Identifying and prioritising adaptation actions
Introduction
Welcome & Acknowledgement
Background
• Workshops action plan
• General Manager’s support
Housekeeping
• Facilities, OH&S, Turn off mobiles
[Insert Council logo]
Purpose• Developing a Climate Change Action Plan
Program• Keeping to time • Respectful discussion
IntroductionsEvaluation forms
Introduction
Gain internal support
Gain internal support
Steering Committee Meeting 1-Develop a planning program
Steering Committee Meeting 1-Develop a planning program
Workshop 1-IntroductionWorkshop 1
-Introduction
Steering Committee Meeting 2-Research adaptation options
Steering Committee Meeting 2-Research adaptation options
Steering CommitteeMeeting 4 -Action plan
Steering CommitteeMeeting 4 -Action plan
Steering CommitteeMeeting 5 -Review
Steering CommitteeMeeting 5 -Review
Steering Committee Meeting 3 -MitigationSteering Committee
Meeting 3 -MitigationWorkshop 4
-Mitigation actionsWorkshop 4
-Mitigation actions
Identify Planning Team
Identify Planning Team
Workshop 2-Risk assessment
Workshop 2-Risk assessment
Workshop 3-Adaptation
actions
Workshop 3-Adaptation
actions
Progress
Expected outcomes
Participants will:• Understand the concept of adaptation• Identify adaptation actions • Determine effectiveness of adaptation actions - by re-analysing risk statements • Prioritise adaptation actions
Adaptation
• Adaptation: is preparing for the impacts of climate change
• Includes adjustments to reduce risks or take advantage of any potential benefits
Adaptation actions
Treating risks: often strategic planning & resource allocation (rather than short term, reactive)
• Avoiding risks e.g. change location of new housing developments
• Education public & staff awareness• Regulatory and institutional e.g. urban
planning
Photo by publik16 www.flickr.com
Adaptation actions
• Research for improved understanding• Structural & technological solutions e.g.
change in design of stormwater systems• Spreading risks e.g. financial products or
geographical diversification
Bellingen flood Oct 27 '09 by Pip Wilson www.flickr.com
Adaptation
• Under-adaptation & over-adaptation• Balanced approach to managing climate & non-
climate risks• Integrating climate change risk management
with the broader risk management processes • Focus on higher priority risks
Photo by Rossco www.flickr.com
Examples of adaptation actions
• Potential adaptation actions for Council include:
Overview of activity
Part 1: • Groups of 3-4 people• Templates with risk statements that relate to
your service area• Fill in templates with at least 3 adaptation
actions for each risk • Re-evaluate likelihood & consequence of each
risk assuming adaptation action is implemented
Part 2:• Risk assessment tool for determining new risk
rating & a risk effectiveness score for each adaptation action
• Check group agrees on rating
Firstly, recap of likelihood & consequence scales…..
Overview of activity
Success criteria
• Consequence = “How bad is it likely to be”• Risks can affect Council in many different ways
depending on objectives (success criteria)• Success criteria suggested by the AGO (2006):
– Public safety– Local economy and growth– Community and lifestyle– Environment and sustainability– Public administration
**Replace with Council risk framework if applicable** Photo by yewenyi www.flickr.com
Consequence
**Replace with Council risk framework if applicable**
Likelihood
Likelihood rating Recurrent Risks Single Events
Almost Certain May occur in most circumstances, say a number of times a month >90% chance of occurring
Likely May occur in most circumstances, say about once a year 50-90% chance of occurring
Possible May occur once every 2-5 years 20-50% chance of occurring
UnlikelyThe event may not yet have occurred, but could occur at some time, say once in 10 years
1-20% chance of occurring
Rare May occur in exceptional circumstances <1% change of occurring
**Replace with Council risk framework if applicable**
Analysing risks
Level of Risk = Likelihood of an occurrence x Consequence of that occurrence
MediumLowLowLowLowRare
MediumMediumMediumLowLowUnlikely
HighHighMediumMediumLowPossible
ExtremeHighHighMediumLowLikely
ExtremeExtremeHighMediumMediumAlmost Certain
Catastrophic
MajorModerateMinorInsignifican
t
Consequence
Lik
eli
ho
od
**Replace with Council risk framework if applicable**
Activity
Part 1: • Groups of 3-4 people• Templates with risk statements that relate to
your service area• Fill in templates with at least 3 adaptation
actions for each risk • If someone else is better placed to address a
risk, consult that person• Re-evaluate likelihood & consequence of each
risk assuming adaptation action is implemented
Activity
Break while information is entered into the risk assessment tool
Part 2:• Risk assessment tool for determining new risk
rating & a risk effectiveness score for each adaptation action
• Does group agree on the ratings?
• Any questions?
Conclusion
• Thank you
• Evaluation forms
References
AGO, 2006, Climate Change Impacts and Risk Management – A Guide for Business and Government http://www.climatechange.gov.au/community/~/media/publications/local-govt/risk-management.ashx