Welsom Space Power August 2008 1 CONFIDENTIAL Subject to NDA Welsom Space Power Business Plan A lucrative opportunity in PV solar arrays for space based energy creation V5.7 23. April 2009 Breakthrough Technology for the fossil fuel free economy Vacuum deployment of MSRS Technologies CP1 ® polyimide 20-meter boom (source NASA)
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Welsom Space Power August 2008 1 CONFIDENTIAL Subject to NDA Welsom Space Power Business Plan A lucrative opportunity in PV solar arrays for space based.
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Welsom Space Power
August 2008 1CONFIDENTIAL Subject to NDA
Welsom Space Power Business Plan
A lucrative opportunity inPV solar arrays for space based energy
creationV5.7 23. April 2009
Breakthrough Technology for the fossil fuel free economy
• State of the art for PV power in space are GaInP/GaAs/GaInAs crystalline cells/arrays
• <28% efficiency (a-Si <10%)
• 120-180 W/kg specific power for deployable arrays (too heavy for GW scale)
• Only two large suppliers Boeing and Sharp
• Up to 1000 $ /W market price for PV modules for communication satellites
• ISS Solar arrays were sold at 1700 $/W!
• Market leader US Boeing Spectrolab, annual production < 1.3MW or <1% of total PV world market 1.3GWpa
• Space PV is today still a niche market, but with >1 B$ annual turnover!
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 3
FutureHistory
Driving forces in innovation for space PV
• Historically, push for smallest possible area for fear of space debris impact on communication satellites
• No thin film technology available that survives space environmental conditions up to date
• Highest areal efficiency for decades only path to improved performance
• But: if one factor is not critical in space, it is… SPACE! (after all it is called space by definition)
• Lower areal efficiency but superior weight dramatically pushes specific power W/kg, which is far more important in space applications due to launch cost of > 10‘000$/kg
W/m2 W/kg
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 4
Why is PV for space advancing so slowly?
• Extremely high entry barriers for newcomers due to complex space heritage requirements
• Bureacratic hurdles in government organisations like NASA, ESA preventing disruptive innovation
• Limited public private partnerships so far in driving innovation
• Perception based on historic experience, space applications are considered intrinsically long in transfer from laboratory to real use
• BUT:
• Strong private US entrepreneurs entering the space market due to liberalization and lack of NASA funding, such as Richard Branson, Bigelow Aerospace, SpaceX are pushing innovation and increase market dynamics
• Global cooperations not only encouraged but actively pushed, unleashing unprecedented synergies in radical innovations such as SBSP
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 5
What is the key strength of Switzerland?
• Switzerland is the world‘s pioneer in thin film photovoltaic basic research, pushed since 1994 by University of Neuchâtel, PV laboratory of IMT
• IMT ist the established long term strategic partner of Oerlikon OC Solar, operating the industrial PV R&D Lab Oerlikon SPTec in Neuchâtel since 2003
• IMT is the scientific partner of Bertrand Piccard‘s Solar Impulse Project www.solarimpulse.com
• A private consultant is expert technology and business consultant with relevant PV industry background including cost of ownership and manufacturing know how.
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 6
What led to the global WELSOM consortium?
• Independent discovery by US private entrepreneur Kevin Reed, looking for innovative solutions in retinal implant structures with photosensitive materials
• Unique UV sensitive polymers by US Mantech-SRS company proved of superior dual use also for large area PV thin film applications, discovered in 2005
• First scientific publication at PV conference in Hawaii 2006
• After intense lobbying pushed by Kevin Reed, global partners could be convinced to seriously look into a cooperation both in core group and supply chain
• Nearly two years of negotations led by Reed, a private consultant and IMT led to a worldwide exclusive technology contract for commercialization of thin film based PV technology for space applications, signed in September 2007
• Welsom has a global monopoly for ultralight advanced PV technology for space!
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 7
Welsom Executive summary
• Welsom = Weightless Solar Modules, acronym by Consortium partners
• Welsom has proprietary technology to produce space solar power arrays that are 35 times lighter and 100 times smaller in stowed volume than existing arrays.
• Welsom will use this technology to produce solar power systems for space and high altitude applications in the 10-100 kW range.
• Our unique selling proposition (USP): Welsom can manufacture these leading products at one tenth of the price of our competitors.
• Welsom currently seeks €1.2M as the first stage of a €21.6M 3-tranche investment with a 5-year IRR of 48%.
