Climate Services in the Philippines WMO REGIONAL SEMINAR ON CLIMATE SERVICES IN REGIONAL ASSOCIATION V (SOUTH-WEST PACIFIC) (Honiara, Solomon Islands, 1-4 November 2011) VB MALANO
Climate Services in the Philippines
WMO REGIONAL SEMINAR ON CLIMATE SERVICES IN REGIONAL ASSOCIATION V
(SOUTH-WEST PACIFIC)(Honiara, Solomon Islands, 1-4 November 2011)
VB MALANO
Presentation Outline
1. Climate of the Philippines2. PAGASA Climate Services3. Climate Research Activities4. Use of Regional/Global Products
� Philippine Geography and Topography
� Principal Air Streams
� Semi-permanent cyclones and anti-cyclones
� Ocean currents
The climate of the Philippines is influenced by the complex interactions of the various factors such as :
Topographic map of thePhilippines
Height scale are in meters
� Two seasons – Wet and Dry season
� Mean Annual Temperature – 26.6o C
- coolest month is in January (mean 25.5oC)
- warmest month is in May (mean 28.3oC)
� Mean Annual Rainfall range – 965 to 4064 mm
� Relative Humidity range – 71 % to 85 %
January
July
Winds and Seasonal Rainfall are Closely LinkedRelated to the large scale monsoons andlocal air-land interactions
JJA
DJF
B.Lyon
Philippine Climate Type
Climate Type I
Climate Type II
Climate Type III
Climate Type IV
Average tropical
cyclone tracks
for 1st Qtr
Average tropical
cyclone tracks
2nd Qtr
Average Tropical
Cyclone Tracks
for 3rd Qtr.
This period is the peak of the SW monsoon. Strong SW influence T.C. movement to the North West or over the Northern/ Extreme Northern Luzon.
Average Tropical
Cyclone Tracks
for 4th Qtr.The period covers the first half of the NE monsoon season. Tracks of tropical cyclone during this period are likely across central and southern parts of Luzon, and Visayaswith secondary tracks over Northern Mindanao.
Annual frequency of T.C. entering the PAR and crossing
the Philippines (1948-2006)
Total = 1148, Mean = 19 to 20 , Std. Dev. = 4, Max = 32 , Min = 11528 T.C. or 46% crossed /land fall in the CountryAverage crossing = 9 T.C.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06
Not Crossing the Philippines
Land falling/Crossing the Philippines
PAGASA Climate Services
6. Farm Weather Forecast and Advisories5. Agri Weather Services
4. ENSO Advisory
8. Press releases
3. Climate Impact Assessment for Agriculture
1. Seasonal Climate Outlook2. Monthly weather review and outlook
7. Angat Dam monthly/seasonal forecast inflow
PAGASA Climate Services
9. Latest rainfall forecast
1. Agriculture Sector2. Water Sector3. Power Sector4. Local Government Unit5. Transport Sector6. Trade and Industry7. Others
Climate Information Users(Demand for Climate Services is increasing)
