Coas
tal C
arol
ina
Regi
onal
Airp
ort
Airp
ortM
aste
r Pla
n U
pdat
e
Mar
ch 2
3, 2
017
11:3
0 AM
Stak
ehol
der W
orki
ng G
roup
Mee
ting
#2
Airp
ort I
nven
tory
& A
viat
ion
Dem
and
Fore
cast
s
Agen
da
•In
trod
uctio
n
•EW
N A
ir Se
rvic
e M
arke
t Res
earc
h
•EW
N P
asse
nger
Dem
and
Anal
ysis
•Dr
aft C
hapt
er 2
(Avi
atio
n Fo
reca
sts)
•Co
mm
erci
al P
asse
nger
Term
inal
Ove
rvie
w
•Cr
itica
l Airc
raft
•Dr
aft C
hapt
er 1
(Inv
ento
ry)
•Pr
ojec
t Flo
w C
hart
•N
ext S
teps
& S
ched
ule
1
Air S
ervi
ce M
arke
t Res
earc
h (A
SMR)
&
Pass
enge
r Dem
and
Anal
ysis
(PDA
) –M
ead
& H
unt
2
Mar
ket R
esea
rch
to In
form
Com
mer
cial
For
ecas
ts
Air S
ervi
ce M
arke
t Res
earc
h (A
SMR)
•In
dust
ry o
verv
iew
and
tren
ds•
Mar
ket/
airp
ort o
verv
iew
•M
arke
t/ai
rline
com
paris
ons
•Si
mila
r to
a st
reng
ths,
wea
knes
ses,
opp
ortu
nitie
s and
thre
ats
(SW
OT) a
naly
sis
Pass
enge
r Dem
and
Anal
ysis
(PDA
)•
An e
stim
ate
of to
tal a
irlin
e pa
ssen
gers
in th
e ca
tchm
ent a
rea.
•Pe
rcen
tage
of a
ir se
rvic
e ca
tchm
ent a
rea
air t
rave
lers
usin
g th
e lo
cal a
irpor
t•
Dive
rsio
n of
airl
ine
pass
enge
r tra
ffic
to c
ompe
ting
airp
orts
•Ai
rline
s use
d by
loca
l air
trav
eler
s•
Aver
age
airfa
res b
y or
igin
and
des
tinat
ion
airp
ort
•An
ass
essm
ent o
f the
air
serv
ice
situa
tion
3
Indu
stry
Tre
nds -
Capa
city
•Se
ats a
t med
ium
/larg
e hu
b ai
rpor
ts h
ave
incr
ease
d.•
Non
-hub
/sm
all h
ub a
irpor
ts
have
dec
reas
ed.
•O
ver s
ame
perio
d, E
WN
(non
-hu
b ai
rpor
t) se
ats h
ave
decr
ease
d 23
%.
U.S
. DO
MES
TIC
CAPA
CITY
CHA
NG
E BY
AIR
PORT
SIZ
E
(25%
)
(20%
)
(15%
)
(10%
)
(5%
)
0%5%10%
% c
hang
e in
sea
ts J
uly
2016
vs.
Jul
y 20
11
(23%
)
(1%
)(3
%)
7%
9%
7%
EW
NN
on-h
ubS
mal
l hub
Med
ium
hub
Larg
e hu
bTo
tal
4
•Ai
rline
s hav
e be
en c
onsis
tent
ly p
rofit
able
sinc
e 20
10 a
nd w
ill
cont
inue
to b
e pr
ofita
ble
in 2
017
and
beyo
nd in
the
near
-ter
m.
•Al
low
s airl
ines
to g
row
ver
sus s
hrin
k.
Airli
nes h
ave
retu
rned
to p
rofit
abili
ty
INDU
STRY
TRE
NDS
–PR
OFI
T &
LOSS
($50
)
($40
)
($30
)
($20
)
($10
)
$0$10
$20
$30
Airline net income (Billions)
Cum
ulat
ive
prof
it si
nce
1990
5
•De
clin
es in
fuel
kee
ping
cos
ts in
che
ck -
low
er c
osts
a c
ontr
ibut
or to
incr
ease
d pr
ofits
.•
Stre
ngth
for E
WN
but
can
qui
ckly
bec
ome
a th
reat
.
INDU
STRY
TRE
NDS
–FU
EL
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
$3.0
$3.5
$4.0
$4.5
$5.0 2
005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Jet A Per Gallon
Fuel
pric
es h
ave
stab
ilize
d re
cent
ly
6
Indu
stry
Tre
nds –
Flee
t Cha
nges
•Ty
pe o
f airc
raft
bei
ng
oper
ated
shift
ing
from
tu
rbop
rop
and
30-5
0 se
at
regi
onal
jets
.•
Larg
er, 2
-cla
ss re
gion
al je
t is
incr
easin
g.•
As tu
rbop
rop
and
smal
l re
gion
al je
t airc
raft
are
re
tired
, the
re is
a th
reat
to
the
leve
l of f
requ
ency
bei
ng
prov
ided
as m
arke
t abs
orbs
hi
gher
seat
cap
acity
.
