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Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome? Ron Donelson, MD, MS SelfCare First, LLC
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Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Dec 31, 2015

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Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?. Ron Donelson, MD, MS SelfCare First, LLC. Red Flags.  Yellow Flags.  Others. Black Flags Family and system factors (insurance claim conflicts, overly solicitous family or health care provider). Red flags - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment:Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Ron Donelson, MD, MSSelfCare First, LLC

Page 2: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Red Flags

Red flagsIndicators of underlying insidious

pathology: spine fracture, tumor,

infx

Main & Burton, 2000; Nicholas, et al, 2011

Orange flagsPsychiatric sxs and disorders: Axis I and II

disorders

Blue FlagsBeliefs about

workplace (lack of support from

supervisors, co-workers); belief that

return will cause injury

Black FlagsFamily and system factors (insurance claim conflicts, overly solicitous family or health care provider)

Others

Yellow flags (Kendall 1997)

Unhelpful beliefs about

pain/emotional responses/pain

behavior & coping

Yellow Flags

Page 3: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Yellow Flags

Psychological and social factors that increase the likelihood of long-term disability and work loss in persons

with low back pain.

But not always.

Page 4: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Yellow flags: “Obstacles to Recovery”

More questions than answers..

Some YFs are indeed obstacles to recovery that need attention.

But some aren’t. They’re false-positives.

Q#1: How do we know which are which?

Page 5: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

WARNING: Diagnosing low back pain means sorting through many false-positives

or misleading findings

Unreliable exam findings: asymmetries, tenderness Referred tenderness: SIJ, myofascial trigger points, pyriformis, trochanteric bursitis Imaging: HNPs and DDD in symptomatics

Q#2: Which findings are relevant? False-positives?

Page 6: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Q#3: Why are YFs sorelevant with LBP?

Why aren’t they also prominent with abdominal, chest, shoulder, hip or knee pain?

Or even spinal fractures, HNPs and sciatica?

Page 7: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Would making a patho-mechanical diagnosis (DP?) early make a difference?

Would making a diagnosisearly make a difference?

Q#4: Are YFs only relevant whenthe underlying diagnosis is uncertain?

Page 8: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Q#5: Do YFs cause pain to persist or does

persisting pain cause YFs to develop?

OR BOTH?

Page 9: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Do they ever co-exist?If so, which prevails?

Dir. pref. and centralization are found in most LBP patients and predict an excellent prognosis for recovery.

Consider:

In contrast, YFs are considered to be possible obstacles to recovery.

Page 10: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Centralization and Fear-Avoidance Beliefs

Centralizers have lower involvement of psychological factors.

The presence of yellow flags (elevated fear-avoidance beliefs) was associated with non-centralization.

Christiansen D, et al. Pain responses in rpted end-range spinal mvts and psycho’l factors in sick-listed pts with LBP: is there an association? J Rehabil Med. 2009.

Page 11: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Centralization and Fear-Avoidance

Fear-avoidance was equally present in centralizers and non-centralizers.

Even with high fear, centralization still predicted a good outcome in the majority. So in centralizers, addressing fear-avoidance beliefs is unnecessary.

If centralization is not present, but high levels of fear are, formal cognitive behavioral techniques should be used to address these beliefs.

Werneke M, Hart D, George S. Clinical outcomes for patients classified by fear-avoidance beliefs and centralization phenomenon. Arch Phys Med Rehab. 2009

Page 12: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Yellow flags were common: non-organic physical signs, overt pain behaviors, depressive symptoms, somatization, fear-avoidance beliefs, and perceived disability.

When treated with directional exercises, the outcomes at one year were so positive, the yellow flags were

non-predictors of outcome.

Werneke M, Hart DL. Centralization phenomenon as a prognostic factor for chronic low back pain and disability. Spine 2001

In 223 acute back and neck pain centralizers with a DP:

Page 13: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

In 71 patients with a dir. pref.:

Both Beck Depression Inventory and Interference With Work and Leisure Activity significantly improved after just two weeks of matching directional exercises only.

It is futile to conduct prognostic studies without including baseline centralization/DP

determination.

Long A, Donelson R, Fung T. Does it matter which exercise? A randomized controlled trial of exercise for low back pain. Spine 2004

Page 14: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

All studies of LBP outcome predictors need to include baseline determination of

the presence or absence of both:

Yellow FlagsDirectional Preference

Page 15: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

On the other hand…..with directional preference so common and

so strongly predictive of good outcomes with appropriate directional treatment….

How important is baselineYellow Flag determination?

Yellow flags may only have relevance if MDT evaluation and treatment fail….

Along with imaging, injections, and surgeries.