• The initial €1.2M investment can be returned in 4 years with an IRR of 50%. Optional is a right to convert cash contribution to equity after incorporation
• Preferred is MOU combining first two funding stages in one contract to extend planning security, €1.2M and €2.7M with separate equity conversion factor, release of second stage based on successful milestone 0 (proof of concept)
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 8
Company overview
• Welsom is currently organized as a contract among partners of a consortium with the intent to incorporate in Switzerland, HQ preferred in Zug.
• Consortium members include:
- Institut de Microtechnique’s Photovoltaic Laboratories, University of Neuchâtel (IMT), Switzerland.
- Mantech-SRS Technologies, Inc. of Huntsville (MSRS), Alabama, USA
- SESCRC Bioengineering Research, Anaheim, California, USA
- Private business and PV technology consultant, Switzerland.
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 9
Product summary
• Flexible, thin-film expanding-deployable solar arrays for space applications.
- Superior power density.
- Radiation resistant.
- Intra-panel connections etched in silicon.
- Modular design scalable to very large arrays.
• Two types of deployment conceptsFully deployed for high power applications Sequentially deployed over time to extend life
Strategic partner for mass production of TF contacting process required
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 10
Competitive advantage
• Flexible, thin-film expanding-deployable solar arrays for space applications.
• Exclusive access to NASA-developed LaRC-CP1® and MSRS-developed CORIN™ polymers:
- Flight-tested with ultra lightweight superstrates and radiation resistance.
• Exclusive access to Oerlikon's terrestrial-based solar power array equipment:
- Based on Welsom’s relationship with IMT.
• Exclusive access to IMT's thin-film talent, know-how, and relevant IP.
• First mover advantages:
- First thin-film, flexible arrays for space applications.
- Preparations underway for flight demonstration aboard Genesis-2 commercial space station.
- Will have production equipment ready to go shortly after flight testing.
• All the advantages result in a unique selling proposition for Welsom: We can manufacture our products at one tenth of the price of our competitors!
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 11
Comparative advantage
Crystallinesilicon
Triple junction
Scarlet (stretched
lens)
LaRC-CP1®a-SI:H
CORINTM
a-Si:H CIGS
Technology readiness
Cell efficiency at end-of life %
Power density of array (W/kg)
Radiation resistance GEO
Atomic oxygen resistance LEO
Scalability to large space arrays
Relative cost
mature, in common
usage
8 - 10
20 - 40
low
low
limited by launch volume
low - medium
24 - 30
80 - 180
high
high
limited by launch volume
high
some flight experience
24 - 30
150
high
unknown
difficult because of precision
deployment
high
flown in ISS, lab cells tested
8 - 9
1'370
superior
low
very easy
very low
manufactured + lab tested for atomic
oxygen
8 - 9
1'370
superior
high
very easy
very low
lab cells have been tested
12 - 14
120?
high
high
limited by array design
medium
mature, in common
usage
Products
Properties
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 12
Industry outlook
MWfirst 10 years
Communications satellites
Electric propulsion
High altitude airships
Lunar surface power
New space platforms
Satellite repair and maintenance
Solar power satellites
6
1
56
0.3
1
60
Period
Applications
MW, Following
10 years
20
2
200
1
2.5
2'000
0.5 by 2025
Other
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 13
Our demand assumptions
Total 22261170.286 7.685
20
2
200
0.5
1
2.5
2000
5
1
50
0
0.25
0.75
60
2017 - 2026MW2008
Communications satellites
Electric propulsion
High altitude airships
Lunar surface power
New space platforms
Satellite repair and maintenance
Solar power satellites
0.200
0.010
0.050
0
0.001
0
0.025
Period
Applications
2009 - 2011
0.900
0.025
6
0
0.010
0.25
0.500
2012 - 2016
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 14
Demand and sales forecast
0.390
<<1
0
2009
5.239
12
0.629
3.538
9.10
0.322
20132010
Annual smoothed demand MW (without power satellites)
- Develop a niche in commercial communication satellites by moving to a multi-segment customer such as EADS Astrium.
- Leapfrog to other multi-segment customers to enter additional segments.
• Channels:
- Use marketing managers where necessary.
- Utilize aerospace marketing firms in foreign markets.
• Pricing:
- Start with € 200 / W for New space 80% customer savings.
- Charge € 400 / W after that 60% customer savings.
- Reduce price afterwards, as new competition demands.
- With our extremely high margins, there is plenty of room to manoeuvre!