AIR
CR
AFT
TY
PE
DEP
ARTU
RES
JUL
'16
JUL
'11
CH
ANG
E
Turb
opro
p (<
30)
47,1
4965
,287
(28%
)Tu
rbop
rop
(30-
50)
19,6
1043
,099
(55%
)Tu
rbop
rop
(50+
)12
,324
21,8
28(4
4%)
Reg
iona
l jet
(30-
50)
117,
572
191,
163
(38%
)R
egio
nal j
et (5
1-70
)40
,473
37,4
238%
R
egio
nal j
et (7
1-10
0)38
,286
20,9
3483
%
Nar
row
-bod
y (7
0-12
5)79
,037
100,
013
(21%
)N
arro
w-b
ody
(126
-160
)25
9,31
125
7,91
41%
N
arro
w-b
ody
(> 1
60)
151,
921
59,8
3815
4%
Tota
l US
Dom
estic
771,
390
804,
487
(4%
)A
ll Tu
rbop
rops
79,0
8313
0,21
4(3
9%)
All
Reg
iona
l Jet
s19
6,33
124
9,52
0(2
1%)
All
Nar
row
-bod
y Je
ts49
0,26
941
7,76
517
%
7
•Lo
ad fa
ctor
s dro
pped
slig
htly
with
incr
ease
d ca
paci
ty b
ut re
mai
n st
rong
–ne
ed to
rem
ain
in
the
80-8
5% ra
nge.
•Pa
ssen
gers
hav
e de
crea
sed
rece
ntly
eve
n as
capa
city
has
incr
ease
d.
MAR
KET
TREN
DS –
CAPA
CITY
AN
D EN
PLAN
EMEN
TSLo
ad fa
ctor
s in
the
80-8
5% ra
nge
4045505560657075808590
80,0
00
90,0
00
100,
000
110,
000
120,
000
130,
000
140,
000
150,
000
160,
000
170,
000
180,
000
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Load Factor %
Seats/Onboard Passengers
Year
End
ed
Sea
tsP
asse
nger
sLo
ad F
acto
r
8
Mar
ket T
rend
s -Fa
res
•Av
erag
e fa
re a
t EW
N h
as b
een
incr
easin
g ov
er th
e pa
st 1
0 ye
ars.
•In
crea
se w
as in
line
with
the
US
aver
age
until
the
last
co
uple
yea
rs.
•Re
venu
e is
up 3
3% o
ver t
he
last
10
year
s w
ith in
crea
sing
pass
enge
rs a
nd fa
res.
$160
$170
$180
$190
$200
$210
$220
$230
$240
$250
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Year
End
ed J
une
30
EW
N A
vera
ge F
are
29
5
(14)
17
(2)
13
4
14
26
18
(11)
33
(20)
(10)010203040
Percentage Change (%)
Pas
seng
ers
Ave
rage
Far
eR
even
ue
2007
-201
020
13-2
016
2010
-201
320
07-2
016
9
Rout
e Pe
rfor
man
ce –
Amer
ican
•EW
N h
ad a
RAS
Mof
27.
9 ce
nts
at a
stag
e le
ngth
of 2
21 m
iles,
be
low
Am
eric
an’s
Char
lott
e av
erag
e.
•Ho
wev
er, E
WN
’sRA
SMim
prov
ed
year
-ove
r-ye
ar, i
ncre
asin
g by
5
perc
ent f
rom
a R
ASM
of 2
6.4
cent
s.
•EW
N’s
Char
lott
e lo
ad fa
ctor
of
81 p
erce
nt w
as 3
per
cent
age
poin
ts b
elow
Am
eric
an’s
syst
em
aver
age
of 8
4 pe
rcen
t at
Char
lott
e.
EWN
5152535455565
5010
015
020
025
030
035
040
045
050
0
RASM (cents)
Stag
e le
ngth
(0-5
00 m
iles)
10
Rout
e Pe
rfor
man
ce –
Delta
•EW
N h
ad a
RAS
Mof
19.
8 ce
nts a
t a st
age
leng
th o
f 433
m
iles.
•
This
is an
incr
ease
of 1
pe
rcen
t ove
r yea
r end
ed Ju
ne
30, 2
015,
whe
n EW
N’s
RASM
was
19.
6 ce
nts.
•
With
an
aver
age
load
fact
or o
f 83
per
cent
, EW
N’s
load
fact
or
was
4 p
erce
ntag
e po
ints
lo
wer
than
Del
ta’s
aver
age
at
Atla
nta
of 8
7 pe
rcen
t.
EWN
101520253035
250
350
450
550
650
750
RASM (cents)
Stag
e le
ngth
(250
-750
)
11
Pass
enge
r Dem
and
Anal
ysis
(PDA
)
12
Air S
ervi
ce
Catc
hmen
t Are
a
•De
fined
by
zip co
de.
•Ge
ogra
phic
are
a w
here
EW
N
can
reas
onab
ly e
xpec
t to
draw
pas
seng
er tr
affic
.•
Air s
ervi
ce c
atch
men
t are
a po
pula
tion
of 2
54,4
83 in
39
zip co
des.
•Th
ree
dive
rtin
g ai
rpor
ts, O
AJ,
ILM
and
PGV,
are
with
in a
dr
ive
time
band
of 1
20
min
utes
from
the
New
Ber
n co
mm
unity
.AI
RPO
RT
DR
IVE
TIM
ED
RIV
E M
ILES
Jack
sonv
ille, N
C1
hr, 0
min
s51
Gre
envi
lle, N
C1
hr, 5
min
s49
Wilm
ingt
on, N
C1
hr, 5
3 m
ins
91R
alei
gh/D
urha
m, N
C2
hrs,
4 m
ins
128
Nor
folk
, VA
2 hr
s, 5
6 m
in16
8
13
•EW
N tr
ue m
arke
t is e
stim
ated
at 4
22,4
48
annu
al o
rigin
and
des
tinat
ion
pass
enge
rs.
