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    -2

    0

    2

    4

    Mill

    ion t

    onnes

    Coarse grain exports

    Wheat exports

    Wheat imports

    Coarse grain imports

    Balance

    Cereals: trade evolution (EU countries + UK) - July to July

    19-0

    9

    19-1

    0

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    6

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    20-0

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    20-0

    9

    180

    200

    220

    Black Sea Milling France Grade 1, Rouen US SRW, Gulf

    Wheat - monthly avg. export prices (fob)

    19-0

    9

    19-1

    0

    19-1

    1

    19-1

    2

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    20-0

    9

    1,08

    1,1

    1,12

    1,14

    1,16

    1,18

    Exchange rate € vs $

    19-0

    9

    19-1

    0

    19-1

    1

    19-1

    2

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    1

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    2

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    3

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    6

    20-0

    7

    20-0

    8

    20-0

    9

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    Brent Crude Oil

    Last update: 01/10/2020P

    rice

    sP

    rod

    ucti

    on

    & S

    tock

    sT

    rad

    e

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    Weekl

    y vo

    lum

    e -

    thousa

    nd t

    onnes

    0

    10

    20

    30

    Tota

    l MY - m

    illion to

    nnes

    2019/20

    2020/21

    Common wheat & flour - exports

    2 6

    10

    14

    18

    22

    26

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    34

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    42

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    0

    100

    200

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    Weekl

    y vo

    lum

    e -

    thousa

    nd t

    onnes

    0

    3

    6

    9

    Tota

    l MY - m

    illtion to

    nnes

    2019/20

    2020/21

    Barley, malt included - exports

    2 6

    10

    14

    18

    22

    26

    30

    34

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    42

    46

    50

    0

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    600

    900

    Weekl

    y vo

    lum

    e -

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    onnes

    0

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    15

    20

    Tota

    l MY - m

    illion to

    nnes

    2019/20

    2020/21

    Maize - imports

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    0

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    3

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    8

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    Daily

    tra

    ded v

    olu

    me (

    1000 c

    ontr

    act

    s of

    50 t

    ons)

      

    0

    0,2

    0,4

    0,6

    0,8

    1

    Daily volume

    FUT1

    FUT2

    FUT3

    EU (milling) wheat futures - 60 days

    19-0

    9

    19-1

    0

    19-1

    1

    19-1

    2

    20-0

    1

    20-0

    2

    20-0

    3

    20-0

    4

    20-0

    5

    20-0

    6

    20-0

    7

    20-0

    8

    20-0

    9

    140

    150

    160

    170

    180

    190

    Black Sea Feed Maïs fob Atlantique US 3YC, Gulf

    Maize - monthly avg. export prices (fob)

    DG AGRI DASHBOARD: CEREALS

    20/0

    7/3

    0

    20/0

    8/0

    4

    20/0

    8/0

    9

    20/0

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    4

    20/0

    8/1

    9

    20/0

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    4

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    9

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    3

    20/0

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    8

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    8

    -0,4

    -0,2

    0

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    0,4

    Daily

    tra

    ded v

    olu

    me (

    1000 c

    ontr

    act

    s of

    127 t

    ons)

      

    130

    140

    150

    Daily volume

    FUT1

    Dec2020 144

    Jul2021 152

    CME US Maize futures - 60 days

    Cereals Maize Wheat Soyabeans

    0

    1000

    2000

    2227

    1160

    763

    373

    2017/18

    2018/19e

    2019/20f

    2020/21p

    World production (million tonnes)

    Cereals Wheat Maize Barley

    0

    100

    200

    300

    319

    147

    70 63

    2017/18

    2018/19e

    2019/20f

    2020/21p

    EU production (million tonnes)

    Cereals Maize Wheat Soyabeans

    0

    200

    400

    600

    629

    285 294

    50

    2017/18

    2018/19e

    2019/20f

    2020/21p

    World stocks (million tonnes)

    Cereals Wheat Maize Barley

    0

    20

    40

    6055

    15

    24

    9

    2017/18

    2018/19e

    2019/20f

    2020/21p

    EU stocks (million tonnes)

