U.S. stock market is not strong form efficient

• why?• corporate insiders consistently

outperform market• & they have access to private info

• U.S. stock market is not strong form efficient

• why?• corporate insiders consistently

outperform market• & they have access to private info

Page 58: PPT

active strategyactive strategyactive strategyactive strategy

• using fundamental or technical analysis to select stocks to buy/sell

• growth, sector, value funds

• trading on this info increases• trading costs• tax consequences

• odds of working are low

• using fundamental or technical analysis to select stocks to buy/sell

• growth, sector, value funds

• trading on this info increases• trading costs• tax consequences

• odds of working are low

Page 59: PPT

passive strategypassive strategypassive strategypassive strategy

• believe market is efficient, just capture long-run returns of market

• buy-and-hold diversified portfolio• index funds

• lower expenses, defer taxes

• index funds outperform most actively managed funds

• believe market is efficient, just capture long-run returns of market

• buy-and-hold diversified portfolio• index funds

• lower expenses, defer taxes

• index funds outperform most actively managed funds