•Do
mes
tic tr
avel
ers
acco
unte
d fo
r 385
,254
of
the
tota
l tru
e m
arke
t (91
per
cent
). •
51%
per
cent
of c
atch
men
t are
a tr
avel
ers
use
EWN
for t
heir
trip
s.•
38 p
erce
nt d
iver
ted
to R
DU, 7
per
cent
di
vert
ed to
OAJ
and
4 p
erce
nt d
iver
ted
to
othe
r airp
orts
whi
ch in
clud
ed
Wilm
ingt
on, N
C, G
reen
ville
, NC,
and
N
orfo
lk, V
A.
TRU
E M
ARKE
T –
AIRP
ORT
USE
RAN
KO
RIG
INAT
ING
AI
RPO
RT
AIR
POR
T U
SEPA
X%
Dom
estic
1EW
N20
4,80
153
2R
DU
136,
612
363
OA
J27
,201
74
Oth
er16
,641
4Su
btot
al38
5,25
410
0In
tern
atio
nal
1R
DU
23,0
7362
2EW
N11
,271
303
OA
J1,
769
54
Oth
er1,
080
3Su
btot
al37
,194
100
Dom
estic
and
Inte
rnat
iona
l1
EWN
216,
072
512
RD
U15
9,68
538
3O
AJ
28,9
707
4O
ther
17,7
214
Tota
l42
2,44
810
0
EWN
51%
RD
U38
%
OA
J7%
Oth
er4%
14
True
Mar
ket b
y Co
mm
unity
•Co
mm
uniti
es o
f New
Ber
n, H
avel
ock,
Ar
apah
oe a
nd P
ollo
cksv
ille
gene
rate
d th
e hi
ghes
t ret
entio
n at
EW
N (g
reat
er
than
70
perc
ent)
. •
New
Ber
n an
d Ha
velo
ck c
omm
uniti
es
gene
rate
d th
e fir
st a
nd th
ird la
rges
t sh
are
of p
asse
nger
s.•
Kins
ton
area
gen
erat
ed th
e se
cond
la
rges
t sha
re o
f pas
seng
ers;
how
ever
, it’
s rel
ativ
e pr
oxim
ity to
RDU
cau
sed
it’s r
eten
tion
at E
WN
to b
e on
e of
the
low
est a
mon
g th
e to
p 15
.
CO
MM
UN
ITY
AIR
POR
T U
SE %
TRU
E M
ARK
ET
ESTI
MAT
EEW
NR
DU
OAJ
OTH
ERN
ew B
ern
7224
13
144,
120
Kin
ston
2960
65
48,0
23H
avel
ock
7323
22
43,8
01E
mer
ald
Isle
2436
346
37,6
85M
oreh
ead
City
6031
63
35,7
79N
ewpo
rt60
2312
429
,483
Bea
ufor
t51
3413
221
,292
Atla
ntic
Bea
ch60
248
89,
051
Cho
cow
inity
662
031
8,04
8O
rient
al69
271
36,
442
Ara
paho
e85
150
04,
682
Grif
ton
1960
022
4,67
4M
aysv
ille34
2042
53,
697
Vanc
ebor
o48
410
113,
274
Pol
lock
sville
7315
75
2,92
7A
ll O
ther
6033
53
19,4
70To
tal
5138
74
422,
448
15
True
Mar
ket –
Top
25 D
estin
atio
ns
•53
per
cent
of t
rave
lers
, or
222,
881
pass
enge
rs, w
ere
dest
ined
to o
r fro
m o
ne o
f th
e to
p 25
mar
kets
. •
Orla
ndo-
Inte
rnat
iona
l, At
lant
a, B
osto
n, C
hica
go-
O’H
are
and
New
Yor
k-La
Gua
rdia
wer
e th
e to
p fiv
e do
mes
tic m
arke
ts.
•O
rland
o, N
ew Y
ork-
LaG
uard
ia,
Fort
Lau
derd
ale
and
New
Yo
rk-K
enne
dy h
ad th
e lo
wes
t re
tent
ions
(bel
ow
40 p
erce
nt).
RAN
KD
ESTI
NAT
ION
EWN
O
&D
PAX
DIV
ERTE
D
PAX
RET
ENTI
ON
%TR
UE
MAR
KET
PDEW
1O
rland
o, F
L (M
CO
)4,
731
12,4
1428
17,1
4523
.52
Atla
nta,
GA
11,5
255,
482
6817
,006
23.3
3B
osto
n, M
A5,
661
8,35
440
14,0
1519
.24
Chi
cago
, IL
(OR
D)
5,85
27,
714
4313
,566
18.6
5N
ew Y
ork,
NY
(LG
A)
4,17
99,
218
3113
,396
18.4
6Lo
s A
ngel
es, C
A5,
105
6,74
643
11,8
5116
.27
Fort
Laud
erda
le, F
L4,
215
6,85
938
11,0
7415
.28
San
Die
go, C
A5,
439
4,62
754
10,0
6613
.89
Den
ver,
CO
4,93
44,
852
509,
785
13.4
10D
alla
s, T
X (D
FW)
6,27
03,
367
659,
637
13.2
11Ta
mpa
, FL
4,26
33,
543
557,
806
10.7
12N
ewar
k, N
J4,
366
3,43
356
7,79
910
.713
Las
Vega
s, N
V3,
762
3,62
351
7,38
510
.114
Cha
rlotte
-Dou
glas
, NC
5,82
01,
488
807,
309
10.0
15P
hoen
ix, A
Z (P
HX)
3,72
62,
887
566,
613
9.1
16M
iam
i, FL
2,70
73,
905
416,
612
9.1
17S
t. Lo
uis,
MO
3,10
83,
496
476,
603
9.0
18S
eattl
e, W
A3,
366
2,73
455
6,10
08.