    2,8

    1,3

    We

    ath

    er

    & c

    rop

    s c

    on

    dit

    ion

    s

    20/0

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    9

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    20/0

    9/0

    3

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    3

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    9/1

    8

    20/0

    9/2

    3

    20/0

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    0

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    0,4

    Daily

    tra

    ded v

    olu

    me (

    1000 c

    ontr

    act

    s of

    136 t

    ons)

      

    190

    200

    210

    Daily volume

    FUT1

    Dec2020 202

    Jul2021 207

    US (SRW) wheat futures - 60 days

    Sources: European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG JRC, DG AGRI, DG TAXUD), European Central Bank, IGC, ICE, The Baltic Exchange, CME, MATIF, France Agrimer

    191

    211

    194

    159

    194

    160

    35,3

    4,5

    10,3

    2,4

    19,7

    4,1

    €/t$/t (y/y

    var.)$/t€/t (y/y

    var.)$/t (m/m

    var.)€/t (m/m

    var.)

    €/t $/t$/t

    Export prices FOB on 28-09-2020Name

  • Export prices FOB on 28-09-2020

    Name €/t $/t €/t (m/m var.) $/t (m/m var.) $/t (y/y var.)€/t (y/y var.)

  • 19-09 19-10 19-11 19-12 20-01 20-02 20-03 20-04 20-05 20-06 20-07 20-08 20-09162

    168

    174

    180

    186

    192

    198

    204

    210

    216

    222

    228

    234

    Black Sea Milling France Grade 1, Rouen US SRW, Gulf

    Wheat - monthly avg. export prices (fob)

    Source: International Grains Council

    194

    211

    191

  • 19-09 19-10 19-11 19-12 20-01 20-02 20-03 20-04 20-05 20-06 20-07 20-08 20-09

    135

    141

    147

    153

    159

    165

    171

    177

    183

    189

    195

    Black Sea Feed Maïs fob Atlantique US 3YC, Gulf

    Maize - monthly avg. export prices (fob)

    Source: International Grains Council, France Agrimer

    194

    159

    160

  • Cereals Maize Wheat Soyabeans0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1600

    1800

    2000

    2200

    2400

    2227

    1160

    763

    373

    2017/18

    2018/19e

    2019/20f

    2020/21p

    World production (million tonnes)

    Source: International Grains Council

  • Cereals Wheat Maize Barley0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    200

    220

    240

    260

    280

    300

    320

    340319

    147

    7063

    2017/18

    2018/19e

    2019/20f

    2020/21p

    EU production (million tonnes)

    Source: European Commission - DG AGRI

  • Cereals Maize Wheat Soyabeans0

    60

    120

    180

    240

    300

    360

    420

    480

    540

    600

    660629

    285294

    50

    2017/18

    2018/19e

    2019/20f

    2020/21p

    World stocks (million tonnes)

    Source: International Grains Council

  • Cereals Wheat Maize Barley0

    4

    8

    12

    16

    20

    24

    28

    32

    36

    40

    44

    48

    52

    56

    60

    55

    15

    24

    9

    2017/18

    2018/19e

    2019/20f

    2020/21p

    EU stocks (million tonnes)

    Source: International Grains Council

  • Source: International Grains Council

    20/0

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    0

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    7

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    tra

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    me (

    1000 c

    ontr

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    s of

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    ons)

    0

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    0,6

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    0,9

    1

    Daily volume

    FUT1

    FUT2

    FUT3

    EU (milling) wheat futures - 60 days

    20/0

    7/3

    0

    20/0

    8/0

    8

    20/0

    8/1

    7

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    8/2

    6

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    9/0

    4

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    3

    20/0

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    2

    -0,5

    -0,4

    -0,3

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    0

    0,1

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    0,4

    0,5

    Daily

    tra

    ded v

    olu

    me (

    1000 c

    ontr

    act

    s of

    136 t

    ons)

