Weather Forecast ing
Nov 01, 2014
Weather Forecasti
ng
Weather *Is a term that encompasses phenomena in the atmosphere of a planet. *It is also normally taken to mean the activity of these phenomena over short periods of time usually no more than a few days.
To produce a short-range forecast is indeed a big task involving the four steps. Included in these are:ObservationCollection and Transmission of Weather DataPlotting and Analysis of Weather DataPrognosis or Forecast
*From the weather patterns, a number of methods are used to know the future state of atmosphere, a job called weather forecasting.
WHAT IS A WEATHER
FORECAST? (weather forecasting)
A weather forecasting is
simply a scientific
estimate of future weather
condition.
*Weather condition is the state of the atmosphere at a given time expressed in terms of the most significant weather variables. *The significant weather variables being forecast differ from place to place.
HOW IS A WEATHER FORECAST
MADE?
*In forecasting the weather, a Meteorologist must at least know something about the existing weather condition over a large area before he can make a reliable forecast. *The accuracy of his forecast depends largely upon his knowledge of the prevailing weather conditions over a very wide area.
*The forecast decision is based on various forecasting tools. *The basic tool of weather forecaster is the WEATHER MAP.
*The WEATHER MAP depicts the distribution patterns of atmospheric pressure, wind, temperature and humidity at the different levels of the atmosphere. *There are two types of the basic weather map namely: the surface map and the upper – air maps.
Five standard level/steps of the upper air maps that are constructed twice daily at twelve -hourly interval.
*Observation*Collection and Transmission of Weather Data*Plotting and Analysis of weather Data*Analysis of Weather Maps, Satellite and Radar Imageries and Other Data /Prognosis or forecast*Formulation of Forecast
Observation
Plotting and Analysis Of Weather Data
Analysis Of Weather Maps, Satellite And Radar Imageries And Other Data/Prognosis or Forecast
Formulation Of The Forecast
*The surface maps are made four times daily at twelve- hourly interval. The distribution patterns of rain or other forms of precipitation and cloudiness can also be delineated.
Numerical Weather
Prediction*Is the science of predicting the weather using “models” of the atmosphere and computational techniques.
TECHNIQUES *Persistence *Use of a barometer*Looking at the sky*Now casting *Use of forecast models *Analog techniques
Weather Elements:
*Temperature *Atmospheric Humidity*Atmospheric Pressure*Wind
Weather Instruments:
*Temperature thermometerMinimum thermometerThermographThermometer Shelter or Screen
Atmospheric Pressure:
*BarometerMercurial barometerAneroid barometer
Surface Wind Velocity and Direction:
Wind vane (weather vane) AnemometerAerovaneSling-psychrometerhygrothermograph
*Hygrometer*Precipitation*Rain Gauge*clouds
Special Instruments to Measure Upper-
Air Data:
*Pibal/Theodolite (Pilot Balloon Theodolite)*Radiosonde*Wind-finding radar*Weather surveillance radar*Satellite imagery
Weather Satellite Data: Modern
Tool for Weather Analysis
*Polar-Obtaining Satellites*Geostationary Meteorological Satellite (GMS)
What Causes
Rainfall?
Thank you for
listening…