419
San
Fra
ncis
co, C
A3,
248
2,74
054
5,98
88.
220
Det
roit,
MI
3,99
21,
816
695,
808
8.0
21H
oust
on, T
X (IA
H)
4,03
91,
710
705,
750
7.9
22N
ew Y
ork,
NY
(JFK
)1,
694
4,03
230
5,72
67.
823
Min
neap
olis
, MN
3,46
62,
033
635,
499
7.5
24P
hila
delp
hia,
PA
3,00
52,
357
565,
362
7.3
25N
ashv
ille, T
N3,
157
1,82
463
4,98
16.
8To
p 25
des
tinat
ions
111,
628
111,
252
5022
2,88
130
5.3
Tota
l dom
estic
204,
801
180,
453
5338
5,25
452
7.7
16
True
Mar
ket –
Airli
nes U
sed
•M
arke
t sha
re o
f airl
ines
serv
ing
the
EWN
cat
chm
ent a
rea
dive
rtin
gpa
ssen
gers
rega
rdle
ss o
f whi
ch
airp
ort w
as u
sed.
•
Amer
ican
had
the
high
est s
hare
with
36
per
cent
, fol
low
ed b
y De
lta w
ith
27 p
erce
nt, S
outh
wes
t with
19
perc
ent,
Uni
ted
with
12
perc
ent a
nd
JetB
lue
with
2 p
erce
nt.
•Al
l oth
er c
arrie
rs in
clud
ing
Air
Cana
da a
nd A
lask
a Ai
rline
s car
ried
4 pe
rcen
t of t
raffi
c.
Am
eric
an36
%
Del
ta27
%
Sou
thw
est
19%
Uni
ted
12%
Jetb
lue
2%O
THE
R4%
17
True
Mar
ket –
Airli
nes U
sed
at E
WN
•Am
eric
an A
irlin
es ca
rrie
d th
e la
rges
t sha
re fr
om E
WN
with
75
perc
ent o
f all
dom
estic
pa
ssen
gers
. •
Delta
Air
Line
s car
ried
the
seco
nd
larg
est s
hare
from
EW
N w
ith 2
5 pe
rcen
t of a
ll do
mes
tic
pass
enge
rs.
•O
ther
airl
ines
carr
ied
less
than
1
perc
ent o
f pas
seng
ers t
hrou
gh
code
shar
e re
latio
nshi
ps o
r in
terli
ne co
nnec
tions
.
RAN
KD
ESTI
NAT
ION
AIR
LIN
E %
TOTA
L PA
XA
AD
LO
THER
1A
tlant
a, G
A25
750
11,5
252
Dal
las,
TX
(DFW
)86
140
6,27
03
Chi
cago
, IL
(OR
D)
8316
15,
852
4C
harlo
tte-D
ougl
as, N
C10
00
05,
820
5B
osto
n, M
A91
90
5,66
16
San
Die
go, C
A80
190
5,43
97
Los
Ang
eles
, CA
8315
15,
105
8D
enve
r, C
O76
230
4,93
49
Orla
ndo,
FL
(MC
O)
8020
04,
731
10N
ewar
k, N
J10
00
04,
366
11Ta
mpa
, FL
7921
04,
263
12Fo
rt La
uder
dale
, FL
7525
04,
215
13N
ew Y
ork,
NY
(LG
A)
100
00
4,17
914
Hou
ston
, TX
(IAH
)91
80
4,03
915
Det
roit,
MI
7624
03,
992
16La
s Ve
gas,
NV
8515
03,
762
17P
hoen
ix, A
Z (P
HX)
8812
03,
726
18N
ew O
rlean
s, L
A74
260
3,48
319
Min
neap
olis
, MN
6535
03,
466
20S
eattl
e, W
A72
271
3,36
621
San
Fra
ncis
co, C
A79
211
3,24
822
Nas
hville
, TN
7822
03,
157
23S
t. Lo
uis,
MO
7821
13,
108
24P
hila
delp
hia,
PA
100
00
3,00
525
Mia
mi,
FL81
190
2,70
7To
tal t
op 2
578
220
113,
417
Tota
l all
dom
estic
mar
kets
7525
020
4,80
1
18
True
Mar
ket –
Airf
ares
•Av
erag
e ai
rfare
s are
a re
sult
of m
any
fact
ors i
nclu
ding
: len
gth
of h
aul,
avai
labi
lity
of se
ats,
bus
ines
s ver
sus
leisu
re fa
res a
nd a
irlin
e co
mpe
titio
n.•
Aver
age
fare
for t
he y
ear e
nded
June
30
, 201
6, a
t EW
N w
as $
212,
$42
hi
gher
than
RDU
and
$7
low
er th
an
OAJ
. •
The
cons
isten
t far
e di
spar
ity in
the
maj
ority
of t
op m
arke
ts b
etw
een
EWN
and
RDU
is li
kely
the
larg
est
singl
e co
ntrib
utin
g fa
ctor
to d
iver
sion
from
the
EWN
cat
chm
ent a
rea.