Angat Multi-purpose Dam
November 2011November 2011November 2011November 2011
Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm) % Normal% Normal% Normal% Normal
Normal (mm)Normal (mm)Normal (mm)Normal (mm)
(1971(1971(1971(1971----2000)2000)2000)2000)
Monthly Rainfall ForecastUpdated: Oct. 7,2011
December 2011December 2011December 2011December 2011
Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm) % Normal% Normal% Normal% Normal
Normal (mm)Normal (mm)Normal (mm)Normal (mm)
(1971(1971(1971(1971----2000)2000)2000)2000)
Monthly Rainfall ForecastUpdated: Oct. 7,2011
January 2012January 2012January 2012January 2012
Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm) % Normal% Normal% Normal% Normal
Normal (mm)Normal (mm)Normal (mm)Normal (mm)
(1971(1971(1971(1971----2000)2000)2000)2000)
Monthly Rainfall ForecastUpdated: Oct. 7,2011
February 2012February 2012February 2012February 2012
Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm) % Normal% Normal% Normal% Normal
Normal (mm)Normal (mm)Normal (mm)Normal (mm)
(1971(1971(1971(1971----2000)2000)2000)2000)
Monthly Rainfall ForecastUpdated: Oct. 7,2011
March 2012March 2012March 2012March 2012
Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm)Forecast (mm) % Normal% Normal% Normal% Normal
Normal (mm)Normal (mm)Normal (mm)Normal (mm)
(1971(1971(1971(1971----2000)2000)2000)2000)
Monthly Rainfall ForecastUpdated: Oct. 7,2011
PROVINCE %N_NOV %N_DEC %N_JAN %N_FEB %N_MAR
CORDILLERA ADMINISTRATIVE REGION (CAR)
ABRA 136.2 180.3 126.1 209.6 324.6
BENGUET 114.2 160.9 143.8 163.9 177.8
IFUGAO 122.4 155.6 135.5 151.0 183.1
KALINGA 125.5 133.1 121.5 131.2 115.2
APAYAO 138.7 163.4 106.0 243.5 235.5
MOUNTAIN PROVINCE 126.5 159.7 135.0 159.9 215.3
REGION I
ILOCOS NORTE 144.8 201.4 89.3 361.3 354.5
ILOCOS SUR 129.1 182.0 139.1 173.1 326.8
LA UNION 115.3 170.3 140.2 181.1 211.4
PANGASINAN 115.1 175.1 127.7 207.9 156.0
REGION II
BATANES 125.5 125.3 88.5 128.0 109.3
CAGAYAN 133.0 128.1 115.7 146.7 119.1
ISABELA 125.5 133.1 121.5 131.2 115.2
NUEVA VIZCAYA 117.1 154.1 134.7 140.7 141.3
QUIRINO 118.1 147.8 120.8 125.7 126.6
REGION III (CENTRAL LUZON)
BATAAN 120.5 158.4 119.3 163.6 125.2
BULACAN 120.6 137.4 125.1 138.0 120.5
NUEVA ECIJA 122.3 152.4 147.8 140.7 124.8
PAMPANGA 120.6 157.2 130.4 158.0 123.7
TARLAC 118.8 170.9 137.1 175.1 125.6
ZAMBALES 115.7 188.8 123.1 183.6 131.2
AURORA 118.1 144.8 117.2 115.2 113.2
NATIONAL CAPITAL REGION
METRO MANILA 116.8 127.6 106.4 147.5 122.0
REGION IV-A (CALABARZON)
BATANGAS 117.2 136.6 125.0 139.6 114.1
CAVITE 117.7 137.5 123.1 152.0 119.9
LAGUNA 108.7 126.1 113.6 133.2 115.1
RIZAL 115.4 124.8 111.3 131.1 116.4
