Delhi, October 21-22, 2010
OICA Statistic Committee
• Evolution of production on first six months 2010
• 2010 global prospects
1
Vehicle production worldwideQuaterly data in change 2006-2010 (Change versus quarter one year earlier)
-1,9%
-19,6%
-36,2%
-21,4%
-8,8%
20,8%
54,2%
32,2%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
40%
50%
60%
30%
2
Vehicle production worldwideQuaterly data in volume 2006-2010
312 000
13 000
14 000
15 000
16 000
17 000
18 000
19 000
20 000
21 000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2010
2009
2007
2008
2006
2008
2009
2006
20072010
First six months datain volume
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
YTD 2007Q2 YTD 2008Q2 YTD 2009Q2 YTD 2010Q2
+42%
- 29%
+42%
4
First six months data by type in volume
IN THOUSANDS YTD 2008 YTD 2009 YTD 2010 VARIATIONCARS 28 038 21 109 29 054 37,6%LIGHT COMMERCIAL VEHICLES 7 736 4 533 7 209 59,0%HEAVY TRUCKS 2 117 1 358 2 107 55,2%HEAVY BUSES AND COACHES 189 132 170 28,0%TOTAL 38 080 27 132 38 540 42,0%
5
6
IN THOUSANDS YTD 2008 YTD 2009 YTD 2010 VARIATIONNAFTA 7 138 3 555 6 093 71,4%
SOUTH AMERICA 2 008 1 688 2 074 22,8%EU 27 COUNTRIES 12 481 7 163 8 921 24,5%
OTHER EUROPEAN COUNTRIES AND TURKEY 1 435 838 1 242 48,2%CHINA 5 200 5 998 8 927 48,8%JAPAN 6 059 3 321 4 842 45,8%
SOUTH KOREA 2 078 1 530 2 100 37,3%OTHER ASIAN COUNTRIES, OCEANIA
AND AFRICA 3 117 3 039 4 341 42,9%TOTAL 38 080 27 132 38 540 42,0%
First six months data by economic area/country in volume
7
First six months production data by economic area/country in volume
3 000 000
4 000 000
5 000 000
6 000 000
7 000 000
8 000 000
9 000 000
10 000 000
11 000 000
12 000 000
13 000 000
14 000 000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Other countries (Asia‐Africa)
EU 27 countries
Japan‐South Korea
NAFTA
8
750 000
1 000 000
1 250 000
1 500 000
1 750 000
2 000 000
2 250 000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
- SOUTH AMERICA Europe without EU
South America
Europe without EU
First six months production data by economicarea/country in volume
First six months production data by economicarea/country in % of world production
29,0% 28,2% 28,3% 27,6% 26,4% 23,1%
25,2% 24,3% 22,2% 18,7%13,1% 15,8%
22,0% 21,8% 21,3%21,4%
17,9% 18,0%
15,9% 17,4% 19,4%21,8%
33,3% 34,4%
4,2% 4,3% 4,5% 5,3% 6,2% 5,4%3,7% 4,0% 4,4% 5,2% 3,1% 3,2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Europe without EU South AmericaOther countries (Asia-Africa) Japan-South KoreaNAFTA UE 9
First six months production data by country in volume
10
8 927
4 8423 892
3 0122 100 1 753 1 687 1 325 1 218 1 116 1 085
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
9 000YTD 2007Q2YTD 2008Q2YTD 2009Q2YTD 2010Q2
First six months production data by country in volume
11
769 767701
565 559 547 502451
337 306
0
200
400
600
800
1 000 YTD 2007Q2YTD 2008Q2YTD 2009Q2YTD 2010Q2
First six months production data by country in volume
12
294273
220194 183
140 138 130109 101
0
200
400
YTD 2007Q2YTD 2008Q2YTD 2009Q2YTD 2010Q2
First six months production data by country in volume
13
9576 74
51 4935 31 30
5 40
50
100
150
200
250
YTD 2007Q2YTD 2008Q2YTD 2009Q2YTD 2010Q2
Annual production data in volume / GDP2010 data provisory
-15,0%
-10,0%
-5,0%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
Automobile production GDP
14
Annual sales data, world and per region
15
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
World automotive markets: forecasts for 2010base 100 in 2006 Western Europe
Central and Eastern Europe
NAFTA
South America
Asia‐Pacific without Japan and South KoreaJapan and South Korea
Africa
World
Annual sales data
16
25% 24% 23%23%
20%
7% 8% 9% 5%5%
29% 27% 24%20%
20%
5% 6%7%
7%7%
21% 23% 26%34%
37%
10% 9% 9% 9% 9%2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
65 000
66 000
67 000
68 000
69 000
70 000
71 000
72 000
73 000
74 000
75 000
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
World Automotive markets: forecasts for 2010Africa
Japan and South Korea
Asia‐Pacific
and South KoreaSouth America
NAFTA
Central and Eastern Europe
Western Europe
World: in thousands, right‐hand scale
without Japan
Thank you for your attention
•
Delhi, October 21-22, 2010
17
Back-up
First six months data by type in reference to 2008
Registrations of vehicles, YTD 2010 by type, ref 100 2008
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
0,9
1
1,1
Ref Y 09 / Y 08 Y 10 / Y08
PC LCV HDV B&C Total
19
First six months production data by economic area/country base 100 in 2006
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
180
200
220
240
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Europe without UE
Total
South America
NAFTA
Other countries (Asia‐Africa)
UEJapan‐South Korea
160