RAN
KD
ESTI
NAT
ION
AVER
AGE
ON
E-W
AY F
ARE
EWN
M
AX
DIF
F.EW
NR
DU
OAJ
1O
rland
o, F
L (M
CO
)$1
65$1
25$1
71$4
1 2
Atla
nta,
GA
$151
$152
$157
($1)
3B
osto
n, M
A$1
76$1
36$1
74$3
9 4
Chi
cago
, IL
(OR
D)
$174
$137
$157
$37
5N
ew Y
ork,
NY
(LG
A)
$191
$138
$185
$53
6Lo
s A
ngel
es, C
A$2
85$2
28$2
63$5
7 7
Fort
Laud
erda
le, F
L$1
31$1
11$1
43$1
9 8
San
Die
go, C
A$2
92$2
24$2
86$6
9 9
Den
ver,
CO
$203
$165
$206
$38
10D
alla
s, T
X (D
FW)
$210
$209
$198
$12
11Ta
mpa
, FL
$171
$140
$174
$31
12N
ewar
k, N
J$1
76$1
49$1
63$2
7 13
Las
Vega
s, N
V$2
41$2
01$2
28$4
0 14
Cha
rlotte
-Dou
glas
, NC
$154
$120
$166
$34
15P
hoen
ix, A
Z (P
HX)
$207
$193
$207
$14
16M
iam
i, FL
$172
$123
$144
$49
17S
t. Lo
uis,
MO
$179
$160
$208
$20
18S
eattl
e, W
A$2
68$2
12$2
95$5
7 19
San
Fra
ncis
co, C
A$2
75$2
65$2
63$1
2 20
Det
roit,
MI
$175
$204
$185
($10
)21
Hou
ston
, TX
(IAH
)$2
10$2
04$1
83$2
6 22
New
Yor
k, N
Y (J
FK)
$183
$131
$194
$52
23M
inne
apol
is, M
N$1
89$2
11$1
90($
1)24
Phi
lade
lphi
a, P
A$2
35$1
69$2
04$6
6 25
Nas
hville
, TN
$164
$144
$170
$20
Aver
age
dom
estic
fare
$212
$170
$219
$42
19
•U
nite
d, a
trad
ition
al n
etw
ork
carr
ier,
and
Alle
gian
t offe
r the
onl
y si
gnifi
cant
po
tent
ial f
or n
ew e
ntra
nt c
arrie
rs in
to
the
mar
ket.
•Ho
wev
er, t
o m
ake
Uni
ted
a so
lid
oppo
rtun
ity, E
WN
will
nee
d to
con
tinue
to
grow
the
mar
ket.
•Ch
icag
o-O
’Har
e an
d W
ashi
ngto
n-Du
lles,
th
e m
ost l
ikel
y hu
b op
port
uniti
es.
•Al
legi
ant’s
big
gest
chal
leng
e is
over
com
ing
a re
cent
shift
in th
e ai
rline
’s st
rate
gy to
focu
s on
larg
er p
oint
-to-
poin
t m
arke
ts.
•O
rland
o-Sa
nfor
d w
ould
be
likel
y be
the
top
new
mar
ket o
ppor
tuni
ty fo
r Alle
gian
t.
Whi
le th
e co
nsol
idat
ion
of th
e ai
rline
indu
stry
in
the
past
dec
ade
has l
eft j
ust t
hree
tr
aditi
onal
lega
cy ca
rrie
rs, t
here
are
co
ntin
ued
grow
th o
ppor
tuni
ties
amon
g th
ese
carr
iers
in a
dditi
on to
new
op
port
uniti
es a
t EW
N.
EWN
will
nee
d to
wor
k cl
osel
y w
ith A
mer
ican
an
d De
lta in
ord
er to
tran
sitio
n to
larg
er
airc
raft
whi
le tr
ying
to k
eep
the
freq
uenc
y as
hig
h as
pos
sibl
ein
ord
er to
offe
r the
bes
t co
nnec
ting
oppo
rtun
ities
for a
rea
trav
eler
s.
A 5%
poi
nt im
prov
emen
t in
rete
ntio
n at
EW
N w
illre
sult
in o
ver 2
0K a
dditi
onal
pa
ssen
gers
usin
g th
e ai
rpor
t per
yea
r.
New
and
Exi
stin
g O
ppor
tuni
ties
SITU
ATIO
NAL
AN
ALYS
IS
20
Avia
tion
Activ
ity F
orec
asts
21
Fore
cast
Bac
kgro
und
and
Data
Gat
herin
gRe
sour
ces
Cons
ulte
d•
Loca
l Res
ourc
es•
Stat
e an
d N
atio
nal R
esou
rces
•FA
A Te
rmin
al A
rea
Fore
cast
(TAF
)•
FAA
Aero
spac
e Fo
reca
st•
FAA
Traf
fic F
low
Man
agem
ent S
yste
m
Coun
ts D
ata
(TFM
SC)
•U.
S. D
epar
tmen
t of T
rans
port
atio
n (U
SDOT
) T-1
00 D
atab
ase
•Ai
rline
Tic
ket D
ata
•So
cioe
cono
mic
Dat
a•
Stak
ehol
der I
nter
view
s•
U.S.
Dep
artm
ent o
f Def
ense
(DoD
)•
U.S.
