USE OF MEASUREMENT IN MANAGING THE USE OF MEASUREMENT IN MANAGING THE F/A-18E/F ACQUISIITON F/A-18E/F ACQUISIITON PSM CONFERENCE 20 JULY 1999 PSM CONFERENCE 20 JULY 1999 Rear Admiral Joe Dyer, USN Commander, Naval Air Warfare Center, Aircraft Division Naval Air Systems Command [email protected]
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USE OF MEASUREMENT IN MANAGING THEUSE OF MEASUREMENT IN MANAGING THEF/A-18E/F ACQUISIITONF/A-18E/F ACQUISIITONPSM CONFERENCE 20 JULY 1999PSM CONFERENCE 20 JULY 1999
Rear Admiral Joe Dyer, USNCommander, Naval Air Warfare Center, Aircraft Division
Performance Flight Evaluation Plan Reduced by 60 Flights Basedon Excellent Agreement Between Prediction and Flight Test
OTHER PROGRAM TOOLS...
• AWARD FEE TYPE CONTRACT• NETWORK / CRITICAL PATH SYSTEM• SINGLE DEFICIENCY DATABASE MANAGEMENT
SYSTEM• INTEGRATED TEST TEAM (ITT)• INTEGRATED PRODUCT DEFINITION (IPD) /
CONCURRENT ENGINEERING• UNIGRAPHICS• PRORAM INDEPENDENT ASSEMENT• GREYBEARDS• EARLY OPERATIONAL ASSESSMENT
01/26/99 13DRAFT #7
DEVELOPMENTAL RISK
Questions to Consider• Does the risk statement describe a future event or situation?• Is the source or cause of a risk based on factual evidence?• Do other teams need to know about the risk?• Is the risk reduction plan adequate? Does the plan address
the source and/or the consequence of the risk?• Is the next level of management aware of the risk?
Monitor and ControlMonitor and Control
RiskIdentification
What Can Go Wrong?• Proposed changes
- Staffing- Process- Design- Supplier
• Transition to productionchecklists
• Test failures• Failure to meet objectives• Simulations• Negative trends• Issues list• ...And more
How Big Is the Risk?• Likelihood• Possible consequences• Categories
CostScheduleTechnical
• Identify the risk levelfrom the 5x5 risk grid
How Can You Reducethe Risk?
• Avoid by eliminating therisk cause and/orconsequence
• Control the cause orconsequence
• Transfer the risk• Assume the risk level and
continue on current plan• ...And more
How Are Things Going?• Communicate risks to all
affected parties• Monitor risk plans• Monthly status updates
– Team– Parent team– Program management
RiskAnalysis
RiskPlanning
RiskTracking
Risk: An undesirable situation or circumstance which has both a probability of occurring and apotential consequence to program success; risks are normally associated with uncertaintiesRisk Management: An organized, systematic decision-making process that efficientlyidentifies risks, assesses or analyzes risks, and effectively reduces or eliminates risks toachieving program goals
F/A-18E/F RiskManagement Process
Lik
elih
oo
d5
4
3
2
1
Consequence
54321
High
Medium
Low
F/A-18RISK ASSESSMENT
3/18/99DDREV_3_2_4
CONCLUSION
The F/A-18E/F Super Hornet Initial Operational CapabilitiesWill Be the Most Extensive of Any Tactical Jet Fighter in the History of Aviation…