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 17
Business model
solar arrays
WelsomSpace Power
MSRS IMT
Customers
Sub-contractor(s)for cell deposition
substrate
€€
R+Dmodules + €
substrate + € substrate + solar cells
€solar modules orarrays
MSRS: will be the main supplier, with exclusive delivery of glass coated with CP1® or CORIN™ polymer. Processing of the 1.4 m2 modules will be done by WELSOM, while the cell deposition will be sub-contracted to provider(s) using Oerlikon equipment. Solar modules will be directly sold to integrators (e.g. Kayser Threde) or assembled by MSRS into large arrays to be sold again to satellite or HAA manufacturers.
IMT: R+D is a very important part of the Welsom business. Different applications and / or market segments will require dedicated products. IMT will receive a percentage of the after tax profits, with a defined cap level for strategic R+D.
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 18
Thin film solar module production
Cleaning of glass
substrate
Deposition of
TCO layer
Laser scribing
(pattern 1)
PECVD of thin film Si (P-I-N layer)
Laser scribing
(pattern 2)
Laser scribing
(pattern 3)
Release finished cell + assemble
array
Deposition of
Back contact
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Clean room
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 19
Phases and milestones
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Phases
Proof of concept
Prototype inte-gration + prep for large array
Pilot line startup
Initial sales phase
Module prototype
I.
III.
V.
VI.
II.
Description
Free standing functional small size module and preliminary radiation tests.
•Evaluation.•Pilot line procurement + setting up facility.•Ramp up pilot production process
• Optimization of 50 kW of 1'370 kW / kg array.• Ramp up of V-pilot line.
• Establish Welsom legal entity. • High-efficiency, free-standing module and
thermo-mechanical reliability tests. • Pilot line go decision.
Space qualification stages
IV.
• Array integration development.• Demonstator array. • Pilot line order process.
Full functional qualification in space environment, tested according to established standards.
Related milestones
20x20 cm2 module with 2 kW / kg power density.
> 3 kW / kg with industry-compatible process + demon-strated radiation durability.
•Evaluation performed (2)•Facility ready (4)•Ramp up done (7)
Critical space qualification for pilot line achieved.
Integration concept defined, demonstrator array ready, logistics prepared for pilot line.
Ready for sales: 50 kW product optimized + pilot line ramped up.
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 20
Roadmap
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6Phases
Proof of concept
Prototype inte-gration + prep for large array
Pilot line startup
Initial sales phase
Module prototype
I.
III.
V.
VI.
II.
Space qualification stages
IV.
0
1
3
5
6
EvaluationPilot line procurement
Facility prep2
4Pilot line ramp up 7
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 21
Ownership and control
• Legal entity:
- Currently a contractual consortium.
- Soon a corporation with Swiss headquarters in Zug.
• Ownership plan:
- Consortium members 36%
- Management 25%
- Investor(s) 39%
• Board of directors with representatives from:
- Consortium
- Management
- Investor(s)
- Outside
• Scientific advisory board.
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 22
Financial results
77%48%
61.7340.567.21-3.64-11.70-1.20
70.3345.765.41-5.44-2.70-1.20
23.4413.94
16.5510.530.96
15.539.063.792.801.600.70
1.801.801.801.80
9.00
1.101.201.201.201.200.50
128.7682.3013.150.360.10Sales
Research + Development
Equipment
Depreciation (linear, ?%)
Other expenses
Incentives
Taxes
Net profit
Cash flow
IRR
Year 1M€
2 3 4 5 6
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 23
Total capital needs
21.608.509.004.10Total
5.063.861.20
2 - 3
1 - 2
Year and stage
12.642.449.001.20Prototype integration + array large area upscaling preparation
2.701.501.20Module prototype
1.200.700.50Proof of concept
R+DM€ Equipment Working
capital Total
0 - 1
3 - 4 Pilot line startup
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 24
Return for investors
301Q / year 650.501 / year 317.703nd tranche
401Q / year 510.371 / year 22.702nd tranche
501Q / year 46.081 / year 11.201st tranche
InvestM€
Investby
ReturnM€
Return by IRR %
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 25
Risk summary
1.1 Business:Market slow
2.Resources insufficient
1.2 Business:Competition
4.1 Technology:1.4 m2 array
3.Organisation: Grows too
fast
4.2 Technology:
Space / lifetime heavy
high
medium
low
light
medium
m-h
l-m
l-m
m-h
Consequences if a case occurs
Probability that a case occurs
Risk to watch closely
5.1 Partner out of business
6.1 Insufficient stakeholder
support
5.2 High partner
dependence
6.2 Inadequate Project
management
Welsom Space Power
April 2009 26
Closely monitor progress +set up plan to find resources quickly if case occurs.