Gen
eral
Ser
vice
s Ad
min
istra
tion
(GSA
)
Scop
e of
For
ecas
ts•
20 Y
ear O
utlo
ok, b
ase
year
FY2
016
(Oct
ober
–Se
ptem
ber)
•M
ust b
e fo
rmal
ly a
ppro
ved
by th
e FA
A•
Com
pare
d ag
ains
t TAF
•Co
nsid
ered
Enp
lane
men
ts, C
argo
, O
pera
tions
, and
Bas
ed A
ircra
ft
Resu
lts o
f Dat
a Co
llect
ion
Driv
ers o
f Dem
and
•Ex
istin
g st
able
indu
strie
s and
mili
tary
•Gr
owin
g in
dust
ries
Risk
s to,
and
opp
ortu
nitie
s for
, For
ecas
ts•
Airli
ne
•M
ilita
ry•
Stag
natio
n of
loca
l gro
und
and/
or la
bor
mar
ket
AVIA
TIO
N A
CTIV
ITY
FORE
CAST
S
22
Pass
enge
r En
plan
emen
t Fo
reca
sts
•Pe
rform
ed b
ette
r tha
n st
ate
until
201
5.•
Perfo
rmed
bet
ter t
han
natio
nal a
vera
ge
thro
ugho
ut.
•Re
cent
dec
line
due
to
airli
ne sc
hedu
ling
limiti
ng
avai
labl
e se
ats.
23
Pass
enge
r En
plan
emen
t Fo
reca
sts
•Ai
rline
s will
tran
sitio
n to
la
rger
airc
raft
.•
Loca
l mar
ket t
rave
ls en
ough
to fi
ll ai
rcra
ft;
how
ever
sch
edul
es w
ill
influ
ence
util
izatio
n.•
Air s
ervi
ce w
ill g
row
with
lo
cal e
cono
my
–st
eadi
ly
over
tim
e.•
Hybr
id fo
reca
st is
pr
efer
red.
24
Enpl
anem
entG
row
thEn
plan
emen
t Dec
line/
No
Gro
wth
Now/Certain
•Im
prov
ing
loca
l eco
nom
y
•Po
pula
tion
grow
th
•A
ttrac
tion
of n
ew b
usin
esse
s to
New
Ber
n an
d
Hav
eloc
k
•A
rea
popu
lar w
ith re
tiree
s fro
m N
orth
east
•R
esur
genc
e of
Hat
tera
s Ya
chts
’ bus
ines
s
•Pr
opor
tiona
lly la
rge
(10%
inst
ead
of 2
-3%
)
popu
latio
n of
Am
eric
an a
nd D
elta
freq
uent
flye
rs
•M
ilita
ry c
ontr
acts
with
airl
ines
for t
icke
t pur
chas
e
•En
plan
emen
t dec
line
in re
cent
yea
rs d
ue
to re
duce
d fre
quen
cies
/cap
acity
•C
ompe
ting
Airp
orts
(RD
U)
•Li
mite
d fli
ght s
ched
ules
•Li
mite
d no
n-st
op s
ervi
ce
•O
utsi
de o
f New
Ber
n an
d H
avel
ock,
MSA
is v
ery
rura
l and
spa
rsel
y po
pula
ted
Future/Uncertain
•F-
35 P
rogr
am a
t MC
AS
Che
rry
Poin
t
•A
ttrac
tion
of s
uppo
rt b
usin
esse
s fo
r F-3
5
prog
ram
•Im
prov
emen
ts to
New
Ber
n C
onve
ntio
n C
ente
r
•La
rger
airc
raft
allo
win
g m
ore
of tr
ue m
arke
t to
trav
el w
hen
they
wan
t to
•N
ew n
on-s
top
serv
ice
on U
nite
d or
Alle
gian
t
•M
CA
S C
herr
y Po
int i
mpa
cted
by
BR
AC
•Le
ss fr
eque
nt a
irlin
e se
rvic
e
•La
rger
airc
raft
caus
ing
airli
nes
to re
duce
frequ
enci
es
•Lo
ss o
f a c
arrie
r, or
car
rier c
onso
lidat
ion
to a
noth
er a
irpor
t
•H
ighw
ay im
prov
emen
ts m
akin
g tr
avel
to
RD
U e
asie
r
25
Com
mer
cial
O
pera
tions
•Ai
rline
s will
use
larg
er
airc
raft
, cha
ngin
g op
erat
ions
cla
ssifi
catio
n.•
Futu
re a
ircra
ft:
•Em
brae
r 190
/195
•Bo
mba
rdie
r CR
J700
/900
•Pa
rt 1
35 (o
n de
man
d) a
ir ta
xi w
ill g
row
with
ec
onom
y.
Sche
dule
d Co
mm
erci
al O
pera
tions
Year
A
ir C
arrie
r A
ir Ta
xi
20
16
192
6,27
4
20
21
4,00
0 3,
600
2026
5,
500
2,20
0
2031
6,
300
1,90
0
20
36
7,00
0 2,
200
CAG
R
19.0
%
-7.2
%
Com
pone
nts
of A
ir Ta
xi T
otal
Ye
ar
Pass
enge
r C
argo
Pa
rt 1
35
20
16
5,15
3 91
4 22
0
2021
2,
000
1,00
0 60
0
2026
4
00
1,00
0 80
0
2031
0
1,00
0 90
0
2036
0
1,00
0 1,
200
C
AGR
-1
00%
0.
5%
8.9%
26
Itine
rant
Gen
eral
Av
iatio
n O
pera
tions
Fo
reca
st•
High
vol
atili
ty o
ver p
ast
ten
year
s –st
rong
link
s to
over
all e
cono
my.
•Ha
ve p
erfo
rmed
in li
ne
with
nat
iona
l tre
nds,
but
EW
Nha
s see
n an
upw
ard
spik
e in
last
two
year
s.•
Hybr
id a
ppro
ach
mer
ges
natio
nal t
rend
s with
nea
r te
rm ju
mp.