QUEZON 110.7 123.6 108.6 121.2 113.8
REGION IV-B (MIMAROPA)
MARINDUQUE 115.4 125.4 108.1 129.1 113.2
OCCIDENTAL MINDORO 138.3 134.3 119.4 151.3 120.4
ORIENTAL MINDORO 131.7 131.8 116.9 142.9 114.6
ROMBLON 126.9 125.6 122.4 153.8 121.5
PALAWAN 130.9 147.1 133.1 149.6 175.9
REGION V (BICOL)
ALBAY 108.7 114.6 111.7 126.8 113.6
CAMARINES NORTE 112.9 125.1 113.0 123.2 120.4
CAMARINES SUR 111.4 122.8 114.8 127.9 118.6
CATANDUANES 106.0 129.8 120.7 130.3 118.4
MASBATE 114.4 113.2 119.4 125.6 116.1
SORSOGON 107.0 111.1 113.4 123.8 112.0
P R O V IN C E % N _ N O V % N _ D EC % N _ J A N % N _ F EB % N _ M A R
R EG IO N V I ( W ES T ER N V IS A Y A S )
A K L A N 1 3 1 .2 1 2 3 .0 1 2 7 .3 1 9 6 .8 1 4 2 .3
A N T IQ U E 1 2 8 .4 1 2 1 .2 1 3 2 .8 2 2 5 .2 1 2 9 .0
C A P IZ 1 2 9 .7 1 2 1 .5 1 2 4 .2 1 6 4 .6 1 4 9 .7
G U IM A R A S 1 2 3 .4 1 2 0 .2 1 2 6 .8 1 3 9 .9 1 1 4 .7
IL O IL O 1 2 6 .6 1 2 0 .2 1 2 6 .4 1 5 9 .9 1 3 1 .0
N EG R O S O C C ID EN T A L 1 2 4 .3 1 2 1 .3 1 2 2 .3 1 3 0 .9 1 2 6 .6
R EG IO N V I I ( C EN T R A L V IS A Y A S )
B O H O L 1 2 2 .4 1 1 4 .6 1 1 1 .5 9 7 .5 1 1 5 .2
C EB U 1 2 6 .3 1 1 7 .2 1 1 5 .8 1 0 2 .4 1 2 2 .1
N EG R O S O R IEN T A L 1 1 9 .5 1 2 6 .7 1 2 0 .5 1 2 7 .6 1 2 9 .6
S IQ U IJ O R 1 1 4 .1 1 2 7 .0 1 1 4 .9 1 0 5 .9 1 1 9 .1
R EG IO N V I I I ( EA S T ER N V IS A Y A S )
B IL IR A N 1 1 2 .7 1 1 6 .8 1 1 3 .7 1 2 5 .1 1 1 7 .5
EA S T ER N S A M A R 1 0 2 .6 1 1 7 .1 1 0 9 .8 1 2 1 .9 1 1 0 .0
L EY T E 1 1 2 .6 1 1 3 .3 1 1 1 .3 1 1 4 .2 1 1 1 .4
N O R T H ER N S A M A R 1 0 3 .5 1 1 3 .1 1 1 2 .5 1 2 2 .7 1 1 7 .6
S A M A R ( W ES T ER N S A M A R ) 1 0 6 .0 1 1 8 .3 1 1 1 .5 1 2 6 .2 1 1 5 .1
S O U T H ER N L EY T E 1 1 1 .0 1 1 3 .7 1 1 0 .8 1 0 3 .4 1 0 4 .2
R EG IO N IX ( Z A M B O A N G A P EN IN S U L A )
Z A M B O A N G A D EL N O R T E 1 0 6 .9 1 3 2 .8 1 2 2 .9 1 6 1 .0 1 9 5 .4
Z A M B O A N G A D EL S U R 1 0 4 .8 1 3 4 .4 1 2 3 .8 1 5 1 .3 1 9 9 .7
Z A M B O A N G A S IB U G A Y
R EG IO N X ( N O R T H ER N M IN D A N A O )
B U K ID N O N 1 0 8 .1 9 9 .7 9 8 .1 9 5 .9 9 7 .4
C A M IG U IN 1 1 2 .3 1 0 7 .3 1 0 4 .5 9 7 .0 1 0 4 .6
L A N A O D EL N O R T E 9 9 .7 1 2 8 .0 1 1 8 .1 1 0 8 .6 1 1 0 .5
M IS A M IS O C C ID EN T A L 1 0 1 .3 1 3 1 .5 1 1 8 .6 1 1 5 .3 1 1 8 .8
M IS A M IS O R IEN T A L 1 0 9 .2 1 0 2 .6 1 0 0 .6 9 6 .4 9 9 .9
R EG IO N X I ( D A V A O R EG IO N )
C A M P O S T EL A V A L L EY
D A V A O 1 0 5 .3 1 1 3 .2 1 0 4 .2 1 0 3 .5 1 0 9 .4
D A V A O D EL S U R 1 1 1 .7 1 2 6 .2 1 1 3 .5 1 0 9 .9 1 1 2 .1
D A V A O O R IEN T A L 1 0 5 .7 1 1 8 .9 1 0 7 .8 1 0 4 .0 1 0 4 .5
R EG IO N X II ( S O C C S K S A R G EN )