Page 16: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

As high quality MDT becomes thefront-line of care for painful cervical

and lumbar disorders….

yellow flags, imaging, medications, injections, and surgeries need only be considerations for a

small percentage of patients.

Page 17: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

17

a non-specific symptom that once was attributed to non-physical issues:

immorality, lack of faith, etc.

But innovative diagnostic technologies:microscope microbes infection, and

sensitivities to antibiotics.

FEVER

> 60% of health care budget 14%.

Page 18: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Prevalence of dir. pref. & centralization:

Donelson(Spine 1990) 84-89 %Sufka (JOSPT, 1998) 60-83 %Werneke (Spine, 1999) 77 %Karas (Phys. Ther. 1997) 73

%Donelson(Spine 1991, ISSLS 1991) 58 %Delitto (Phys. Ther. 1993) 61

%Erhard (Phys. Ther. 1995) 55

%Kopp (CORR, 1986) 52 %Long (Spine, 1995) 43

%Donelson (Spine ,1997) 49

%Laslett (Spine Jrnl, 2005) 32 %

Acute

Chronic

How common is dir. pref.: a reducible derangement?

Acute, ChronicAxial pain, SciaticaDegenerative disc

Pseudo-claudicationSpondys

Page 19: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Chronic: 50%

reducible

Acute: 70-89%

reducible derangements

Many became

irreducible chronics

Misdiagnosed

Ineffective, costly, avoidable care

LOST window of opportunity

Undiscovered whileacute and subacute.

Ineffective, costly, avoidable care

Misdiagnosed

QTF: “inaccurate dxs which are then further confounded with each succeeding step in care”

Missed window of opportunity

Yellow Flags

Yellow flags, MRIs, medications, injections, surgeries

Page 20: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

After TESIs, MDT exam repeated

Total Relief N-C No Surg N-C+Surgery Centralizers0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Series 1

69 non-centralizers

van Helvoirt H, et. al. Transforaminal epidural steroid injections followed by Mechanical Diagnosis and Therapy to prevent surgery for lumbar disc herniation. Pain Medicine. 2014.

16% 16%

22%

46%

Cen

tral

izer

s

38% Non-Centralizers

underwent TESIs.

Yellow Flags?

Page 21: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Recurrences: Benign or Worsening? Survey of 589 respondents with LBP:

• 73% had prior episodes; 54% had 10 or more and 19% had more than 50 episodes.

• 61% had recent episodes worse than prior ones; 21% were worse in all 5 surveyed domains.

Conclusion: Recurrences often worsen over time.

Donelson R, McIntosh G, Hamilton H. Is it time to rethink the typical courseof low back pain? Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation Journal. 2012.

Page 22: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Recurrences often progressively worsen and last longer….

Until recovery finally stops……and pain becomes constant and chronic?

Are worsening recurrences acommon a pathway to chronicity?

Page 23: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Ques: If dir. pref. is found in 70-90% ofacute LBP, predicts excellent

outcomes and prevents recurrences using directional exercises, what is the biggest

obstacle to recovery?Answer: Depriving patients of

a good MDT assessment.

A far more significant obstaclethan the presence of yellow flags?

Page 24: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Chronic: 50%

reducible

Acute: 70-89%

reducible derangements

Chronic: 30%(?)

now irreducible

All preventable!

Accurate mechanical

diagnosis when acute or subacute

Page 25: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

So are YFs the biggest obstacle to recovery from LBP and neck pain?

Not if their influence disappears in the presence of a dir. pref.

If 70-89% of acute LBP have a dir. pref., then YFs are only

relevant in the other 11-30%.

Page 26: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

To minimize the effects of Yellow Flags, LBP clinical guidelines recommend

reassurance of likely recover…..based on the positive natural history.

What could possibly be more reassuring than showing a patient that their pain is reversible and

that they can eliminate it themselves?

Is that why Yellow Flags disappearas obstacles to recovery with Dir. Pref.?

Page 27: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?

Red Flags Yellow Flags

Red flagsIndicators of underlying insidious

pathology: spine fracture, tumor,

infx

Main & Burton, 2000; Nicholas, et al, 2011

Yellow flags (Kendall 1997)

Unhelpful beliefs about

pain /emotional responses / pain

behavior & coping

Orange flagsPsychiatric sxs and disorders: Axis I and II

disorders

Blue FlagsBeliefs about

workplace (lack of support from

supervisors, co-workers; belief that

return will cause injury

Black FlagsFamily and system factors (insurance claim conflicts), overly solicitous family or health care provider

Green FlagDirectional preference /

centralization

Page 28: Yellow Flags and Exercise Treatment: Predictor or Result of Poor Outcome?