AESD MULTI-YEAR SCHOOL INFRASTRUCTURE PLANNING REVIEW
May 2018
OBJECTIVE
Examine existing school infrastructure in terms of:
Demographics and projected enrolments;
Resourcing;
Capacity and utilization
Recommend 2019 – 2020 Capital and Major Capital projects
Major Capital Projects including Midlife Upgrades, Consolidations
Capital Projects
AESD DEMOGRAPHICS
Enrolment over past 5 years
Future Projected Enrolment
Births
Migration
Capture Rate
AESD ENROLMENT CHANGESDistrict Enrolment Sept
2016
Enrolment Sept
2017
Change in
Enrolment
% Change in
Enrolment
AESD 15,614 15,684 +70 .45%
District Enrolment Sept
2017
Projected
Enrolment Sept
2018
Change in
Enrolment from
2017
% Change in
Enrolment
AESD 15,684 15,787 +103 .65%
AESD PAST AND PROJECTED ENROLMENT
From Baragar Systems
BIRTHS IN DISTRICT
BIRTHS IN DISTRICT
MIGRATION PROJECTIONS
CAPTURE RATES
CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION
Overall Capacity
Excess Capacity
Percentage Utilization
PROVINCIAL PICTURE
OVERALL CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION
Enrolment Capacity Excess Capacity Utilization
Anglophone* 68,797 116,161 47,239 59%
AESD 15,661 23,784 8,123 66%
*Data from EECD
2017Summary Statistics
CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION
As defined by OOC…
Capacity = Avg. class size * Teaching Stations
Identified number of teaching stations
Elementary: Includes classrooms and excludes specialized instructional classrooms (e.g. music room)
Middle: Includes classrooms and excludes specialized instructional classrooms (e.g. music, arts, family studies, technology and sciences)
High School: all instructional space included in capacity (e.g. classrooms, labs, physical education, art etc.)
Applied 80% factor at High School to reflect impact of all types of courses and variability in student course selection
CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION
Number of students per teaching station based on maximums established in collective agreement
K-2 21
3 26
4-6 28
7-12 29
Overall capacity indicates number of students a given school could hold if all classes were at maximum capacity based on above.
SCHOOL CAPACITYSchool Teaching
Stations
Factor
Applied
Average
Maximum
Capacity
Arnold H. McLeod School *P 17 23.4 398
Beaverbrook School ** 18 26.7 481
Bernice MacNaughton High School 49 80% 29 1137
Bessborough School P 25 25.7 643
Birchmount School P 27 25.7 694
Caledonia Regional High School 38 80% 28.5 866
Claude D. Taylor School 24 24.2 581
Dorchester Consolidated School 12 25.7 308
Edith Cavell School 22 25.7 565
Evergreen Park School 36 25.7 925
Forest Glen School P 20 23.4 468
Frank L. Bowser School 18 24.2 436
SCHOOL CAPACITYSchool Teaching
Stations
Factor
Applied
Average
Maximum
Capacity
Harrison Trimble High School 67 80% 29 1554
Havelock School 6 24.2 145
Hillcrest School P 13 25.7 334Hillsborough Elementary
School P 11 24.2 266JMA Armstrong-Salisbury
Middle 42 80% 28.5 958
Lewisville Middle School 18 28.5 513
Lou MacNarin School 26 24.2 629
Magnetic Hill School P 24 25.7 617
Marshview Middle School 22 28.5 627
Moncton High School 56 80% 29 1299
Mountain View School P 6 24.2 145
Northop Frye P 27 25.7 694
Petitcodiac Regional School*** 44 80% 26.7 1071
Port Elgin Regional School 15 25.7 386
SCHOOL CAPACITYSchool Teaching
Stations
Factor
Applied
Average
Maximum
Capacity
Queen Elizabeth School P 26 25.7 668
Riverside Consolidated School 10 24.2 242
Riverview East School P 27 25.7 694
Riverview High School 59 80% 29 1369
Riverview Middle School 33 28.5 941
Salem Elementary School P 20 23.4 468
Salisbury Elementary School P 17 23.4 398
Shediac Cape School P 15 25.7 386
Sunny Brae Middle School 14 28.5 399
Tantramar Regional High School 44 80% 29 1021
West Riverview School 19 24.2 460
EXCESS CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION SEPT 30/17School Capacity Enrolment Excess