S O U T H C O T A B A T O 1 1 3 .7 1 3 5 .8 1 2 2 .9 1 1 8 .3 1 2 5 .0
C O T A B A T O 1 0 1 .1 1 3 0 .5 1 1 9 .8 1 0 3 .5 9 9 .6
S A R A N G A N I 1 1 8 .7 1 3 2 .4 1 1 9 .0 1 1 9 .4 1 2 8 .0
S U L T A N K U D A R A T 1 0 5 .4 1 4 1 .0 1 2 8 .0 1 1 7 .6 1 2 6 .2
R EG IO N X II I - C A R A G A
A G U S A N D EL N O R T E 1 0 7 .1 1 0 2 .5 1 0 1 .7 9 6 .1 9 7 .7
A G U S A N D EL S U R 1 0 6 .6 9 9 .9 9 9 .2 9 6 .8 1 0 0 .9
S U R IG A O D EL N O R T E 1 0 4 .1 1 1 1 .7 1 0 8 .4 9 9 .8 9 6 .4
S U R IG A O D EL S U R 1 0 3 .3 1 0 5 .9 1 0 4 .7 9 8 .2 9 9 .2
A R M M
B A S IL A N 1 1 7 .0 1 2 8 .0 1 2 0 .9 1 8 9 .1 3 3 5 .6
M A G U IN D A N A O 9 8 .8 1 4 3 .6 1 3 0 .7 1 1 0 .2 1 0 9 .9
L A N A O D EL S U R 9 8 .7 1 2 6 .5 1 1 8 .0 1 0 2 .4 9 9 .3
S U L U 1 1 7 .2 1 3 9 .4 1 2 2 .3 1 5 8 .6 3 4 8 .0
Forecast Rainfall Analysis in Percent of Normal ( NOV 2011 - MAR 2012)
P R O V IN C E N O V D EC J A N F EB M A R
C O R D IL L ER A A D M IN IS T R A T IV E R EG IO N ( C A R )
A B R A 1 3 8 .0 6 3 .7 2 1 .7 1 6 .7 2 5 .8
B EN G U ET 1 5 3 .5 6 3 .3 2 6 .9 2 7 .0 5 1 .2
IF U G A O 2 6 9 .9 1 7 9 .3 6 7 .7 5 7 .6 7 7 .2
K A L IN G A 4 9 8 .9 4 1 3 .9 1 6 2 .3 1 2 1 .4 1 2 7 .3
A P A Y A O 2 4 0 .2 1 0 8 .7 4 9 .0 2 7 .4 2 4 .5
M O U N T A IN P R O V IN C E 2 3 2 .6 1 3 8 .6 4 7 .2 4 0 .0 5 6 .0
R EG IO N I
IL O C O S N O R T E 9 6 .4 3 2 .1 1 6 .8 1 2 .1 1 4 .2
IL O C O S S U R 9 1 .1 2 8 .6 1 0 .2 1 1 .2 2 6 .6
L A U N IO N 8 6 .3 9 .8 5 .0 9 .7 3 1 .1
P A N G A S IN A N 6 9 .1 2 6 .9 1 0 .6 1 3 .0 2 4 .0
R EG IO N I I
B A T A N ES 3 3 4 .8 2 3 3 .6 1 6 1 .5 1 0 9 .4 7 7 .7
C A G A Y A N 4 0 1 .1 2 3 2 .6 9 9 .7 5 9 .3 4 9 .7
IS A B EL A 4 9 8 .9 4 1 3 .9 1 6 2 .3 1 2 1 .4 1 2 7 .3
N U EV A V IZ C A Y A 2 9 3 .4 2 1 2 .4 9 1 .4 8 0 .5 1 0 6 .2
Q U IR IN O 4 5 6 .5 3 9 9 .4 1 7 1 .9 1 4 1 .3 1 6 3 .7
R EG IO N I I I ( C EN T R A L L U Z O N )
B A T A A N 7 0 .4 4 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .2
B U L A C A N 2 5 3 .2 2 2 7 .6 9 0 .7 6 0 .0 5 6 .4
N U EV A EC IJ A 2 1 3 .5 1 5 0 .1 6 1 .0 5 1 .5 6 5 .5
P A M P A N G A 1 1 1 .0 5 0 .5 9 .4 7 .2 1 2 .7
T A R L A C 9 0 .9 2 9 .2 3 .3 7 .3 1 6 .9
Z A M B A L ES 5 9 .8 8 .5 0 .2 2 .3 9 .6
A U R O R A 5 0 5 .9 4 7 7 .5 2 1 1 .4 1 6 6 .9 1 8 3 .7
N A T IO N A L C A P IT A L R EG IO N
M ET R O M A N IL A 2 1 3 .3 1 7 5 .6 5 5 .9 3 5 .8 3 4 .1
R EG IO N IV - A ( C A L A B A R Z O N )
B A T A N G A S 2 4 3 .0 1 9 9 .4 5 1 .4 3 6 .1 4 4 .9
C A V IT E 1 3 8 .7 8 0 .7 9 .4 4 .5 1 2 .2
L A G U N A 4 0 5 .6 4 0 1 .9 1 3 1 .4 9 3 .2 8 7 .7
R IZ A L 3 8 3 .0 4 0 0 .2 1 6 3 .0 1 0 4 .2 8 8 .5
Q U EZ O N 5 6 6 .6 6 3 5 .3 2 4 7 .5 1 7 0 .4 1 4 8 .9
R EG IO N IV - B ( M IM A R O P A )