•
Hybr
id a
ppro
ach
pref
erre
d.
27
Loca
l Gen
eral
Av
iatio
n O
pera
tions
Fo
reca
st•
Loca
l ope
ratio
ns d
riven
by
flig
ht tr
aini
ng (u
p to
75
per
cent
of
oper
atio
ns).
•M
any
stud
ents
usin
g G
.I.
Bill
to fu
nd fl
ight
trai
ning
. •
Sust
aine
d pr
esen
ce o
r gr
owth
of C
herr
y Po
int
will
pos
itive
ly im
pact
lo
cal o
pera
tions
.•
Loca
l gro
wth
rate
is
pref
erre
d.
28
Base
d Ai
rcra
ft
Fore
cast
s
•Ai
rpor
t has
a w
aitin
g lis
t fo
r han
gars
.•
Sing
le-e
ngin
e pi
ston
is
mos
t com
mon
type
, and
no
t a g
row
ing
segm
ent a
t EW
Nor
nat
ionw
ide.
•Li
ght s
port
and
ex
perim
enta
l (ki
t) a
ircra
ft
are
grow
ing,
as a
re je
ts,
turb
o pr
ops,
and
he
licop
ters
. •
Loca
l gro
wth
rate
is
pref
erre
d fo
reca
st.
Year
SE
P Je
t M
EP
Hel
icop
ter
Exp.
To
tal
2016
72
3
3 2
3 83
20
21
68
5 3
3 5
84
2026
67
6
3 3
6 85
20
31
65
9 3
5 6
88
2036
65
11
3
7 8
94
CAG
R
-0.5
%
6.7%
0.
0%
6.5%
5.
0%
0.6%
29
Avia
tion
Activ
ity F
orec
asts
Sum
mar
y
•Gr
owth
in o
pera
tions
and
bas
ed a
ircra
ft e
xpec
ted
for n
ext
20 y
ears
.•
Slow
, sus
tain
ed g
row
th o
ver f
irst t
en y
ears
. Hig
her
grow
th in
seco
nd te
n ye
ars.
•Dr
iven
by
stre
ngth
enin
g lo
cal e
cono
my.
•M
etro
polit
an S
tatis
tical
Are
a ha
s dem
onst
rate
d m
arke
t to
supp
ort l
arge
r air
carr
ier a
ircra
ft.
•Ch
alle
nge
is to
fill
larg
er a
ircra
ft w
ithou
t red
uctio
n of
flig
ht
freq
uenc
y.
30
Com
mer
cial
Pas
seng
er Te
rmin
al -
TWG
31
•Ch
eck-
in /
Tick
etin
g•
Chec
ked
Bagg
age
Scre
enin
g•
Bagg
age
Mak
eup
Out
boun
d•
Secu
rity
Scre
enin
g•
Hold
room
s•
Bagg
age
Clai
m•
Circ
ulat
ion
•Ba
ggag
e Cl
aim
M
akeu
p•
Airp
ort O
ffice
s•
Rest
room
s•
Conc
essio
ns•
Wai
ting
•AR
FF S
tatio
n / P
olic
e•
Entr
y Ve
stib
ules
•Co
urty
ard
/ Por
ch
Area
s•
Curb
fron
tAre
as•
Rent
al C
ar O
ffice
s•
Leas
ed A
reas
•TS
A Le
ased
Are
as•
Mec
hani
cal /
Ele
ctric
al
Term
inal
Inve
ntor
y As
sess
men
t Tea
m:
•Th
e W
ilson
Gro
up (A
rchi
tect
ure)
•Ch
eath
am &
Ass
ocia
tes (
MEP
)•
Stew
art (
Stru
ctur
al)
Term
inal
Fac
ts:
•39
,041
SF
(Gro
ss B
uild
ing
Area
)•
34,7
64 S
F (H
eate
d)•
Type
2B
Cons
truc
tion
•N
on-S
prin
kler
ed•
Sing
le S
tory
•Co
mpl
eted
199
9 ($
17M
)
Term
inal
Inve
ntor
y an
d As
sess
men
t
Asse
ssm
ent C
ateg
orie
s:
32
Term
inal
Inve
ntor
y Ar
ea P
lan
33
Iden
tifie
d Te
rmin
al W
ork
Area
s
Impr
ovem
ents
to
Chec
ked
Bagg
age
Scre
enin
g an
d O
utbo
und
Bagg
age
Mak
eup
Reno
vatio
n an
d Ex
pans
ion
of H
oldr
oom
Deve
lop
Plan
for A
ccom
mod
atin
g PB
Bs
Reno
vatio
n of
Sec
urity
Scr
eeni
ng A
rea
and
Poss
ible
Rel
ocat
ion
of E
xit L
ane
Bag
Clai
m R
enov
atio
n an
d Ex
pans
ion
Relo
catio
n an
d Co
nsol
idat
ion
of
Airp
ort O
ps/A
RFF
34
Criti
cal A
ircra
ft
35
Criti
cal A
ircra
ft
•M
ost D
eman
ding
(Size
, Ap
proa
ch S
peed
) Airc
raft
O
pera
ting
on a
Giv
en
Runw
ay
•De
term
ines
Airp
ort
Dim
ensio
nal S
tand
ards
(R
unw
ays,
Tax
iway
s,
Safe
ty A
reas
, etc
.)