Capacity
% Utilization
Arnold H. McLeod School * 398 336 62 84%
Beaverbrook School ** 481181
300 38%
Bernice MacNaughton High
School 1137791
346 70%
Bessborough School 643508
135 79%
Birchmount School 694491
203 71%
Caledonia Regional High
School 866276
590 32%
Claude D. Taylor School 581290
291 50%
Dorchester Consolidated
School 30864
244 21%
Edith Cavell School 565271
294 48%
Evergreen Park School 925764
161 83%
Forest Glen School 468318
150 68%
Frank L. Bowser School 436301
135 69%
DeclineIncrease
Below 50%
EXCESS CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION SEPT 30/17School Capacity Enrolment Excess
Capacity
% Utilization
Harrison Trimble High School 15541006
548 65%
Havelock School 145124
21 86%
Hillcrest School 334159
175 48%
Hillsborough Elementary
School 266153
113 58%
JMA Armstrong-Salisbury
Middle 958596
362 62%
Lewisville Middle School 513365
148 71%
Lou MacNarin School 629406
223 65%
Magnetic Hill School 617412
205 67%
Marshview Middle School 627275
352 44%
Moncton High School 12991193
106 92%
Mountain View School 145102
43 70%
Northop Frye 694773
-79 111%
Petitcodiac Regional
School*** 1071591
480 55%
EXCESS CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION SEPT 30/17School Capacity Enrolment Excess
Capacity
% Utilization
Port Elgin Regional School 386168
218 44%
Queen Elizabeth School 668356
312 53%
Riverside Consolidated
School 24247
195 19%
Riverview East School 694633
61 91%
Riverview High School 13691120
249 82%
Riverview Middle School 941525
416 56%
Salem Elementary School 468367
101 78%
Salisbury Elementary School 398369
29 93%
Shediac Cape School 386303
83 78%
Sunny Brae Middle School 399302
97 76%
Tantramar Regional High
School 1021423
598 41%
West Riverview School 460302
158 66%
DEFERRED MAINTENANCE COSTS MAY 1, 2018Deferred maintenance – Capital Items on School Physical Plant Database
There are 434 projects identified on the list at apx $57,906,600.00
Average of schools in district approximately 49 years of age
Capital projects are identified by: Facilities Department
School Principals and Custodians
3rd Party Inspectors
EECD
DTI
DEFERRED MAINTENANCE COSTSSchool Deferred Maintenance
Cost
Square Meters
Arnold H. McLeod School
$1,522,0003098.00
Beaverbrook School
$3,499,0004359.00
Bernice MacNaughton High School
$1,037,00015107.00
Bessborough School
$2,623,6005694.00
Birchmount School
$2,476,0005552.00
Caledonia Regional High School
$2,340,0007296.00
Claude D. Taylor School
$2,357,0004691.00
Dorchester Consolidated School
$1,652,0002322.00
Edith Cavell School
$787,0005908.00
Evergreen Park School
07850.00
Forest Glen School
$1,486,0003463.00
Frank L. Bowser School
$855,0003734.00
DEFERRED MAINTENANCE COSTSSchool Deferred Maintenance
Cost
Square Meters
Harrison Trimble High School
$2,305,00015653.00
Havelock School
01780.00
Hillcrest School
$1,608,0003594.00
Hillsborough Elementary School
$1,354,0002425.00
JMA Armstrong-Salisbury Middle
$2,274,0008983.00
Lewisville Middle School
$2,025,0006008.00
Lou MacNarin School
$150,0006121.00
Magnetic Hill School
$1,328,0005109.00
Marshview Middle School
$2,344,0007245.00
Moncton High School
017,391
Mountain View School
$901,0001142.00
Northop Frye
09003.00
Petitcodiac Regional School
$2,567,0008122.00
DEFERRED MAINTENANCE COSTSSchool Deferred Maintenance
Cost
Square Meters
Port Elgin Regional School
$1,528,0003590.00
Queen Elizabeth School
$977,0005196.00
Riverside Consolidated School
$1,205,0002269.00
Riverview East School
010228
Riverview High School
$3,388,00017230.00
Riverview Middle School
$3,121,00012423.00
Salem Elementary School
$1,420,0004353.00
Salisbury Elementary School
$2,055,0004582.00
Shediac Cape School
$435,0003939.00
Sunny Brae Middle School
$2,550,0003973.00
Tantramar Regional High School
$1,840,00013482.00
West Riverview School
$1,897,0003439.00