M A R IN D U Q U E 4 4 8 .7 4 6 4 .8 1 6 7 .9 1 2 1 .7 1 0 6 .9
O C C ID EN T A L M IN D O R O 2 2 8 .2 1 7 5 .2 6 1 .7 3 9 .5 4 2 .8
O R IEN T A L M IN D O R O 2 8 7 .3 2 4 9 .7 9 3 .0 6 1 .8 6 2 .1
R O M B L O N 2 9 8 .1 2 5 6 .4 1 1 6 .8 7 7 .1 6 3 .0
P A L A W A N 1 9 4 .2 1 5 6 .4 1 6 .3 1 5 .5 4 3 .2
R EG IO N V ( B IC O L )
A L B A Y 5 0 2 .2 6 0 3 .2 3 1 5 .7 2 2 9 .2 1 8 4 .8
C A M A R IN ES N O R T E 6 2 1 .8 7 7 5 .0 3 0 5 .0 2 0 3 .1 1 8 0 .8
C A M A R IN ES S U R 5 4 8 .1 6 8 0 .9 2 9 6 .1 2 0 1 .7 1 7 3 .9
C A T A N D U A N ES 5 2 6 .8 6 5 7 .2 3 0 0 .2 1 8 4 .9 1 7 2 .2
M A S B A T E 3 1 5 .6 3 2 4 .7 2 0 7 .3 1 3 3 .9 1 0 9 .3
S O R S O G O N 4 6 2 .7 5 4 0 .9 3 3 6 .7 2 3 4 .1 1 8 8 .1
P R O V IN C E N O V D EC J A N F EB M A R
R EG IO N V I ( W ES T ER N V IS A Y A S )
A K L A N 2 8 3 .0 1 8 3 .9 8 0 .8 5 4 .5 6 5 .5
A N T IQ U E 2 3 9 .0 1 3 8 .1 5 4 .7 3 8 .4 4 9 .7
C A P IZ 2 9 1 .4 1 8 5 .2 8 8 .9 6 0 .9 7 7 .6
G U IM A R A S 2 0 4 .1 1 1 7 .8 4 9 .0 3 6 .9 4 4 .2
IL O IL O 2 4 6 .9 1 5 0 .5 6 8 .6 4 9 .1 6 0 .7
N EG R O S O C C ID EN T A L 2 0 0 .8 1 2 7 .3 6 7 .4 4 5 .8 5 1 .1
R EG IO N V II ( C EN T R A L V IS A Y A S )
B O H O L 2 4 6 .7 2 3 3 .4 2 1 5 .6 1 3 9 .6 1 1 0 .5
C EB U 2 0 8 .7 1 6 2 .6 1 2 2 .1 7 9 .3 7 1 .6
N EG R O S O R IEN T A L 1 8 5 .6 1 3 1 .3 7 5 .9 4 9 .7 4 9 .1
S IQ U IJ O R 2 2 3 .2 1 8 8 .7 1 3 1 .7 8 2 .8 6 9 .2
R EG IO N V II I ( EA S T ER N V IS A Y A S )
B IL IR A N 3 1 7 .1 3 3 0 .2 2 3 9 .4 1 8 9 .3 1 4 9 .5
EA S T ER N S A M A R 4 2 7 .4 5 3 1 .1 4 3 4 .5 3 2 7 .2 2 5 0 .4
L EY T E 3 0 7 .9 3 5 7 .6 3 0 0 .8 2 2 9 .4 1 7 0 .8
N O R T H ER N S A M A R 5 0 3 .7 5 8 0 .1 4 5 1 .0 3 1 1 .2 2 5 3 .5
S A M A R ( W ES T ER N S A M A R ) 4 0 3 .0 4 6 0 .1 3 4 9 .8 2 6 9 .2 2 1 0 .6
S O U T H ER N L EY T E 3 6 2 .7 4 4 7 .9 4 4 6 .8 3 0 8 .8 2 2 4 .7
R EG IO N IX ( Z A M B O A N G A P EN IN S U L A )
Z A M B O A N G A D EL N O R T E 2 8 2 .2 2 1 1 .9 1 0 6 .6 9 3 .9 1 0 2 .2
Z A M B O A N G A D EL S U R 2 6 2 .0 1 9 2 .4 1 0 3 .6 9 7 .0 1 1 2 .5
Z A M B O A N G A S IB U G A Y
R EG IO N X ( N O R T H ER N M IN D A N A O )
B U K ID N O N 2 2 0 .8 1 7 3 .3 1 7 2 .1 1 2 9 .0 1 2 9 .8
C A M IG U IN 3 1 5 .5 3 3 2 .5 3 3 8 .8 2 2 5 .4 1 7 9 .0
L A N A O D EL N O R T E 2 7 8 .3 2 1 2 .5 1 3 9 .6 1 0 0 .4 1 0 5 .2
M IS A M IS O C C ID EN T A L 3 2 9 .7 2 6 6 .4 1 5 5 .0 1 0 4 .9 9 6 .8
M IS A M IS O R IEN T A L 2 9 3 .3 2 8 1 .0 2 8 1 .2 1 9 2 .4 1 6 6 .5
R EG IO N X I ( D A V A O R EG IO N )
C A M P O S T EL A V A L L EY
D A V A O 2 0 3 .9 2 2 4 .5 2 7 3 .9 1 9 5 .8 1 8 5 .7
D A V A O D EL S U R 1 2 7 .5 1 0 7 .7 1 0 6 .4 8 8 .6 8 1 .7
