WiFi & Stakeholder Diversity Who has the user’s best interests at heart? Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis November 2015 [email protected] @disruptivedean
WiFi & Stakeholder Diversity
Who has the user’s best interests at heart?
Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis
November 2015
[email protected] @disruptivedean
About Disruptive Analysis
Tech/telecom analyst house & strategic consulting firm
Cross-silo, contrarian, independent
Forecasting & anti-forecasting
Consultant & advisor to telcos, vendors, regulators & investors
Speaker at 30+ events per year in Europe, US & Asia
Reports on Mobile Broadband, WebRTC etc
Twitter @disruptivedean Blog: disruptivewireless.blogspot.com
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015 November 2015
The Future has broad drivers, beyond networks
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015 November 2015
Chapter by Dean Bubley:
“The Future of the Phone Call”
Other Chapters cover:
AI & machine-learning
Analytics & Big Data
Contextual computing
Crowds & the Sharing Economy
Wearables & quantified-self
3D-printing
IoT, Robots & drones
Autonomous vehicles
Longevity & human enhancement
Green Tech
Financial systems & money
Political & social change
Lif
es
tyle
Ch
an
ge
s
An
aly
tic
s &
Ma
ch
ine
le
arn
ing
Re
tail &
eC
om
me
rce
Sm
art
Cit
ies
& Io
T
Opportunity & value arises at intersections
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015 November 2015
New communications & network capabilities, eg WiFi
Yet much of the industry focus?
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015 November 2015
ANDSF
HOTSPOT 2.0
PASSPOINT
EAP-SIM
WIFI-CALLING
SPs & venues not the only stakeholders
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015 November 2015
User
Mobile operator
Venues Fixed/cable
Things
OS / OEM Enterprises
Broadcasters
Internet
Automotive City Brand Developers
Regulation & standards good at dealing with….
Standalone services
Well-defined products
Stable standards
National / regional
Service providers
Homogeneous
Similar models
Few in number
Commercial / Govt
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015 November 2015
Standards/regulations are bad at dealing with….
Generalised capabilities
Fluid products/features
No/changing standards
Non-geographic
Capability providers
Diverse stakeholders
Non-service models
Many players
New motivations
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015 November 2015
FREE!
Cloud-
based
Mashups
P2P & Crowd-
sourced
X-as-a-
Feature
Distributed
Diversity vs. Monoculture
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015 November 2015
Efficient & Productive Diversity & Future Optionality
Not everything wireless is a subscription model
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015 November 2015
Amenity Subscription
service
Owned
outright
Peer-to-peer
Sponsored Transactional Also:
“Monetisation”
Myth: WiFi / cellular should be “seamless”
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015 November 2015
Too-thick “seams” are
really bad as well
The vision for 5G…
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015 November 2015
Ultra-fast mobile
broadband
Critical & low
latency
Super-dense
IoT
• All-embracing
• Many use-cases
• Strong arguments for
more spectrum, but…
• Unintended
consequences?
• Pre-defines model &
stakeholders?
• Extends oligopolies to
adjacent mkts?
• WiFi offload / LTE-U /
LAA as example?
Conclusion: Multi-stakeholder WiFi
Innovation comes from diversity, not monoculture
2nd-order stakeholder groups proliferating for wireless
“Service” model is not the only way forward for WiFi
“Seamless” is wrong
Burdensome “engagement” & “monetisation” is wrong too
Beware of assumptions & unintended consequences
Focus on design & genuine user behaviour
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015 November 2015
Dean Bubley
www.disruptive-analysis.com
disruptivewireless.blogspot.com
@disruptivedean
Skype:disruptiveanalysis
Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2015 November 2015