February 2013
WP Population Policy Paper Feb 2013
Aug 10, 2015
The Population White Paper released by the Government recently is by far the most widely debated White Paper in Singapore politics -- not only in Parliament, but also by the people of Singapore. This is understandably so as it has wide ranging implications for our nations’s future.
For five days, Parliament debated a Motion to endorse the White Paper. It was then passed following an amendment by an MP from the Government backbench.
After careful consideration of the proposal, the Workers’ Party (WP) opposed the White Paper and presented our alternative proposals in Parliament during the debate on the Motion.
The population issue is a major challenge confronting our nation and it affects each and every one of us and our future generations. It is not only a ‘numbers’ issue but also one that lies at the heart of our nation and our children. The debate continues in public even after the debate in Parliament has ended.
We would probably not be experiencing the current degree of angst over overcrowding if the Government had presented the White Paper to the people much earlier, instead of allowing population growth to surpass their planning target and failing to ensure that infrastructural development kept in tandem with population growth.
In view of the importance and complexity of the subject, as well as the fundamental differences between WP and the Government on the approach to tackle the population challenges ahead, we have decided to publish our Population Policy Paper. We hope this will enable Singaporeans to better understand the rationale and computations behind WP’s proposals. WP believes it is important to encourage further debate so that Singaporeans can make informed judgments on the population issue.
I would like to thank all the WP members and volunteers who have worked tirelessly to make the publication of this WP Population Policy Paper possible. I would also like to thank all Singaporeans who have given us their support; your encouragement and engagement continues to spur WP on to serve the nation.
LOW THIA KHIANG
Secretary-General
The Workers' Party
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Transcript
February 2013
2
Executive Summary
2 3
4
CONTENTS
Demographic Challenges and Policy Options
Recovering the Singaporean Core
A Dynamic Singaporean Workforce forSustainable Growth
Independent Active Ageing
Sustainable Urban Development
Conclusion
Population Scenarios
4 5
Demographic Challenges and Policy Options
Policy Approaches
2
6
immigration
3
Singaporean families
A Strong Singaporean Core
heart
grow up in and with
Replacement Migration: Is it a Solution to Declining and Ageing Population?
6 7
grow up in and with
Dynamic Workforce, Sustainable Growth
8
Independent Ageing and Sustainable Urbanization
Straits Times
8 9
A High Quality Living Environment for All Singaporeans
10
Recovering the Singaporean Core
Being a Singaporean is not a matter of ancestry. It is conviction and choice
Channel News AsiaStraits Times
The Scripting of a National History: Singapore and its Pasts
10 11
Structural Obstacles to Higher Total Fertility Rate
Lack of Work-Life Balance
Escalating Housing Costs
20
Channel News AsiaBusiness Times
Asia One20 New York Times
12
Income Inequality.
22
23
Lack of Family Culture of Equality.
Stressful Education System.
Privileging Higher Income Families.
22
23State
of the Family Report 2011
State of the Family Report 2004
12 13
Discriminatory towards Single Parent Families.
Addressing Structural Obstacles
Work-life Balance
Housing Grants
A Fair Baby Bonus Scheme
Bonding Leave
Manifesto 2011: Towards a First World ParliamentWork-Life Harmony Report
State of the Family Report 2011
14
30
The South Korean Example
32
33
30 Manifesto 2011: Towards a First World Parliament
32
33
Hankyoreh
My Paper
14 15
Table 1
Sector Principal indicators 2005 2010
2
3
2 200
Channel News Asia
stats.oecd.org
16
Family-based Integration
Community Sharing Sessions
Citizenship Ceremonies.
Straits Times
New Citizen Grassroots Leaders.
.38
16 17
A Dynamic Singaporean Workforce forSustainable Growth
Focus on Resident Workforce Growth
resident
Promoting Labour Force Participation Rate
18
Table 2
25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54MaleFemale
Marriage and Parenthood Trends in Singapore
The Family in the New Millenium
18 19
Flexi-work
Workplace Childcare Centres
Workplace and Job Redesign for Senior Workforce
Gender and Age Discrimination
20
A Supplementary Foreign Workforce
Manifesto 2011: Towards a First World Parliament
20 21
capped
Economic Restructuring
and
Population in Brief 2012Manifesto 2011: Towards a First World Parliament
22
Business TimesBusiness Times
Business Times
Manifesto 2011: Towards a First World Parliament
stats.oecd.org
22 23
Business Times
24
Independent Active Ageing
Ageing in the Twenty-First Century: A Celebration and a Challenge
Citizen Population ScenariosCitizen Population Scenarios
Ageing in the Twenty-First Century: A Celebration and a ChallengeCitizen Population Scenarios
24 25
core
Good, Sustainable Employment for Senior Citizens
Labour Force in Singapore 2012
Straits Times
Labour Force in Singapore 2012
Labour Force in Singapore 2012
26
Barrier-Free Environments for Active Ageing
A Golden Age
Straits Times
26 27
28
Sustainable Urban Development
Runaway Population Growth
Living the Next Lap: Towards a Tropical City of Excellence
Population in Brief 2012
28 29
Sustainable Urban Development for Our Children
Population Trends 2012
The
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B
30
Table 3
Actual Land Use Plan
Workers’ Party
2010 2030 2030
2,800 (4%) 7,800 (10%)Total 71,000 (100%) 76,600 (100%) 76,600 (100%)
30 31
Manifesto 2011: Towards a First World Parliament
32
Conclusion
32 33
Population Scenarios
34
Scenario A: TFR Recovers, LFPR Improves
2012 2015 2020 2025 2030
Singaporean Core
1. Total fertility rate
2. New citizens naturalized
3. Resident population
3a. Permanent residents
3b. Citizens
Workforce
4. Resident working age population
4a. Labour force participation rate
4b. Resident workforce
5. Target resident workforce
5a. Shortfall 0 0
5b. Non-resident population
Outcomes
6. Total population 5,731,081
6a. Percentage citizen
6b. Productivity growth
6c. Workforce growth from 2012
6d. GDP growth
34 35
Scenario B: TFR Stagnant, LFPR Improves
2012 2015 2020 2025 2030
1. Total fertility rate
2. New citizens naturalized
3. Resident population
3a. Permanent residents
3b. Citizens
Workforce
4. Resident working age population
4a. Labour force participation rate
4b. Resident workforce
5. Target resident workforce
5a. Shortfall 0 0
5b. Non-resident population
Outcomes
6. Total population 5,618,054
6a. Percentage citizen
6b. Productivity growth
6c. Workforce growth from 2012
6d. GDP growth
36
Scenario C: TFR Stagnant, LFPR Stagnant
2012 2015 2020 2025 2030
Singaporean Core
1. Total fertility rate
2. New citizens naturalized
3. Resident population
3a. Permanent residents
3b. Citizens
Workforce
4. Resident working age population
4a. Labour force participation rate
4b. Resident workforce
5. Target resident workforce
5a. Shortfall 0
5b. Non-resident population
Outcomes
6. Total population 5,807,005
6a. Percentage citizen
6b. Productivity growth
6c. Workforce growth from 2012
6d. GDP growth
36 37
Detailed Notes on Scenario Tables
[1] Total fertility rate.
[2] New citizens naturalized.
[3] Resident population.
[3a] Permanent residents.
[3b] Citizens.
[4] Resident working age population.
[4a] Labour force participation rate.
[4b] Resident workforce.
[5] Target resident workforce.
38
[5a] Shortfall.
[5b] Non-resident population.
[6] Total population.
[6a] Percentage citizen.
[6b] Productivity growth.
[6c] Workforce growth per year from 2012.
[6d] GDP growth
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