MAJOR CAPITAL PROJECTSLarge projects that are often multi-year in scope
Are usually projects of a $1,000,000 or more and funded over many fiscal periods
Include:
New Additions
New Schools
Midlife Upgrades
AESD MAJOR CAPITAL PROJECTS APPROVED18/19School Project Budget Amount
Approved for
2018/19
Equipment
Budget 2018/19
North End Middle
School
New School $20,057,000 $285,000
HTHS Midlife Upgrade $3,451,000 $100,000
Petitcodiac Shops
Addition
Addition $1,150,000 $115,000
New West End School New School $1,500,000 NA
AESD MAJOR CAPITAL PROJECT CONSIDERATIONSSchool Project Enrollment
Projections
2030
Enrollment
Utilization
Long Term
Need in
Community
Salisbury Elementary
School
New School Stable 93% Yes
Sackville Area
Schools
To be determined –
409 process in fall
Decline 41%, 44%,
21%, 78%
Yes
Riverview High
School
Midlife Upgrade Stable 82% Yes
Birchmount School Midlife Upgrade or
Replacement
Stable 71% Yes
Riverview East Addition for growth Stable 91% Yes
Sunny Brae, Forest
Glen, Mountain View
Consolidation of 3
schools into 1 K-8
Stable 74%,70%,
68%
Yes
New Metro High
School
New School Growth 4 HS’s are at
comfort
capacity
Yes
CAPITAL PROJECTS
The District prioritizes projects based on Priority #1 – relates to occupant health and safety, facility shutdown and asset loss or deterioration.
Priority #2 – essential work that may have major repercussions on and/or is detrimental to the functioning of the school and/or the comfort of the occupants, but which does not represent any danger to health and/or safety.
Priority #3 – important work that may have certain repercussions on and/or is detrimental to the functioning of the school and/or the comfort of the occupants but which does not represent any danger to health and/or safety.
Capital Projects are $1,000,000 or less and funded over one fiscal period
Include: Roof replacements
Mechanical and Electrical
Building Envelop Exterior
Building Interior
Fire Codes
Accessibility
AESD CAPITAL PROJECTS RECOMMENDED 19/20School Project Estimated Cost District Priority
Hillsborough Elementary School (ASD-E) Lift/Elevator $250,000.00 1
Magnetic Hill School (ASD-E) Washrooms $150,000.00 11
Shediac Cape School (ASD-E) Washrooms $270,000.00 12
Claude D. Taylor School (ASD-E) Heating and Ventilation Maintenance $696,000.00 2
Riverview Middle School (ASD-E) Communication System $80,000.00 6
Arnold H MacLeod School (ASD-E) Communication System $35,000.00 7
Claude D. Taylor School (ASD-E) Communication System $50,000.00 8
Caledonia Regional School (ASD-E) Communication System $60,000.00 9
J.M.A. Armstrong/Salisbury Middle School (ASD-E) Replace leaking cooling tower. $120,000.00 3
J.M.A. Armstrong/Salisbury Middle School (ASD-E) Heating and Ventilation Heat Pumps $450,000.00 5
J.M.A. Armstrong/Salisbury Middle School (ASD-E) Site Improvement $450,000.00 13
Arnold H MacLeod School (ASD-E) Building Envelope Exterior and Repointing $340,000.00 10
Petitcodiac Regional School Fire Sprinkler Pump House $600,000 4
Total $2,951,000.00
AESD ROOF PROJECTS RECOMMENDED19/20
School Project Estimated Cost District Priority
Claude D. Taylor School (ASD-E) Roof Replacement $325,000.00 20
Claude D. Taylor School (ASD-E) Roof Replacement $100,000.00 22
Tantramar Regional School (ASD-E) Roof Replacement $350,000 90,91,92
TOTAL$775,000
OPERATIONAL FEASIBILITY STUDIES FOR CONSIDERATION
There is a potential project that would benefit from a consultants review to determine the operational feasibility and the fiscal payback of consolidating schools.
Project – Consolidate Riverview Middle with Frank L. Bowser and build a new K-8 school.
Both facilities are old and lacking modern day curriculum standards.
There is $3,976,000 in outstanding deferred maintenance projects.
Combined enrollment today is 837. Ten year projection enrollment settles at 644 going forward.