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Page 1: Introduction Outputs Methodology

Kalemie is a small city on the shore of Lake

Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) in central Africa. It

is located approximately 300 kilometers south of

Rwanda. In the mid-1990’s, several large conflicts broke

out in the DRC, started mostly by the Rwandan genocide

in 1994. Due to its geographic location and resources

available, Kalemie became heavily involved in the

conflict.

This study aims to analyze how the forest and

urbanization has changed in Kalemie and the

surrounding areas throughout the conflicts between 1994

and 2003 using historical Landsat imagery.

Introduction

Datasets and software platforms used

Outputs Methodology

Based on literature reviewed, data trends found in change detection and class statistics reflect the

changing patterns of land cover one would expect to observe in a conflict area. There is a clear increase in

urbanization shown at the time of the Rwandan Genocide, during which thousands of refugees flooded into

the Democratic Republic of the Congo. This is to be expected, as the city of Kalemie is near the border with

Rwanda. This increase in urbanization – and population – is accompanied by a decrease in forest cover, likely

due to the increased agricultural needs of the growing population.[1]

As the conflict in the Democratic Republic of the Congo began in 1996, urbanization slowed, and began to

fall, as Kalemie became a source of refugees. The forest began some regrowth from the decreased

agricultural requirements, although its peak would come after the eventual end of the conflict. As the conflict

wound down, the urban cover of the city began to slowly increase, a trend that continued until the end of the

study period.[2]

While the city of Kalemie was largely free of clouds, surrounding areas were not. Masking techniques using

the FMASK band provided by USGS allowed for some improvement, however this resulted in some

misclassification and representation of non-urban land cover being artificially lowered in some years.

References[1] Baumann, M., Radeloff, V. C., Avedian, V., & Kuemmerle, T. (2015).

Land-use change in the Caucasus during and after the Nagorno-Karabakh

conflict. Regional Environmental Change, 15(8), 1703–1716.

https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-014-0728-3

[2] Butsic, V., Baumann, M., Shortland, A., Walker, S., & Kuemmerle, T.

(2015). Conservation and conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo: The

impacts of warfare, mining, and protected areas on deforestation. Biological

Conservation, 191, 266–273. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2015.06.037

Satellite data used for this project was derived mostly

from the Landsat 5 sensor, but some gaps from 1998 to

2001 were filled using Landsat 7 prior to the scan line

corrector (SLC) device failing. Data was acquired from

Google Earth Engine, and the specific dataset used was

the USGS Landsat 5 TOA Reflectance

(Orthorectified) with Fmask dataset. The

corresponding dataset for Landsat 7 was used as well.

Two images from each year between 1990 and 2009

were selected for a 40 image timeseries analysis.

ArcGIS was used for masking of images, and ENVI

was used for the classification methods as well as the

change detection.

Input Landsat tiles

Mask cloud and cloud shadow

Classify scenes using MLC

Derive training classes using false colour

composite

Accuracy assessment using confusion matrix

Accuracy assessment report

Thematic change detection analysis

Final maps, graphs and results

Results and Discussion

Change in land classification from 1990 to 2009

1990 1994 1998 2002 2006

Year of image

Perc

enta

ge o

f p

ixel

s cl

assi

fied

as

urb

an

Perc

enta

ge o

f p

ixel

s cl

assi

fied

as

hea

vy v

eget

atio

n

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

45.00%

50.00%

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

Change in urbanization and heavy vegetation cover over time

Classified imagery from every four years over the study area.

Study area

Location of Kalemie in relation to Rwanda. Basemap courtesy of National Geographic.

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