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Page 1: 2/19/2013 Ryan  Lumb Rob  Karpinski

2/19/2013Ryan Lumb

Rob Karpinski

Page 2: 2/19/2013 Ryan  Lumb Rob  Karpinski

Dividend Growth

$0.00

$0.05

$0.10

$0.15

$0.20

$0.25

$0.30

$0.35

Dividend

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Dividend Growth

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

9.00%

Dividend Yield

Page 4: 2/19/2013 Ryan  Lumb Rob  Karpinski

Share Buyback

• $750 Million share buyback authorization• If fully employed, FY 2012 EPS of

$1.75 would have essentially equaled $1.98• Given the same multiple, this

would equate to a $16.75 share price• 17% non-performance related

upside potential

Page 5: 2/19/2013 Ryan  Lumb Rob  Karpinski

Insider Buying

Page 6: 2/19/2013 Ryan  Lumb Rob  Karpinski

Network Affect

“The classic example is the telephone. The more people own telephones, the more valuable the telephone is to each owner.”

Page 7: 2/19/2013 Ryan  Lumb Rob  Karpinski

Market Dominance“For every McDonald's restaurant, there are more than 15 Western Union vendors. Additionally, Western Union processes about four times the transactions of its closest competitor”

- Brendan Mathews

Page 8: 2/19/2013 Ryan  Lumb Rob  Karpinski

Brand Recognition

Page 9: 2/19/2013 Ryan  Lumb Rob  Karpinski

Valuation

Page 10: 2/19/2013 Ryan  Lumb Rob  Karpinski

Valuation

Page 11: 2/19/2013 Ryan  Lumb Rob  Karpinski

Strategy

• Market Dominance Strategy

• Monitor Points• Significant Loss in Market Share• Margins diminish greatly (Ex. 28% under 10%)• Any Decrease to Dividend


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