    182

    186

    190

    194

    198

    202

    206

    210

    214

    Daily volume

    FUT1

    Dec2020 202

    Jul2021 207

    US (SRW) wheat futures - 60 days

    Source: CME

    $/t€/t

  • 20/0

    7/3

    0

    20/0

    8/0

    8

    20/0

    8/1

    7

    20/0

    8/2

    6

    20/0

    9/0

    4

    20/0

    9/1

    3

    20/0

    9/2

    2

    -0,5

    -0,4

    -0,3

    -0,2

    -0,1

    0

    0,1

    0,2

    0,3

    0,4

    0,5D

    aily

    tra

    ded v

    olu

    me (

    1000 c

    ontr

    act

    s of

    127 t

    ons)

    124

    128

    132

    136

    140

    144

    148

    152

    156

    Daily volume

    FUT1

    Dec2020 144

    Jul2021 152

    CME US Maize futures - 60 days

    Source: CME

    $/t

  • 19-0

    9

    19-1

    0

    19-1

    1

    19-1

    2

    20-0

    1

    20-0

    2

    20-0

    3

    20-0

    4

    20-0

    5

    20-0

    6

    20-0

    7

    20-0

    8

    20-0

    9

    1,08

    1,1

    1,12

    1,14

    1,16

    1,18

    Exchange rate € vs $

    19-0

    9

    19-1

    0

    19-1

    1

    19-1

    2

    20-0

    1

    20-0

    2

    20-0

    3

    20-0

    4

    20-0

    5

    20-0

    6

    20-0

    7

    20-0

    8

    20-0

    9

    15

    25

    35

    45

    55

    65

    Brent Crude Oil

    Source: Intercontinental ExchangeSource: European Central Bank

    Monthly avg: currency - oil - freight

  • Source: European Commission - DG JRC

  • 2 4 6 8

    10

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    Week

    0

    60

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    420

    480

    540

    600

    Weekl

    y vo

    lum

    e -

    thousa

    nd t

    onnes

    0

    4

    8

    12

    16

    20

    24

    28

    32

    36

    Tota

    l MY - m

    illion to

    nnes

    2019/20

    2020/21

    Common wheat & flour - exports

    Source: European Commission - DG TAXUD

    35,3

    4,5

  • 2 4 6 8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    22

    24

    26

    28

    30

    32

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    36

    38

    40

    42

    44

    46

    48

    50

    52

    Week

    0

    40

    80

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    160

    200

    240

    280

    320

    360

    400

    Weekl

    y vo

    lum

    e -

    thousa

    nd t

    onnes

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    Tota

    l MY - m

    illtion to

    nnes

    2019/20

    2020/21

    Barley, malt included - exports

    Source: European Commission - DG TAXUD

    10,3

    2,4

  • 2 4 6 8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    22

    24

    26

    28

    30

    32

    34

    36

    38

    40

    42

    44

    46

    48

    50

    52

    Week

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1000

    1100

    Weekl

    y vo

    lum

    e -

    thousa

    nd t

    onnes

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    Tota

    l MY - m

    illion to

    nnes

    2019/20

    2020/21

    Maize - imports

    Source: European Commission - DG TAXUD

    19,7

    4,1

  • 01/0

    2

    02/0

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    03/0

    4

    04/0

    5

    05/0

    6

    06/0

    7

    07/0

    8

    08/0

    9

    09/1

    0

    10/1

    1

    11/1

    2

    12/1

    3

    13/1

    4

    14/1

    5

    15/1

    6

    16/1

    7

    17/1

    8

    18/1

    9

    19/2

    0

    20/2

    1

    Marketing Year

    -3

    -2,4

    -1,8

    -1,2

    -0,6

    0

    0,6

    1,2

    1,8

    2,4

    3

    3,6

    4,2

    4,8M

    illio

    n t

    onnes

    Coarse grain exports

    Wheat exports

    Wheat imports

    Coarse grain imports

    Balance

    Cereals: trade evolution (EU countries + UK) - July to July

    Source: Eurostat

    1,3

    2,8

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