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WHY YOUR JOB WILL GET HARDER IN 2014…. … AND WHAT YOU CAN DO ABOUT IT. RUSSELL BECK HEAD OF CONSULTING, IMPELLAM
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Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

Nov 01, 2014

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Recruiting & HR

Russell Beck

I gave this presentation at the Talent Leaders Connect conference on 12 June 2014. I wanted to show that Talent is the #1 factor keeping CEOs up at night, but that CEOs have limited faith in HR solving this, their single biggest issue. I then show how the economy is in out and out growth mode which means demand is increasing whilst supply decreasing making HRs job exponentially harder.

I then propose a way forward and suggest that embracing an "agile workforce" could help solve this. I show two companies where they have done just this and the benefits that gave each.

I then propose 3 tangible solutions to help HR on the journey.

Given demographics and skills shortages, these changes will happen, will HR embrace them or be led by them?
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Page 1: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

WHY YOUR JOB WILL GET HARDER IN 2014….

… AND WHAT YOU CAN DO ABOUT IT.

RUSSELL BECKHEAD OF CONSULTING, IMPELLAM

Page 2: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

63 % OF CEOs ARE CONCERNED ABOUT AVAILABILITY OF KEY SKILLS

2012

53%2008

2009

2010

20112013

2014

63%

58%56%

51%

61%

46%

Page 3: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

93% SAY THEY RECOGNISE THE NEED TO CHANGE THEIR STRATEGIES

FOR TALENT

61% HAVEN’T TAKEN THE FIRST

STEP

Page 4: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

ONLY 34% OF CEOs FEEL THAT HR IS WELL PREPARED FOR THE

CHALLENGE AHEAD

Page 5: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

THIS IS WHAT IS KEEPING CEOs UP AT NIGHT

Page 6: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it
Page 7: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

FORECAST UK ECONOMIC GROWTH IN 2014

2.9%

% OF EMPLOYERS WHO PLAN TO INCREASE THE NUMBER OF PERM EMPLOYEES

75%In next 3 months

% EMPLOYERS WHO PLAN TO INCREASE THE USE OF AGENCY LABOUR

48%In next 4-12 months

PERMANENT SALARY GROWTH IS AT ITS HIGHEST SINCE 2007

CONTINGENT PAY GROWTH IS AT ITS HIGHEST SINCE JULY 2013

2012 SAW THE FIRST INCREASE IN THE DIVORCE RATE SINCE 2007

REALISTICGROWTH IN SIZE OF UK RECRUITMENT MARKET

8%annually

Page 8: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

Seasonally adjusted vacanciesSource: ONS

600k

550k

500k

450k

400k

02009 2010 2012 Q1-142011 2013

DEMAND

Page 9: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

INCREASE IN LIFE EXPECTANCY 2012 - 2037

5 years

% OF UK WORKING POPULATION OVER 50 in 2020

33%

INCREASE IN % OF EARLY 60 YEARS OLDS EMPLOYED IN GERMANY, TODAY VS. 2004

100%

Page 10: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

%UK COMPANIES THAT OFFER APPRENTICESHIPS

15%

9TH GRADE ENTRANTS 100,000GRADUATES68,000COLLEGE ENTRANTS 40,000DEGREE QUALIFIED 17,000ENGINEERS800MECH. ENGINEERS 125

4.3M 5,375 11,157

Page 11: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

11

10

9

8

7

62009 2010 2012 Q1-142011 2013

SUPPLY

UN-EMPLOYMENT RATE (%)

Page 12: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

D1 S1D2 S2

Increase in demand

Decrease in supply

THE PERFECT STORM

PRICE INCREASE IF ONLY DEMAND OR ONLY SUPPLY ALTERED

PRICE INCREASE IF BOTH DEMAND AND SUPPLY ALTER

Page 13: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

A PROGRESSIVE APPROACH

Page 14: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

HRIn-house or

RPO

ProcurementLine or

MSP/MV/NV/hybrid

LinePSL orDirect

Perm

Full–timePart-time

ApprenticeshipsGraduates

Contingent

Limited CompanyTemporary

Consulting

Workforce packagesSoW

On/Off shorePartners

Consultancies

Page 15: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

WHAT ARE THE BUSINESSES’ STRATEGIC TALENT NEEDS?

WHAT GAPS DO WE HAVE INTERNALLY AND EXTERNALLY?

CREATE A SOLUTION

Page 16: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

BUY BUILD

BOOST

BOUNCE

BORROWBIND

Page 17: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

13,500 $2.6bn 2.9m

“LIVE THE REWARDING LIFE YOU DESERVE EVERYDAY”“ENJOY FREEDOM AND FLEXIBILITY”“BE REWARDED”

Page 18: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

18

“A WORLD LEADER IN CONTEMPORARY DANCE”

Page 19: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

3 STARTERS FOR 30

YOU ARE HERE

Stop doing what you are doing because you have always done it

Page 20: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it
Page 21: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

3 STARTERS FOR 30

YOU ARE HERE

Stop doing what you are doing because you have always done it

Plan

Make direct sourcing holistic

Page 22: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

THIS IS WHAT IS KEEPING CEOs UP AT NIGHT

Page 23: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

MAYBE YOU CAN HELP THEM GET SOME SLEEP

Page 24: Why recruitment will be harder in 2014, and what you can do about it

RUSSELL [email protected] 07710 898904