BO
MB
AR
DIE
R
DA
SH
8-3
00B
OM
BA
RD
IER
C
RJ-
200
BE
EC
HC
RA
FT
KIN
G A
IR 3
50R
efer
ence
Cod
eB
-III
C-II
B-II
Run
way
Crit
ical
A
ircra
ft04
/22
04/2
214
/32
Prop
ulsi
onTu
rbop
rop
Jet
Turb
opro
p
Win
gspa
n90
.0'
69.6
'57
.9'
Leng
th84
.3'
87.8
'46
.7'
Hei
ght
24.6
'20
.4'
14.3
'M
axim
um T
akeo
ff W
eigh
t (M
TOW
)43
,000
lbs.
53,0
00 lb
s.15
,000
lbs.
Seat
ing
Cap
acity
5050
11
Ran
ge92
4 nm
1,64
4 nm
1,80
6 nm
AIR
CR
AF
T A
PP
RO
AC
H C
AT
EG
OR
Y (
AA
C)
A
IRP
LA
NE
DE
SIG
N G
RO
UP
(AD
G)
CA
TE
GO
RY
A
PP
RO
AC
H S
PE
ED
(K
NO
TS
) G
RO
UP
#
WIN
GS
PA
N
(ft.
) T
AIL
HE
IGH
T
(ft.
) A
<
91
I <
49
<20
B
91 to
<12
1
II
49 to
<79
20
to <
30
C
121
to <
141
III
79 to
<11
8 30
to <
45
D
141
to <
166
IV
118
to <
171
45 to
<60
E
166+
V
171
to <
214
60 to
<66
VI
214
to <
262
66 to
<80
36
AIRCRAFT APPROACH CATEGORY (AAC)
AIRPLANE DESIGN GROUP(ADG)
CATEGORY
APPROACH SPEED (KNOTS)
GROUP #
WINGSPAN (ft.)
TAIL HEIGHT
(ft.)
A
Criti
cal A
ircra
ft
•Co
nsid
ers t
he A
ircra
ft A
ppro
ach
cate
gory
•Co
nsid
ers t
he W
ings
pan
and
Tail
Heig
ht
•50
0 +
Annu
al O
pera
tions
•Ca
n be
a “
Fam
ily”
of a
ircra
ft
•C-
III fo
r Run
way
4/2
2
•B-
II fo
r Run
way
14/
32
37
Airp
ort I
nven
tory
38
Airf
ield
Cha
ract
eris
tics a
nd P
avem
ent C
ondi
tion
RU
NW
AY
DA
TAR
UN
WA
Y 0
4/22
RU
NW
AY
14/
32Le
ngth
6,45
3’4,
000’
Wid
th15
0’15
0’Su
rfac
e Ty
pe-C
ondi
tion
Asp
halt-
Goo
dA
spha
lt-G
ood
Surf
ace
Trea
tmen
tG
roov
edN
one
Sing
le W
heel
47,0
00 lb
s.28
,000
lbs.
Dua
l Whe
el69
,000
lbs.
45,0
00 lb
s.Ed
ge L
ight
Inte
nsity
Hig
h (H
IRL)
Med
ium
(M
IRL)
Visu
al G
lide
Slop
e In
dica
tor
PAPI
-4L
/ PA
PI-4
LPA
PI-2
L / P
API
-2L
Run
way
End
Iden
tifie
r Li
ghts
(R
EIL)
Yes
/ Yes
Yes
/ Yes
App
roac
h Li
ghts
Non
e / N
one
Non
e / N
one
Gro
ss W
eigh
t
39
Exis
ting
Airf
ield
Pav
emen
t Con
ditio
n
40
On-
Airp
ort L
and
Use
41
Gen
eral
Avi
atio
n Fa
cilit
ies
•50
T-H
anga
r Uni
ts•
91,8
00 s
f (19
han
gars
) Co
nven
tiona
l Han
gar
Stor
age
•Fi
xed
Base
Ope
rato
r (F
BO) -
Tide
wat
er A
ir Se
rvic
es
•5,
200
sf Te
rmin
al•
Airc
raft
fuel
ing
•Ai
rcra
ft S
tora
ge•
Flig
ht P
lann
ing
•Re
ntal
Car
42
Airp
ort S
uppo
rt
Faci
litie
s
•Fu
elin
g Fa
cilit
ies
•O
ne 2
0,00
0-ga
llon
Jet A
tank
•O
ne 1
2,00
0-ga
llon
AvGa
s(10
0LL)
tank
•FA
A Co
ntra
ct A
ir Tr
affic
Con
trol
Tow
er (A
TCT)
•O
ne A
ircra
ft R
escu
e an
d Fi
refig
htin
g (A
RFF)
ve
hicl
e w
ith w
ater
and
dry
che
mic
al ca
pabi
litie
s•
Dedi
cate
d AR
FF S
tora
ge F
acili
ty
43
Fina
l Pt.
1 R
epor
tD
ocum
ents
•P
ublic
Out
reac
h (T
hrou
ghou
t Pro
cess
)•
Sta
keho
lder
Wor
king
Gro
up (S
WG
)
On-
Goi
ng T
ask
Dra
ftR
epor
t D
ocum
ents
(Pt.
1)
Air
Ser
vice
S
tudy
Dem
and
Fore
cast
sFa
cilit
y R
equi
rem
ents
A
ltern
ativ
esA
naly
sis
Goa
ls &
Stu
dy D
esig
n
Exi
stin
gC
ondi
tions
Nex
t Tas
kC
urre
nt T
ask
Com
plet
ed T
ask
Futu
re T
ask
Pav
emen
tA
naly
sis
Term
inal
Ana
lysi
s
Supp
ortin
g St
udie
s/An
alys
is
AMPU
Pro
cess
44