D A V A O O R IEN T A L 2 1 6 .0 2 8 4 .1 3 6 5 .9 2 5 2 .8 2 2 6 .4
R EG IO N X II ( S O C C S K S A R G EN )
S O U T H C O T A B A T O 1 1 5 .9 8 3 .5 6 5 .3 6 3 .4 6 0 .4
C O T A B A T O 1 6 9 .6 1 1 5 .2 9 1 .3 7 5 .3 8 9 .4
S A R A N G A N I 1 0 2 .6 8 8 .7 8 5 .6 7 7 .2 6 3 .2
S U L T A N K U D A R A T 1 4 0 .7 9 3 .0 6 6 .4 6 3 .9 7 5 .9
R EG IO N X II I - C A R A G A
A G U S A N D EL N O R T E 3 7 4 .9 4 6 3 .1 5 4 0 .9 3 6 0 .5 2 9 3 .9
A G U S A N D EL S U R 3 2 0 .9 3 9 4 .6 4 9 2 .0 3 3 1 .6 2 9 4 .5
S U R IG A O D EL N O R T E 4 5 8 .2 6 1 0 .9 6 9 2 .0 4 5 9 .7 3 4 7 .6
S U R IG A O D EL S U R 4 0 4 .7 5 6 1 .0 7 0 7 .7 4 6 8 .3 3 9 9 .5
A R M M
B A S IL A N 1 2 7 .4 6 0 .7 2 6 .5 9 0 .7 1 3 5 .6
M A G U IN D A N A O 1 6 4 .6 1 0 9 .2 7 8 .1 6 7 .4 8 6 .4
L A N A O D EL S U R 2 4 0 .8 1 7 3 .5 1 2 3 .8 9 2 .1 1 0 4 .7
S U L U 9 0 .8 2 8 .8 1 .1 4 4 .4 9 3 .4
Forecast Rainfall Analysis in millimeter ( NOV 2011 - MAR 2012)
Current Research Activities:
PAGASA has collaborative climate research studies with the International Research Institute for Climate and Society.
Published -
Title: Spatio-temporal variability and predictability of summer monsoon onset over the Philippines. Clim Dyn, doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0520-5
Authored by:Moron V, Lucero A, Hilario F, Robertson AW, Lyon B, De Witt D (2009)
Currently on press -
MWR-D-11-00177Monthly Weather Review
Title: Downscaling of Seasonal Rainfall Over the Philippines: Dynamical vs. Statistical Approaches .
Authored by:Andrew Robertson; Jian-Hua Qian; Michael K Tippett; Vincent Moron;
Anthony Lucero
Use of regional/global Products:
PAGASA uses the following global information forreference and/or input in preparing seasonal climateforecast:
CPC/NCEP -CFS Forecast of Seasonal Climate Anomalies on Sea Surface Temperature
Monsoon MonitoringENSO Diagnostic Discussion
International Research Institute for Climate and SocietyECHAM4.5 – monthly rainfall forecast from IRI data libraryIRI ENSO Update and Forecast
Bureau of Meteorology’sAn All-season Real-time Multivariate MJO Index
Seasonal Outlook
Japan Meteorological Agency’s Climate System MonitoringEl Nino/La Nina MonitoringNWP Model Prediction
NGO initiated Climate Field Schoolin the Philippines
A replication of the Climate Field School model in the Province of Iloilo.
Two (2) Local Government Unit co-sponsored the CFS –
1. The Municipality of Irosin in the Province of Sorsogon and,
2. The Municipality of Gerona in the Province of Tarlac.
Irosin, SorsogonGerona, Tarlac
Site location of CFS project
For more information, VISIT us at
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Thank you